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Resource Estimates of Exploration Potential

12th Jul 2010 07:00

RNS Number : 1659P
Max Petroleum PLC
12 July 2010
 



Max Petroleum Plc

(the "Company")

 

Resource Estimates of Exploration Potential on Blocks A & E

from Ryder Scott Company, L.P.

 

12 July 2010

 

Max Petroleum Plc, an oil and gas exploration and development company focused on Kazakhstan, announces today the results of its Competent Person's estimate of recoverable prospective resources associated with certain leads and prospects on the Company's Blocks A&E licence areas. Ryder Scott's estimates are based on its independent review of the prospect portfolio developed by the Company using approximately 4,980 km2 of 3D seismic data acquired, processed and interpreted in Blocks A&E.

 

Highlights from the report prepared by Ryder Scott in accordance with standards established by the Society of Petroleum Engineers, are as follows:

 

·; Total risked mean recoverable resources estimated at 1,100 million barrels of oil equivalent ("MMBOE");

·; Total unrisked mean recoverable resources estimated at 5,358 MMBOE, distributed within a probable range (P90 to P10) of 2,004 MMBOE to 8,847 MMBOE, including:

o 9 post-salt prospects with unrisked mean recoverable resources of 183 million barrels of oil ("MMBO"), distributed within a probable range (P90 to P10) of 72 MMBO to 318 MMBO; and

o 14 deep pre-salt prospects and leads with unrisked mean recoverable resources of 5,175 MMBOE, distributed within a probable range (P90 to P10) of 1,932 MMBOE to 8,529 MMBOE.

 

Details of the post salt and pre-salt prospects and leads covered in the Ryder Scott report are set out in the following tables:

 

Block A&E Post-salt Prospects

 

 

 

Prospect

Geologic Chance of Success

P10

Potential Resources

Pmean

Potential Resources

P90

Potential Resources

Name

(%)

( mmbo)

(mmbo)

(mmbo)

 Karsak West

27

25

14

6

 Uytas

29

35

20

8

 Asanketken

29

43

24

9

 Narmundanak South*

27

23

13

5

 West Altykol

29

4

2

1

 East Kyzylzhar I

27

3

2

1

 Sekir West

16

92

53

20

 Kainar

27

13

8

3

 Karasai

16

80

47

19

Totals

n/a

318

183

72

(*formerly identified as Komsomolskoye South).

 

Ryder Scott's estimation for prospective resources in the post-salt section is based on analysis using one productive horizon for each formation. Most of the productive fields in the area, including the Company's Zhana Makat and Borkyldakty Fields, have multiple productive horizons per formation. Ryder Scott acknowledges this fact but does not speculate on the number of productive horizons likely to be encountered in any individual formation, due to the exploratory nature of the prospects. As a result of this approach, Ryder Scott's volumes and geologic risks vary from the Company's internal estimates.

 

Blocks A&E Pre-salt Prospects and Leads

 

 

 

 

Prospect Name

 

 

 

Type

 

 

 Ryder Scott

 Classification

 Geologic Chance of Success

 (%)

 P10

Potential Resources

(mmboe)

 Pmean

Potential Resources

(mmboe)

 P90

Potential Resources

(mmboe)

 

 Kuzbak

 Type I

Prospect

22

1,048

662

334

 Akatkol Deep

 Type I

Prospect

22

367

231

115

 Akatkol A

 Type II

Prospect

25

583

338

117

 Akatkol B

 Type II

Lead

18

215

123

54

 Akatkol C

 Type II

Lead

18

1,401

848

324

 Emba A

 Type II

Prospect

25

354

181

78

 Emba A East

 Type II

Lead

18

896

559

178

 Emba B

 Type II

Prospect

25

872

523

172

 Emba C

 Type II

Prospect

25

439

266

101

 Emba D

 Type II

Lead

18

693

415

168

 Emba E

 Type II

Lead

18

401

235

95

 Bek Beke C

 Type II

Lead

18

489

289

86

 Bek Beke D

 Type II

Lead

18

684

452

85

 Bek Beke E

 Type II

Lead

18

87

53

25

 Totals

n/a

8,529

5,175

1,932

 

In the above table, Ryder Scott differentiates between "prospects" and "leads" on the basis of 3D seismic coverage. "Prospects" are fully covered by the existing 3D surveys. "Leads" are mostly, but not completely covered by 3D. The leads have a similar seismic character as the prospects. For calculation of prospective resource volumes, only the portions of the "leads" covered by 3D seismic are considered to be prospective. "Type II" prospects and leads are deeper (below 6,000 metres) features of Devonian and Carboniferous age which are believed to be carbonate buildups, in some ways analogous to the super-giant Karachaganak, Tengiz and Kashagan Fields. The "Type I" pre-salt targets are shallower (about 5,000 metres), interpreted by the Company to be Permian tidal flat deposits sealed by the Kungurian salt.

 

A copy of the Ryder Scott's resource report of Blocks A&E has been placed on the Company's website at www.maxpetroleum.com.

 

Jim Jeffs, Executive Co-Chairman, commented:

 

""We are pleased that Ryder Scott's assessment of our portfolio, like our own, recognizes the significant potential of both the pre and post-salt prospects and leads we have identified on Blocks A & E. The report reinforces our enthusiasm for our ongoing exploration programme.""

 

Enquiries:

 

Max Petroleum Plc

 

 

Michael Young

President and Chief Financial Officer

Tel: +44 (0)20 7355 9590

 

Peter Moss

Vice President

Corporate Development and Investor Relations

 

Merlin PR

 

Tom Randell / Anca Spiridon

Tel: +44 (0)207 726 8400

WH Ireland Ltd

 

Daniel Bate

Tel: +44 (0)161 832 2174

 

Macquarie

Paul Connolly / Ben Oakley

Tel: +44 (0)203 037 2000

 

Richard Hook, Chief Operating Officer of Max Petroleum, is the qualified person that has reviewed and approved the technical information contained in this announcement. Mr. Hook is a member of the Houston Geological Society and holds both Masters and Bachelors of Science degrees in geology.

Steve Phillips, Geologist, Geophysicist and Senior Vice President of Ryder Scott, is the qualified person who reviewed and approved the technical information relating to the update from Ryder Scott.

Ryder Scott is an internationally recognized oil and gas consultancy firm which conducts independent petroleum reserves evaluations and economic analysis for oil and gas companies worldwide.

 

 

Glossary

 

Risk (Pg) - Risk is defined as the probability of loss or failure. In the oil and gas industry, risk is commonly applied to the estimation of prospective (undiscovered) resources to account for the possibility that the outcome of drilling a well may not be successful. Risk is defined through the term geological chance of success which considers the geological factors that will result in the formation of a hydrocarbon reservoir with sufficient quality to allow for sustained flow rates of oil or gas.

 

Prospective Resources

Prospective Resources are those quantities of petroleum which are estimated, on a given date, to be potentially recoverable from undiscovered accumulations.

 

Unrisked Resources - Unrisked prospective resource volumes are commonly categorized as Unrisked P90, P50, P10 or Mean Resources and are estimated before multiplying by the geological chance of success which assumes that the drilling of an exploration well is successful.

 

Risked Resources - Risked prospective resource volumes are commonly categorized as Risked Mean Resources and are calculated by multiplying the unrisked mean resources by the geological chance of success to account for the risk of drilling an unsuccessful exploration well.

 

P90 - The quantity for which there is a 90% probability that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the estimate. In reserves estimation, this is the number quoted as the proven value.

 

P10 - The quantity for which there is a 10% probability that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the estimate. In reserves estimation, this is the number quoted as the proven value.

 

Mean - The mean is also known as the expectation or expected value. It is the average over the entire probability range, weighted with the probability of occurrence.

 

This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
 
END
 
 
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