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Positive Update to Danica Jutland CPR

24th Sep 2012 07:00

RNS Number : 9203M
New World Oil & Gas
24 September 2012
 



New World Oil and Gas Plc / Index: AIM / Epic: NEW / Sector: Oil & Gas

24 September 2012

New World Oil and Gas Plc ('New World' or 'the Company')

Positive Update to Danica Jutland CPR

 

New World Oil and Gas Plc, a company focussed on making investments in the oil and gas sector, has received an interim addendum update ('CPR Update') to the Competent Person's Report ('Admission CPR') as published in the AIM Admission Document and dated 3 July 2012 from RPS Energy ('RPS') for the Danica Jutland Project located in the highly prospective Jutland on-shore area in South Western Denmark ('the Project').

 

Summary of the CPR Update and revised New World economics:

 

·; Update follows the completion of Phase 2a of a 2-D seismic acquisition programme on Licence 2/09 ('the Licence'), consisting of 5 additional seismic lines totalling 56km, over the two identified Triassic prospects, Jelling and Harboe.

·; Probability of Geologic Success for Jelling and Harboe upgraded to 1 in 5 from approximately 1 in 8 from the Admission CPR.

·; The P50 (Best Estimate) unrisked Prospective Resources as reported on by RPS for Jelling and Harboe are 166.4 Bcf and 351.2 Bcf respectively (see tables 2 and 4), net to New World's 80% working interest (on the basis that New World exercises its option to increase this percentage interest upon the acquisition of additional seismic and drilling wells on each prospect), totalling 517 Bcf. The figures in the Admission CPR, as reduced to a comparable 80% working interest basis, are 292.3 and 305.6 Bcf shown in that report as "Best Estimate".

·; The New World calculated indicative P50 Success Case Economics for Jelling and Harboe are US$176 million and US$377.6 million respectively (see tables 1 and 3), net to New World's 80% working interest (on the basis as above), totalling US$553.6 million. The figures as reported in the Admission CPR are US$316.1 million and US$321.5 million respectively.

·; The additional seismic data, which is of excellent quality, has resulted in a slight decrease (c.80.9Bcf) in aggregate volumetric figures for Jelling and Harboe, with a small increase in Harboe and a more significant reduction in Jelling. This is reflected also in the New World economics.

·; However, the excellent data has also provided an improved delineation of the structure at the Jelling prospect and a more robust structural configuration of the Harboe prospect leading to the reduction of risk from 1 in 8 to 1 in 5.

·; RPS has stated that the licences are large and offer significant exploration potential should a discovery be made.

·; With the completion of the Phase 2a seismic programme, New World has applied for the assignment of an additional 12.5% working interest in the Project from the Danish Energy Authority to take the current net working interest to 25%.

·; New World also has the option to earn an 80% working interest in the Project upon completion of drilling two wells, as set out in the Farm-Out Agreement (announcement 11 October 2011).

·; Also on the Licence, the prospective resource estimate for the Jensen Zechstein oil prospect (as reported in the Admission CPR and adjusted to an 80% working interest) is 48MMbo, and the indicative P50 Success Case Economics is US$667 million - a 3-D seismic programme planned for Q1 2013 will further explore the prospect.

·; Volumetrics and indicative P50 Success Case Economics for Jelling, Harboe and Jensen prospects combined equal 134 million BOE and US$1.22 billion (80% WI).

 

Jelling Prospect

P90

 

P50

P10

Mean

Gas Initially in Place (GIIP)

(Bcf)

172

279

432

292

Prospective Resources

(Bcf)

126

208

328

219

Table 1: Jelling prospect volumetric results - September 2012 (100% WI basis)

 

Jelling Prospect

Gross

Bcf

NWOG (80% WI) Bcf

NWOG (80%WI) PV10 $MM

P90

126.0

100.8

95.8

MEAN

219.0

175.2

186.4

P50

208.0

166.4

176.0

P10

328.0

262.4

290.4

Table 2: New World's Indicative Success Case Economics Summary for Jelling. The 80% WI assumes New World elects to exercise its options to increase its WI in the licence in return for further seismic acquisition and the drilling of a well.

 

 

Harboe Prospect

P90

 

P50

P10

Mean

Gas Initially in Place (GIIP)

(Bcf)

276

590

1150

661

Prospective Resources

(Bcf)

203

439

863

496

Table 3: Harboe prospect volumetric results - September 2012 (100% WI basis)

 

Harboe

Prospect

Gross

Bcf

NWOG (80% WI) Bcf

NWOG (80% WI) PV10 $MM

P90

202.8

162.2

159.4

MEAN

498.3

398.6

434.2

P50

439.0

351.2

377.6

P10

862.7

690.1

760.5

Table 4: New World's Indicative Success Case Economics Summary for Harboe. The 80% WI assumes New World elects to exercise its options to increase its WI in the licence in return for further seismic acquisition and the drilling of a well.

 

New World CEO William Kelleher said, "Our focus is on systematically de-risking our prospects and this CPR has improved our probability of geologic success from approximately 1 in 8 to 1 in 5 for two of our prospects - a substantial improvement. This is a positive CPR update and another significant milestone for New World that underpins the tremendous confidence we have in our first Danish project. Despite the minor decrease in our overall Triassic volumetrics, the excellent seismic data has significantly reduced the risk and after just the second phase of seismic we now have combined P50 indicative volumetrics and success case economic outcomes for our Danica Jutland Project totalling 134 MMBOE and a NPV10 of US$1.22 billion net to New World. Moreover, these numbers still only include the three of 10 identified prospects or leads which have been formally reported on.

 

"We have also identified two drillable locations on Licence 2/09 and consider these prospects to be drillable in 2013 subject to the acquisition of additional 3-D seismic in Q1 2013 over the Zechstein Jensen prospect, on Licence 1/09, with results to be updated in another CPR update planned for Q2 2013.

 

"I look forward to updating shareholders on our continued rapid progress as we unlock the potential value of our two Danish Projects, Danica Jutland and Danica Resources, as well as our Blue Creek project in Belize where we will shortly spud our first well."

 

In compiling the CPR Update, RPS Energy has used the definitions and guidelines as set out in the Petroleum Resources Management System ('PRMS') by the SPE/WPC/AAPG/SPEE in 2007 as the internationally recognised Standard required by the AIM Guidance Note.

 

The information contained in this announcement has been reviewed and approved by Andrew Kirchin on behalf of RPS. Mr. Kirchin has 25 years of relevant experience in the oil industry and is currently EVP, Consulting (US), with RPS in Houston.

 

* * ENDS * *

 

AAPG

American Association of Petroleum Geologists

AVO

Amplitude variation with offset

B

Billion

Bbls

Barrels

Bcf

Billion cubic feet

BOE

Barrels Oil Equivalent

Bo

Barrel of oil

Closure

The vertical distance from the apex of a structure to the lowest structural contour that contains the structure. Measurements of both the areal closure and the distance from the apex to the lowest closing contour are typically incorporated in calculations of the estimated hydrocarbon content of a trap.

DHI

Direct hydrocarbon indicator

GIIP

Gas Initially in Place

GPoS

Geological Probability of Success

Km

Kilometre

M

metres

M

Thousand

MM

Million

MMbo

Million barrels of oil

Mstb

Thousand stock tank barrels

MMscf/d

Millions of standard cubit feet per day

MMstb

Million stock tank barrels

NPV10

Net Present Value using an annual discount on cashflow of 10% per annum

P10

At least a 10% probability that the quantities recovered will equal or exceed the estimate. This is a measure of uncertainty not geological or commercial risk

P50

At least a 50% probability that the quantities recovered will equal or exceed the estimate. This is a measure of uncertainty not geological or commercial risk

P90

At least a 90% probability that the quantities recovered will equal or exceed the estimate. This is a measure of uncertainty not geological or commercial risk

Play

The combination of reservoir, seal and source that is required to promote the likelihood of a working petroleum system within any given region or fairway.

Prospect

A potential trap which geologists believe may contain hydrocarbons

prospective volumes

Quantities of oil and gas estimated on a given date to be potentially recoverable from undiscovered accumulations. In the event of discovery they are likely to be technically viable and economic to recover

Reefal build-ups

Lithified carbonate build-ups associated with repeated episodes of coral reef formation on a platform edge often in response to minor sea-level change cycles

Reservoirs

A subsurface body of rock having sufficient porosity and permeability to store and transmit fluids

Rotliegendes

The Rotliegend is a sequence of rock strata of early Permian age found in the subsurface of large areas in western and central Europe and mainly consists of sandstone layers. It is usually covered by the Zechstein.

sq km

Square kilometres

Stb

Stock tank barrels

Scf

Standard cubic feet

SPB

Southern Permian Basin

SPE

Society of Petroleum Engineers

SPEE

Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers

Triassic

Of or belonging to the geologic time, system of rocks, or sedimentary deposits of the first period of the Mesozoic Era - between the Permian and Jurassic periods, about 245 million to 208 million years ago.

WPC

World Petroleum Council

Zechstein

Unit of sedimentary rock layers of Middle to Late Permian (Guadalupian to Lopingian) age located in the European Permian Basin.

 

 

For further information please visit www.nwoilgas.com or contact:

 

 

Enquiries:

William Kelleher

New World Oil and Gas Plc

Tel: +17134472171

Georges Sztyk

New World Oil and Gas Plc

Tel: +1514 961 2247

Peter Sztyk

 

Felicity Geidt

New World Oil and Gas Plc

 

Beaumont Cornish Limited

Tel: +19172157122

 

Tel: +44 (0) 20 7628 3396

Roland Cornish

Beaumont Cornish Limited

Tel: +44 (0) 20 7628 3396

 

Jerry Keen

Shore Capital

Tel: +44 (0) 20 7408 4090

Pascal Keane

Shore Capital

Tel: +44 (0) 20 7408 4090

 

Hugo de Salis

St Brides Media & Finance Ltd

Tel: +44 (0) 20 7236 1177

Lottie Brocklehurst

St Brides Media & Finance Ltd

Tel: +44 (0) 20 7236 1177

Frank Buhagiar

St Brides Media & Finance Ltd

Tel: +44 (0) 20 7236 1177

 

 

Notes

New World Oil and Gas Plc is an oil and gas operating company with three highly prospective projects in Belize and Denmark. New World is operator of all three projects where a systematic programme of seismic acquisition has resulted in multiple prospects being identified and derisked, a number of which have been classified by the Competent Person as being drill ready. Blue Creek in Belize is the Company's most advanced project where, later this year, drilling is due to commence at B Crest, a prospect with un-risked P50 prospective resources of 92MMbo and a POSg of 1 in 5 as confirmed by a Competent Person. New World also operates two projects in onshore Denmark located in producing basins covering a combined area of over 2.6 million acres, making it the largest holder of acreage in Denmark.

 

Management is constantly evaluating additional projects that would complement the Company's growing portfolio, particularly late stage exploration or early production projects located in basins with large proven reserves that, in the opinion of the Directors, are undervalued, underdeveloped or under-performing. As a result, the Board is actively identifying exploitation opportunities in areas including Africa, South America and South East Asia as it looks to build a leading, diversified oil and gas company.

 

 

This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
 
END
 
 
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