18th Apr 2018 07:00
18 April 2018
Eland Oil & Gas PLC
("Eland" or the "Company")
OML 40 Reserves and Resources Update
Eland Oil & Gas plc (AIM: ELA), an oil & gas development and exploration company operating in West Africa with a principal focus on Nigeria, is pleased to announce the results of a new competent persons report ("CPR" or "Report") provided by Netherland, Sewell & Associates Inc. ("NSAI") as at 31 December 2017.
Since the previous full field OML 40 independent CPR which had an effective date of 30 June 2015, the Opuama field has produced 3.86 million barrels of oil. However, the result of the new NSAI report shows a small increase in 2P reserves in OML 40, illustrating how robust and attractive OML 40 is as an investment, and the significant quantity of reserves and resources still to be extracted from the license.
Highlights
· | Gross OML 40 Reserves
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- | Proved ("1P") of 39.5 million barrels ("MMB"), an increase of 20%
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- | Proved plus Probable ("2P") of 83.4 MMB a slight increase
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- | Proved plus Probable plus Possible ("3P") of 117.9 MMB, an increase of 11%
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· | Eland's Net Entitlement Reserves (after royalties)
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- | 1 P of 13.5 MMB, an increase of 14%
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- | 2P of 26.3 MMB, an increase of 17%
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- | 3P of 30.3 MMB, an increase of 11%
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· | Eland's Net (Entitlement) Present Value at 10% with a flat price deck of $66.54 per barrel of oil
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- | 1P of US$ 281.8 million
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- | 2P of US$ 419.2 million
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- | 3P of US$ 484.4 million
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Net entitlement is based on treating Eland funding of the Starcrest Nigeria Energy Limitied share of Elcrest E&P Nigeria Limited as a carried working interest, resulting in an Eland participating interest of 45 percent before payout of the loans and 20.25 percent after payout.
Mr George Maxwell, CEO, commented:
"I am pleased to announce an updated CPR for the Company's core OML 40 licence. This shows that over the two and a half year period since the last CPR, total 2P reserves in the licence have slightly increased, net of oil production of 3.9 million barrels. On a 1P and 3P basis, we have seen increases in reserves of 20% and 11% respectively, again a very encouraging sign.
Although the Opuama field has seen a decline in 2P reserves, the Eland technical team is confident that the results of the recent drilling programme and the increase in Opuama oil production will see a reversal of this once the logging results have been fully appraised. Moreover, I am delighted that the increase in 2P reserves from the Gbetiokun field more than offsets the Opuama decline.
I sincerely believe that this updated CPR highlights the significant upside that we still see within our flagship licence OML 40".
For further information:
Eland Oil & Gas PLC (+44 (0)1224 737300)
www.elandoilandgas.com
George Maxwell, CEO
Ronald Bain, CFO
Finlay Thomson, IR
Canaccord Genuity Limited (+44 (0)20 7523 8000)
Henry Fitzgerald O'Connor / James Asensio
Panmure Gordon (UK) Limited (+44 (0)20 7886 2500)
Adam James / Atholl Tweedie
Tom Salvesen
Camarco (+44 (0) 203 757 4980)
Billy Clegg / Georgia Edmonds / Tom Huddart
Inside Information
This announcement contains inside information as stipulated under the market abuse regulation (EU no. 596/2014). Upon the publication of this announcement via regulatory information service this inside information is now considered to be in the public domain.
Competent Person
In accordance with the guidelines of the AIM Market of the London Stock Exchange, Pieter van der Groen, a geologist and Eland's Chief Operating Officer, who has a geology degree from Auckland University, a Masters degree in Petroleum Geology from the University of Aberdeen and has over 25 years of relevant experience in the upstream oil and gas industry and who is a member of the Society of Petroleum Engineers and meets the criteria of qualified person under the AIM guidance note for mining and oil and gas companies, has reviewed and approved the technical information contained in this announcement.
In compiling the announcement, the Company has used the definitions and guidelines as set forth in the 2007 Petroleum Resources Management System ('PRMS') approved by the Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
SUMMARY OF OIL RESERVES AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2017
Oil Reserves (MB) | Future Net Revenues (M$) | ||||||||
Gross | Net Entitlement | Present Worth at 10% | |||||||
Category | Before Royalties | After Royalties | After Royalties | % | Total | ||||
1P | 39,538.1 | 31,630.5 | 13,522.0 | 42.7% | 329,769.2 | 281,780.1 | |||
2P | 83,411.0 | 66,728.8 | 26,293.3 | 39.4% | 490,190.7 | 419,225.1 | |||
3P | 117,856.4 | 94,285.1 | 30,380.5 | 32.2% | 564,984.0 | 484,427.4 |
*Net entitlement is based on treating Eland funding of the Starcrest Nigeria Energy Limitied share of Elcrest E&P Nigeria Limited as a carried working interest, resulting in an Eland participating interest of 45 percent before payout of the loans and 20.25 percent after payout.
Since the previous CPR in June 2015, Opuama 2P Reserves have declined by 12 MMstb from 57.4 MMstb to 45.4 MMstb (a reduction of 8.7 MMstb allowing for production of 3.9 MMstb between June 2015 and December 2017). The main changes are:
a) 5.9 MMstb reduction in D1000-D2000 reserves, a consequence of the new 3D dataset and different method of depth conversion (steeper western flank), being partially offset by the increase in the depth of the D1000 OWC (now common with D2000).
b) 6.8 MMstb reduction in D5000 reserves. Its revised reserves figure is broadly consistent with Eland's previous estimate.
c) 2.6 MMstb reduction in E2000 reserves, a consequence of the new 3D dataset and different method of depth conversion
d) Transfer of 3.3 MMstb in the D3500 and D4000 reservoirs from Contingent Resources (June 2015 CPR) to Reserves (December 2017 CPR).
Opuama 8's log and positive production results indicate that the D5000 current reserves are conservative and remapping is ongoing which will be further enhanced by the Opuama 9 and 10 well results. Opuama 9 and 10 are step out well which will test the flank of the structure.
Since the previous CPR, Gbetiokun 2P Reserves have increased by 12 MMstb from 25.8 MMstb to 38 MMstb. The main changes are:
1. Oil in D8900, E1000 and E6500 included as Reserves in the December 2017 CPR (not included previously);
2. Significant increases in Reserves in the E2000, E5000 and E6000 reservoirs compared to the June 2015 CPR;
The above being partially offset by Oil in the shallow D5000 and D7300 reservoirs moved from Reserves (June 2015 CPR) to Contingent Resources (December 2017 CPR) as development of these reservoirs is contingent on results from the earlier wells targeting the deeper reservoirs whose properties are reasonably clearly defined.
SUMMARY OF CONTINGENT AND PROSPECTIVE OIL RESOURCES:
GROSS LEASE CONTINGENT RESOURCES (UNRISKED)
· | 1C of 15.6 MMB
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· | 2C of 40.4 MMB
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· | 3C of 111.8 MMB
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SUMMARY OF UNRISKED GROSS CONTINGENT RESOURCES AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2017
Unrisked Gross Contingent Oil Resources (MB) | ||||
Low Estimate (1C) | Best Estimate (2C) | High Estimate (3C) | ||
Abiala North | 909 | 1,981 | 4,112 | |
Abiala South | 4,259 | 14,105 | 70,643 | |
Adagbassa Creek | 647 | 1,495 | 2,845 | |
Gbetiokun | 0 | 2,577 | 4,411 | |
Opuama | 885 | 2,248 | 5,440 | |
Polobo | 8,614 | 17,354 | 23,230 | |
Ugbo | 298 | 630 | 1,082 | |
Total | 15,611 | 40,390 | 111,764 |
Note: | |
1. | Based on current market conditions in Nigeria, neither contingent resources nor values have been attributed to gas or natural gas liquid volumes. However, the Company has rights to monetise gas volumes and is currently discussing and assessing the market potential for development.
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2. | Columns may not add due to rounding.
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GROSS LEASE PROSPECTIVE RESOURCES (UNRISKED)
· | Low Estimate of 80.3 MMB
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· | Best Estimate of 254.5 MMB
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· | High Estimate of 772.4 MMB
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SUMMARY OF UNRISKED GROSS PROSPECTIVE RESOURCES AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2017
Unrisked Gross Prospective Oil Resources (MB) | ||||
Low Estimate | Best Estimate | High Estimate | ||
Abiala North | 568 | 1,530 | 3,413 | |
Abiala Northeast | 3,970 | 10,996 | 24,516 | |
Abiala South | 5,731 | 13,289 | 26,449 | |
Abiala South South | 932 | 2,432 | 4,698 | |
Amobe | 15,300 | 78,430 | 340,070 | |
Dudu Town | 5,879 | 13,207 | 23,847 | |
Dudu Town East | 4,707 | 10,492 | 19,383 | |
Gbetiokun West | 8,124 | 16,744 | 31,740 | |
Gbetiokun South | 3,880 | 8,538 | 17,394 | |
Old Nana Town | 2,761 | 6,491 | 12,436 | |
Opuama North | 1,228 | 2,909 | 5,951 | |
Polobo | 4,090 | 19,250 | 57,090 | |
Polobo East | 9,425 | 20,640 | 42,495 | |
Tongarafa | 1,286 | 3,058 | 6,593 | |
Tsekelewu Northwest | 5,907 | 30,858 | 123,451 | |
Ugbo East | 2,484 | 6,260 | 13,253 | |
Ugbo North | 4,006 | 9,397 | 19,611 | |
Total | 80,278 | 254,522 | 772,390 |
Note: | |
1. | There is no certainty that any portion of the prospective resources will be discovered. If discovered, there is no certainty that it will be economically viable or technically feasible to produce any portion of the resources.
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2. | Columns may not add due to rounding.
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PRICING ASSUMPTIONS
This report was prepared using a flat price deck of $66.54/bbl. This being the approximate Brent oil price as at 31 December 2017, adjusted for a regional price differential of $0.54/bbl. This is the average Forcados Blend differential the Company received in 2017 following resumption of export from the Forcados Terminal.
GLOSSARY
US$ | United States Dollars |
% | Percent |
1C | Low estimate scenario of contingent resources |
2C | Best estimate scenario of contingent resources |
3C | High estimate scenario of contingent resources |
1P | Proved |
2P | Proved plus probable |
3P | Proven plus probable plus possible |
2D or 2D Seismic | Seismic data which is acquired along a line with a "Shot and Receiver" configuration that allows the signal-to-noise ratio to be enhanced by linear stacking of the reflections caused by subsurface interfaces between rocks with different acoustic properties |
3D or 3D Seismic | Seismic data which is acquired in a multi-azimutual pattern and processed such that the signal-to-noise ratio is enhanced by three dimensional stacking of the reflections caused by subsurface interfaces between rocks with different acoustic properties |
bbl / bbls | barrel / barrels |
Contingent Resources | Those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from known accumulations by application of development projects but which are not currently considered to be commercially recoverable due to one or more contingencies. Contingent Resources are a class of discovered Recoverable Resources. |
CPR | The reserves and resources evaluation provided by Netherland, Sewell & Associates Inc. as at 18 November 2015 |
MB | Thousand barrels |
MMB | Million barrels |
Mmtsb | Million stock tank barrels |
OML 40 | Oil Mining Lease 40 |
Prospective Resources | Those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from undiscovered accumulations by application of future development projects. Prospective Resources have both an associated chance of recovery and a chance of development. Prospective Resources are further subdivided in accordance with the level of certainty associated with the recoverable estimates assuming their discovery and development and may be sub-classified based on project maturity |
Proved Reserves ('Proved') | Those quantities of petroleum, which by analysis and geoscience, can be estimated with reasonable certainty to be commercially recoverable. It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the estimated Proved Reserves |
Probable Reserves ('Probable') | Those additional reserves that are less likely to be recovered than Proved Reserves but more certain to be recovered than Possible Reserves. It is equally likely that actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater than or less than the sum of the estimated proved plus Probable Reserves |
Possible Reserves ('Possible') | Those additional reserves which analysis and geoscience and engineering data suggest are less likely to be recovered than Probable Reserves. The total quantities ultimately recovered from the project have a low probability to exceed the sum of proved plus probable plus Possible Reserves |
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