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NatWest Group plc Interim Results 2025 - Part 1

25th Jul 2025 07:00

RNS Number : 5189S
NatWest Group plc
25 July 2025
 

Inside this report

 

Business performance summary

2

H1 2025 performance summary

3

Performance key metrics and ratios

5

Chief Financial Officer's review

7

Retail Banking

8

Private Banking & Wealth Management

9

Commercial & Institutional

10

Central items & other

11

Segment performance

 

 

Risk and capital management

16

Credit risk

16

Economic loss drivers

20

Governance and post model adjustments

22

Measurement uncertainty and ECLsensitivity analysis

24

Measurement uncertainty and ECLadequacy

25

Credit risk - Banking activities

25

Financial instruments within the scope of theIFRS 9 ECL framework

26

Segment analysis - portfolio summary

28

Segmental loans and impairment metrics

29

Sector analysis - portfolio summary

34

Non-Personal forbearance

36

Personal portfolio

39

Commercial real estate

40

Flow statements

 

 

 

Risk and capital management continued

47

Stage 2 decomposition by a significantincrease in credit risk trigger

49

Asset quality

53

Credit risk - Trading activities

56

Capital, liquidity and funding risk

67

Non-traded market risk

71

Traded market risk

71

Pension risk

 

Financial statements and notes

72

Condensed consolidated income statement

73

Condensed consolidated statement ofcomprehensive income

74

Condensed consolidated balance sheet

75

Condensed consolidated statement ofchanges in equity

77

Condensed consolidated cash flow statement

78

Presentation of condensed consolidatedfinancial statements

78

Net interest income

79

Non-interest income

80

Operating expenses

81

Segmental analysis

84

Tax

85

Financial instruments - classification

87

Financial instruments - valuation

 

 

 

Financial statements and notes continued

92

Trading assets and liabilities

93

Loan impairment provisions

94

Provisions for liabilities and charges

94

Dividends

94

Contingent liabilities and commitments

95

Litigation and regulatory matters

101

Related party transactions

101

Post balance sheet events

101

Date of approval

102

Auditor's independent review report to NatWest Group plcGroup plc

Additional information

103

NatWest Group plc summary risk factors

105

Statement of directors' responsibilities

106

Presentation of information

106

Statutory accounts

106

Forward-looking statements

107

Share information and contacts

108

Appendix

108

Non-IFRS financial measures

113

Performance measures not definedunder IFRS

 

H1 2025 performance summary

Chief Executive, Paul Thwaite, commented:

"NatWest Group's strong performance in the first half of the year reflects our consistent support for our customers and, in turn, delivery for our shareholders. We have today upgraded our income and returns guidance for 2025, as well as announcing a 9.5p interim dividend and a £750 million share buyback.

The role we play as a trusted partner to over 20 million customers is fundamental to our strategy and we continue to focus on helping them achieve their ambitions, with lending, deposits and assets under management once again increasing in H1 2025. With positive momentum in our business, we are ambitious for the future and see clear opportunities for further disciplined growth. This is complemented by our focus on bank-wide simplification, as we quietly revolutionise how we operate, enhancing our tech and AI capabilities in order to better meet and anticipate the evolving needs of our customers.

Having returned to full private ownership in Q2 2025, NatWest Group is well placed to step up and play its part in supporting economic growth across the UK and, in doing so, to create sustainable value for all our stakeholders."

H1 2025 performance

We have delivered a strong H1 2025 performance with continued balance sheet growth, an attributable profit of £2.5 billion, with earnings per share of 30.9 pence, up 28% on prior year, a Return on Tangible Equity (RoTE) of 18.1% and a cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) of 48.8%, compared with 55.5% in the prior year.

This drove strong capital generation pre-distributions of 101 basis points which allows us to announce an interim dividend of 9.5 pence per share, 58% higher than the prior year, and we intend to commence a share buyback programme of £750 million in the second half of 2025.

- We continue to be disciplined in our approach to growth, deploying capital where returns are attractive. We are pleased to have added 1.1 million new customers in the first half of 2025, both organically and through the Sainsbury's Bank transaction which completed on 1 May 2025. In the first half of 2025 we delivered broad-based balance sheet growth, with net loans to customers excluding central items up by £11.6 billion, including £2.2 billion of balances acquired from Sainsbury's Bank as we added scale to our unsecured business. Customer deposits excluding central items increased by £4.5 billion, including £2.4 billion of balances acquired from Sainsbury's Bank.

- We are making good progress on becoming a simpler bank, delivering efficiencies from our investment programmes as seen in the 6.7 percentage point improvement in our cost:income (excl. litigation and conduct) ratio, compared with the prior year. We are digitising more customer journeys and deploying AI to improve our productivity and customer experience which is reflected in our improved NPS scores across all three businesses. We announced new collaborations with OpenAI, AWS and Accenture to accelerate our data simplification and enable greater personalisation for our customers.

- We continue to actively manage our balance sheet and risk, delivering £2.9 billion of RWA management actions as we created capacity for growth. Our Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio of 13.6% was in line with Q4 2024 and c.20 basis points lower than Q1 2025. TNAV per share in H1 2025 increased by 22 pence to 351 pence.

Outlook(1)

The following statements are based on our current expectations for interest rates and economic conditions. We will monitor and react to market conditions and refine our internal forecasts as the economic position evolves.

We have strengthened our guidance and in 2025 we expect:

- to achieve a Return on Tangible Equity of greater than 16.5%.

- income excluding notable items to be greater than £16.0 billion.

- Group operating costs, excluding litigation and conduct costs, to be around £8.1 billion including £0.1 billion of one-time integration costs.

- our loan impairment rate to be below 20 basis points.

- RWAs to be in the range of £190-195 billion at the end of 2025, dependent on final CRD IV model outcomes.

In 2027 we continue to expect:

- to achieve a Return on Tangible Equity for the Group of greater than 15%.

Capital:

- we continue to target a CET1 ratio in the range of 13-14%.

- we expect to pay ordinary dividends of around 50% of attributable profit from 2025 and will consider buybacks as appropriate.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(1) The guidance, targets, expectations and trends discussed in this section represent NatWest Group plc management's current expectations and are subject to change, including as a result of the factors described in the NatWest Group plc Risk Factors in the 2024 Annual Report and Accounts and Form 20-F and the Summary Risk Factors in this announcement. These statements constitute forward-looking statements. Refer to Forward-looking statements in this announcement.

 

Business performance summary

 

Half year ended

 

Quarter ended

30 June

30 June

30 June

31 March

30 June

2025

2024

Variance

2025

2025

Variance

2024

Variance

Summary consolidated income statement

£m

£m

%

£m

£m

%

£m

%

Net interest income

6,120

5,408

13.2%

3,094

3,026

2.2%

2,757

12.2%

Non-interest income

1,865

1,726

8.1%

911

954

(4.5%)

902

1.0%

Total income

7,985

7,134

11.9%

4,005

3,980

0.6%

3,659

9.5%

Litigation and conduct costs

(118)

(101)

16.8%

(74)

(44)

68.2%

(77)

(3.9%)

Other operating expenses

(3,900)

(3,956)

(1.4%)

(1,965)

(1,935)

1.6%

(1,928)

1.9%

Operating expenses

(4,018)

(4,057)

(1.0%)

(2,039)

(1,979)

3.0%

(2,005)

1.7%

Profit before impairment losses/releases

3,967

3,077

28.9%

1,966

2,001

(1.7%)

1,654

18.9%

Impairment (losses)/releases

(382)

(48)

nm

(193)

(189)

2.1%

45

nm

Operating profit before tax

3,585

3,029

18.4%

1,773

1,812

(2.2%)

1,699

4.4%

Tax charge

(910)

(801)

13.6%

(439)

(471)

(6.8%)

(462)

(5.0%)

Profit from continuing operations

2,675

2,228

20.1%

1,334

1,341

(0.5%)

1,237

7.8%

Profit from discontinued operations, net of tax

-

11

nm

-

-

nm

15

nm

Profit for the period

2,675

2,239

19.5%

1,334

1,341

(0.5%)

1,252

6.5%

 

 

 

Performance key metrics and ratios

 

 

Notable items within total income (1)

£23m

£130m

nm

(£5m)

£28m

nm

£69m

nm

Total income excluding notable items (1)

£7,962m

£7,004m

13.7%

£4,010m

£3,952m

1.5%

£3,590m

11.7%

Net interest margin (1)

2.28%

2.07%

21bps

2.28%

2.27%

1bp

2.10%

18bps

Average interest earning assets (1)

£542bn

£524bn

3.4%

£543bn

£542bn

0.2%

£528bn

2.8%

Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) (1)

48.8%

55.5%

(6.7%)

49.1%

48.6%

0.5%

52.7%

(3.6%)

Loan impairment rate (1)

19bps

3bps

16bps

19bps

19bps

-

(5bps)

24bps

Profit attributable to ordinary shareholders

£2,488m

£2,099m

18.5%

£1,236m

£1,252m

(1.3%)

£1,181m

4.7%

Total earnings per share attributable to ordinary shareholders - basic 

30.9p

24.2p

6.7p

15.3p

15.5p

(0.2p)

13.7p

1.6p

Return on Tangible Equity (RoTE) (1)

18.1%

16.4%

1.7%

17.7%

18.5%

(0.8%)

18.5%

(0.8%)

Climate and sustainable funding and financing (2)

£16.9bn

£16.3bn

3.7%

£9.1bn

£7.8bn

16.7%

£9.7bn

(6.2%)

 

nm = not meaningful.

For the footnotes to this table refer to the following page.

 

Business performance summary continued

 

As at

30 June

31 March

31 December

2025

2025

Variance

2024

Variance

Balance sheet

 

£bn

£bn

%

£bn

%

Total assets

 

730.8

710.0

2.9%

708.0

3.2%

Loans to customers - amortised cost

 

407.1

398.8

2.1%

400.3

1.7%

Loans to customers excluding central items (1,3)

 

380.1

371.9

2.2%

368.5

3.1%

Loans to customers and banks - amortised cost and FVOCI 

 

417.9

409.5

2.1%

410.2

1.9%

Total impairment provisions (4)

 

3.7

3.5

5.7%

3.4

8.8%

Expected credit loss (ECL) coverage ratio 

 

0.87%

0.86%

1bp

0.83%

4bps

Assets under management and administration (AUMA) (1)

 

51.8

48.5

6.8%

48.9

5.9%

Customer deposits

 

436.8

434.6

0.5%

433.5

0.8%

Customer deposits excluding central items (1,3)

 

435.8

433.4

0.6%

431.3

1.0%

Liquidity and funding

 

 

Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR)

 

147%

150%

(3.0%)

150%

(3.0%)

Liquidity portfolio

 

217

222

(2.3%)

222

(2.3%)

Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR)

 

134%

136%

(2.0%)

137%

(3.0%)

Loan:deposit ratio (excl. repos and reverse repos) (1)

 

86%

85%

1%

85%

1%

Total wholesale funding

 

91

87

4.6%

86

5.8%

Short-term wholesale funding

 

35

33

6.1%

33

6.1%

Capital and leverage

 

 

Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio (5)

 

13.6%

13.8%

(20bps)

13.6%

-

Total capital ratio (5)

 

19.7%

20.6%

(90bps)

19.7%

-

Pro forma CET1 ratio (excl. foreseeable items) (6)

 

14.6%

14.8%

(20bps)

14.3%

30bps

Risk-weighted assets (RWAs)

 

190.1

187.0

1.7%

183.2

3.8%

UK leverage ratio

 

5.0%

5.2%

(0.2%)

5.0%

-

Tangible net asset value (TNAV) per ordinary share (1,7)

 

351p

347p

4p

329p

22p

Number of ordinary shares in issue (millions) (7)

 

8,088

8,067

0.3%

8,043

0.6%

(1) Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics.

(2) NatWest Group used its climate and sustainable funding and financing inclusion (CSFFI) criteria to determine the assets, activities and companies that are eligible to be included within its target to provide £100 billion in climate and sustainable funding and financing between 1 July 2021 and the end of 2025. This included both provision of committed (on and off-balance sheet) funding and financing, including provision of services for underwriting issuances and private placements. The climate and sustainable funding and financing framework which underpinned our £100 billion target has been retired and replaced with our climate and transition finance framework, available on natwestgroup.com.

(3) Central items includes Treasury repo activity.

(4) Includes £0.1 billion relating to off-balance sheet exposures (31 March 2025 - £0.1 billion; 31 December 2024 - £0.1 billion).

(5) Refer to the Capital, liquidity and funding risk section for details of the basis of preparation.

(6) The pro forma CET1 ratio at 30 June 2025 excludes foreseeable items of £1,994 million: £1,244 million for ordinary dividends and £750 million foreseeable charges (31 March 2025 excludes foreseeable items of £1,875 million for ordinary dividends; 31 December 2024 excludes foreseeable items of £1,249 million for ordinary dividends).

(7) The number of ordinary shares in issue excludes own shares held.

 

Chief Financial Officer's review

We delivered a strong performance in the first half of 2025, with operating profit of £3,585 million and a RoTE of 18.1%.

In the first half of 2025 we supported our customers and delivered broad-based balance sheet growth, with net loans to customers excluding central items up by £11.6 billion and customer deposits excluding central items increasing by £4.5 billion, contributing to growth in total income excluding notable items, up by 13.7% on H1 2024 and 1.5% on Q1 2025. Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) was 48.8% in H1 2025 compared with 55.5% in H1 2024 as we continued to simplify the business.

Our CET1 ratio remains within our targeted range at 13.6% and we announce an interim dividend of 9.5 pence per share and intend to commence a share buyback programme of £750 million in the second half of 2025, bringing total distributions announced in H1 2025 to £1.5 billion. We continued to actively manage the balance sheet, delivering RWA management actions of £2.9 billion in H1 2025 which created capacity for growth.

Strong H1 and Q2 2025 performance

- Total income increased by 0.6% in Q2 2025 compared with Q1 2025 and was 11.9% higher in H1 2025 than H1 2024. Total income excluding notable items was £58 million higher in Q2 2025 than Q1 2025 due to disciplined balance sheet growth, deposit margin expansion and the benefit of one additional day in the quarter. As a result, Q2 2025 NIM of 2.28% was 1 basis point higher than Q1 2025. H1 2025 total income excluding notable items was 13.7% higher than H1 2024 as balance growth, higher structural hedge income and increased trading income were partly offset by the impact of base rate cuts and changes in the mix of our customer deposits.

- Q2 2025 total operating expenses were £60 million higher than Q1 2025 and H1 2025 was £39 million lower than H1 2024. In Q2 2025, other operating expenses were £30 million higher than Q1 2025 primarily reflecting property exit costs as a result of transformation and digitisation, a £19 million increase in one-time integration costs following the acquisition of balances from Sainsbury's Bank and pay inflation and increased National Insurance charges. H1 2025 other operating expenses were £56 million lower than the prior year as we continue to make good progress on becoming a simpler bank, including ongoing digitisation of Retail Banking, costs relating to the strategic exit from Poland in H1 2024, contract efficiencies through the use of strategic partners, and our withdrawal from the Republic of Ireland. Headcount reduced by around 1,400 FTE compared with H1 2024 and was broadly stable compared with H2 2024.

- A net impairment charge of £193 million, or 19 basis points of gross customer loans, in Q2 2025 included an £81 million charge on the acquisition of balances from Sainsbury's Bank and post model adjustment releases of £64 million. Compared with Q1 2025, our ECL provision increased by £0.1 billion to £3.7 billion and our ECL coverage ratio has increased from 0.86% to 0.87%.

- We have reviewed and updated our macro-economic assumptions, with limited changes compared with our previous assumptions, and we retain post model adjustments of £0.2 billion related to economic uncertainty, or 6.4% of total impairment provisions. We remain comfortable with the strong credit performance of our diversified prime loan book.

- As a result, we are pleased to report an attributable profit for H1 2025 of £2,488 million, with earnings per share of 30.9 pence and a RoTE of 18.1%. Q2 2025 RoTE was 17.7%.

Robust balance sheet with strong capital and liquidity levels

- We continued to support our customers with net loans to customers excluding central items growth of £11.6 billion in the first half of 2025 and £8.2 billion in Q2 2025, which included £2.2 billion of balances acquired from Sainsbury's Bank. The remaining £6.0 billion growth in Q2 2025 was disciplined and well balanced across our portfolio, including an increase in Commercial Mid-market, reflecting higher lending to housebuilders and housing associations, and Corporate & Institutions, largely in funds lending. Retail Banking mortgage balances increased by £1.4 billion in Q2 2025.

- Between 1 July 2021 and the 30 June 2025 we provided £110.3 billion in climate and sustainable funding and financing and during Q1 2025 we exceeded our target to provide £100 billion between 1 July 2021 and the end of 2025. To reflect our progress, we have announced a new target to provide £200 billion in climate and transition finance between 1 July 2025 and the end of 2030. As part of this we will continue to monitor progress against our aim to provide £10 billion in lending for EPC A and B-rated residential properties between 1 January 2023 and the end of 2025, with £9.6 billion lent up to 30 June 2025. The climate and sustainable funding and financing framework which underpinned our previous £100 billion target has been retired and replaced with our climate and transition finance framework, available on natwestgroup.com.

- Customer deposits excluding central items increased £4.5 billion in H1 2025 and £2.4 billion in Q2 2025, which included £2.4 billion of balances acquired from Sainsbury's Bank and growth within Corporate & Institutions partially offset by lower current account balances in Retail Banking. Term balances remained broadly stable for the second quarter at 17% of the book, up from 16% at Q1 2025.

- The LCR of 147%, representing £51.7 billion headroom above 100% minimum requirement, decreased by 3 percentage points compared with Q1 2025 primarily due to increased lending (including balances acquired from Sainsbury's Bank) partially offset by issuances. Our primary liquidity at Q2 2025 was £160.6 billion and £86.6 billion, or 54%, of which was cash and balances at central banks. Total wholesale funding increased by £3.5 billion in the quarter to £90.8 billion.

- TNAV per share increased by 4 pence in the quarter to 351 pence primarily reflecting the profit for the period.

Chief Financial Officer's review continued

Shareholder return supported strong capital generation

- The CET1 ratio of 13.6% was c.20 basis points lower than Q1 2025 principally reflecting the increase in RWAs, c.20 basis points, the ordinary dividend accrual, c.30 basis points, and share buybacks, c.40 basis points, partially offset by the attributable profit for the quarter, c.70 basis points.

- RWAs increased by £6.9 billion in the first half of 2025 to £190.1 billion and £3.1 billion in Q2 2025 largely reflecting lending growth, an increase for CRD IV models and £1.6 billion in relation to the balances acquired from Sainsbury's Bank partially offset by another strong quarter of RWA management actions, £1.7 billion, as we continued to actively manage the balance sheet creating capacity for growth.

Business performance summary

Retail Banking

 

Half year ended

 

Quarter ended

30 June

30 June

30 June

31 March

30 June

2025

2024

2025

2025

2024

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Total income

3,134

2,690

1,594

1,540

1,365

Operating expenses

(1,423)

(1,470)

(742)

(681)

(697)

of which: Other operating expenses

(1,411)

(1,457)

 

(734)

(677)

(690)

Impairment losses

(226)

(122)

(117)

(109)

(59)

Operating profit

1,485

1,098

735

750

609

 

 

Return on equity (1)

23.8%

18.4%

23.2%

24.5%

20.3%

Net interest margin (1)

2.58%

2.26%

2.59%

2.58%

2.31%

Cost:income ratio

 

 

(excl. litigation and conduct) (1)

45.0%

54.2%

46.0%

44.0%

50.5%

Loan impairment rate (1)

21bps

12bps

22bps

21bps

12bps

 

 

 

As at

 

30 June

31 March

31 December

 

2025

2025

2024

£bn

£bn

£bn

Net loans to customers (amortised cost)

214.3

210.4

208.4

Customer deposits

196.6

195.7

194.8

RWAs

69.4

66.8

65.5

(1) Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics.

 

During H1 2025, Retail Banking delivered a return on equity of 23.8% and an operating profit of £1,485 million, with continued positive income and net interest margin momentum. We have supported sectors that are vital to the health and success of the UK economy, including the housing market, with increased net mortgage lending in H1 2025 of £3.4 billion. We welcomed an additional 1 million customers from balances acquired from Sainsbury's Bank in the quarter and have continued to improve our customer proposition, including the launch of our family-backed mortgages.

Retail Banking provided £2.1 billion of climate and sustainable funding and financing in H1 2025 from lending on properties with an EPC rating of A or B.

 

H1 2025 performance

- Total income was £444 million, or 16.5%, higher than H1 2024 reflecting deposit balance growth and deposit margin expansion, coupled with the benefit of balances acquired from Sainsbury's Bank adding £21 million of income, partly offset by the impact of base rate cuts and the mix shift from non-interest bearing to interest bearing balances.

- Net interest margin was 32 basis points higher than H1 2024 largely reflecting the factors noted above.

- Other operating expenses were £46 million, or 3.2%, lower than H1 2024 reflecting lower severance and property exit costs and a 6.3% reduction in headcount. This was partially offset by the impact of costs associated with the acquisition of balances from Sainsbury's Bank and timing of FCA regulatory fees.

- An impairment charge of £226 million, compared with a £122 million charge in H1 2024, largely driven by the impact of balances acquired from Sainsbury's Bank.

- Net loans to customers increased by £5.9 billion, or 2.8%, in H1 2025 driven by £3.4 billion higher mortgage balances. Personal advances increased by £1.4 billion, or 17.3% and credit card balances increased £1.3 billion, or 18.6% in H1 2025, reflecting the impact of balances acquired from Sainsbury's Bank and underlying credit card growth.

- Customer deposits increased by £1.8 billion, or 0.9%, in H1 2025, driven by overall personal market growth, and £2.4 billion of savings balances acquired from Sainsbury's Bank, partly offset by seasonal tax payments.

- RWAs increased by £3.9 billion, or 6.0%, in H1 2025 primarily due to the impact of balances acquired from Sainsbury's Bank, the annual update to operational risk, model updates and book movements.

 

Q2 2025 performance

- Total income was £54 million or 3.5% higher than Q1 2025 reflecting the impact of balances acquired from Sainsbury's Bank, deposit margin expansion, and the impact of one additional day in the quarter.

- Net interest margin was 1 basis point higher than Q1 2025 largely reflecting the factors noted above, offset by the flow through impact of new mortgage lending in Q1 2025, ahead of the increase in Stamp Duty Land Tax on 1 April 2025.

- Other operating expenses were £57 million, or 8.4%, higher than Q1 2025 reflecting the impact of costs associated with the acquisition of balances from Sainsbury's Bank, FCA regulatory fees, pay award and National Insurance increase, and higher property exit costs, partly offset by the non-repeat of the Q1 2025 Bank of England levy.

- An impairment charge of £117 million, compared with a £109 million charge in Q1 2025, including £81 million impact of balances acquired from Sainsbury's Bank offset by modelling related releases.

- Net loans to customers increased by £3.9 billion, or 1.9%, in Q2 2025. Personal advances increased £1.3 billion, or 15.9%, including £1.2 billion of balances acquired from Sainsbury's Bank, whilst credit cards increased £1.3 billion or 18.6%, including £1.0 billion of balances acquired from Sainsbury's Bank. Mortgages increased by £1.4 billion in the quarter.

- Customer deposits increased by £0.9 billion, or 0.5%, in Q2 2025 reflecting £2.4 billion of savings balances acquired from Sainsbury's Bank, partly offset by lower current account balances.

 

- RWAs increased by £2.6 billion, or 3.9%, in Q2 2025 primarily due to the impact of balances acquired from Sainsbury's Bank, model updates and book movements.

Business performance summary continued

Private Banking & Wealth Management(1)

Half year ended

 

Quarter ended

30 June

30 June

30 June

31 March

30 June

2025

2024

2025

2025

2024

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Total income

539

444

274

265

236

of which: AUMA income (2)

144

130

 

72

72

68

Operating expenses

(359)

(356)

(172)

(187)

(175)

of which: Other operating expenses

(358)

(355)

 

(171)

(187)

(175)

Impairment (losses)/releases

(1)

11

-

(1)

5

Operating profit

179

99

102

77

66

 

 

Return on equity (2)

19.8%

10.5%

22.5%

17.1%

14.4%

Net interest margin (2)

2.57%

2.18%

2.56%

2.59%

2.30%

Cost:income ratio 

 

 

(excl. litigation and conduct) (2)

66.4%

80.0%

62.4%

70.6%

74.2%

Loan impairment rate (2)

1bp

(12bps)

-

2bps

(11bps)

AUMA net flows (£bn) (2)

2.1

1.3

1.3

0.8

1.0

 

 

 

As at

 

30 June

31 March

31 December

 

2025

2025

2024

£bn

£bn

£bn

Net loans to customers (amortised cost)

18.6

18.4

18.2

Customer deposits

41.3

41.2

42.4

Assets under management (AUM) (2)

39.0

36.7

37.0

Assets under administration (AUA) (2)

12.8

11.8

11.9

Total assets under management and administration (AUMA) (2)

51.8

48.5

48.9

Total combined assets and liabilities (CAL) (2,3)

110.4

106.9

108.4

RWAs

11.5

11.3

11.0

(1) Effective from Q2 2025, the reportable segment Private Banking was renamed Private Banking & Wealth Management. This does not change the financial results of Private Banking & Wealth Management or the consolidated financial results of NatWest Group.

(2) Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics.

(3) CAL refers to customer deposits, net loans to customers and AUMA. To avoid double counting, investment cash is deducted as it is reported within customer deposits and AUMA.

 

During H1 2025, Private Banking & Wealth Management continued to deliver a strong performance with an operating profit of £179 million, return on equity of 19.8% and cost:income ratio of 66.4%. We have seen growth across AUMAs, lending and deposits in the quarter. In response to client demand, we have introduced digital auto-renewal functionality for fixed-term deposits within the Coutts app, enabling clients optionality and convenience.

Private Banking & Wealth Management provided £0.2 billion of climate and sustainable funding and financing in H1 2025, principally in relation to mortgages on residential properties with an EPC rating of A or B and wholesale transactions.

 

H1 2025 performance

- Total income was £95 million, or 21.4%, higher than H1 2024 primarily reflecting balance growth across deposits, lending and AUMA, and deposit margin expansion.

- Net interest margin was 39 basis points higher than H1 2024 largely reflecting deposit margin expansion and growth across lending and deposits.

- Other operating expenses were £3 million, or 0.8%, higher than H1 2024 primarily reflecting higher investment costs and one off items.

- An impairment charge of £1 million in H1 2025, compared with an £11 million release in H1 2024, largely reflecting the non-repeat of good book releases in the prior year, with Stage 3 charges remaining at low levels.

- CAL was £2 billion, or 1.8%, higher in H1 2025, supported by growth in AUMA and lending balances, partly offset by lower deposit balances.

- Net loans to customers were £0.4 billion, or 2.2%, higher in H1 2025 driven by higher commercial loan balances, due to strong client engagement and competitive pricing strategies.

- Customer deposits decreased by £1.1 billion, or 2.6%, in H1 2025 largely reflecting seasonal tax payments and outflows of transitory balances.

- AUMA balances increased by £2.9 billion in H1 2025 primarily driven by AUM net inflows of £1.5 billion, AUA net inflows of £0.2 billion, and Cushon net inflows of £0.3 billion supported by positive market movements of £0.8 billion. AUM net flows as a percentage of opening balances are 8.1% on an annualised basis.

Q2 2025 performance

- Total income was £9 million, or 3.4%, higher than Q1 2025 primarily reflecting an additional day in the quarter and the impact of higher fee income.

- Net interest margin was 3 basis points lower than Q1 2025 largely reflecting changes in product mix.

- Other operating expenses were £16 million, or 8.6%, lower than Q1 2025 primarily reflecting the non-repeat of the Q1 2025 Bank of England levy and lower severance costs.

- CAL was £3.5 billion, or 3.3%, higher than Q1 2025 due to increases in AUMA, deposits and lending balances.

- Net loans to customers were £0.2 billion, or 1.1%, higher than Q1 2025 driven by an increase in commercial loans.

- Customer deposits were £0.1 billion, or 0.2%, higher than Q1 2025 as a strong performance on instant access was partially offset by a decrease in current accounts.

 

- AUMA balances increased by £3.3 billion in the quarter primarily driven by AUM net inflows of £0.7 billion, AUA net inflows of £0.4 billion and Cushon net inflows of £0.1 billion, along with positive market movements of £2.0 billion. AUM net flows as a percentage of opening balances are 7.6% on an annualised basis.

Business performance summary continued

Commercial & Institutional

Half year ended

 

Quarter ended

30 June

30 June

30 June

31 March

30 June

2025

2024

2025

2025

2024

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Net interest income

2,955

2,543

1,496

1,459

1,297

Non-interest income

1,334

1,257

651

683

644

Total income

4,289

3,800

2,147

2,142

1,941

 

 

Operating expenses

(2,151)

(2,150)

(1,107)

(1,044)

(1,099)

of which: Other operating expenses

(2,062)

(2,073)

 

(1,047)

(1,015)

(1,053)

Impairment (losses)/releases

(154)

57

(76)

(78)

96

Operating profit

1,984

1,707

964

1,020

938

 

 

Return on equity (1)

18.6%

16.2%

17.9%

19.3%

17.8%

Net interest margin (1)

2.33%

2.10%

2.35%

2.32%

2.12%

Cost:income ratio 

 

 

(excl. litigation and conduct) (1)

48.1%

54.6%

48.8%

47.4%

54.3%

Loan impairment rate (1)

21bps

(8bps)

20bps

22bps

(28bps)

 

 

 

As at

 

30 June

31 March

31 December

 

2025

2025

2024

£bn

£bn

£bn

Net loans to customers (amortised cost)

147.2

143.1

141.9

Customer deposits

197.9

196.5

194.1

Funded assets (1)

343.1

336.1

321.6

RWAs

107.8

107.3

104.7

(1) Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics.

 

During H1 2025, Commercial & Institutional continued to deliver a strong performance in income and operating profit, supporting a return on equity of 18.6%, an increase from 16.2% in H1 2024. We saw another quarter of higher demand for FX risk management against a backdrop of volatile markets, supporting income. We have supported sectors that are vital to the health and success of the UK economy, including continued support for Housing Associations, as we made strong progress on our commitment to provide £7.5 billion by the end of 2026 with £2.7 billion in H1 2025 and £6.8 billion delivered to date, and through our digital led Business Banking proposition grew gross new lending by 63% in H1 2025 compared to H1 2024. We have improved customer experience through our Bankline transformation, resulting in a significant take up of connected products.

Commercial & Institutional provided £14.6 billion of climate and sustainable funding and financing in H1 2025 to support customers investing in the transition to net zero.

 

H1 2025 performance

- Total income was £489 million, or 12.9%, higher than H1 2024 primarily reflecting strong customer activity across markets supporting higher trading income, customer lending growth and deposit margin expansion.

- Net interest margin was 23 basis points higher than H1 2024 primarily reflecting deposit margin expansion.

- Other operating expenses were £11 million, or 0.5%, lower than H1 2024 reflecting lower staff and non-staff costs.

- An impairment charge of £154 million in H1 2025, compared with a £57 million release in H1 2024 reflecting lower good book releases and higher Stage 3 charges.

- Net loans to customers increased by £5.3 billion, or 3.7%, in H1 2025 principally due to growth within Corporate & Institutions and Commercial Mid-market, partly offset by UK Government scheme repayments of £0.8 billion.

- Customer deposits increased by £3.8 billion, or 2.0%, in H1 2025 largely reflecting growth within Corporate & Institutions(1).

- RWAs increased by £3.1 billion, or 3.0%, in H1 2025 primarily driven by the annual update to operational risk, an increase in credit risk from book growth and an increase for CRD IV models, partly offset by lower market risk and continued RWA management activity.

Q2 2025 performance

- Total income was £5 million, or 0.2%, higher than Q1 2025 primarily due to currency trading income and lending growth, deposit margin expansion, as well as the impact of an additional day in the quarter, partly offset by lower debt capital markets and fixed income trading income.

- Net interest margin was 3 basis points higher than Q1 2025 primarily reflecting deposit margin expansion, partly offset by asset mix impacts.

- Other operating expenses were £32 million, or 3.2%, higher than Q1 2025 primarily reflecting the impact of FCA fees and inflationary increases in staff costs, partly offset by the non-repeat of the Q1 2025 Bank of England levy.

- An impairment charge of £76 million in Q2 2025 compared with a £78 million charge in Q1 2025 reflecting a reduction in post model adjustments, partly offset by an increase in Stage 3 charges.

- Net loans to customers increased by £4.1 billion, or 2.9%, in Q2 2025 principally due to growth within Commercial Mid-market and Corporate & Institutions, partly offset by UK Government scheme repayments of £0.4 billion.

- Customer deposits increased by £1.4 billion, or 0.7%, in Q2 2025 largely reflecting growth within Corporate & Institutions.

- RWAs increased by £0.5 billion, or 0.5%, in Q2 2025 primarily driven by book growth and an increase for CRD IV models, partly offset by lower market risk and continued RWA management activity.

 

(1) In addition, client transfers from Commercial Mid-market to Corporate & Institutions were undertaken with a value of £5.9 billion at the end of Q2 2025 with an equivalent value of £3.3 billion at Q4 2024.

 

 

Business performance summary continued

Central items & other

Half year ended

 

Quarter ended

30 June

30 June

30 June

31 March

30 June

2025

2024

2025

2025

2024

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Continuing operations

 

 

Total income

23

200

(10)

33

117

Operating expenses 

(85)

(81)

(18)

(67)

(34)

of which: Other operating expenses

(69)

(71)

 

(13)

(56)

(10)

Impairment (losses)/releases

(1)

6

-

(1)

3

Operating (loss)/profit

(63)

125

(28)

(35)

86

 

 

As at

 

 

30 June

31 March

31 December

 

2025

2025

2024

 

£bn

£bn

£bn

Net loans to customers (amortised cost)

27.0

26.9

31.8

Customer deposits

 

1.0

1.2

2.2

RWAs

 

1.4

1.6

2.0

 

H1 2025 performance

- Total income was £177 million lower than H1 2024 primarily reflecting lower gains on interest and FX risk management derivatives not in accounting hedge relationships.

- Other operating expenses were £2 million, or 2.8%, lower than H1 2024.

- Net loans to customers decreased by £4.8 billion, or 15%, in H1 2025 driven by reverse repo activity in Treasury.

- Customer deposits of £1.0 billion decreased by £1.2 billion in H1 2025 primarily reflecting repo activity in Treasury.

Q2 2025 performance

- Total income was £43 million lower than Q1 2025 primarily driven by lower Business Growth Fund profits and lower gains on interest and FX risk management derivatives not in accounting hedge relationships.

- Other operating expenses were £43 million, or 77%, lower than Q1 2025 primarily due to one-off items including an HMRC tax credit and a VAT release.

- Net loans to customers increased by £0.1 billion in Q2 2025 driven by reverse repo activity in Treasury.

 

- Customer deposits decreased by £0.2 billion in Q2 2025 reflecting repo activity in Treasury.

Segment performance

 

Half year ended 30 June 2025

 

 

Private Banking

 

 

 

Retail

& Wealth

Commercial

Central items

Total NatWest

Banking

Management (2)

& Institutional

& other

Group

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Continuing operations

Income statement 

Net interest income

2,922

363

2,955

(120)

6,120

Own credit adjustments

-

-

3

-

3

Other non-interest income

212

176

1,331

143

1,862

Total income 

3,134

539

4,289

23

7,985

Direct expenses

(396)

(122)

(782)

(2,600)

(3,900)

Indirect expenses

(1,015)

(236)

(1,280)

2,531

-

Other operating expenses

(1,411)

(358)

(2,062)

(69)

(3,900)

Litigation and conduct costs

(12)

(1)

(89)

(16)

(118)

Operating expenses

(1,423)

(359)

(2,151)

(85)

(4,018)

Operating profit/(loss) before impairment losses

1,711

180

2,138

(62)

3,967

Impairment losses

(226)

(1)

(154)

(1)

(382)

Operating profit/(loss)

1,485

179

1,984

(63)

3,585

 

 

 

 

 

Income excluding notable items (1)

3,134

539

4,286

3

7,962

 

 

 

 

 

Additional information

 

Return on Tangible Equity (1)

na

na

na

na

18.1%

Return on equity (1)

23.8%

19.8%

18.6%

nm

na

Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) (1)

45.0%

66.4%

48.1%

nm

48.8%

Total assets (£bn)

238.6

29.1

414.9

48.2

730.8

Funded assets (£bn) (1)

238.6

29.1

343.1

47.0

657.8

Net loans to customers - amortised cost (£bn)

214.3

18.6

147.2

27.0

407.1

Loan impairment rate (1)

21bps

1bp

21bps

nm

19bps

Impairment provisions (£bn)

(1.9)

(0.1)

(1.7)

-

(3.7)

Impairment provisions - Stage 3 (£bn)

(1.1)

-

(1.1)

-

(2.2)

Customer deposits (£bn)

196.6

41.3

197.9

1.0

436.8

Risk-weighted assets (RWAs) (£bn)

69.4

11.5

107.8

1.4

190.1

RWA equivalent (RWAe) (£bn)

70.0

11.5

108.8

2.0

192.3

Employee numbers (FTEs - thousands)

11.8

2.1

12.8

32.5

59.2

Third party customer asset rate (1)

4.31%

4.78%

6.12%

nm

nm

Third party customer funding rate (1)

(1.83%)

(2.82%)

(1.65%)

nm

nm

Average interest earning assets (£bn) (1)

228.2

28.4

255.4

na

542.4

Net interest margin (1)

2.58%

2.57%

2.33%

na

2.28%

nm = not meaningful, na = not applicable.

(1) Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics.

(2) Effective from Q2 2025, the reportable segment Private Banking was renamed Private Banking & Wealth Management. This does not change the financial results of Private Banking & Wealth Management or the consolidated financial results of NatWest Group.

 

Segment performance continued

 

Half year ended 30 June 2024

Private Banking

Retail

& Wealth

Commercial

Central items

Total NatWest

Banking

Management (2)

& Institutional

& other

Group

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Continuing operations

Income statement 

Net interest income

2,475

285

2,543

105

5,408

Own credit adjustments

-

-

(7)

-

(7)

Other non-interest income

215

159

1,264

95

1,733

Total income 

2,690

444

3,800

200

7,134

Direct expenses

(381)

(126)

(764)

(2,685)

(3,956)

Indirect expenses

(1,076)

(229)

(1,309)

2,614

-

Other operating expenses

(1,457)

(355)

(2,073)

(71)

(3,956)

Litigation and conduct costs

(13)

(1)

(77)

(10)

(101)

Operating expenses

(1,470)

(356)

(2,150)

(81)

(4,057)

Operating profit before impairment losses/releases 

1,220

88

1,650

119

3,077

Impairment (losses)/releases

(122)

11

57

6

(48)

Operating profit

1,098

99

1,707

125

3,029

Income excluding notable items (1)

2,690

444

3,807

63

7,004

Additional information

Return on Tangible Equity (1)

na

na

na

na

16.4%

Return on equity (1)

18.4%

10.5%

16.2%

nm

na

Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) (1)

54.2%

80.0%

54.6%

nm

55.5%

Total assets (£bn)

226.5

27.2

381.9

54.7

690.3

Funded assets (£bn) (1)

226.5

27.2

315.5

53.6

622.8

Net loans to customers - amortised cost (£bn)

203.3

18.1

133.9

24.0

379.3

Loan impairment rate (1)

12bps

(12bps)

(8bps)

nm

3bps

Impairment provisions (£bn)

(1.7)

(0.1)

(1.5)

-

(3.3)

Impairment provisions - Stage 3 (£bn)

(1.0)

-

(0.9)

(0.1)

(2.0)

Customer deposits (£bn)

191.5

39.5

194.2

7.8

433.0

Risk-weighted assets (RWAs) (£bn)

62.3

11.0

104.9

2.6

180.8

RWA equivalent (RWAe) (£bn)

63.1

11.0

106.7

3.1

183.9

Employee numbers (FTEs - thousands)

12.6

2.2

12.8

33.0

60.6

Third party customer asset rate (1)

3.88%

4.99%

6.77%

nm

nm

Third party customer funding rate (1)

(2.08%)

(3.14%)

(1.93%)

nm

nm

Average interest earning assets (£bn) (1)

220.1

26.3

244.0

na

524.4

Net interest margin (1)

2.26%

2.18%

2.10%

na

2.07%

nm = not meaningful, na = not applicable.

(1) Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics.

(2) Effective from Q2 2025, the reportable segment Private Banking was renamed Private Banking & Wealth Management. This does not change the financial results of Private Banking & Wealth Management or the consolidated financial results of NatWest Group.

Segment performance continued

 

Quarter ended 30 June 2025

 

 

Private Banking

 

 

 

Retail

& Wealth

Commercial

Central items

Total NatWest

Banking

Management (2)

& Institutional

& other

Group

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Continuing operations

 

 

 

 

 

Income statement 

Net interest income

1,484

182

1,496

(68)

3,094

Own credit adjustments

-

-

(3)

-

(3)

Other non-interest income

110

92

654

58

914

Total income 

1,594

274

2,147

(10)

4,005

Direct expenses

(230)

(63)

(403)

(1,269)

(1,965)

Indirect expenses

(504)

(108)

(644)

1,256

-

Other operating expenses

(734)

(171)

(1,047)

(13)

(1,965)

Litigation and conduct costs

(8)

(1)

(60)

(5)

(74)

Operating expenses

(742)

(172)

(1,107)

(18)

(2,039)

Operating profit/(loss) before impairment losses

852

102

1,040

(28)

1,966

Impairment losses

(117)

-

(76)

-

(193)

Operating profit/(loss)

735

102

964

(28)

1,773

 

 

 

 

 

Income excluding notable items (1)

1,594

274

2,150

(8)

4,010

 

 

 

 

 

Additional information

 

Return on Tangible Equity (1)

na

na

na

na

17.7%

Return on equity (1)

23.2%

22.5%

17.9%

nm

na

Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) (1)

46.0%

62.4%

48.8%

nm

49.1%

Total assets (£bn)

238.6

29.1

414.9

48.2

730.8

Funded assets (£bn) (1)

238.6

29.1

343.1

47.0

657.8

Net loans to customers - amortised cost (£bn)

214.3

18.6

147.2

27.0

407.1

Loan impairment rate (1)

22bps

-

20bps

nm

19bps

Impairment provisions (£bn)

(1.9)

(0.1)

(1.7)

-

(3.7)

Impairment provisions - Stage 3 (£bn)

(1.1)

-

(1.1)

-

(2.2)

Customer deposits (£bn)

196.6

41.3

197.9

1.0

436.8

Risk-weighted assets (RWAs) (£bn)

69.4

11.5

107.8

1.4

190.1

RWA equivalent (RWAe) (£bn)

70.0

11.5

108.8

2.0

192.3

Employee numbers (FTEs - thousands)

11.8

2.1

12.8

32.5

59.2

Third party customer asset rate (1)

4.32%

4.74%

6.00%

nm

nm

Third party customer funding rate (1)

(1.79%)

(2.74%)

(1.60%)

nm

nm

Average interest earning assets (£bn) (1)

230.0

28.5

255.6

na

543.2

Net interest margin (1)

2.59%

2.56%

2.35%

na

2.28%

nm = not meaningful, na = not applicable.

(1) Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics.

 

(2) Effective from Q2 2025, the reportable segment Private Banking was renamed Private Banking & Wealth Management. This does not change the financial results of Private Banking & Wealth Management or the consolidated financial results of NatWest Group.

Segment performance continued

 

Quarter ended 31 March 2025

 

Private Banking

Retail

& Wealth

Commercial

Central items

Total NatWest

Banking

Management (2)

& Institutional

& other

Group

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Continuing operations

Income statement 

Net interest income

1,438

181

1,459

(52)

3,026

Own credit adjustments

-

-

6

-

6

Other non-interest income

102

84

677

85

948

Total income 

1,540

265

2,142

33

3,980

Direct expenses

(166)

(59)

(379)

(1,331)

(1,935)

Indirect expenses

(511)

(128)

(636)

1,275

-

Other operating expenses

(677)

(187)

(1,015)

(56)

(1,935)

Litigation and conduct costs

(4)

-

(29)

(11)

(44)

Operating expenses

(681)

(187)

(1,044)

(67)

(1,979)

Operating profit/(loss) before impairment losses

859

78

1,098

(34)

2,001

Impairment losses

(109)

(1)

(78)

(1)

(189)

Operating profit/(loss)

750

77

1,020

(35)

1,812

Income excluding notable items (1)

1,540

265

2,136

11

3,952

Additional information

Return on Tangible Equity (1)

na

na

na

na

18.5%

Return on equity (1)

24.5%

17.1%

19.3%

nm

na

Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) (1)

44.0%

70.6%

47.4%

nm

48.6%

Total assets (£bn)

234.3

28.9

397.9

48.9

710.0

Funded assets (£bn) (1)

234.3

28.9

336.1

47.9

647.2

Net loans to customers - amortised cost (£bn)

210.4

18.4

143.1

26.9

398.8

Loan impairment rate (1)

21bps

2bps

22bps

nm

19bps

Impairment provisions (£bn)

(1.9)

(0.1)

(1.5)

-

(3.5)

Impairment provisions - Stage 3 (£bn)

(1.1)

-

(1.0)

-

(2.1)

Customer deposits (£bn)

195.7

41.2

196.5

1.2

434.6

Risk-weighted assets (RWAs) (£bn)

66.8

11.3

107.3

1.6

187.0

RWA equivalent (RWAe) (£bn)

67.6

11.3

108.5

2.1

189.5

Employee numbers (FTEs - thousands)

11.9

2.2

12.8

32.5

59.4

Third party customer asset rate (1)

4.29%

4.83%

6.24%

nm

nm

Third party customer funding rate (1)

(1.87%)

(2.90%)

(1.71%)

nm

nm

Average interest earning assets (£bn) (1)

226.5

28.4

255.2

na

541.6

Net interest margin (1)

2.58%

2.59%

2.32%

na

2.27%

nm = not meaningful, na = not applicable.

(1) Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics.

(2) Effective from Q2 2025, the reportable segment Private Banking was renamed Private Banking & Wealth Management. This does not change the financial results of Private Banking & Wealth Management or the consolidated financial results of NatWest Group.

 

Segment performance continued

 

Quarter ended 30 June 2024

 

Private Banking

Retail

& Wealth

Commercial

Central items

Total NatWest

Banking

Management (2)

& Institutional

& other

Group

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Continuing operations

Income statement 

Net interest income

1,259

151

1,297

50

2,757

Own credit adjustments

-

-

(2)

-

(2)

Other non-interest income

106

85

646

67

904

Total income 

1,365

236

1,941

117

3,659

Direct expenses

(192)

(65)

(380)

(1,291)

(1,928)

Indirect expenses

(498)

(110)

(673)

1,281

-

Other operating expenses

(690)

(175)

(1,053)

(10)

(1,928)

Litigation and conduct costs

(7)

-

(46)

(24)

(77)

Operating expenses

(697)

(175)

(1,099)

(34)

(2,005)

Operating profit before impairment losses/releases 

668

61

842

83

1,654

Impairment (losses)/releases

(59)

5

96

3

45

Operating profit

609

66

938

86

1,699

Income excluding notable items (1)

1,365

236

1,943

46

3,590

Additional information

Return on Tangible Equity (1)

na

na

na

na

18.5%

Return on equity (1)

20.3%

14.4%

17.8%

nm

na

Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) (1)

50.5%

74.2%

54.3%

nm

52.7%

Total assets (£bn)

226.5

27.2

381.9

54.7

690.3

Funded assets (£bn) (1)

226.5

27.2

315.5

53.6

622.8

Net loans to customers - amortised cost (£bn)

203.3

18.1

133.9

24.0

379.3

Loan impairment rate (1)

12bps

(11bps)

(28bps)

nm

(5bps)

Impairment provisions (£bn)

(1.7)

(0.1)

(1.5)

-

(3.3)

Impairment provisions - Stage 3 (£bn)

(1.0)

-

(0.9)

(0.1)

(2.0)

Customer deposits (£bn)

191.5

39.5

194.2

7.8

433.0

Risk-weighted assets (RWAs) (£bn)

62.3

11.0

104.9

2.6

180.8

RWA equivalent (RWAe) (£bn)

63.1

11.0

106.7

3.1

183.9

Employee numbers (FTEs - thousands)

12.6

2.2

12.8

33.0

60.6

Third party customer asset rate (1)

3.97%

5.01%

6.73%

nm

nm

Third party customer funding rate (1)

(2.10%)

(3.15%)

(1.93%)

nm

nm

Average interest earning assets (£bn) (1)

219.6

26.5

246.0

na

527.6

Net interest margin (1)

2.31%

2.30%

2.12%

na

2.10%

nm - not meaningful, na - not applicable

(1) Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics.

(2) Effective from Q2 2025, the reportable segment Private Banking was renamed Private Banking & Wealth Management. This does not change the financial results of Private Banking & Wealth Management or the consolidated financial results of NatWest Group.

Risk and capital management

Certain disclosures in the Risk and capital management section are within the scope of EY's review report and are marked as 'reviewed' in the section header.

Credit risk

Credit risk is the risk that customers, counterparties or issuers fail to meet a contractual obligation to settle outstanding amounts.

Economic loss drivers (reviewed)

Introduction

The portfolio segmentation and selection of economic loss drivers for IFRS 9 follows the approach used in stress testing. The stress models for each portfolio segment (defined by product or asset class and where relevant, industry sector and region) are based on a selected, small number of economic variables that best explain the movements in portfolio loss rates. The process to select economic loss drivers involves empirical analysis and expert judgement.

The most significant economic loss drivers for material portfolios are shown in the table below:

Portfolio

Economic loss drivers

Personal mortgages

Unemployment rate, sterling swap rate, house price index, real wage

Personal unsecured

Unemployment rate, sterling swap rate, real wage

Corporates

Stock price index, gross domestic product (GDP)

Commercial real estate

Stock price index, commercial property price index, GDP

 

Economic scenarios

At 30 June 2025, the range of anticipated future economic conditions was defined by a set of four internally developed scenarios and their respective probabilities. In addition to the base case, they comprised upside, downside and extreme downside scenarios.

For 30 June 2025, the four scenarios were deemed appropriate in capturing the uncertainty in economic forecasts and the non-linearity in outcomes under different scenarios. These four scenarios were developed to provide sufficient coverage to current risks faced by the economy and consider varying outcomes across the labour market, inflation, interest rate, asset price and economic growth, around which there remains pronounced levels of uncertainty.

Since 31 December 2024, the near-term economic growth outlook has weakened. This was mainly due to the weaker economic performance in the second half of 2024 and the drag from international trade policy related uncertainty. Inflation has risen, with underlying price pressure remaining firm, particularly on services inflation. As a result, inflation is assumed to remain a little higher than 3% through most of 2025, taking longer to fall back to the target level of 2%. The labour market has continued to cool. The unemployment rate peak is now assumed to be modestly higher than at 31 December 2024, but it is still expected to remain low. The Bank of England is expected to continue cutting interest rates in a 'gradual and careful' manner with an assumed terminal rate in the base case of 3.5%. The housing market continues to show signs of resilience, with prices still expected to grow modestly.

 

High level narrative - potential developments, vulnerabilities and risks

 

 

 

 

Growth

Outperformance sustained - the economy continues to grow at a robust pace

Upside

Steady growth - staying close to trend pace but with some near-term slowdown

Base case

Stalling - lagged effect of higher inflation and cautious consumer amidst global trade policy and geopolitical uncertainty stalls the rebound

Downside

Extreme stress - extreme fall in GDP, with policy support to facilitate sharp recovery

Extreme downside

 

 

 

 

Inflation

Sticky - strong growth and/or wage policies and/or interest rate cuts keep services inflation well above target

Upside

Battle won - Beyond near-term volatility, downward drift in services inflation continues, ensuring 2% target is met on a sustained basis

Base case

Structural factors - sustained bouts of energy, food and goods price inflation on geopolitics/deglobalisation

Downside

Close to deflation - inflationary pressures diminish amidst pronounced weakness in demand

Extreme downside

 

 

 

Labour market

Tighter, still - job growth rebounds strongly, pushing unemployment back down to 3.5%

Upside

Cooling continues - gradual loosening prompts a gentle rise in unemployment (but remains low), job growth recovers

Base case

Job shedding - prolonged weakness in economy prompts redundancies, reduced hours, building slack

Downside

Depression - unemployment hits levels close to previous peaks amid severe stress

Extreme downside

 

 

Rates

short-term

Limited cuts - higher growth and inflation keeps the Monetary Policy Committee cautious

Upside

Steady - approximately one cut per quarter

Base case

Mid-cycle quickening - sharp declines through 2025 to support recovery

Downside

Sharp drop - drastic easing in policy to support a sharp deterioration in the economy

Extreme downside

 

Above consensus - 4%

Upside

Rates long-term

Middle - 3.5%

Base case

Close to 2010s - 1-2%/2.5%

Downside/Extreme downside

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk continued

Economic loss drivers (reviewed)

Main macroeconomic variables

The main macroeconomic variables for each of the four scenarios used for expected credit loss (ECL) modelling are set out in the table below.

30 June 2025

 

31 December 2024

Extreme

Weighted

 

Extreme

Weighted

Upside

Base case

Downside

downside

average

 

Upside

Base case

Downside

downside

average

Five-year summary

%

%

%

%

%

 

%

%

%

%

%

GDP

2.1

1.3

0.6

(0.1)

1.2

2.0

1.3

0.5

(0.2)

1.1

Unemployment rate

3.8

4.6

5.4

7.1

4.9

 

3.6

4.3

5.0

6.7

4.6

House price index

5.7

3.4

0.5

(4.3)

2.5

 

5.8

3.5

0.8

(4.3)

2.7

Commercial real estate price

6.1

2.0

(0.3)

(4.8)

1.8

 

5.4

1.2

(1.0)

(5.7)

1.1

Consumer price index

2.4

2.2

3.7

1.7

2.5

 

2.4

2.2

3.5

1.6

2.4

Bank of England base rate

4.1

3.6

2.5

1.2

3.2

 

4.4

4.0

3.0

1.6

3.6

Stock price index

5.2

3.8

2.6

0.7

3.5

 

6.3

5.0

3.4

1.1

4.5

World GDP

3.7

3.0

2.3

1.4

2.8

 

3.8

3.2

2.5

1.6

3.0

Probability weight

21.7

45.0

20.7

12.6

 

23.2

45.0

19.1

12.7

 

(1) The five-year summary runs from 2025-2029 for 30 June 2025 and from 2024-2028 for 31 December 2024.

(2) The table shows compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for GDP, average levels for the unemployment rate and Bank of England base rate and Q4 to Q4 CAGR for other parameters.

 

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk continued

Economic loss drivers (reviewed)

Climate transition

Since 2023, NatWest Group explicitly includes assumptions about the changes in transition policy, expressed as an additional implicit sectoral carbon price, in the base case macroeconomic scenario. At 30 June 2025, this resulted in climate transition policy contributing £9 million to the total ECL, comparable with a contribution of £8 million at the end of 2024.

In 2025, NatWest Group has individually assessed 50 active and potential transition policies that have a significant impact on the cost of emissions and converted them into equivalent sectoral carbon prices, calculated as the cost per tonne of the emissions abated, as a result of each policy. This approach enables NatWest Group to estimate an aggregate macroeconomic impact of the transition policies, and as a result, ECL contribution.

NatWest Group and its customers have a dependency on timely and appropriate government policies to provide the necessary impetus for technology development and customer behaviour changes, to enable the UK's successful transition to net zero. Policy delays and the risks outlined in the UK CCC annual Progress Reports, if not adequately addressed in a timely manner, put at risk the UK's net zero transition and in turn, that of NatWest Group and its customers.

Probability weightings of scenarios

NatWest Group's quantitative approach to IFRS 9 multiple economic scenarios involves selecting a suitable set of discrete scenarios to characterise the distribution of risks in the economic outlook and assigning appropriate probability weights. This quantitative approach is used for 30 June 2025.

The approach involves comparing GDP paths for NatWest Group's scenarios against a set of 1,000 model runs, following which, a percentile in the distribution is established that most closely corresponded to the scenario. The probability weight for base case is set first based on judgement, while probability weights for the alternate scenarios are assigned based on these percentiles scores.

The weights were broadly comparable to those used at 31 December 2024 but with slightly more downside skew. The assigned probability weights were judged to be aligned with the subjective assessment of balance of the risks in the economy as global trade policy uncertainty increased, and geopolitical risks remained elevated. US trade policy remains a key area of uncertainty for the economy. NatWest Group is comfortable that the adjustments made to the base case view reflect much of the adverse economic impacts from tariffs, while the downside scenarios give good coverage to the potential for more significant economic damage, including higher inflation and downturns in business investment and consumer spending. Given the balance of risks that the economy is exposed to, NatWest Group judges it appropriate that downside-biased scenarios have higher combined probability weights than the upside-biased scenario. It presents good coverage to the range of outcomes assumed in the scenarios, including the potential for a robust recovery on the upside and exceptionally challenging outcomes on the downside. A 21.7% weighting was applied to the upside scenario, a 45.0% weighting applied to the base case scenario, a 20.7% weighting applied to the downside scenario and a 12.6% weighting applied to the extreme downside scenario.

 

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk continued

Economic loss drivers (reviewed)

Annual figures

 

 

 

 

Extreme

Weighted

Upside

Base case

Downside

downside

average

GDP - annual growth

%

%

%

%

%

2025

1.4

1.1

1.0

(0.8)

0.9

2026

2.9

1.1

(0.2)

(3.6)

0.6

2027

2.9

1.5

(0.4)

1.3

1.4

2028

1.8

1.4

0.9

1.4

1.4

2029

1.6

1.4

1.6

1.4

1.5

2030

1.5

1.4

1.5

1.4

1.4

Unemployment rate

 - annual average

 

 

 

 

 

2025

4.5

4.6

4.7

4.8

4.6

2026

3.7

4.7

5.4

7.0

4.9

2027

3.5

4.6

5.8

8.4

5.1

2028

3.5

4.5

5.6

7.9

4.9

2029

3.6

4.5

5.3

7.3

4.8

2030

3.6

4.4

5.1

6.7

4.7

House price index

 - four quarter change 

 

 

 

 

 

2025

4.1

3.5

(0.3)

(2.6)

2.1

2026

7.9

3.4

(2.2)

(11.9)

1.4

2027

5.8

3.4

(2.7)

(15.9)

0.8

2028

5.2

3.4

3.6

4.2

4.0

2029

5.6

3.4

4.3

6.5

4.4

2030

5.5

3.4

4.2

6.2

4.3

Commercial real estate price

 - four quarter change 

 

 

 

 

 

2025

10.6

2.3

(2.0)

(10.5)

1.6

2026

6.3

2.3

(6.5)

(24.8)

(1.5)

2027

5.7

2.6

2.2

4.1

3.4

2028

4.7

1.5

2.6

5.8

2.9

2029

3.3

1.6

2.5

5.5

2.6

2030

3.0

1.4

2.5

5.3

2.4

 

 

 

Extreme

Weighted

Consumer price index

Upside

Base case

Downside

downside

average

 - four quarter change

%

%

%

%

%

2025

3.2

2.9

4.2

2.4

3.2

2026

2.7

2.2

5.8

0.7

2.9

2027

2.3

2.0

3.0

1.6

2.2

2028

2.0

2.0

2.8

2.0

2.2

2029

2.0

2.0

2.5

2.0

2.1

2030

2.0

2.0

2.5

2.0

2.1

Bank of England base rate

 - annual average

 

 

 

 

 

2025

4.32

4.21

4.07

3.58

4.12

2026

4.00

3.52

2.25

0.11

2.93

2027

4.00

3.50

2.00

0.30

2.89

2028

4.00

3.50

2.00

0.64

2.94

2029

4.00

3.50

2.00

1.47

3.04

2030

4.00

3.50

2.44

2.03

3.20

Stock price index

 - four quarter change

 

 

 

 

 

2025

9.7

6.1

(3.1)

(19.3)

1.8

2026

5.7

3.3

(0.9)

(9.5)

1.7

2027

4.0

3.3

5.8

14.0

4.9

2028

3.5

3.3

5.8

12.3

4.7

2029

3.1

3.3

5.8

11.0

4.5

2030

3.3

3.3

5.8

10.1

4.5

 

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk continued

Economic loss drivers (reviewed)

Worst points

 

 

Extreme

 

Weighted

Downside

 

downside

 

average

30 June 2025

%

Quarter

%

Quarter

%

GDP

-

Q2 2027

(4.8)

Q2 2026

-

Unemployment rate - peak

5.8

Q2 2027

8.5

Q3 2027

5.1

House price index

(5.0)

Q4 2027

(28.0)

Q1 2028

-

Commercial real estate price

(8.4)

Q4 2026

(33.5)

Q1 2027

-

Consumer price index

 

 

 

 

 

- highest four quarter change

6.1

Q3 2026

3.2

Q2 2025

3.3

Bank of England base rate

 

 

 

 

 

- extreme level

2.0

Q1 2025

0.1

Q1 2025

2.9

Stock price index

(6.6)

Q2 2026

(32.1)

Q2 2026

-

 

31 December 2024

GDP

-

Q1 2024

(4.1)

Q4 2025

-

Unemployment rate - peak

5.6

Q4 2026

8.5

Q1 2027

4.9

House price index

(1.9)

Q2 2027

(25.6)

Q3 2027

-

Commercial real estate price

(10.5)

Q2 2026

(35.0)

Q3 2026

(1.8)

Consumer price index

- highest four quarter change

6.1

Q1 2026

3.5

Q1 2024

3.5

Bank of England base rate

- extreme level

2.0

Q1 2024

0.1

Q1 2024

2.9

Stock price index

(0.2)

Q4 2025

(27.4)

Q4 2025

-

 

(1) The figures show falls relative to the starting period for GDP, house price index, commercial real estate price and stock price index. For unemployment rate, it shows highest value through the scenario horizon. For consumer price index, it shows highest annual percentage change. For Bank of England base rate, it shows highest or lowest value through the horizon. The calculations are performed over five years, with a starting point of Q4 2024 for 30 June 2025 scenarios and Q4 2023 for 31 December 2024 scenarios.

 

Governance and post model adjustments (reviewed)

The IFRS 9 PD, EAD and LGD models are subject to NatWest Group's model risk policy that stipulates periodic model monitoring, periodic re-validation and defines approval procedures and authorities according to model materiality. Various post model adjustments were applied where management judged they were necessary to ensure an adequate level of overall ECL provision. All post model adjustments were subject to review, challenge and approval through model or provisioning committees.

Post model adjustments will remain a key focus area of NatWest Group's ongoing ECL adequacy assessment process. A holistic framework has been established including reviewing a range of economic data, external benchmark information and portfolio performance trends with a particular focus on segments of the portfolio (both Personal and Non-Personal) that are likely to be more susceptible to high inflation, high interest rates and supply chain disruption.

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk continued

Governance and post model adjustments (reviewed)

ECL post model adjustments

The table below shows ECL post model adjustments.

Retail Banking

Private Banking & 

Commercial &

 

Mortgages

Other

Wealth Management

Institutional

Total

30 June 2025

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Deferred model calibrations

-

-

1

16

17

Economic uncertainty

55

30

7

142

234

Other adjustments

-

-

-

18

18

Total

55

30

8

176

269

Of which:

 

 

 

 

 

 Stage 1

40

12

4

76

132

 Stage 2

15

18

4

100

137

 Stage 3

-

-

-

-

-

 

31 December 2024

 

 

 

 

 

Deferred model calibrations

-

-

1

18

19

Economic uncertainty

90

22

8

179

299

Other adjustments

-

-

-

18

18

Total

90

22

9

215

336

Of which:

 Stage 1

58

9

5

94

166

 Stage 2

26

13

4

119

162

 Stage 3

6

-

-

2

8

 

Post model adjustments reduced since 31 December 2024, reflecting updates to post model adjustment parameters.

- Retail Banking - As at 30 June 2025, the post model adjustments for economic uncertainty decreased to £85 million (31 December 2024 - £112 million). This reduction primarily reflected a revision to the cost of living post model adjustment, which reduced to £85 million (31 December 2024 - £105 million). This change was based on an updated review of back-testing default outcomes for higher-risk segments, consistent with the reduction in rate shock risk in the mortgage portfolio. Despite ongoing economic and geopolitical uncertainty, the Retail Banking portfolios demonstrated resilience, supported by a robust risk appetite. The cost of living post model adjustment continued to address the risk in segments of the Retail Banking portfolio that were more susceptible to affordability challenges. It focused on key affordability factors, including lower-income customers in fuel poverty, over-indebted borrowers, and customers vulnerable to higher mortgage rates.

 

 

- Commercial & Institutional - As at 30 June 2025, the post model adjustment for economic uncertainty decreased to £142 million (31 December 2024 - £179 million). The inflation, supply chain and liquidity post model adjustment of £122 million (31 December 2024 - £150 million) for lending prior to 1 January 2024, remained the largest component of this adjustment. Downgrades to risk profiles were applied to the sectors that were considered most at risk from the current economic and geopolitical headwinds. The £27 million decrease reflected improved risk metrics along with reduced exposure in the portfolio subject to the adjustment.

 

-

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk continued

Measurement uncertainty and ECL sensitivity analysis (reviewed)

The recognition and measurement of ECL is complex and involves the use of significant judgement and estimation, particularly in times of economic volatility and uncertainty. This includes the formulation and incorporation of multiple forward-looking economic conditions into ECL to meet the measurement objective of IFRS 9. The ECL provision is sensitive to the model inputs and economic assumptions underlying the estimate.

The impact arising from the base case, upside, downside and extreme downside scenarios was simulated.

In the simulations, NatWest Group has assumed that the economic macro variables associated with these scenarios replace the existing base case economic assumptions, giving them a 100% probability weighting and therefore serving as a single economic scenario.

These scenarios were applied to all modelled portfolios in the analysis below, with the simulation impacting both PDs and LGDs. Post model adjustments included in the ECL estimates that were modelled were sensitised in line with the modelled ECL movements, but those that were judgemental in nature, primarily those for deferred model calibrations and economic uncertainty, were not (refer to the Governance and post model adjustments section) on the basis these would be re-evaluated by management through ECL governance for any new economic scenario outlook and not be subject to an automated calculation. As expected, the scenarios create differing impacts on ECL by portfolio and the impacts are deemed reasonable.

In this simulation, it is assumed that existing modelled relationships between key economic variables and loss drivers hold, but in practice other factors would also have an impact, for example, potential customer behaviour changes and policy changes by lenders that might impact on the wider availability of credit.

The focus of the simulations is on ECL provisioning requirements on performing exposures in Stage 1 and Stage 2. The simulations are run on a stand-alone basis and are independent of each other; the potential ECL impacts reflect the simulated impact at 30 June 2025.

Scenario impacts on significant increase in credit risk (SICR) should be considered when evaluating the ECL movements of Stage 1 and Stage 2. In all scenarios the total exposure was the same but exposure by stage varied in each scenario.

Stage 3 provisions are not subject to the same level of measurement uncertainty - default is an observed event as at the balance sheet date. Stage 3 provisions therefore were not considered in this analysis.

NatWest Group's core criterion to identify a SICR is founded on PD deterioration. Under the simulations, PDs change and result in exposures moving between Stage 1 and Stage 2 contributing to the ECL impact.

 

 

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk continued

Measurement uncertainty and ECL sensitivity analysis (reviewed)

 

 

 

Moderate

Moderate

Extreme

 

 

Base

upside

 downside

downside

30 June 2025

Actual

scenario

scenario

scenario

scenario

Stage 1 modelled loans (£m)

Retail Banking - mortgages

171,904

173,172

175,663

170,228

159,515

Retail Banking - unsecured

10,677

10,796

11,132

10,502

9,508

Non-Personal - property

29,450

29,539

29,587

29,444

27,053

Non-Personal - non-property

138,575

138,975

139,344

138,554

121,078

350,606

352,482

355,726

348,728

317,154

Stage 1 modelled ECL (£m)

 

 

 

 

 

Retail Banking - mortgages

50

50

50

48

41

Retail Banking - unsecured

227

231

224

227

210

Non-Personal - property

76

61

52

78

169

Non-Personal - non-property

192

170

160

195

311

545

512

486

548

731

Stage 1 coverage

 

 

 

 

 

Retail Banking - mortgages

0.03%

0.03%

0.03%

0.03%

0.03%

Retail Banking - unsecured

2.13%

2.14%

2.01%

2.16%

2.21%

Non-Personal - property

0.26%

0.21%

0.18%

0.26%

0.62%

Non-Personal - non-property

0.14%

0.12%

0.11%

0.14%

0.26%

0.16%

0.15%

0.14%

0.16%

0.23%

Stage 2 modelled loans (£m)

 

 

 

 

 

Retail Banking - mortgages

21,320

20,052

17,561

22,996

33,709

Retail Banking - unsecured

3,381

3,262

2,926

3,556

4,550

Non-Personal - property

3,206

3,117

3,069

3,212

5,603

Non-Personal - non-property

12,199

11,799

11,430

12,220

29,696

40,106

38,230

34,986

41,984

73,558

Stage 2 modelled ECL (£m)

 

 

 

 

 

Retail Banking - mortgages

51

46

38

57

99

Retail Banking - unsecured

374

358

310

398

530

Non-Personal - property

59

51

46

60

131

Non-Personal - non-property

246

223

199

251

519

730

678

593

766

1,279

Stage 2 coverage

 

 

 

 

 

Retail Banking - mortgages

0.24%

0.23%

0.22%

0.25%

0.29%

Retail Banking - unsecured

11.06%

10.97%

10.59%

11.19%

11.65%

Non-Personal - property

1.84%

1.64%

1.50%

1.87%

2.34%

Non-Personal - non-property

2.02%

1.89%

1.74%

2.05%

1.75%

1.82%

1.77%

1.69%

1.82%

1.74%

Stage 1 and Stage 2 modelled loans (£m)

 

 

 

 

 

Retail Banking - mortgages

193,224

193,224

193,224

193,224

193,224

Retail Banking - unsecured

14,058

14,058

14,058

14,058

14,058

Non-Personal - property

32,656

32,656

32,656

32,656

32,656

Non-Personal - non-property

150,774

150,774

150,774

150,774

150,774

390,712

390,712

390,712

390,712

390,712

 

 

 

Moderate

Moderate

Extreme

 

 

Base

upside

 downside

downside

30 June 2025

Actual

scenario

scenario

scenario

scenario

Stage 1 and Stage 2 modelled ECL (£m)

 

 

 

 

 

Retail Banking - mortgages

101

96

88

105

140

Retail Banking - unsecured

601

589

534

625

740

Non-Personal - property

135

112

98

138

300

Non-Personal - non-property

438

393

359

446

830

 

1,275

1,190

1,079

1,314

2,010

Stage 1 and Stage 2 coverage

 

 

 

 

 

Retail Banking - mortgages

0.05%

0.05%

0.05%

0.05%

0.07%

Retail Banking - unsecured

4.28%

4.19%

3.80%

4.45%

5.26%

Non-Personal - property

0.41%

0.34%

0.30%

0.42%

0.92%

Non-Personal - non-property

0.29%

0.26%

0.24%

0.30%

0.55%

0.33%

0.30%

0.28%

0.34%

0.51%

Reconciliation to Stage 1 and 

 

 

 

 

 

Stage 2 ECL (£m)

 

 

 

 

 

ECL on modelled exposures

1,275

1,190

1,079

1,314

2,010

ECL on non-modelled exposures

114

115

115

115

115

Total Stage 1 and Stage 2 ECL (£m)

1,389

1,305

1,194

1,429

2,125

Variance to actual total Stage 1 and

 

 

 

 

 

Stage 2 ECL (£m)

-

(84)

(195)

40

736

Reconciliation to Stage 1 and 

 

 

 

 

 

Stage 2 flow exposures (£m)

 

 

 

 

 

Modelled loans

390,712

390,712

390,712

390,712

390,712

Non-modelled loans

23,392

23,392

23,392

23,392

23,392

Other asset classes

154,647

154,647

154,647

154,647

154,647

 

(1) Variations in future undrawn exposure values across the scenarios are modelled. However, the exposure position reported is that used to calculate modelled ECL as at 30 June 2025 and therefore does not include variation in future undrawn exposure values.

(2) Reflects ECL for all modelled exposure in scope for IFRS 9. The analysis excludes non-modelled portfolios and exposure relating to bonds and cash.

(3) All simulations were run on a stand-alone basis and are independent of each other, with the potential ECL impact reflecting the simulated impact as at 30 June 2025. The simulations change the composition of Stage 1 and Stage 2 exposure but total exposure was unchanged under each scenario as the loan population was static.

(4) Refer to the Economic loss drivers section for details of economic scenarios.

(5) Refer to the NatWest Group 2024 Annual Report and Accounts for 31 December 2024 comparatives.

 

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk continued

Measurement uncertainty and ECL adequacy (reviewed)

- If the economics were as negative as observed in the extreme downside (i.e. 100% probability weighting), total Stage 1 and Stage 2 ECL was simulated to increase by £0.7 billion (approximately 53%). In this scenario, Stage 2 exposure increased significantly and was the key driver of the simulated ECL rise. The movement in Stage 2 balances in the other simulations was less significant.

- In the Non-Personal portfolio, there was a significant increase in ECL under the extreme downside scenario. The Non-Personal property ECL increase was mainly due to commercial real estate prices which showed negative growth until 2026 and significant deterioration in the stock index. The non-property increase was mainly due to GDP contraction and significant deterioration in the stock index.

- Given the continued economic uncertainty, NatWest Group utilised a framework of quantitative and qualitative measures to support the levels of ECL coverage. This included economic data, credit performance insights and problem debt trends. This was particularly important for consideration of post model adjustments.

- As the effects of these economic risks evolve, there is a risk of further credit deterioration. However, the income statement effect of this should be mitigated by the forward-looking provisions retained on the balance sheet at 30 June 2025.

- There are a number of key factors that could drive further downside to impairments, through deteriorating economic and credit metrics and increased stage migration as credit risk increases for more customers. Such factors which could impact the IFRS 9 models, include an adverse deterioration in unemployment, GDP and stock price index.

- The newly acquired Sainsbury's Bank portfolio (£2.2 billion in Stage 1 at 30 June 2025) with associated ECL of £0.1 billion was not included in the modelled sensitivity analysis.

 

 

Movement in ECL provision

The table below shows the main ECL provision movements during H1 2025.

 

ECL provision

£m

At 1 January 2025

3,425

Acquisitions

81

Changes in economic forecasts

10

Changes in risk metrics and exposure: Stage 1 and Stage 2

(27)

Changes in risk metrics and exposure: Stage 3

404

Judgemental changes: changes in post model adjustments for Stage 1,

 

Stage 2 and Stage 3

(67)

Write-offs and other

(176)

At 30 June 2025

3,650

 

- During H1 2025, overall ECL increased following Non-Personal Stage 3 charges and an increase in good book ECL in the Personal portfolio, driven by the portfolio acquisition from Sainsbury's Bank.

- For the Non-Personal portfolio, ECL increased from Stage 3 charges, driven by a small number of individual charges in the Commercial & Institutional portfolio. This was partially offset by post model adjustment releases in the good book. 

- In the Personal portfolio, default inflows were broadly stable in H1 2025. However, Stage 3 ECL and stock increased on all unsecured portfolios, with reduced debt sale activity. There was a reduction of Stage 3 ECL on mortgages related to an enhancement to the application of the definition of default, resulting in a £0.4 billion migration of loans from Stage 3 back to the good book.

- Judgemental ECL post model adjustments decreased to £269 million (31 December 2024 - £336 million) and represented 7.4% of total ECL (31 December 2024 - 9.8%). This reflected revisions to the Retail Banking cost of living post model adjustment after regular back testing, and Non-Personal portfolio improvements in underlying risk profile. Refer to the Governance and post model adjustments section for further details.

 

 

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Banking activities

Introduction

This section details the credit risk profile of NatWest Group's banking activities.

Financial instruments within the scope of the IFRS 9 ECL framework (reviewed)

Refer to Note 7 to the consolidated financial statements for balance sheet analysis of financial assets that are classified as amortised cost or fair value through other comprehensive income (FVOCI), the starting point for IFRS 9 ECL framework assessment.

30 June 2025

 

31 December 2024

Gross

ECL

Net

 

Gross

ECL

Net

£bn

£bn

£bn

 

£bn

£bn

£bn

Balance sheet total gross amortised cost and FVOCI

588.2

 

567.2

In scope of IFRS 9 ECL framework

578.2

 

564.4

% in scope

98%

 

100%

Loans to customers - in scope - amortised cost

411.2

3.6

407.6

 

404.2

3.4

400.8

Loans to customers - in scope - FVOCI

0.1

-

0.1

 

-

-

-

Loans to banks - in scope - amortised cost

6.6

-

6.6

 

6.0

-

6.0

Total loans - in scope

417.9

3.6

414.3

 

410.2

3.4

406.8

  Stage 1

371.9

0.6

371.3

 

363.8

0.6

363.2

  Stage 2

40.2

0.7

39.5

 

40.5

0.8

39.7

  Stage 3

5.8

2.3

3.5

 

5.9

2.0

3.9

Other financial assets - in scope - amortised cost

117.5

-

117.5

 

116.4

-

116.4

Other financial assets - in scope - FVOCI

42.8

-

42.8

 

37.8

-

37.8

Total other financial assets - in scope

160.3

-

160.3

 

154.2

-

154.2

  Stage 1

159.5

-

159.5

 

153.4

-

153.4

  Stage 2

0.8

-

0.8

 

0.8

-

0.8

Out of scope of IFRS 9 ECL framework

10.0

na

10.0

 

2.8

na

2.8

Loans to customers - out of scope - amortised cost

(0.5)

na

(0.5)

(0.5)

na

(0.5)

Loans to banks - out of scope - amortised cost

0.8

na

0.8

0.1

na

0.1

Other financial assets - out of scope - amortised cost

9.4

na

9.4

3.2

na

3.2

Other financial assets - out of scope - FVOCI

0.3

na

0.3

-

na

-

na = not applicable

 

 

 

The assets outside the scope of the IFRS 9 ECL framework were as follows:

 

- Settlement balances, items in the course of collection, cash balances and other non-credit risk assets of £10.0 billion (31 December 2024 - £3.3 billion). These were assessed as having no ECL unless there was evidence that they were defaulted.

- Equity shares of £0.3 billion (31 December 2024 - £0.2 billion) as not within the IFRS 9 ECL framework by definition. 

- Fair value adjustments on loans hedged by interest rate swaps, where the underlying loan was within the IFRS 9 ECL scope of £(0.4) billion (31 December 2024 - £(0.5) billion).

Contingent liabilities and commitments

Total contingent liabilities (including financial guarantees) and commitments within IFRS 9 ECL scope of £146.4 billion (31 December 2024 - £140.0 billion) comprised Stage 1 £135.7 billion (31 December 2024 - £129.8 billion); Stage 2 £9.9 billion (31 December 2024 - £9.4 billion); and Stage 3 £0.8 billion (31 December 2024 - £0.8 billion).

The ECL relating to off-balance sheet exposures was £0.1 billion (31 December 2024 - £0.1 billion). The total ECL in the remainder of the Credit risk section of £3.7 billion (31 December 2024 - £3.4 billion) included ECL for both on and off-balance sheet exposures.

 

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Banking activities continued

Segment analysis - portfolio summary (reviewed)

The table below shows gross loans and ECL, by segment and stage, within the scope of the IFRS 9 ECL framework.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Of which:

 

 

 

 

 

 

Personal

 

Non-Personal

 

Private

 

 

 

 

Private

Private

 

Banking &

 

Central

 

 

Banking &

 

Central

Banking &

 

Central

Retail

Wealth 

Commercial

items

 

 

Retail

Wealth 

Commercial

items

 

Wealth 

Commercial

 items

Banking

Management

& Institutional

& other

Total

 

Banking

Management

& Institutional

& other

 

Management

& Institutional

& other

30 June 2025

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

Loans - amortised cost and FVOCI (1,2)

 

Stage 1

188,562

17,514

134,858

30,941

371,875

 

188,562

13,991

2,225

-

 

3,523

132,633

30,941

Stage 2

24,437

843

14,857

56

40,193

 

24,437

362

41

9

 

481

14,816

47

Stage 3

3,006

318

2,496

3

5,823

 

3,006

233

43

3

 

85

2,453

-

Of which: individual

-

243

1,279

-

1,522

 

-

158

5

-

 

85

1,274

-

Of which: collective

3,006

75

1,217

3

4,301

 

3,006

75

38

3

 

-

1,179

-

Total 

216,005

18,675

152,211

31,000

417,891

 

216,005

14,586

2,309

12

 

4,089

149,902

30,988

ECL provisions (3)

 

Stage 1

360

15

258

15

648

 

360

3

2

-

 

12

256

15

Stage 2 

425

9

306

1

741

 

425

1

-

-

 

8

306

1

Stage 3

1,128

42

1,090

1

2,261

 

1,128

22

16

-

 

20

1,074

1

Of which: individual

-

42

569

-

611

 

-

22

5

-

 

20

564

-

Of which: collective

1,128

-

521

1

1,650

 

1,128

-

11

-

 

-

510

1

Total 

1,913

66

1,654

17

3,650

 

1,913

26

18

-

 

40

1,636

17

ECL provisions coverage (4)

 

Stage 1 (%)

0.19

0.09

0.19

0.05

0.17

 

0.19

0.02

0.09

-

 

0.34

0.19

0.05

Stage 2 (%)

1.74

1.07

2.06

1.79

1.84

 

1.74

0.28

-

-

 

1.66

2.07

2.13

Stage 3 (%)

37.52

13.21

43.67

33.33

38.83

 

37.52

9.44

37.21

-

 

23.53

43.78

-

Total 

0.89

0.35

1.09

0.05

0.87

 

0.89

0.18

0.78

-

 

0.98

1.09

0.05

Impairment (releases)/losses

 

ECL charge/(release) (5)

226

1

154

1

382

 

226

3

-

-

 

(2)

154

1

Stage 1

18

(5)

(80)

-

(67)

 

18

-

(1)

-

 

(5)

(79)

-

Stage 2

139

3

23

-

165

 

139

1

-

-

 

2

23

-

Stage 3

69

3

211

1

284

 

69

2

1

-

 

1

210

1

Of which: individual

-

3

191

-

194

 

-

2

-

-

 

1

191

-

Of which: collective

69

-

20

1

90

 

69

-

1

-

 

-

19

1

Total

226 

1 

154 

1 

382 

 

226 

3 

-

-

 

(2)

154 

1 

Amounts written-off 

94

1

97

-

192

 

94

1

-

-

 

-

97

-

Of which: individual

-

1

60

-

61

 

-

1

-

-

 

-

60

-

Of which: collective

94

-

37

-

131

 

94

-

-

-

 

-

37

-

For the notes to this table refer to the following page. Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Banking activities continued

Segment analysis - portfolio summary (reviewed)

Of which:

Personal

Non-Personal

Private

Private

Private

Banking &

Central

Banking &

Central

Banking &

Central

Retail

Wealth 

Commercial

items

Retail

Wealth 

Commercial

items

Wealth 

Commercial

items

Banking

Management

& Institutional

& other

Total

Banking

Management

& Institutional

& other

Management

& Institutional

& other

31 December 2024

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Loans - amortised cost and FVOCI (1,2)

Stage 1

182,366

17,155

128,988

35,312

363,821

182,366

13,726

2,226

-

3,429

126,762

35,312

Stage 2

24,242

844

15,339

49

40,474

24,242

352

42

-

492

15,297

49

Stage 3

3,268

322

2,340

-

5,930

3,268

251

52

-

71

2,288

-

Of which: individual

-

233

1,052

-

1,285

 

-

162

5

-

 

71

1,047

 

Of which: collective

3,268

89

1,288

-

4,645

 

3,268

89

47

-

 

-

1,241

-

Total 

209,876

18,321

146,667

35,361

410,225

209,876

14,329

2,320

-

3,992

144,347

35,361

ECL provisions (3)

Stage 1

279

16

289

14

598

279

2

3

-

14

286

14

Stage 2 

428

12

346

1

787

428

1

-

-

11

346

1

Stage 3

1,063

36

941

-

2,040

1,063

21

15

-

15

926

-

Of which: individual

-

36

415

-

451

 

-

21

7

-

 

15

408

-

Of which: collective

1,063

-

526

-

1,589

 

1,063

-

8

-

 

-

518

-

Total 

1,770

64

1,576

15

3,425

1,770

24

18

-

40

1,558

15

ECL provisions coverage (4)

Stage 1 (%)

0.15

0.09

0.22

0.04

0.16

0.15

0.01

0.13

-

0.41

0.23

0.04

Stage 2 (%)

1.77

1.42

2.26

2.04

1.94

1.77

0.28

-

-

2.24

2.26

2.04

Stage 3 (%)

32.53

11.18

40.21

-

34.40

32.53

8.37

28.85

-

21.13

40.47

-

Total 

0.84

0.35

1.07

0.04

0.83

0.84

0.17

0.78

-

1.00

1.08

0.04

Half year ended 30 June 2024

Impairment (releases)/losses

ECL (release)/charge (5)

122

(11)

(57)

(6)

48

122

1

-

-

(12)

(57)

(6)

Stage 1

(166)

(9)

(182)

(7)

(364)

(166)

(1)

-

-

(8)

(182)

(7)

Stage 2

178

(3)

14

1

190

178

1

-

-

(4)

14

1

Stage 3

110

1

111

-

222

110

1

-

-

-

111

-

Of which: individual

-

1

79

-

80

 

-

1

-

-

 

-

79

-

Of which: collective

110

-

32

-

142

 

110

-

-

-

 

-

32

-

Total

122

(11)

(57)

(6)

48

122

1

-

-

(12)

(57)

(6)

Amounts written-off

270

-

99

-

369

270

-

1

-

-

98

-

Of which: individual

-

-

64

-

64

 

-

-

1

-

 

-

63

-

Of which: collective

270

-

35

-

305

 

270

-

-

-

 

-

35

-

 

(1) The table shows gross loans only and excludes amounts that were outside the scope of the ECL framework. Other financial assets within the scope of the IFRS 9 ECL framework were cash and balances at central banks totalling £89.5 billion (31 December 2024 - £91.8 billion) and debt securities of £70.8 billion (31 December 2024 - £62.4 billion).

(2) Fair value through other comprehensive income (FVOCI). Includes loans to customers and banks.

(3) Includes £4 million (31 December 2024 - £4 million) related to assets classified as FVOCI and £0.1 billion (31 December 2024 - £0.1 billion) related to off-balance sheet exposures.

(4) ECL provisions coverage is calculated as ECL provisions divided by loans - amortised cost and FVOCI. It is calculated on loans and total ECL provisions, including ECL for other (non-loan) assets and unutilised exposure. Some segments with a high proportion of debt securities or unutilised exposure may result in a not meaningful (nm) coverage ratio.

 

(5) Includes a £1 million release (30 June 2024 - £6 million release) related to other financial assets, of which £0 million release (30 June 2024 - £5 million release) related to assets classified as FVOCI and includes a £10 million charge (30 June 2024 - £4 million release) related to contingent liabilities.

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Banking activities continued

Segmental loans and impairment metrics (reviewed)

- Retail Banking - Asset quality and arrears rates remained stable and within expectations for the first half of 2025. The overall increase in good book and total ECL coverage was driven by the acquisition of the Sainsbury's Bank portfolio which, in conjunction with continued organic growth on cards and personal loan portfolios, increased the unsecured portfolio mix. The ECL coverage levels on the Sainsbury's Bank portfolio reflected its strong book quality. Good book coverage on the existing Retail Banking book decreased, reflecting stable portfolio arrears and default trends, as well as resilience to affordability risk concerns. This resilience was notably supported by the reduction in the cost of living post model adjustment on mortgages, supported by reduced default outcomes in at-risk segments. The ECL increases from the latest economic update were minimal. The reduction in Stage 3 ratios was influenced by both the acquisition of the Sainsbury's Bank portfolio on unsecured and an enhancement to the application of the definition of default used on mortgages. The latter resulted in a £0.4 billion migration of loans from Stage 3 back to the good book. Flow rates into Stage 3 remained consistent with 31 December 2024.

 

- Commercial & Institutional - ECL coverage increased in the first half of the year reflecting a small number of individual charges in Stage 3. Despite the increase in Stage 3 charges compared to the first half of 2024, loan balances flowing into Stage 3 were marginally lower. Stage 3 charges were partially offset through good book releases from improved portfolio risk metrics and a reduction in post model adjustments. Increased loan balances combined with reducing good ECL drove reduced coverage in both Stage 1 and Stage 2. Write-offs were broadly consistent with the first half of 2024.

 

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Banking activities continued

Sector analysis - portfolio summary (reviewed)

The table below shows financial assets and off-balance sheet exposures gross of ECL and related ECL provisions, impairment and past due by sector, asset quality and geographical region.

Personal

 

Non-Personal

 

 

Credit

Other

 

 

Corporate

Financial

 

 

 

Mortgages (1)

cards

personal

Total

 

and other

institutions

Sovereign

Total

Total

30 June 2025

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Loans by geography

213,336

8,137

11,439

232,912

 

112,911

70,884

1,184

184,979

 

417,891

  - UK

213,323

8,137

11,439

232,899

 

98,210

46,126

491

144,827

 

377,726

  - Other Europe

13

-

-

13

 

6,584

12,010

364

18,958

 

18,971

  - RoW

-

-

-

-

 

8,117

12,748

329

21,194

 

21,194

Loans by stage 

213,336

8,137

11,439

232,912

 

112,911

70,884

1,184

184,979

 

417,891

  - Stage 1

189,743

6,011

9,024

204,778

 

95,737

70,335

1,025

167,097

 

371,875

  - Stage 2

21,477

1,917

1,455

24,849

 

14,780

422

142

15,344

 

40,193

  - Stage 3

2,116

209

960

3,285

 

2,394

127

17

2,538

 

5,823

  - Of which: individual

138

-

25

163

 

1,222

120

17

1,359

 

1,522

  - Of which: collective

1,978

209

935

3,122

 

1,172

7

-

1,179

 

4,301

Loans - past due analysis (2)

213,336

8,137

11,439

232,912

 

112,911

70,884

1,184

184,979

 

417,891

  - Not past due

210,041

7,872

10,438

228,351

 

109,838

69,858

1,167

180,863

 

409,214

  - Past due 1-30 days

1,559

61

78

1,698

 

1,802

1,007

-

2,809

 

4,507

  - Past due 31-90 days

620

65

117

802

 

390

9

-

399

 

1,201

  - Past due 90-180 days

368

52

108

528

 

98

-

-

98

 

626

  - Past due >180 days

748

87

698

1,533

 

783

10

17

810

 

2,343

Loans - Stage 2

21,477

1,917

1,455

24,849

 

14,780

422

142

15,344

 

40,193

  - Not past due

20,093

1,836

1,331

23,260

 

13,906

410

142

14,458

 

37,718

  - Past due 1-30 days

1,082

36

42

1,160

 

540

3

-

543

 

1,703

  - Past due 31-90 days

302

45

82

429

 

334

9

-

343

 

772

Weighted average life 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

- ECL measurement (years)

8

4

5

5

 

6

4

nm

6

 

6

Weighted average 12 months PDs

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  - IFRS 9 (%)

0.52

3.35

4.75

0.77

 

1.19

0.18

6.13

0.82

 

0.80

  - Basel (%)

0.68

3.77

3.33

0.88

 

1.08

0.16

6.13

0.75

 

0.82

ECL provisions by geography

386

472

1,099

1,957

 

1,527

144

22

1,693

 

3,650

  - UK

386

472

1,099

1,957

 

1,361

90

13

1,464

 

3,421

  - Other Europe

-

-

-

-

 

106

10

-

116

 

116

  - RoW

-

-

-

-

 

60

44

9

113

 

113

ECL provisions by stage 

386

472

1,099

1,957

 

1,527

144

22

1,693

 

3,650

  - Stage 1

59

128

178

365

 

232

37

14

283

 

648

  - Stage 2

51

197

178

426

 

305

8

2

315

 

741

  - Stage 3

276

147

743

1,166

 

990

99

6

1,095

 

2,261

  - Of which: individual

12

-

15

27

 

482

96

6

584

 

611

  - Of which: collective

264

147

728

1,139

 

508

3

-

511

 

1,650

For the notes to this table refer to page 32.

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Banking activities continued

Sector analysis - portfolio summary (reviewed)

Personal

 

Non-Personal

 

 

Credit

Other

 

 

Corporate

Financial

 

 

 

Mortgages (1)

cards

personal

Total

 

and other

institutions

Sovereign

Total

Total

30 June 2025

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

ECL provisions coverage (%)

0.18

5.80

9.61

0.84

 

1.35

0.20

1.86

0.92

 

0.87

  - Stage 1 (%)

0.03

2.13

1.97

0.18

 

0.24

0.05

1.37

0.17

 

0.17

  - Stage 2 (%)

0.24

10.28

12.23

1.71

 

2.06

1.90

1.41

2.05

 

1.84

  - Stage 3 (%)

13.04

70.33

77.40

35.49

 

41.35

77.95

35.29

43.14

 

38.83

ECL (release)/charge

(86)

143

172

229

 

101

52

-

153

 

382

  - UK

(86)

143

172

229

 

97

51

-

148

 

377

  - Other Europe

-

-

-

-

 

3

2

-

5

 

5

  - RoW

-

-

-

-

 

1

(1)

-

-

 

-

Amounts written-off 

13

52

30

95

 

97

-

-

97

 

192

Loans by residual maturity

213,336

8,137

11,439

232,912

 

112,911

70,884

1,184

184,979

 

417,891

 - ≤1 year 

2,151

2,594

2,920

7,665

 

32,591

52,260

344

85,195

 

92,860

 - >1 and ≤5 year

8,453

5,543

6,873

20,869

 

49,964

13,956

497

64,417

 

85,286

 - >5 and ≤15 year

42,661

-

1,642

44,303

 

22,203

4,532

309

27,044

 

71,347

 - >15 year

160,071

-

4

160,075

 

8,153

136

34

8,323

 

168,398

Other financial assets by asset quality (3)

-

-

-

-

 

4,584

25,530

130,211

160,325

 

160,325

  - AQ1-AQ4

-

-

-

-

 

4,582

25,400

130,211

160,193

 

160,193

  - AQ5-AQ8

-

-

-

-

 

2

130

-

132

 

132

Off-balance sheet

14,489

25,919

7,739

48,147

 

76,535

21,510

192

98,237

 

146,384

  - Loan commitments

14,489

25,919

7,701

48,109

 

73,735

20,157

192

94,084

 

142,193

  - Contingent liabilities

-

-

38

38

 

2,800

1,353

-

4,153

 

4,191

Off-balance sheet by asset quality (3)

14,489

25,919

7,739

48,147

 

76,535

21,510

192

98,237

 

146,384

  - AQ1-AQ4

13,642

516

6,296

20,454

 

48,124

19,608

121

67,853

 

88,307

  - AQ5-AQ8

836

25,021

1,391

27,248

 

28,030

1,858

16

29,904

 

57,152

  - AQ9 

1

13

23

37

 

26

-

55

81

 

118

  - AQ10

10

369

29

408

 

355

44

-

399

 

807

For the notes to this table refer to page 32.

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Banking activities continued

Sector analysis - portfolio summary (reviewed)

Personal

Non-Personal

Credit

Other

Corporate

Financial

Mortgages (1)

cards

personal

Total

  and other 

institutions

Sovereign

Total

Total

31 December 2024

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Loans by geography

209,846

6,930

9,749

226,525

111,734

70,321

1,645

183,700

410,225

  - UK

209,846

6,930

9,749

226,525

 

97,409

43,412

562

141,383

 

367,908

  - Other Europe

-

-

-

-

 

6,311

14,747

766

21,824

 

21,824

  - RoW

-

-

-

-

 

8,014

12,162

317

20,493

 

20,493

Loans by stage

209,846

6,930

9,749

226,525

111,734

70,321

1,645

183,700

410,225

  - Stage 1

186,250

4,801

7,267

198,318

 

94,991

69,021

1,491

165,503

 

363,821

  - Stage 2

21,061

1,953

1,622

24,636

 

14,464

1,241

133

15,838

 

40,474

  - Stage 3

2,535

176

860

3,571

 

2,279

59

21

2,359

 

5,930

  - Of which: individual

141

-

26

167

 

1,046

51

21

1,118

 

1,285

  - Of which: collective

2,394

176

834

3,404

 

1,233

8

-

1,241

 

4,645

Loans - past due analysis (2)

209,846

6,930

9,749

226,525

111,734

70,321

1,645

183,700

410,225

  - Not past due

206,739

6,721

8,865

222,325

 

107,855

70,055

1,627

179,537

 

401,862

  - Past due 1-30 days

1,404

50

70

1,524

 

2,530

211

-

2,741

 

4,265

  - Past due 31-90 days

580

51

99

730

 

398

2

18

418

 

1,148

  - Past due 90-180 days

408

41

96

545

 

139

49

-

188

 

733

  - Past due >180 days

715

67

619

1,401

 

812

4

-

816

 

2,217

Loans - Stage 2

21,061

1,953

1,622

24,636

14,464

1,241

133

15,838

40,474

  - Not past due

19,939

1,889

1,521

23,349

 

13,485

1,228

133

14,846

 

38,195

  - Past due 1-30 days

853

31

37

921

 

640

11

-

651

 

1,572

  - Past due 31-90 days

269

33

64

366

 

339

2

-

341

 

707

Weighted average life

- ECL measurement (years)

8

4

6

6

6

2

nm

6

6

Weighted average 12 months PDs

  - IFRS 9 (%)

0.51

3.23

4.59

0.76

1.24

0.16

5.51

0.86

0.80

  - Basel (%)

0.68

3.65

3.18

0.87

1.11

0.15

4.16

0.76

0.82

ECL provisions by geography

462

381

969

1,812

1,504

90

19

1,613

3,425

  - UK

462

381

969

1,812

 

1,335

37

12

1,384

 

3,196

  - Other Europe

-

-

-

-

 

109

9

-

118

 

118

  - RoW

-

-

-

-

 

60

44

7

111

 

111

ECL provisions by stage 

462

381

969

1,812

1,504

90

19

1,613

3,425

  - Stage 1

77

77

130

284

 

264

38

12

314

 

598

  - Stage 2

60

186

183

429

 

344

12

2

358

 

787

  - Stage 3

325

118

656

1,099

 

896

40

5

941

 

2,040

  - Of which: individual

11

-

17

28

 

382

36

5

423

 

451

  - Of which: collective

314

118

639

1,071

 

514

4

-

518

 

1,589

For the notes to this table refer to the following page.

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Banking activities continued

Sector analysis - portfolio summary (reviewed)

Personal

Non-Personal

Credit

Other

Corporate

Financial

Mortgages (1)

cards

personal

Total

  and other 

institutions

Sovereign

Total

Total

31 December 2024

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

ECL provisions coverage (%)

0.22

5.50

9.94

0.80

1.35

0.13

1.16

0.88

0.83

  - Stage 1 (%)

0.04

1.60

1.79

0.14

 

0.28

0.06

0.80

0.19

 

0.16

  - Stage 2 (%)

0.28

9.52

11.28

1.74

 

2.38

0.97

1.50

2.26

 

1.94

  - Stage 3 (%)

12.82

67.05

76.28

30.78

 

39.32

67.80

23.81

39.89

 

34.40

Half year ended 30 June 2024

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ECL (release)/charge (4)

(19)

51

91

123

(95)

19

1

(75)

48

  - UK

(19)

51

91

123

 

(82)

(4)

-

(86)

 

37

  - Other Europe

-

-

-

-

 

(7)

(6)

-

(13)

 

(13)

  - RoW

-

-

-

-

 

(6)

29

1.0

24

 

24

Amounts written-off (4)

9

38

224

271

98

-

-

98

369

31 December 2024

Loans by residual maturity

209,846

6,930

9,749

226,525

111,734

70,321

1,645

183,700

410,225

 - ≤1 year 

3,367

3,903

3,186

10,456

 

34,929

54,971

822

90,722

 

101,178

 - >1 and ≤5 year

11,651

3,027

5,551

20,229

 

48,075

10,967

488

59,530

 

79,759

 - >5 and ≤15 year

45,454

-

1,006

46,460

 

20,623

4,270

298

25,191

 

71,651

 - >15 year

149,374

-

6

149,380

 

8,107

113

37

8,257

 

157,637

Other financial assets by asset quality (3)

-

-

-

-

3,644

31,102

119,502

154,248

154,248

  - AQ1-AQ4

-

-

-

-

 

3,639

30,743

119,502

153,884

 

153,884

  - AQ5-AQ8

-

-

-

-

 

5

359

-

364

 

364

Off-balance sheet

13,806

20,135

7,947

41,888

75,964

21,925

239

98,128

140,016

  - Loan commitments

13,806

20,135

7,906

41,847

 

72,940

20,341

239

93,520

 

135,367

  - Contingent liabilities

-

-

41

41

 

3,024

1,584

-

4,608

 

4,649

Off-balance sheet by asset quality (3)

13,806

20,135

7,947

41,888

75,964

21,925

239

98,128

140,016

  - AQ1-AQ4

12,951

510

6,568

20,029

 

47,896

20,063

155

68,114

 

88,143

  - AQ5-AQ8

839

19,276

1,336

21,451

 

27,657

1,813

21

29,491

 

50,942

  - AQ9 

1

12

17

30

 

19

-

63

82

 

112

  - AQ10

15

337

26

378

 

392

49

-

441

 

819

(1) Includes a portion of Private Banking & Wealth Management lending secured against residential real estate, in line with ECL calculation methodology. Private Banking & Wealth Management and RBS International personal products are reported in the UK, reflecting the country of lending origination and includes crown dependencies.

(2) AQ bandings are based on Basel PDs and mapping as follows:

Internal asset quality band

Probability of default range

Indicative S&P rating

Internal asset quality band

Probability of default range

Indicative S&P rating

AQ1

0% - 0.034%

AAA to AA

AQ6

1.076% - 2.153%

BB- to B+

AQ2

0.034% - 0.048%

AA to AA-

AQ7

2.153% - 6.089%

B+ to B

AQ3

0.048% - 0.095%

A+ to A

AQ8

6.089% - 17.222%

B- to CCC+

AQ4

0.095% - 0.381%

BBB+ to BBB-

AQ9

17.222% - 100%

CCC to C

AQ5

0.381% - 1.076%

BB+ to BB

AQ10

100%

D

 

£0.4 billion (31 December 2024 - £0.3 billion) of AQ10 Personal balances primarily relate to loan commitments, the drawdown of which is effectively prohibited.

 

 

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Banking activities continued

Sector analysis - portfolio summary (reviewed)

The table below shows ECL by stage, for the Personal portfolio and Non-Personal portfolio, including the three largest borrowing sector clusters included in corporate and other.

Loans - amortised cost and FVOCI

 

Off-balance sheet 

 

ECL provisions

 

 

Loan

Contingent

 

 

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Total

 

commitments

liabilities

 

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Total

30 June 2025

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

Personal

204,778

24,849

3,285

232,912

 

48,109

38

 

365

426

1,166

1,957

Mortgages (1)

189,743

21,477

2,116

213,336

 

14,489

-

 

59

51

276

386

Credit cards

6,011

1,917

209

8,137

 

25,919

-

 

128

197

147

472

Other personal

9,024

1,455

960

11,439

 

7,701

38

 

178

178

743

1,099

Non-Personal

167,097

15,344

2,538

184,979

 

94,084

4,153

 

283

315

1,095

1,693

Financial institutions (2)

70,335

422

127

70,884

 

20,157

1,353

 

37

8

99

144

Sovereigns

1,025

142

17

1,184

 

192

-

 

14

2

6

22

Corporate and other

95,737

14,780

2,394

112,911

 

73,735

2,800

 

232

305

990

1,527

Of which:

 

Commercial real estate

16,855

1,274

368

18,497

 

6,637

161

 

64

26

135

225

Mobility and logistics

13,990

2,280

121

16,391

 

10,036

499

 

25

35

39

99

Consumer industries

12,882

2,592

445

15,919

 

10,891

517

 

32

71

202

305

Total

371,875

40,193

5,823

417,891

 

142,193

4,191

 

648

741

2,261

3,650

 

Loans - amortised cost and FVOCI

Off-balance sheet 

ECL provisions

Loan

Contingent

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Total

commitments

liabilities

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Total

31 December 2024 

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Personal

198,318

24,636

3,571

226,525

41,847

41

284

429

1,099

1,812

Mortgages (1)

186,250

21,061

2,535

209,846

13,806

-

77

60

325

462

Credit cards

4,801

1,953

176

6,930

20,135

-

77

186

118

381

Other personal

7,267

1,622

860

9,749

7,906

41

130

183

656

969

Non-Personal

165,503

15,838

2,359

183,700

93,520

4,608

314

358

941

1,613

Financial institutions (2)

69,021

1,241

59

70,321

20,341

1,584

38

12

40

90

Sovereigns

1,491

133

21

1,645

239

-

12

2

5

19

Corporate and other

94,991

14,464

2,279

111,734

72,940

3,024

264

344

896

1,504

Of which:

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Commercial real estate

16,191

1,517

433

18,141

 

6,661

143

 

70

30

146

246

Mobility and logistics

13,363

2,384

148

15,895

 

9,367

595

 

26

35

67

128

Consumer industries

13,312

3,015

444

16,771

 

10,706

595

 

45

90

188

323

Total

363,821

40,474

5,930

410,225

135,367

4,649

598

787

2,040

3,425

(1) As at 30 June 2025, £140.1 billion, 65.7%, of the total residential mortgages portfolio had Energy Performance Certificate (EPC) data available (31 December 2024 - £139.1 billion, 66.3%). Of which, 47.7% were rated as EPC A to C (31 December 2024 - 46.3%).

 

(2) Includes transactions, such as securitisations, where the underlying risk may be in other sectors.

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Banking activities continued

Non-Personal forbearance (reviewed)

The table below shows Non-Personal forbearance, Heightened Monitoring and Risk of Credit Loss by sector. This table shows current exposure but reflects risk transfers where there is a guarantee by another customer.

 

Corporate and

Financial 

 

 

other

institutions

Sovereign

Total

30 June 2025

£m

£m

£m

£m

Forbearance (flow)

2,287

66

14

2,367

Forbearance (stock)

4,267

117

14

4,398

Heightened Monitoring and Risk of Credit Loss

5,812

88

1

5,901

31 December 2024

Forbearance (flow)

3,359

119

18

3,496

Forbearance (stock)

4,556

106

18

4,680

Heightened Monitoring and Risk of Credit Loss

5,931

150

1

6,082

 

 

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Banking activities continued

 

- Loans by geography and sector - In line with NatWest Group's strategic focus, exposures continued to be mainly in the UK.

- Loans by stage - The increase in Stage 1, reflected the growth in Personal lending on both mortgages and unsecured lending, alongside the acquisition of the Sainsbury's Bank portfolio. Stage 2 balances remained stable compared to 31 December 2024. Similarly, Stage 3 balances remained stable overall, with a modest increase in Non-Personal Stage 3 balance, due to a small number of defaults, spread across different sectors. This was largely offset by the reduction seen in Personal mortgages, due to an enhancement to the application of the definition of default used on mortgages, resulting in a migration of loans back to the good book.

- Loans - Past due analysis - Within the Personal portfolio, arrears balances increased during H1 2025, however, this was in line with expectations following periods of balance growth. Arrears inflow rates remained stable. In Non-Personal, the total level of past due loans was broadly stable since 31 December 2024, but with some offsetting movements in early arrears by sector. Stage 2 loans past due reduced, in line with overall Stage 2 reductions.

- Weighted average 12 months PDs - Both IFRS 9 and Basel PDs remained broadly stable during the year. In Non-Personal, some reductions were observed in IFRS 9 PDs in the corporate portfolio due to economic and portfolio improvements. PDs in sovereigns increased due to new lending, which is fully backed by government guarantees.

- ECL provisions by stage and ECL provisions coverage - Overall provisions coverage increased since 31 December 2024, following a small number of individual Stage 3 charges in Non-Personal and an increase in good book ECL coverage in the Personal portfolio. This was driven by the portfolio acquisition from Sainsbury's Bank which increased the unsecured mix of the Personal portfolio. Reductions in judgemental post model adjustments mitigated the effect of some of these ECL increases.

- ECL charge - The H1 2025 impairment charge of £382 million, primarily reflected a small number of individual charges in the Commercial & Institutional portfolio alongside the initial ECL cost from the portfolio acquisition from Sainsbury's Bank within Personal. This was partially offset by post model adjustment releases in the good book and the ECL release on Personal, with the migration of assets back to the good book from Stage 3, following an enhancement to the application of the definition of default used on mortgages.

 

- Loans by residual maturity - In mortgages, as expected, the vast majority of exposures were greater than five years. In unsecured lending, cards and other, exposures were concentrated in less than five years. In Non-Personal, most loans mature in less than five years.

- Other financial assets by asset quality - Consisting almost entirely of balances at central banks and debt securities held in the course of treasury related management activities, these assets were mainly within the AQ1-AQ4 bands.

- Off-balance sheet exposures by asset quality - In Personal, undrawn exposures were reflective of available credit lines in credit cards and current accounts. Additionally, the mortgage portfolio had undrawn exposures, where a formal offer had been made to a customer but had not yet drawn down; the value increased in line with the pipeline of offers. The off-balance sheet commitments for credit cards increased due to the Sainsbury's Bank portfolio acquisition. In Non-Personal, off-balance sheet exposure consisted primarily of undrawn loan commitments to customers along with contingent liabilities. The AQ band split of off-balance sheet exposures broadly mirrored the drawn loans portfolio for non-defaulted exposures.

- Non-Personal problem debt - Exposures in the Problem Debt Management framework reduced during H1 2025 due to some corporate customers moving out of the framework. There was no change in the reasons for customers moving into the Problem Debt Management framework, with trading issues and cash/liquidity being the main drivers.

- Non-Personal forbearance - Exposures classified as forborne reduced marginally across multiple sectors, leading to lower stock values in corporates. A portion of forbearance flows related to cases in Customer Lending Services subject to repeated forbearance. 

 

 

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Banking activities continued

Personal portfolio (reviewed)

Disclosures in the Personal portfolio section include drawn exposure (gross of provisions).

30 June 2025

 

31 December 2024

 

Private

 

 

 

 

Private

 

Banking

 

 

 

 

Banking

Retail

& Wealth

Commercial

Central items

 

 

Retail

& Wealth

Commercial

Central items

Banking

Management

& Institutional

& other

Total

 

Banking

Management

& Institutional

& other

Total

Personal lending

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Mortgages

198,260

12,871

2,160

13

213,304

194,865

12,826

2,161

-

209,852

Of which:

 

 

 

 

 

  Owner occupied

179,036

11,475

1,466

12

191,989

176,137

11,348

1,457

-

188,942

  Buy-to-let

19,224

1,396

694

1

21,315

18,728

1,478

704

-

20,910

  Interest only 

21,919

11,371

424

-

33,714

22,186

11,276

437

-

33,899

  Mixed (1)

10,333

33

4

-

10,370

10,384

40

8

-

10,432

  ECL provisions (2)

363

13

10

-

386

440

12

10

-

462

Other personal lending (3)

17,774

1,479

233

-

19,486

15,045

1,301

242

-

16,588

ECL provisions (2)

1,551

13

3

-

1,567

1,330

12

3

-

1,345

Total personal lending

216,034

14,350

2,393

13

232,790

209,910

14,127

2,403

-

226,440

Mortgage LTV ratios

 

 

 

 

 

Owner occupied

56%

59%

57%

49%

56%

56%

59%

56%

-

56%

Stage 1

56%

59%

56%

-

56%

 

56%

59%

55%

-

56%

Stage 2

55%

58%

57%

34%

55%

 

55%

61%

56%

-

55%

Stage 3

50%

62%

65%

91%

51%

 

50%

64%

74%

-

51%

  Buy-to-let

53%

60%

55%

35%

54%

53%

60%

52%

-

53%

Stage 1

54%

60%

54%

-

54%

 

54%

60%

51%

-

54%

Stage 2

52%

57%

54%

35%

52%

 

52%

57%

55%

-

52%

Stage 3

52%

57%

66%

35%

54%

 

52%

56%

59%

-

53%

Gross new mortgage lending 

15,991

745

125

-

16,861

26,440

1,395

257

-

28,092

Of which:

 

 

 

 

 

 Owner occupied 

14,834

701

90

-

15,625

25,300

1,266

183

-

26,749

  - LTV > 90%

818

-

-

-

818

888

-

-

-

888

 Weighted average LTV (4)

71%

66%

61%

-

71%

70%

63%

71%

-

70%

 Buy-to-let

1,157

44

35

-

1,236

1,140

129

74

-

1,343

 Weighted average LTV (4)

62%

62%

61%

-

62%

61%

62%

56%

-

61%

 Interest only 

1,182

677

19

-

1,878

1,575

1,238

42

-

2,855

 Mixed (1)

520

-

1

-

521

1,150

-

1

-

1,151

For the notes to this table refer to the following page.

 

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Banking activities continued

Personal portfolio (reviewed) continued

 

30 June 2025

 

31 December 2024

 

Private

 

 

 

Private

 

Banking

 

 

 

 

Banking

Retail

& Wealth

Commercial

Central items

 

 

Retail

& Wealth

Commercial

Central items

Banking

Management

& Institutional

& other

Total

 

Banking

Management

& Institutional

& other

Total

Mortgage forbearance

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Forbearance flow (5)

196

12

1

-

209

473

8

6

-

487

Forbearance stock

1,764

14

12

1

1,791

1,680

20

15

-

1,715

  Current

1,270

3

4

-

1,277

 

1,214

9

10

-

1,233

  1-3 months in arrears

159

11

1

-

171

 

146

9

-

-

155

  > 3 months in arrears

335

-

7

1

343

 

320

2

5

-

327

 

(1) Includes accounts which have an interest only sub-account and a capital and interest sub-account to provide a more comprehensive view of interest only exposures.

(2) Retail Banking excludes a non-material amount of lending and provisions held on relatively small legacy portfolios.

(3) Comprises unsecured lending except for Private Banking & Wealth Management, which includes both secured and unsecured lending. It excludes loans that are commercial in nature.

(4) New mortgage lending LTV reflects the LTV at the time of lending.

(5) Forbearance flows only include an account once per year, although some accounts may be subject to multiple forbearance deals. Forbearance deals post default are excluded from these flows.

 

 

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Banking activities continued

Personal portfolio (reviewed)

Mortgage LTV distribution by stage

The table below shows gross mortgage lending and related ECL by LTV band for the Retail Banking portfolio.

Mortgages

 

ECL provisions

 

ECL provisions coverage 

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Total

 

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Total

 

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Total

30 June 2025

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

%

%

%

%

≤50%

66,045

8,771

965

75,781

 

16

13

126

155

 

-

0.1

13.1

0.2

>50% and ≤70%

63,404

7,796

684

71,884

 

21

19

86

126

 

-

0.2

12.6

0.2

>70% and ≤80%

25,372

2,496

145

28,013

 

10

9

19

38

 

-

0.4

13.1

0.1

>80% and ≤90%

17,133

1,806

80

19,019

 

7

9

13

29

 

-

0.5

16.3

0.2

>90% and ≤100%

2,873

243

19

3,135

 

1

1

4

6

 

-

0.4

21.1

0.2

>100%

11

2

9

22

 

-

-

5

5

 

-

-

55.6

22.7

Total with LTVs

174,838

21,114

1,902

197,854

 

55

51

253

359

 

-

0.2

13.3

0.2

Other

404

1

1

406

 

3

-

1

4

 

0.7

-

100.0

1.0

Total

175,242

21,115

1,903

198,260

 

58

51

254

363

 

-

0.2

13.3

0.2

31 December 2024

≤50%

64,040

8,344

1,159

73,543

21

16

153

190

-

0.2

13.2

0.3

>50% and ≤70%

61,739

7,741

855

70,335

29

23

104

156

-

0.3

12.2

0.2

>70% and ≤80%

25,022

2,361

173

27,556

13

9

22

44

0.1

0.4

12.7

0.2

>80% and ≤90%

16,718

1,769

85

18,572

9

9

13

31

0.1

0.5

15.3

0.2

>90% and ≤100%

4,076

512

26

4,614

2

3

5

10

-

0.6

19.2

0.2

>100%

14

4

13

31

-

-

6

6

-

-

46.2

19.4

Total with LTVs

171,609

20,731

2,311

194,651

74

60

303

437

-

0.3

13.1

0.2

Other

212

1

1

214

2

-

1

3

0.9

-

100.0

1.4

Total

171,821

20,732

2,312

194,865

76

60

304

440

-

0.3

13.1

0.2

 

- Mortgage balances increased during H1 2025 with continued strong new business in excess of redemptions. Unsecured balances increased, primarily driven by the acquisition of personal loans and credit cards from Sainsbury's Bank, as well as underlying credit card growth.

- In line with wider market trends, new business in the mortgage portfolio was accelerated in Q1 2025, ahead of stamp duty changes introduced on 1 April 2025. LTV for new business did therefore increase with a lower proportion of remortgage new business. Overall portfolio LTV remained stable, with house price growth reflected in the Office for National Statistics house price indices and a reduction in redemptions compared to 2024. 

- Portfolios and new business were closely monitored against agreed operating limits. These included loan-to-value ratios, buy-to-let concentrations, new-build concentrations and credit quality. Lending criteria, affordability calculations and assumptions for new lending were adjusted during the year, to maintain credit quality in line with appetite and to ensure customers are assessed fairly as economic conditions change.

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Banking activities continued

Commercial real estate (CRE) (reviewed)

CRE LTV distribution by stage

The table below shows CRE gross loans and related ECL by LTV band.

 

Gross loans

 

ECL provisions

 

ECL provisions coverage

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

 

Total

 

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Total

 

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Total

30 June 2025

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

%

%

%

%

≤50%

7,393

200

51

 

7,644

 

25

4

8

37

 

0.3

2.0

15.7

0.5

>50% and ≤60%

4,166

165

40

 

4,371

 

19

4

4

27

 

0.5

2.4

10.0

0.6

>60% and ≤70%

689

76

23

 

788

 

3

2

7

12

 

0.4

2.6

30.4

1.5

>70% and ≤100%

298

122

51

 

471

 

1

4

17

22

 

0.3

3.3

33.3

4.7

>100%

122

8

113

 

243

 

1

-

57

58

 

0.8

-

50.4

23.9

Total with LTVs

12,668

571

278

 

13,517

 

49

14

93

156

 

0.4

2.5

33.5

1.2

Total portfolio

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  average LTV

46%

59%

105%

 

48%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other investment (1)

2,169

335

37

 

2,541

 

5

5

15

25

 

0.2

1.5

40.5

1.0

Investment

14,837

906

315

 

16,058

 

54

19

108

181

 

0.4

2.1

34.3

1.1

Development and

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

other (2)

2,018

368

53

 

2,439

 

10

7

27

44

 

0.5

1.9

50.9

1.8

Total

16,855

1,274

368

 

18,497

 

64

26

135

225

 

0.4

2.0

36.7

1.2

31 December 2024

≤50%

7,334

380

48

7,762

28

6

7

41

0.4

1.6

14.6

0.5

>50% and ≤60%

3,829

169

53

4,051

19

5

9

33

0.5

3.0

17.0

0.8

>60% and ≤70%

584

198

34

816

3

5

8

16

0.5

2.5

23.5

2.0

>70% and ≤100%

312

83

79

474

2

4

21

27

0.6

4.8

26.6

5.7

>100%

139

8

119

266

1

-

56

57

0.7

-

47.1

21.4

Total with LTVs

12,198

838

333

13,369

53

20

101

174

0.4

2.4

30.3

1.3

Total portfolio

  average LTV

46%

51%

102%

48%

Other investment (1)

2,132

348

41

2,521

6

6

15

27

0.3

1.7

36.6

1.1

Investment

14,330

1,186

374

15,890

59

26

116

201

0.4

2.2

31.0

1.3

Development and

other (2)

1,861

331

59

2,251

11

4

30

45

0.6

1.2

50.8

2.0

Total

16,191

1,517

433

18,141

70

30

146

246

0.4

2.0

33.7

1.4

(1) Relates mainly to business banking and unsecured corporate lending.

(2) Related to the development of commercial residential properties, along with CRE activities that are not strictly investment or development. LTV is not a meaningful measure for this type of lending activity.

 

 

- Overall - The majority of the CRE portfolio was located and managed in the UK. Business appetite and strategy was aligned across NatWest Group.

- 2025 trends - There was strong growth in the residential sector, with other CRE sectors remaining broadly flat. LTV profile remained stable.

- Credit quality - Credit quality improved, with fewer exposures in the Problem Debt Management framework, and the average portfolio probability of default holding steady.

- Risk appetite - Lending appetite is subject to regular review.

 

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Banking activities continued

Flow statements (reviewed)

The flow statements that follow show the main ECL and related income statement movements. They also show the changes in ECL as well as the changes in related financial assets used in determining ECL. Due to differences in scope, exposures may differ from those reported in other tables, principally in relation to exposures in Stage 1 and Stage 2. These differences do not have a material ECL effect. Other points to note:

- Financial assets include treasury liquidity portfolios, comprising balances at central banks and debt securities, as well as loans. Both modelled and non-modelled portfolios are included.

- Stage transfers (for example, exposures moving from Stage 1 into Stage 2) are a key feature of the ECL movements, with the net re-measurement cost of transitioning to a worse stage being a primary driver of income statement charges. Similarly, there is an ECL benefit for accounts improving stage.

- Changes in risk parameters shows the reassessment of the ECL within a given stage, including any ECL overlays and residual income statement gains or losses at the point of write-off or accounting write-down.

- Other (P&L only items) includes any subsequent changes in the value of written-down assets (for example, fortuitous recoveries) along with other direct write-off items such as direct recovery costs. Other (P&L only items) affects the income statement but does not affect balance sheet ECL movements. 

- Amounts written-off represent the gross asset written-down against accounts with ECL, including the net asset write-down for any debt sale activity.

- There were some flows from Stage 1 into Stage 3 including transfers due to unexpected default events with a post model adjustment in place for Commercial & Institutional to account for this risk.

- The effect of any change in post model adjustments during the year is typically reported under changes in risk parameters, as are any effects arising from changes to the underlying models. Refer to the section on Governance and post model adjustments for further details.

- All movements are captured monthly and aggregated. Interest suspended post default is included within Stage 3 ECL, with the movement in the value of suspended interest during the year reported under currency translation and other adjustments.

Stage 1

Stage 2

 

Stage 3

Total

Financial

 

 

Financial

 

 

Financial

 

 

Financial

 

assets

ECL

 

assets

ECL

 

assets

ECL

 

assets

ECL

NatWest Group total

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

At 1 January 2025

515,556

598

 

42,165

787

 

5,901

2,040

 

563,622

3,425

Currency translation and other adjustments

(2,318)

-

 

(28)

-

 

87

94

 

(2,259)

94

Transfers from Stage 1 to Stage 2

(18,664)

(104)

 

18,664

104

 

-

-

 

-

-

Transfers from Stage 2 to Stage 1

15,135

215

 

(15,135)

(215)

 

-

-

 

-

-

Transfers to Stage 3

(282)

(3)

 

(1,342)

(131)

 

1,624

134

 

-

-

Transfers from Stage 3

80

9

 

744

30

 

(824)

(39)

 

-

-

Net re-measurement of ECL on stage transfer

 

(148)

 

277

 

274

 

403

Changes in risk parameters

 

(73)

 

(14)

 

148

 

61

Other changes in net exposure

17,488

154

 

(3,312)

(97)

 

(857)

(121)

 

13,319

(64)

Other (P&L only items)

 

-

 

(1)

 

(17)

 

(18)

Income statement (releases)/charges

 

(67)

 

165

 

284

 

382

Transfers to disposal groups and fair value

-

-

 

-

-

 

-

-

 

-

-

Amounts written-off

-

-

 

-

-

 

(192)

(192)

 

(192)

(192)

Unwinding of discount

 

-

 

-

 

(77)

 

(77)

At 30 June 2025

526,995

648

 

41,756

741

 

5,739

2,261

 

574,490

3,650

Net carrying amount

526,347

 

 

41,015

 

 

3,478

 

 

570,840

 

At 1 January 2024

504,345

709

40,294

976

5,621

1,960

550,260

3,645

2024 movements

(6,334)

(124)

(1,643)

(174)

90

(4)

(7,887)

(302)

At 30 June 2024

498,011

585

38,651

802

5,711

1,956

542,373

3,343

Net carrying amount

497,426

37,849

3,755

539,030

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Banking activities continued

Flow statements (reviewed)

 

Stage 1

Stage 2

 

Stage 3

Total

Financial

 

 

Financial

 

 

Financial

 

 

Financial

 

assets

ECL

 

assets

ECL

 

assets

ECL

 

assets

ECL

Retail Banking - mortgages

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

At 1 January 2025

171,333

76

 

20,992

60

 

2,303

305

 

194,628

441

Currency translation and other adjustments

-

-

 

-

-

 

52

51

 

52

51

Transfers from Stage 1 to Stage 2

(8,422)

(11)

 

8,422

11

 

-

-

 

-

-

Transfers from Stage 2 to Stage 1

6,890

11

 

(6,890)

(11)

 

-

-

 

-

-

Transfers to Stage 3

(8)

-

 

(453)

(4)

 

461

4

 

-

-

Transfers from Stage 3

16

-

 

625

10

 

(641)

(10)

 

-

-

Net re-measurement of ECL on stage transfer

 

(2)

 

-

 

4

 

2

Changes in risk parameters

 

(13)

 

(12)

 

30

 

5

Other changes in net exposure

4,092

(3)

 

(1,359)

(3)

 

(271)

(80)

 

2,462

(86)

Other (P&L only items)

 

-

 

-

 

(10)

 

(10)

Income statement (releases)/charges

 

(18)

 

(15)

 

(56)

 

(89)

Amounts written-off

-

-

 

-

-

 

(13)

(13)

 

(13)

(13)

Unwinding of discount

 

-

 

-

 

(37)

 

(37)

At 30 June 2025

173,901

58

 

21,337

51

 

1,891

254

 

197,129

363

Net carrying amount

173,843

 

 

21,286

 

 

1,637

 

 

196,766

 

At 1 January 2024

174,038

87

17,827

60

2,068

250

193,933

397

2024 movements

(7,045)

(38)

2,490

8

173

30

(4,382)

-

At 30 June 2024

166,993

49

20,317

68

2,241

280

189,551

397

Net carrying amount

166,944

20,249

1,961

189,154

 

- ECL coverage for mortgages decreased during the first half of 2025, primarily driven by the reduction in economic uncertainty post model adjustments (supported by back-testing) and an enhancement to the application of the definition of default. The latter resulted in a £0.4 billion migration of loans from Stage 3 back to the good book.

- PDs and Stage 3 inflows remained broadly stable, with the portfolio showing continued resilience during times when a number of customers have had affordability pressures.

- The net flows into Stage 2 from Stage 1 were offset by a similar level of outflows from Stage 2 to Stage 1 and balance paydown in Stage 2, supporting a stable Stage 2 exposure population during 2025 to date.

- The relatively small ECL cost for net re-measurement on transfer into Stage 3 included the effect of risk targeted ECL adjustments, when previously in the good book. Refer to the Governance and post model adjustments section for further details.

 

- Write-off occurs once the repossessed property has been sold and there is a residual shortfall balance remaining outstanding. This would typically be within five years from default but can be longer.

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Banking activities continued

Flow statements (reviewed)

 

Stage 1

Stage 2

 

Stage 3

Total

Financial

 

 

Financial

 

 

Financial

 

 

Financial

 

assets

ECL

 

assets

ECL

 

assets

ECL

 

assets

ECL

Retail Banking - credit cards

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

At 1 January 2025

4,523

76

 

2,034

186

 

162

117

 

6,719

379

Currency translation and other adjustments

-

-

 

-

-

 

3

3

 

3

3

Transfers from Stage 1 to Stage 2

(1,110)

(24)

 

1,110

24

 

-

-

 

-

-

Transfers from Stage 2 to Stage 1

675

55

 

(675)

(55)

 

-

-

 

-

-

Transfers to Stage 3

(16)

(1)

 

(99)

(35)

 

115

36

 

-

-

Transfers from Stage 3

2

1

 

5

2

 

(7)

(3)

 

-

-

Net re-measurement of ECL on stage transfer

 

(37)

 

95

 

42

 

100

Changes in risk parameters

 

9

 

17

 

9

 

35

Other changes in net exposure

1,594

47

 

(381)

(37)

 

(10)

(1)

 

1,203

9

Other (P&L only items)

 

-

 

-

 

(1)

 

(1)

Income statement (releases)/charges

 

19

 

75

 

49

 

143

Amounts written-off

-

-

 

-

-

 

(52)

(52)

 

(52)

(52)

Unwinding of discount

 

-

 

-

 

(5)

 

(5)

At 30 June 2025

5,668

126

 

1,994

197

 

211

146

 

7,873

469

Net carrying amount

5,542

 

 

1,797

 

 

65

 

 

7,404

 

At 1 January 2024

3,475

70

2,046

204

146

89

5,667

363

2024 movements

648

11

(224)

(16)

23

16

447

11

At 30 June 2024

4,123

81

1,822

188

169

105

6,114

374

Net carrying amount

4,042

1,634

64

5,740

 

- Overall ECL for cards increased during 2025, driven primarily by the acquisition of Sainsbury's Bank credit card balances into Stage 1 (around £1 billion at 30 June 2025) alongside continued organic portfolio growth, reflecting strong customer demand, while sustaining robust risk appetite.

- While portfolio performance remained stable, a net flow into Stage 2 from Stage 1 was observed, with the typical maturation of lending after a period of strong growth in recent years.

- Flow rates into Stage 3 were slightly higher in 2025 compared to 2024. This was linked to recent growth and portfolio maturation, but in line with expectations.

- Charge-off (analogous to partial write-off) typically occurs after 12 missed payments.

 

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Banking activities continued

Flow statements (reviewed)

 

Stage 1

Stage 2

 

Stage 3

Total

Financial

 

 

Financial

 

 

Financial

 

 

Financial

 

assets

ECL

 

assets

ECL

 

assets

ECL

 

assets

ECL

Retail Banking - other personal unsecured

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

At 1 January 2025

5,605

127

 

1,465

182

 

833

641

 

7,903

950

Currency translation and other adjustments

-

-

 

-

-

 

15

17

 

15

17

Transfers from Stage 1 to Stage 2

(998)

(44)

 

998

44

 

-

-

 

-

-

Transfers from Stage 2 to Stage 1

731

75

 

(731)

(75)

 

-

-

 

-

-

Transfers to Stage 3

(38)

(1)

 

(152)

(58)

 

190

59

 

-

-

Transfers from Stage 3

4

1

 

11

5

 

(15)

(6)

 

-

-

Net re-measurement of ECL on stage transfer

 

(49)

 

104

 

26

 

81

Changes in risk parameters

 

(13)

 

(7)

 

60

 

40

Other changes in net exposure

1,808

80

 

(179)

(18)

 

(49)

(24)

 

1,580

38

Other (P&L only items)

 

-

 

-

 

12

 

12

Income statement (releases)/charges

 

18

 

79

 

74

 

171

Amounts written-off

-

-

 

-

-

 

(29)

(29)

 

(29)

(29)

Unwinding of discount

 

-

 

-

 

(17)

 

(17)

At 30 June 2025

7,112

176

 

1,412

177

 

945

727

 

9,469

1,080

Net carrying amount

6,936

 

 

1,235

 

 

218

 

 

8,389

 

At 1 January 2024

5,240

149

1,657

238

963

758

7,860

1,145

2024 movements

477

(4)

(432)

(38)

(118)

(117)

(73)

(159)

At 30 June 2024

5,717

145

1,225

200

845

641

7,787

986

Net carrying amount

5,572

1,025

204

6,801

 

- Total ECL increased, driven primarily by the acquisition of Sainsbury's Bank loan balances into Stage 1 (around £1.2 billion at 30 June 2025) alongside continued organic loan book growth.

- Stable arrears performance was observed during 2025 to date, which is reflected in the good book ECL, with coverage levels showing a modest reduction since 31 December 2024.

- Flow rates into Stage 3 remained stable during the first half of 2025, in line with broader portfolio trends on arrears, with overall Stage 3 balances increasing as a result of reduced debt sale activity.

- Write-off occurs once recovery activity with the customer has been concluded or there are no further recoveries expected, but no later than six years after default.

 

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Banking activities continued

Flow statements (reviewed)

Stage 1

 

Stage 2

 

Stage 3

 

Total

Financial

 

 

Financial

 

 

Financial

 

 

Financial

 

assets

ECL

 

assets

ECL

 

assets

ECL

 

assets

ECL

Commercial & Institutional - corporate

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

At 1 January 2025

62,575

175

 

11,450

273

 

1,562

659

 

75,587

1,107

Currency translation and other adjustments

(574)

 

 

(22)

 

 

9

2

 

(587)

2

Inter-group transfers

84

 

 

27

1

 

-

-

 

111

1

Transfers from Stage 1 to Stage 2

(5,494)

(19)

 

5,494

19

 

-

-

 

-

-

Transfers from Stage 2 to Stage 1

4,080

51

 

(4,080)

(51)

 

-

-

 

-

-

Transfers to Stage 3

(146)

(1)

 

(457)

(28)

 

603

29

 

-

-

Transfers from Stage 3

31

4

 

58

11

 

(89)

(15)

 

-

-

Net re-measurement of ECL on stage transfer

 

(42)

 

54

 

152

 

164

Changes in risk parameters

 

(33)

 

(7)

 

20

 

(20)

Other changes in net exposure

1,840

14

 

(990)

(33)

 

(326)

2

 

524

(17)

Other (P&L only items)

 

-

 

-

 

(17)

 

(17)

Income statement (releases)/charges

 

(61)

 

14

 

157

 

110

Amounts written-off

-

 

 

(86)

(86)

 

(86)

(86)

Unwinding of discount

 

 

 

(13)

 

(13)

At 30 June 2025

62,396

149

 

11,480

239

 

1,673

750

 

75,549

1,138

Net carrying amount

62,247

 

 

11,241

 

 

923

 

 

74,411

 

At 1 January 2024

61,402

226

12,275

344

1,454

602

75,131

1,172

2024 movements

1,914

(52)

(2,180)

(81)

6

9

(260)

(124)

At 30 June 2024

63,316

174

10,095

263

1,460

611

74,871

1,048

Net carrying amount

63,142

9,832

849

73,823

 

- ECL increased in H1 2025 due to the impact of a small number of flows into default. The charge on those cases is seen through net re-measurement of ECL on stage transfer, reflecting the difference between good book ECL and defaulted ECL.

- Performing ECL coverage decreased in line with ECL reductions in the portfolio book as risk metrics improved, in particular from point-in-time economics inputs, and reduced post model adjustments.

- Stage 2 exposure levels were stable in the period as flows into Stage 2 were broadly offset through flows back to Stage 1, repayments, and flows into Stage 3.

 

 

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Banking activities continued

Flow statements (reviewed)

 

Stage 1

Stage 2

 

Stage 3

Total

Financial

 

 

Financial

 

 

Financial

 

 

Financial

 

assets

ECL

 

assets

ECL

 

assets

ECL

 

assets

ECL

Commercial & Institutional - property

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

At 1 January 2025

27,468

77

 

2,980

61

 

590

225

 

31,038

363

Currency translation and other adjustments

5

-

 

-

-

 

8

13

 

13

13

Inter-group transfers

(79)

-

 

(11)

(1)

 

-

-

 

(90)

(1)

Transfers from Stage 1 to Stage 2

(1,429)

(4)

 

1,429

4

 

-

-

 

-

-

Transfers from Stage 2 to Stage 1

928

12

 

(928)

(12)

 

-

-

 

-

-

Transfers to Stage 3

(3)

-

 

(83)

(4)

 

86

4

 

-

-

Transfers from Stage 3

16

2

 

16

2

 

(32)

(4)

 

-

-

Net re-measurement of ECL on stage transfer

 

(10)

 

17

 

9

 

16

Changes in risk parameters

 

(12)

 

(5)

 

7

 

(10)

Other changes in net exposure

1,425

6

 

(190)

(4)

 

(136)

(17)

 

1,099

(15)

Other (P&L only items)

 

-

 

-

 

-

 

-

Income statement (releases)/charges

 

(16)

 

8

 

(1)

 

(9)

Amounts written-off

-

-

 

-

-

 

(10)

(10)

 

(10)

(10)

Unwinding of discount

 

-

 

-

 

(5)

 

(5)

At 30 June 2025

28,331

71

 

3,213

58

 

506

222

 

32,050

351

Net carrying amount

28,260

 

 

3,155

 

 

284

 

 

31,699

 

At 1 January 2024

26,040

94

3,155

89

606

195

29,801

378

2024 movements

486

(26)

(180)

(27)

(43)

32

263

(21)

At 30 June 2024

26,526

68

2,975

62

563

227

30,064

357

Net carrying amount

26,458

2,913

336

29,707

 

- ECL reduced marginally across all stages in the first half of 2025. Flows to Stage 3 and associated charges were notably reduced from the first half of 2024 and more than offset by a reduction on other existing Stage 3 exposures.

- Exposures in Stage 2 increased as flows into Stage 2 were higher than flows out and repayments, but remained at broadly 10% of total good book exposure.

- Performing ECL reductions were driven by improved risk metrics and reductions in post model adjustments. 

 

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Banking activities continued

Flow statements (reviewed)

 

Stage 1

Stage 2

 

Stage 3

Total

Financial

 

 

Financial

 

 

Financial

 

 

Financial

 

assets

ECL

 

assets

ECL

 

assets

ECL

 

assets

ECL

Commercial & Institutional - other

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

At 1 January 2025

93,724

37

 

1,739

12

 

123

57

 

95,586

106

Currency translation and other adjustments

(1,287)

-

 

(8)

-

 

-

8

 

(1,295)

8

Inter-group transfers

(5)

-

 

(16)

-

 

-

-

 

(21)

-

Transfers from Stage 1 to Stage 2

(541)

(1)

 

541

1

 

-

-

 

-

-

Transfers from Stage 2 to Stage 1

1,266

5

 

(1,266)

(5)

 

-

-

 

-

-

Transfers to Stage 3

(64)

-

 

(18)

(1)

 

82

1

 

-

-

Transfers from Stage 3

3

-

 

4

1

 

(7)

(1)

 

-

-

Net re-measurement of ECL on stage transfer

 

(3)

 

2

 

38

 

37

Changes in risk parameters

 

(6)

 

-

 

17

 

11

Other changes in net exposure

(25)

6

 

(96)

(1)

 

(16)

-

 

(137)

5

Other (P&L only items)

 

-

 

-

 

-

 

-

Income statement (releases)/charges

 

(3)

 

1

 

55

 

53

Amounts written-off

-

-

 

-

-

 

(1)

(1)

 

(1)

(1)

Unwinding of discount

 

-

 

-

 

(1)

 

(1)

At 30 June 2025

93,071

38

 

880

9

 

181

118

 

94,132

165

Net carrying amount

93,033

 

 

871

 

 

63

 

 

93,967

 

At 1 January 2024

88,860

36

1,599

14

101

22

90,560

72

2024 movements

889

(3)

(628)

(5)

34

32

295

24

At 30 June 2024

89,749

33

971

9

135

54

90,855

96

Net carrying amount

89,716

962

81

90,759

 

- ECL increased, primarily driven by Stage 3 exposures that defaulted in the first half of 2025.

- The portion of good book exposure in Stage 2 reduced with flows from Stage 1 into Stage 2 more than offset by flows back to Stage 1. 

- Despite the increase in Stage 3 exposure, combined Stage 2 and Stage 3 exposure reduced and continued to be less than 2% of the total assets.

 

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Banking activities continued

Stage 2 decomposition by a significant increase in credit risk trigger

The tables that follow show decomposition for the Personal and Non-Personal portfolios.

Mortgages

 

Credit cards

 

Other

 

Total

30 June 2025

£m

%

 

£m

%

 

£m

%

 

£m

%

Personal trigger (1)

 

 

 

 

 

PD movement

14,701

68.3

 

1,412

73.7

 

771

53.0

 

16,884

67.9

PD persistence

4,076

19.0

 

372

19.4

 

279

19.2

 

4,727

19.0

Adverse credit bureau recorded with credit reference agency

956

4.5

 

81

4.2

 

124

8.5

 

1,161

4.7

Forbearance support provided

227

1.1

 

2

0.1

 

10

0.7

 

239

1.0

Customers in collections

169

0.8

 

12

0.6

 

21

1.4

 

202

0.8

Collective SICR and other reasons (2)

1,217

5.7

 

38

2.0

 

236

16.2

 

1,491

6.0

Days past due >30

131

0.6

 

-

-

 

14

1.0

 

145

0.6

21,477

100.0

 

1,917

100.0

 

1,455

100.0

 

24,849

100.0

31 December 2024

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Personal trigger (1)

PD movement

14,480

68.8

1,425

72.9

809

49.9

16,714

67.8

PD persistence

3,951

18.8

414

21.2

388

23.9

4,753

19.3

Adverse credit bureau recorded with credit reference agency

936

4.4

71

3.6

119

7.3

1,126

4.6

Forbearance support provided

189

0.9

1

0.1

9

0.6

199

0.8

Customers in collections

169

0.8

3

0.2

2

0.1

174

0.7

Collective SICR and other reasons (2)

1,248

5.9

39

2.0

290

17.9

1,577

6.4

Days past due >30

88

0.4

-

-

5

0.3

93

0.4

21,061

100.0

1,953

100.0

1,622

100.0

24,636

100.0

 

For the notes to the table refer to the following page.

- The level of PD driven deterioration remained consistent with 31 December 2024, reflecting stability in portfolio PDs and underlying portfolio arrears trends.

- Higher risk mortgage customers who utilised the new Mortgage Charter measures continued to be collectively migrated into Stage 2 and were captured in the collective SICR and other reasons category.

- Accounts that were less than 30 days past due continued to represent the vast majority of the Stage 2 population.

 

 

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Banking activities continued

Stage 2 decomposition by a significant increase in credit risk trigger

Corporate and other (3)

 

Financial institutions

 

Sovereign

 

Total

30 June 2025

£m

%

 

£m

%

 

£m

%

 

£m

%

Non-Personal trigger (1)

 

PD movement

11,814

80.0

 

284

67.3

 

141

99.3

 

12,239

79.9

PD persistence

226

1.5

 

3

0.7

 

-

-

 

229

1.5

Heightened Monitoring and Risk of Credit Loss

1,761

11.9

 

11

2.6

 

-

-

 

1,772

11.5

Forbearance support provided

345

2.3

 

-

-

 

-

-

 

345

2.2

Customers in collections

33

0.2

 

-

-

 

-

-

 

33

0.2

Collective SICR and other reasons (2)

380

2.6

 

124

29.4

 

1

0.7

 

505

3.3

Days past due >30

221

1.5

 

-

-

 

-

-

 

221

1.4

14,780

100.0

 

422

100.0

 

142

100.0

 

15,344

100.0

31 December 2024

 

Non-Personal trigger (1)

PD movement

11,800

81.6

971

78.2

-

-

12,771

80.6

PD persistence

310

2.1

2

0.2

-

-

312

2.0

Heightened Monitoring and Risk of Credit Loss

1,599

11.1

83

6.7

132

99.2

1,814

11.5

Forbearance support provided

229

1.6

-

-

-

-

229

1.4

Customers in collections

34

0.2

-

-

-

-

34

0.2

Collective SICR and other reasons (2)

396

2.7

172

13.9

1

0.8

569

3.6

Days past due >30

96

0.7

13

1.0

-

-

109

0.7

14,464

100.0

1,241

100.0

133

100.0

15,838

100.0

 

(1) The table is prepared on a hierarchical basis from top to bottom, for example, accounts with PD deterioration may also trigger backstop(s) but are only reported under PD deterioration.

(2) Includes cases where a PD assessment cannot be made and accounts where the PD has deteriorated beyond a prescribed backstop threshold aligned to risk management practices.

 

- Stage 2 loans were broadly stable compared to 31 December 2024. PD movement continued to capture the vast majority of loans in Stage 2, with values marginally reduced, reflective of improved PDs from point-in-time economic metrics.

 

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Banking activities continued

Asset quality (reviewed)

The table below shows asset quality bands of gross loans and ECL, by stage, for the Personal portfolio.

Gross loans

 

ECL provisions

 

ECL provisions coverage

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Total

 

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Total

 

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Total

30 June 2025

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

%

%

%

%

Mortgages

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AQ1-AQ4

111,678

8,954

-

120,632

 

24

15

-

39

 

-

0.2

-

-

AQ5-AQ8

77,908

11,465

-

89,373

 

35

29

-

64

 

-

0.3

-

0.1

AQ9 

157

1,058

-

1,215

 

-

7

-

7

 

-

0.7

-

0.6

AQ10 

-

-

2,116

2,116

 

-

-

276

276

 

-

-

13.0

13.0

189,743

21,477

2,116

213,336

 

59

51

276

386

 

-

0.2

13.0

0.2

Credit cards

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AQ1-AQ4

130

-

-

130

 

1

-

-

1

 

0.8

-

-

0.8

AQ5-AQ8

5,858

1,817

-

7,675

 

126

178

-

304

 

2.2

9.8

-

4.0

AQ9 

23

100

-

123

 

1

19

-

20

 

4.4

19.0

-

16.3

AQ10 

-

-

209

209

 

-

-

147

147

 

-

-

70.3

70.3

6,011

1,917

209

8,137

 

128

197

147

472

 

2.1

10.3

70.3

5.8

Other personal

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AQ1-AQ4

751

104

-

855

 

6

11

-

17

 

0.8

10.6

-

2.0

AQ5-AQ8

8,214

1,209

-

9,423

 

167

131

-

298

 

2.0

10.8

-

3.2

AQ9 

59

142

-

201

 

5

36

-

41

 

8.5

25.4

-

20.4

AQ10 

-

-

960

960

 

-

-

743

743

 

-

-

77.4

77.4

9,024

1,455

960

11,439

 

178

178

743

1,099

 

2.0

12.2

77.4

9.6

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AQ1-AQ4

112,559

9,058

-

121,617

 

31

26

-

57

 

-

0.3

-

0.1

AQ5-AQ8

91,980

14,491

-

106,471

 

328

338

-

666

 

0.4

2.3

-

0.6

AQ9 

239

1,300

-

1,539

 

6

62

-

68

 

2.5

4.8

-

4.4

AQ10 

-

-

3,285

3,285

 

-

-

1,166

1,166

 

-

-

35.5

35.5

204,778

24,849

3,285

232,912

 

365

426

1,166

1,957

0.2

1.7

35.5

0.8

 

 

 

 

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Banking activities continued

Asset quality (reviewed)

Gross loans

ECL provisions

ECL provisions coverage

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Total

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Total

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Total

31 December 2024

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

%

%

%

%

Mortgages

AQ1-AQ4

104,793

8,416

-

113,209

29

16

-

45

-

0.2

-

-

AQ5-AQ8

81,263

11,683

-

92,946

48

38

-

86

0.1

0.3

-

0.1

AQ9 

194

962

-

1,156

-

6

-

6

-

0.6

-

0.5

AQ10 

-

-

2,535

2,535

-

-

325

325

-

-

12.8

12.8

186,250

21,061

2,535

209,846

77

60

325

462

-

0.3

12.8

0.2

Credit cards

AQ1-AQ4

128

-

-

128

1

-

-

1

0.8

-

-

0.8

AQ5-AQ8

4,650

1,866

-

6,516

75

169

-

244

1.6

9.1

-

3.7

AQ9 

23

87

-

110

1

17

-

18

4.4

19.5

-

16.4

AQ10 

-

-

176

176

-

-

118

118

-

-

67.1

67.1

4,801

1,953

176

6,930

77

186

118

381

1.6

9.5

67.1

5.5

Other personal

AQ1-AQ4

691

127

-

818

6

14

-

20

0.9

11.0

-

2.4

AQ5-AQ8

6,521

1,359

-

7,880

120

134

-

254

1.8

9.9

-

3.2

AQ9 

55

136

-

191

4

35

-

39

7.3

25.7

-

20.4

AQ10 

-

-

860

860

-

-

656

656

-

-

76.3

76.3

7,267

1,622

860

9,749

130

183

656

969

1.8

11.3

76.3

9.9

Total

AQ1-AQ4

105,612

8,543

-

114,155

36

30

-

66

-

0.4

-

0.1

AQ5-AQ8

92,434

14,908

-

107,342

243

341

-

584

0.3

2.3

-

0.5

AQ9 

272

1,185

-

1,457

5

58

-

63

1.8

4.9

-

4.3

AQ10 

-

-

3,571

3,571

-

-

1,099

1,099

-

-

30.8

30.8

198,318

24,636

3,571

226,525

284

429

1,099

1,812

0.1

1.7

30.8

0.8

 

- The portfolios acquired from Sainsbury's Bank, increased exposure to AQ5-AQ8 within the credit cards and other personal segments. 

- Stage 3 inflows remained broadly stable. The reduction in Stage3/AQ10 ratio was influenced at a total level by both the acquisition of the Sainsbury's Bank portfolio on unsecured and an enhancement to the application of the definition of default used on mortgages. The latter resulted in a £0.4 billion migration of loans from Stage 3/AQ10 back to the good book.

 

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Banking activities continued

Asset quality (reviewed)

The table below shows asset quality bands of gross loans and ECL, by stage, for the Non-Personal portfolio.

Gross loans

 

ECL provisions

 

ECL provisions coverage

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Total

 

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Total

 

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Total

30 June 2025

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

%

%

%

%

Corporate and other

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AQ1-AQ4

40,896

2,555

-

43,451

 

28

18

-

46

 

0.1

0.7

-

0.1

AQ5-AQ8

54,804

11,982

-

66,786

 

204

268

-

472

 

0.4

2.2

-

0.7

AQ9 

37

243

-

280

 

-

19

-

19

 

-

7.8

-

6.8

AQ10 

-

-

2,394

2,394

 

-

-

990

990

 

-

-

41.4

41.4

95,737

14,780

2,394

112,911

 

232

305

990

1,527

 

0.2

2.1

41.4

1.4

Financial institutions

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AQ1-AQ4

64,735

260

-

64,995

 

20

3

-

23

 

-

1.2

-

-

AQ5-AQ8

5,599

161

-

5,760

 

17

5

-

22

 

0.3

3.1

-

0.4

AQ9 

1

1

-

2

 

-

-

-

-

 

-

-

-

-

AQ10 

-

-

127

127

 

-

-

99

99

 

-

-

78.0

78.0

70,335

422

127

70,884

 

37

8

99

144

 

0.1

1.9

78.0

0.2

Sovereign

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AQ1-AQ4

894

1

-

895

 

14

1

-

15

 

1.6

100.0

-

1.7

AQ5-AQ8

131

-

-

131

 

-

-

-

-

 

-

-

-

-

AQ 9

-

141

-

141

 

-

1

-

1

 

-

0.7

-

0.7

AQ10 

-

-

17

17

 

-

-

6

6

 

-

-

35.3

35.3

1,025

142

17

1,184

 

14

2

6

22

 

1.4

1.4

35.3

1.9

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AQ1-AQ4

106,525

2,816

-

109,341

 

62

22

-

84

 

0.1

0.8

-

0.1

AQ5-AQ8

60,534

12,143

-

72,677

 

221

273

-

494

 

0.4

2.3

-

0.7

AQ9 

38

385

-

423

 

-

20

-

20

 

-

5.2

-

4.7

AQ10 

-

-

2,538

2,538

 

-

-

1,095

1,095

 

-

-

43.1

43.1

167,097

15,344

2,538

184,979

 

283

315

1,095

1,693

 

0.2

2.1

43.1

0.9

 

 

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Banking activities continued

Asset quality (reviewed)

Gross loans

ECL provisions

ECL provisions coverage

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Total

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Total

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Total

31 December 2024

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

%

%

%

%

Corporate and other

AQ1-AQ4

41,509

2,409

-

43,918

32

19

-

51

0.1

0.8

-

0.1

AQ5-AQ8

53,448

11,783

-

65,231

232

306

-

538

0.4

2.6

-

0.8

AQ9 

34

272

-

306

-

19

-

19

-

7.0

-

6.2

AQ10 

-

-

2,279

2,279

-

-

896

896

-

-

39.3

39.3

94,991

14,464

2,279

111,734

264

344

896

1,504

0.3

2.4

39.3

1.4

Financial institutions

AQ1-AQ4

64,845

233

-

65,078

21

2

-

23

-

0.9

-

-

AQ5-AQ8

4,176

996

-

5,172

17

9

-

26

0.4

0.9

-

0.5

AQ9 

-

12

-

12

-

1

-

1

-

8.3

-

8.3

AQ10 

-

-

59

59

-

-

40

40

-

-

67.8

67.8

69,021

1,241

59

70,321

38

12

40

90

0.1

1.0

67.8

0.1

Sovereign

AQ1-AQ4

1,364

1

-

1,365

12

1

-

13

0.9

100.0

-

1.0

AQ5-AQ8

127

-

-

127

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

AQ9 

-

132

-

132

-

1

-

1

-

0.8

-

0.8

AQ10 

-

-

21

21

-

-

5

5

-

-

23.8

23.8

1,491

133

21

1,645

12

2

5

19

0.8

1.5

23.8

1.2

Total

AQ1-AQ4

107,718

2,643

-

110,361

65

22

-

87

0.1

0.8

-

0.1

AQ5-AQ8

57,751

12,779

-

70,530

249

315

-

564

0.4

2.5

-

0.8

AQ9 

34

416

-

450

-

21

-

21

-

5.1

-

4.7

AQ10 

-

-

2,359

2,359

-

-

941

941

-

-

39.9

39.9

165,503

15,838

2,359

183,700

314

358

941

1,613

0.2

2.3

39.9

0.9

 

- Asset quality was broadly stable since 31 December 2024. The majority of exposure for corporates and other continued to be in the AQ5 to AQ8 band, which also accounted for the largest increase in the period.

- As expected, exposures in higher AQ bands attracted higher coverage ratios.

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Trading activities

This section details the credit risk profile of NatWest Group's trading activities.

Securities financing transactions and collateral (reviewed)

The table below shows securities financing transactions in Commercial & Institutional and Central items & other. Balance sheet captions include balances held at all classifications under IFRS.

 

 Reverse repos 

 Repos 

 

 

 Of which: 

 Outside netting 

 

 Of which: 

 Outside netting 

 

 Total 

 can be offset 

 arrangements 

 Total 

 can be offset 

 arrangements 

30 June 2025

 £m 

 £m 

 £m 

 £m 

 £m 

 £m 

Gross

95,498

94,568

930

86,696

83,992

2,704

IFRS offset

(33,802)

(33,802)

-

(33,802)

(33,802)

-

Carrying value

61,696

60,766

930

52,894

50,190

2,704

Master netting arrangements

(517)

(517)

-

(517)

(517)

-

Securities collateral

(59,424)

(59,424)

-

(49,673)

(49,673)

-

Potential for offset not recognised under IFRS

(59,941)

(59,941)

-

(50,190)

(50,190)

-

Net

1,755

825

930

2,704

-

2,704

 

 

 

31 December 2024

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross

87,901

87,861

40

68,024

67,321

703

IFRS offset

(23,883)

(23,883)

-

(23,883)

(23,883)

-

Carrying value

64,018

63,978

40

44,141

43,438

703

Master netting arrangements

(1,549)

(1,549)

-

(1,549)

(1,549)

-

Securities collateral

(62,217)

(62,217)

-

(41,889)

(41,889)

-

Potential for offset not recognised under IFRS

(63,766)

(63,766)

-

(43,438)

(43,438)

-

Net

252

212

40

703

-

703

 

 

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Trading activities continued

Derivatives (reviewed)

The table below shows derivatives by type of contract. The master netting agreements and collateral shown do not result in a net presentation on the balance sheet under IFRS. A significant proportion of the derivatives relate to trading activities in Commercial & Institutional. The table also includes hedging derivatives in Central items & other.

 

30 June 2025

31 December 2024

Notional

 

 

 

GBP

USD

EUR

Other

Total

Assets

Liabilities

Notional

Assets

Liabilities

£bn

£bn

£bn

£bn

£bn

£m

£m

£bn

£m

£m

Gross exposure

 

90,087

84,878

97,152

93,109

IFRS offset

 

(17,077)

(18,895)

(18,746)

(21,027)

Carrying value

4,137

3,397

5,907

1,165

14,606

73,010

65,983

13,628

78,406

72,082

Of which:

 

Interest rate (1)

3,793

1,824

5,183

208

11,008

35,028

28,317

10,333

37,499

31,532

Exchange rate

341

1,569

717

957

3,584

37,897

37,496

3,279

40,797

40,306

Credit

1

4

7

-

12

85

170

14

110

244

Equity and commodity

2

-

-

-

2

-

-

2

-

-

Carrying value

4,137

3,397

5,907

1,165

14,606

73,010

65,983

13,628

78,406

72,082

Counterparty mark-to-market netting

 

(57,011)

(57,011)

(61,883)

(61,883)

Cash collateral

 

(9,041)

(4,723)

(10,005)

(5,801)

Securities collateral

 

(3,814)

(1,274)

(4,072)

(896)

Net exposure

 

3,144

2,975

2,446

3,502

Banks (2)

 

175

348

214

345

Other financial institutions (3)

 

1,839

1,286

1,429

1,456

Corporate (4)

 

1,071

1,318

769

1,669

Government (5)

 

59

23

34

32

Net exposure

 

3,144

2,975

2,446

3,502

UK

 

1,494

1,710

1,061

1,774

Europe

 

994

873

875

978

US

 

555

330

443

604

RoW

 

101

62

67

146

Net exposure

 

3,144

2,975

2,446

3,502

Asset quality of uncollateralised derivative assets

AQ1-AQ4

 

2,500

2,049

AQ5-AQ8

 

641

394

AQ9-AQ10

 

3

3

Net exposure

 

3,144

2,446

(1) The notional amount of interest rate derivatives included £7,725 billion (31 December 2024 - £7,321 billion) in respect of contracts cleared through central clearing counterparties.

(2) Transactions with certain counterparties with whom NatWest Group has netting arrangements but collateral is not posted on a daily basis; certain transactions with specific terms that may not fall within netting and collateral arrangements; derivative positions in certain jurisdictions where the collateral agreements are not deemed to be legally enforceable.

(3) Includes transactions with securitisation vehicles and funds where collateral posting is contingent on NatWest Group's external rating.

(4) Mainly large corporates with whom NatWest Group may have netting arrangements in place, but operational capability does not support collateral posting.

(5) Sovereigns and supranational entities with no collateral arrangements, collateral arrangements that are not considered enforceable, or one-way collateral agreements in their favour.

 

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk - Trading activities continued

Debt securities (reviewed)

The table below shows debt securities held at mandatory fair value through profit or loss by issuer as well as ratings based on the lowest of Standard & Poor's, Moody's and Fitch. Refer to Note 9 Trading assets and liabilities for details on short positions.

 

Central and local government

 

 

UK

US

Other

Financial institutions

Corporate

Total

30 June 2025

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

AAA

-

-

2,610

1,572

-

4,182

AA to AA+

-

6,832

562

393

2

7,789

A to AA-

3,961

-

2,618

955

95

7,629

BBB- to A-

-

-

916

411

549

1,876

Non-investment grade

-

-

-

65

132

197

Total

3,961

6,832

6,706

3,396

778

21,673

31 December 2024

AAA

-

-

1,335

1,368

-

2,703

AA to AA+

-

3,734

74

569

2

4,379

A to AA-

2,077

-

1,266

381

519

4,243

BBB- to A-

-

-

831

562

885

2,278

Non-investment grade

-

-

-

108

167

275

Total

2,077

3,734

3,506

2,988

1,573

13,878

 

 

Risk and capital management continued

Capital, liquidity and funding risk 

Introduction

NatWest Group takes a comprehensive approach to the management of capital, liquidity and funding, underpinned by frameworks, risk appetite and policies, to manage and mitigate capital, liquidity and funding risks. The framework ensures the tools and capability are in place to facilitate the management and mitigation of risk ensuring that NatWest Group operates within its regulatory requirements and risk appetite.

Key developments since 31 December 2024

 

CET1 ratio

13.6%

(2024 - 13.6%)

The CET1 ratio remained static due to a £0.9 billion increase in CET1 capital offset by a £6.9 billion increase in RWAs.

The CET1 capital increase was mainly driven by an attributable profit to ordinary shareholders in the period of £2.5 billion and other movements on reserves and regulatory adjustments of £0.4 billion partially offset by a share buyback of £0.8 billion and a foreseeable ordinary dividend accrual of £1.2 billion.

 

 

 

 

 

RWAs

£190.1bn

(2024 - £183.2bn)

Total RWAs increased by £6.9 billion to £190.1 billion during H1 2025 reflecting:

- an increase in credit risk RWA's of £4.6 billion, primarily driven by lending growth, balances acquired from Sainsbury's Bank and CRD IV model updates. These increases were partially offset by reductions due to active RWA management, movements in risk metrics and the impact of foreign exchange.

- an increase in operational risk RWAs of £2.2 billion following the annual recalculation.

- an increase in counterparty credit risk RWAs of £0.5 billion driven by an increase in over-the-counter transaction under the IMM approach.

- a decrease in market risk RWAs of £0.4 billion, driven by the IRC, reflecting changes in government bond positions.

 

 

 

UK leverage ratio

5.0%

(2024 - 5.0%)

The leverage ratio remained static due to a £1.6 billion increase in Tier 1 capital offset by a £27.8 billion increase in leverage exposure. The key drivers in the leverage exposure were an increase in trading assets, other financial assets and other off balance sheet items.

 

MREL ratio

32.4%

(2024 - 33.0%)

The Minimum Requirements of own funds and Eligible Liabilities (MREL) ratio decreased by 60 basis points driven by a £6.9 billion increase in RWAs partially offset by a £1.2 billion increase in MREL.

MREL increased to £61.7 billion driven by a £0.9 billion increase in CET1 capital, issuance of a £0.7 billion Additional Tier 1 instrument and a €1.0 billion subordinated debt Tier 2 instrument, and redemption of a £1.0 billion subordinated debt Tier 2 instrument. There was a £0.2 billion decrease in senior unsecured debt driven by new issuances totalling £3.3 billion, offset by the redemption of a €1.5 billion debt instrument, a $1.5 billion debt instrument no longer being MREL eligible, and foreign exchange movements.

 

 

Liquidity portfolio

£216.6bn

(2024 - £222.3bn)

The liquidity portfolio decreased by £5.7 billion to £216.6 billion compared with Q4 2024. Primary liquidity decreased by £0.5 billion to £160.6 billion, driven by increased lending (including balances acquired from Sainsbury's Bank) partially offset by issuances. Secondary liquidity decreased by £5.2 billion due to reduced pre-positioned collateral at the Bank of England.

 

 

 

LCR spot

147%

(2024 - 150%)

The spot Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) decreased by 3% to 147%, during H1 2025, driven by increased lending (including balances acquired from Sainsbury's Bank) partially offset by issuances.

 

LCR average

150%

(2024 - 151%)

 

 

NSFR spot

134%

(2024 - 137%)

The spot Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR) decreased 3% to 134% driven by increased lending (including balances acquired from Sainsbury's Bank), partially offset by increased issuances.

 

NSFR average

136%

(2024 - 137%)

 

 

Risk and capital management continued

Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued

Maximum Distributable Amount (MDA) and Minimum Capital Requirements

NatWest Group is subject to minimum capital requirements relative to RWAs. The table below summarises the minimum capital requirements (the sum of Pillar 1 and Pillar 2A), and the additional capital buffers which are held in excess of the regulatory minimum requirements and are usable in stress.

Where the CET1 ratio falls below the sum of the minimum capital and the combined buffer requirement, there is a subsequent automatic restriction on the amount available to service discretionary payments (including AT1 coupons), known as the MDA. Note that different capital requirements apply to individual legal entities or sub-groups and that the table shown does not reflect any incremental PRA buffer requirements, which are not disclosable.

The current capital position provides significant headroom above both NatWest Group's minimum requirements and its MDA threshold requirements.

Type

CET1

Total Tier 1

Total capital

Pillar 1 requirements

4.5%

6.0%

8.0%

Pillar 2A requirements

1.8%

2.4%

3.2%

Minimum Capital Requirements

6.3%

8.4%

11.2%

Capital conservation buffer

2.5%

2.5%

2.5%

Countercyclical capital buffer (1) 

1.7%

1.7%

1.7%

MDA threshold (2)

10.5%

 

n/a

 

n/a

Overall capital requirement

10.5%

12.6%

15.4%

Capital ratios at 30 June 2025

13.6%

16.7%

19.7%

Headroom (3,4)

3.1%

4.1%

4.3%

(1) The UK countercyclical buffer (CCyB) rate is currently being maintained at 2%. This may vary in either direction in the future subject to how risks develop. Foreign exposures may be subject to different CCyB rates depending on the rate set in those jurisdictions.

(2) Pillar 2A requirements for NatWest Group are set as a variable amount with the exception of some fixed add-ons.

(3) The headroom does not reflect excess distributable capital and may vary over time.

(4) Headroom as at 31 December 2024 was CET1 3.1%, Total Tier 1 3.9% and Total Capital 4.3%.

 

Leverage ratios

The table below summarises the minimum ratios of capital to leverage exposure under the binding PRA UK leverage framework applicable for NatWest Group.

Type

CET1

Total Tier 1

Minimum ratio

2.44%

3.25%

Countercyclical leverage ratio buffer (1)

0.6%

0.6%

Total

3.04%

3.85%

(1) The countercyclical leverage ratio buffer is set at 35% of NatWest Group's CCyB.

Liquidity and funding ratios

The table below summarises the minimum requirements for key liquidity and funding metrics under the PRA framework.

Type

 

Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR)

100%

Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR)

100%

 

Risk and capital management continued

Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued

Capital and leverage ratios

The table below sets out the key capital and leverage metrics in accordance with current PRA rules.

30 June

31 December

2025

2024

Capital adequacy ratios (1)

%

%

CET1

13.6

13.6

Tier 1

16.7

16.5

Total

19.7

19.7

RWAs

£m

£m

Credit risk

152,785

148,078

Counterparty credit risk

7,626

7,103

Market risk

5,777

6,219

Operational risk

23,959

21,821

Total RWAs

190,147

183,221

 

Capital

£m

£m

CET1

25,799

24,928

Tier1

31,804

30,187

Total

37,531

36,105

 

Leverage ratios (2)

£m

£m

Tier 1 capital

31,804

30,187

UK leverage exposure

635,551

607,799

UK leverage ratio (%)

5.0%

5.0%

UK average Tier 1 capital 

31,795

29,923

UK average leverage exposure

629,158

600,354

UK average leverage ratio (%)

5.1%

5.0%

 

(1) The IFRS 9 transitional capital rules in respect of ECL provisions no longer apply as of 1 January 2025. (The impact of the IFRS 9 transitional adjustments at 31 December 2024 was £33 million for CET1 capital, £33 million for total capital and £3 million RWAs. Excluding this adjustment at 31 December 2024, the CET1 ratio was 13.6%, Tier 1 capital ratio was 16.5% and the Total capital ratio was 19.7%).

(2) The UK leverage exposure and Tier 1 capital are calculated in accordance with current PRA rules. The IFRS 9 transitional capital rules in respect of ECL no longer apply as of 1 January 2025. (Excluding the IFRS 9 transitional adjustment, the UK leverage ratio at 31 December 2024 was 5.0%).

 

Risk and capital management continued

Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued

Capital and leverage ratios continued

 

30 June

31 December

 

2025

2024

Leverage

£m

£m

Cash and balances at central banks

90,706

92,994

Trading assets

56,706

48,917

Derivatives

73,010

78,406

Financial assets

486,305

469,599

Other assets

24,051

18,069

Total assets

730,778

707,985

Derivatives

 

- netting and variation margin

(69,191)

(76,101)

- potential future exposures

16,831

16,692

Securities financing transactions gross up

1,510

2,460

Other off balance sheet items

62,497

59,498

Regulatory deductions and other adjustments

(17,869)

(11,014)

Claims on central banks

(87,228)

(89,299)

Exclusion of bounce back loans

(1,777)

(2,422)

UK leverage exposure 

635,551

607,799

UK leverage ratio (%)

5.0

5.0

 

 

Risk and capital management continued

Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued

Capital flow statement

The table below analyses the movement in CET1, AT1 and Tier 2 capital for the half year ended 30 June 2025.

CET1

AT1

Tier 2

Total

£m

£m

£m

£m

At 31 December 2024

24,928

5,259

5,918

36,105

Attributable profit for the period

2,488

-

-

2,488

Share buyback

(750)

-

-

(750)

Foreseeable ordinary dividends 

(1,244)

-

-

(1,244)

Foreign exchange reserve

(82)

-

-

(82)

FVOCI reserve

95

-

-

95

Own credit

(4)

-

-

(4)

Share based remuneration and shares vested under employee share schemes

142

-

-

142

Goodwill and intangibles deduction

80

-

-

80

Deferred tax assets

149

-

-

149

Prudential valuation adjustments

20

-

-

20

New issues of capital instruments

-

746

823

1,569

Redemption of capital instruments

-

-

(1,000)

(1,000)

Foreign exchange movements

-

-

(54)

(54)

Adjustment under IFRS 9 transitional arrangements

(33)

-

-

(33)

Expected loss less impairment

27

-

-

27

Other movements

(17)

-

40

23

At 30 June 2025

25,799

6,005

5,727

37,531

- For CET1 movements refer to the key points on page 56.

- The AT1 movement reflects the £0.7 billion 7.500% Reset Perpetual Subordinated Contingent Convertible Additional Tier 1 Capital Notes issued in March 2025.

- Tier 2 movements of £0.2 billion include a decrease of £1.0 billion due to the redemption of 3.622% Fixed to Fixed Rate Reset Tier 2 Notes due 2030 in May 2025 and foreign exchange movements partially offset by an increase of £0.8 billion for a €1.0 billion 3.723% Fixed to Fixed Rate Reset Tier 2 Notes 2035 issued in February 2025.

- Within other movements for Tier 2 capital, there was an increase as a result of excess IRB provisions over expected losses in the period.

Capital generation pre-distributions

30 June

31 December

2025

2024

£

£

CET1 

25,799

24,928

CET1 capital pre-distributions (1)

27,793

28,920

RWAs 

190,147

183,221

 

 % 

 % 

CET1 ratio - opening

13.61

13.36

CET1 pre-distributions - closing

14.62

15.78

Capital generation pre-distributions (1)

1.01

2.43

 

(1) The calculation of capital generation pre-distributions uses CET1 capital pre-distributions. Distributions includes ordinary dividends paid, foreseeable ordinary dividends and share buybacks.

Risk and capital management continued

Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued

Capital resources (reviewed)

NatWest Group's regulatory capital is assessed against minimum requirements that are set out under the UK CRR to determine the strength of its capital base. This note shows a reconciliation of shareholders' equity to regulatory capital.

30 June

31 December

2025

2024

£m

£m

Shareholders' equity (excluding non-controlling interests)

Shareholders' equity

 41,958

 39,350

Other equity instruments

(6,029)

(5,280)

 35,929

 34,070

Regulatory adjustments and deductions

 

Own credit

 24

 28

Defined benefit pension fund adjustment

(157)

(147)

Cash flow hedging reserve 

 971

 1,443

Deferred tax assets

(935)

(1,084)

Prudential valuation adjustments

(210)

(230)

Goodwill and other intangible assets

(7,464)

(7,544)

Expected loss less impairment

-

(27)

Foreseeable ordinary dividends

(1,244)

(1,249)

Adjustment for trust assets (1)

(365)

(365)

Foreseeable charges (2)

(750)

-

Adjustment under IFRS 9 transitional arrangements 

-

 33

(10,130)

(9,142)

CET1 capital

 25,799

 24,928

Additional Tier 1 (AT1) capital

 

Qualifying instruments and related share premium

 6,005

 5,259

AT1 capital

 6,005

 5,259

Tier 1 capital

 31,804

 30,187

Qualifying Tier 2 capital

 

Qualifying instruments and related share premium

 5,687

 5,918

Other regulatory adjustments

 40

-

Tier 2 capital

 5,727

 5,918

Total regulatory capital

 37,531

 36,105

(1) Prudent deduction in respect of agreement with the pension fund to establish legal structure to remove dividend linked contribution.

(2) For June 2025, the foreseeable charge of £750 million relates to a share buyback.

 

 

 

Risk and capital management continued

Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued

Minimum requirements of own funds and eligible liabilities (MREL)

The following table illustrates the components of MREL in NatWest Group and operating subsidiaries.

 

30 June 2025

 

31 December 2024

 

Balance

Regulatory

MREL

 

Balance

Regulatory

MREL

Par value (1)

sheet value

value

Value (2)

 

Par value (1)

sheet value

value

Value (2)

£bn

£bn

£bn

£bn

 

£bn

£bn

£bn

£bn

CET1 capital (3)

25.8

25.8

25.8

25.8

24.9

24.9

24.9

24.9

Tier 1 capital: end-point CRR compliant AT1

 

 

 

 

 

of which: NatWest Group plc (holdco)

6.0

6.0

6.0

6.0

 

5.3

5.3

5.3

5.3

of which: NatWest Group plc operating  subsidiaries (opcos)

-

-

-

-

 

-

-

-

-

6.0

6.0

6.0

6.0

 

5.3

5.3

5.3

5.3

Tier 1 capital: end-point CRR non-compliant

 

 

of which: holdco

-

-

-

-

 

-

-

-

-

of which: opcos

0.1

0.1

-

-

 

0.1

0.1

-

-

0.1

0.1

-

-

 

0.1

0.1

-

-

Tier 2 capital: end-point CRR compliant

 

 

of which: holdco

5.7

5.6

5.7

5.7

 

5.9

5.7

5.9

5.9

of which: opcos

-

-

-

-

 

-

-

-

-

5.7

5.6

5.7

5.7

 

5.9

5.7

5.9

5.9

Tier 2 capital: end-point CRR non-compliant

 

 

of which: holdco

-

-

-

-

 

-

-

-

-

of which: opcos

0.2

0.3

-

-

 

0.2

0.3

-

-

0.2

0.3

-

-

 

0.2

0.3

-

-

Senior unsecured debt securities 

 

 

of which: holdco

25.3

25.2

-

24.2

 

24.4

24.0

-

24.4

of which: opcos 

36.9

36.9

-

-

33.7

33.6

-

-

62.2

62.1

-

24.2

58.1

57.6

-

24.4

Tier 2 capital

 

 

Other regulatory adjustments

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

 

Total

100.0

99.9

37.5

61.7

94.5

93.9

36.1

60.5

RWAs

 

190.1

183.2

UK leverage exposure

 

635.6

607.8

MREL as a ratio of RWAs

 

32.4%

33.0%

MREL as a ratio of UK leverage exposure

 

9.7%

9.9%

 

(1)

Par value reflects the nominal value of securities issued.

(2)

MREL value reflects NatWest Group's interpretation of the Bank of England's approach to setting a MREL, published in December 2021 (Updating June 2018). Liabilities excluded from MREL include instruments with less than one year remaining to maturity, structured debt, operating company senior debt, and other instruments that do not meet the MREL criteria. The MREL calculation includes Tier 1 and Tier 2 securities before the application of any regulatory caps or adjustments.

(3)

Shareholders' equity was £42 billion (2024 - £39.4 billion).

 

Risk and capital management continued

Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued

Minimum requirements of own funds and eligible liabilities (MREL) continued

The following table illustrates the components of the stock of outstanding issuance in NatWest Group plc and its operating subsidiaries including external and internal issuances.

 

NatWest

 

 

 

NatWest

NWM

RBS

NatWest

Holdings

NWB

RBS

NWM

Markets

Securities

International

Group plc

Limited

Plc

plc

Plc

N.V.

Inc. (6)

Limited (7)

£bn

£bn

£bn

£bn

£bn

£bn

£bn

£bn

Additional Tier 1

Externally issued

6.0 

-

0.1 

-

-

-

-

-

Additional Tier 1

Internally issued

-

4.4 

3.8 

0.5 

2.1 

0.2 

-

0.3 

6.0 

4.4 

3.9 

0.5 

2.1 

0.2 

-

0.3 

Tier 2

Externally issued

5.6 

-

-

-

-

0.2 

-

-

Tier 2

Internally issued

-

4.9 

4.1 

0.5 

1.0 

0.1 

0.3 

-

5.6 

4.9 

4.1 

0.5 

1.0 

0.3 

0.3 

-

Senior unsecured

Externally issued

25.2 

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Senior unsecured

Internally issued

-

13.0 

7.3 

1.0 

4.6 

-

-

0.3 

25.2 

13.0 

7.3 

1.0 

4.6 

-

-

0.3 

Total outstanding issuance

36.8 

22.3 

15.3 

2.0 

7.7 

0.5 

0.3 

0.6 

(1) For AT1 and Tier 2, the balances are the IFRS balance sheet carrying amounts, which may differ from the amount which the instrument contributes to regulatory capital. Regulatory balances exclude, for example, issuance costs and fair value movements, while dated capital is required to be amortised on a straight-line basis over the final five years of maturity.

(2) Balance sheet amounts reported for AT1 and Tier 2 instruments are before grandfathering restrictions imposed by CRR.

(3) Internal issuance for NWB Plc and RBS plc represents AT1, Tier 2 or Senior unsecured issuance to NWH Ltd and for NWM N.V. and NWM SI to NWM Plc.

(4) The balances are the IFRS balance sheet carrying amounts for Senior unsecured debt category and it does not include CP, CD and short term/medium notes issued from NatWest Group operating subsidiaries.

(5) The above table does not include CET1 balance.

(6) NWM Securities Inc is regulated under US broker dealer rules.

 

(7) RBSI Ltd - the Resolution Regime is under development in Jersey.

Risk and capital management continued

Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued

Risk-weighted assets

The table below analyses the movement in RWAs during the period, by key drivers.

 

Counterparty

 

Operational

 

Credit risk

credit risk

Market risk

risk

Total 

£bn

£bn

£bn

£bn

£bn

At 31 December 2024

148.1

7.1

6.2

21.8

183.2

Foreign exchange movement

(0.7)

-

-

-

(0.7)

Business movement

2.2

0.3

(0.4)

2.2

4.3

Risk parameter changes

(0.5)

-

-

-

(0.5)

Model updates

2.0

0.2

-

-

2.2

Acquisitions and disposals

1.6

-

-

-

1.6

At 30 June 2025

152.7

7.6

5.8

24.0

190.1

 

The table below analyses segmental RWAs.

 

Private Banking

 

 

Total 

Retail

& Wealth

Commercial

Central items 

NatWest

Banking

Management

& Institutional 

& other

Group

Total RWAs

£bn

£bn

£bn

£bn

£bn

At 31 December 2024

65.5

11.0

104.7

2.0

183.2

Foreign exchange movement

-

-

(0.7)

-

(0.7)

Business movement

1.5

0.5

2.9

(0.6)

4.3

Risk parameter changes 

0.1

-

(0.6)

-

(0.5)

Model updates

0.7

-

1.5

-

2.2

Acquisitions and disposals

1.6

-

-

-

1.6

At 30 June 2025

69.4

11.5

107.8

1.4

190.1

Credit risk

60.2

9.9

81.4

1.2

152.7

Counterparty credit risk

0.3

-

7.3

-

7.6

Market risk

0.2

-

5.6

-

5.8

Operational risk

8.7

1.6

13.5

0.2

24.0

Total RWAs

69.4

11.5

107.8

1.4

190.1

Total RWAs increased by £6.9 billion to £190.1 billion during the period mainly reflecting:

- A reduction in risk-weighted assets from foreign exchange movement of £0.7 billion due to sterling appreciation versus the US dollar and depreciation versus the Euro.

- An increase in business movements totalling £4.3 billion, driven by the annual recalculation of operational risk, an increase in credit risk due to lending growth partially offset by reductions due to active RWA management. A decrease in market risk was partially offset by an increase in counterparty credit risk.

- A reduction in risk parameters of £0.5 billion primarily driven by movements in risk metrics within Commercial & Institutional and Retail Banking.

- An increase in model updates of £2.2 billion, driven by CRD IV model updates within Commercial & Institutional and Retail Banking.

- An increase in acquisitions and disposals of £1.6 billion driven by balances acquired from Sainsbury's Bank.

 

Risk and capital management continued

Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued

Funding sources (reviewed)

The table below shows the carrying values of the principal funding sources based on contractual maturity. Balance sheet captions include balances held at all classifications under IFRS 9.

30 June 2025

 

31 December 2024

Short-term

Long-term

 

 

Short-term

Long-term

less than

more than

 

 

less than

more than

1 year

1 year

Total

 

1 year

1 year

Total

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

Bank deposits

 

 

 

Repos

17,996

-

17,996

 

11,967

-

11,967

Other bank deposits (1)

10,495

9,657

20,152

 

9,708

9,777

19,485

28,491

9,657

38,148

 

21,675

9,777

31,452

Customer deposits

 

 

 

 

Repos

988

-

988

 

1,363

-

1,363

Non-bank financial institutions

53,457

10

53,467

 

48,761

241

49,002

Personal

231,226

2,991

234,217

 

231,483

2,451

233,934

Corporate

148,038

46

148,084

 

149,086

105

149,191

433,709

3,047

436,756

 

430,693

2,797

433,490

Trading liabilities (2)

 

 

 

 

Repos (3)

33,014

897

33,911

 

29,752

810

30,562

Derivative collateral

11,597

-

11,597

 

12,509

-

12,509

Other bank customer deposits

591

280

871

 

627

268

895

Debt securities in issue - Medium term notes

9

242

251

 

20

237

257

45,211

1,419

46,630

 

42,908

1,315

44,223

Other financial liabilities

 

 

 

 

Customer deposits

854

1,129

1,983

 

471

1,341

1,812

Debt securities in issue:

 

 

 

 

Commercial paper and certificates of deposit

11,093

298

11,391

 

10,889

377

11,266

Medium term notes

13,401

37,153

50,554

 

11,118

34,967

46,085

Covered bonds

-

749

749

 

-

749

749

Securitisation

-

1,263

1,263

 

295

880

1,175

25,348

40,592

65,940

 

22,773

38,314

61,087

Subordinated liabilities

48

5,958

6,006

 

1,051

5,085

6,136

Total funding

532,807

60,673

593,480

 

519,100

57,288

576,388

Of which: available in resolution (4)

 

 

29,778

 

 

 

29,742

(1) Includes £12.0 billion (31 December 2024 - £12.0 billion) relating to Term Funding Scheme with additional incentives for small and medium-sized enterprises (SME) participation.

(2) Excludes short positions of £12.2 billion (31 December 2024 - £10.5 billion).

(3) Comprises central & other bank repos of £9.6 billion (31 December 2024 - £7.2 billion), other financial institution repos of £20.8 billion (31 December 2024 - £20.4 billion) and other corporate repos of £3.5 billion (31 December 2024 - £3.0 billion).

(4) Eligible liabilities (as defined in the Banking Act 2009 as amended from time to time) that meet the eligibility criteria set out in the regulations, rules, policies, guidelines, or statements of the Bank of England including the Statement of Policy published by the Bank of England in December 2021 (updating June 2018). The balance consists of £24.2 billion (31 December 2024 - £24.0 billion) under debt securities in issue (senior MREL) and £5.6 billion (31 December 2024 - £5.7 billion) under subordinated liabilities.

 

Risk and capital management continued

Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued

Liquidity portfolio (reviewed)

The table below shows the composition of the liquidity portfolio with primary liquidity aligned to high-quality liquid assets on a regulatory LCR basis. Secondary liquidity comprises of assets which are eligible as collateral for local central bank liquidity facilities and do not form part of the LCR eligible high-quality liquid assets. High-quality liquid assets cover both Pillar 1 and Pillar 2 risks.

Liquidity value

30 June 2025

 

31 December 2024

NatWest

NWH

UK DoL

 

NatWest

NWH

UK DoL

Group (1)

Group (2)

Sub

 

Group (1)

Group (2)

Sub 

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

Cash and balances at central banks 

 86,589

 55,027

 54,353

 

 88,617

 58,313

 57,523

High-quality government/MDB/PSE and GSE bonds (3)

 61,527

 44,580

 44,580

 

 58,818

 43,275

 43,275

Extremely high quality covered bonds

 4,494

 4,494

 4,494

 

 4,341

 4,340

 4,340

LCR level 1 assets

 152,610

 104,101

 103,427

 

 151,776

 105,928

 105,138

LCR level 2 Eligible Assets (4)

 7,985

 6,880

 6,880

 

 9,271

 7,957

 7,957

Primary liquidity (HQLA) (5)

 160,595

 110,981

 110,307

 

 161,047

 113,885

 113,095

Secondary liquidity

 55,997

 55,969

 55,969

 

 61,230

 61,200

 61,200

Total liquidity value

 216,592

 166,950

 166,276

 

 222,277

 175,085

 174,295

(1) NatWest Group includes the UK Domestic Liquidity Sub-Group (UK DoLSub), NatWest Markets Plc and other significant operating subsidiaries that hold liquidity portfolios. These include The RBSI Ltd and NWM N.V. who hold managed portfolios that comply with local regulations that may differ from PRA rules.

(2) NWH Group comprises UK DoLSub and NatWest Bank Europe GmbH who hold managed portfolios that comply with local regulations that may differ from PRA rules.

(3) Multilateral development bank abbreviated to MDB, public sector entities abbreviated to PSE and government sponsored entities abbreviated to GSE.

(4) Includes Level 2A and Level 2B.

(5) High-quality liquid assets abbreviated to HQLA.

 

Risk and capital management continued

Non-traded market risk

Non-traded market risk is the risk to the value of assets or liabilities outside the trading book, or the risk to income, that arises from changes in market prices such as interest rates, foreign exchange rates and equity prices, or from changes in managed rates.

Key developments

- In the UK, the base rate reduced from 4.75% at 31 December 2024 to 4.25% at 30 June 2025.

- At 30 June 2025, longer-term interest rates continued to reflect expectations of future cuts to the UK base rate. The five-year sterling swap rate decreased to 3.65% at the end of June 2025 from 4.05% at the end of December 2024. The ten-year sterling swap rate also decreased, to 3.98% from 4.07% over the same period.

- The structural hedge notional decreased by £1 billion to £193 billion from £194 billion, reflecting relatively stable deposits in the first half of the year.

- The one-year positive sensitivity of net interest earnings to an upward 25-basis-point parallel shift in all yield curves reduced slightly, to £158 million at 30 June 2025 from £162 million at 31 December 2024. The adverse sensitivity to a downward 25-basis-point parallel shift was also broadly stable at £176 million at 30 June 2025 compared to £183 million at 31 December 2024.  

- Sterling strengthened against the US dollar and weakened against the euro over the period. Against the dollar, sterling was 1.37 at 30 June 2025 compared to 1.25 at 31 December 2024. Against the euro, it was 1.17 at 30 June 2025 compared to 1.20 at 31 December 2024. Structural foreign currency exposures (excluding Additional Tier 1 economic hedges) of £2.3 billion at 30 June 2025, in sterling-equivalent nominal terms, were stable compared to 31 December 2024.

 

 

Non-traded internal VaR (1-day 99%) (reviewed)

The following table shows one-day internal banking book Value-at-Risk (VaR) at a 99% confidence level, split by risk type.

Half year ended

30 June 2025

 

30 June 2024

 

31 December 2024

 

 

 

Period

 

Period

 

Period

Average

Maximum

Minimum

end

 

Average

Maximum

Minimum

end

 

Average

Maximum

Minimum

end

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

Interest rate

 4.7

 6.3

 2.7

 2.8

24.1

28.2

17.6

17.6

10.3

17.4

4.0

4.0

Credit spread

 49.1

 53.8

 41.4

 48.8

 

55.6

60.2

50.7

50.7

 

48.0

50.0

45.3

48.4

Structural foreign 

 

 

 

 

 

 

exchange rate

 6.4

 7.1

 6.0

 7.1

 

9.2

12.3

7.1

12.3

 

6.7

8.0

5.1

6.3

Equity

 7.1

 7.8

 6.1

 7.8

 

9.3

10.3

8.2

8.2

 

7.8

8.1

7.6

7.7

Pipeline risk (1)

 3.8

 5.9

 0.6

 3.1

 

5.9

12.7

3.4

12.7

 

11.2

17.3

5.3

6.1

Diversification (2)

(21.8)

 

 

(19.2)

 

(41.1)

(39.7)

 

(29.7)

(23.4)

Total

 49.3

 51.8

 42.6

 50.4

63.0

73.8

52.9

61.8

54.3

57.8

49.1

49.1

(1) Pipeline risk is the risk of loss arising from Personal customers owning an option to draw down a loan - typically a mortgage - at a committed rate, where interest rate changes may result in greater or fewer customers than anticipated taking up the committed offer.

(2) NatWest Group benefits from diversification across various financial instrument types, currencies and markets. The extent of the diversification benefit depends on the correlation between the assets and risk factors in the portfolio at a particular time. The diversification factor is the sum of the VaR on individual risk types less the total portfolio VaR.

- Total non-traded VaR increased slightly after April 2025 due to global tariff-related volatility. However, on an average basis, it was overall lower in H1 2025 than in 2024.

- Average interest rate VaR decreased in H1 2025, reflecting action taken to manage down interest rate repricing mismatches across customer products.

- Average pipeline VaR also decreased. This reflected changes in the assumptions applied to customer behaviour through the fixed-rate mortgage application process, which more closely aligned NatWest Group's estimates of future customer completions to pipeline hedging activity.

 

 

Risk and capital management continued

Non-traded market risk continued

Structural hedging

NatWest Group has a significant pool of stable, non and low interest-bearing liabilities, principally comprising current accounts and instant access savings, as well as its equity and reserves. A proportion of these balances are hedged, either by investing directly in longer-term fixed-rate assets (such as fixed-rate mortgages) or by using interest rate swaps, which are generally booked as cash flow hedges of floating-rate assets, in order to provide a consistent and predictable revenue stream.

After hedging the net interest rate exposure, NatWest Group allocates income to equity or products in structural hedges by reference to the relevant interest rate swap curve. Over time, this approach has provided a basis for stable income attribution for management purposes, to products and interest rate returns. The programme aims to track a time series of medium-term swap rates, but the yield will be affected by changes in NatWest Group's equity capital.

The table below shows hedge income, total yield, incremental income and the period-end and average notional balances allocated to equity and products in respect of the structural hedges managed by NatWest Group. Hedge income represents the fixed leg of the hedge. Incremental income represents the difference between hedge income and short-term cash rates. For example, the sterling overnight index average (SONIA) is used to estimate incremental income from sterling structural hedges.

Half year ended

30 June 2025

 

30 June 2024

31 December 2024

 

 

Period

 

 

 

Period

Period

Incremental

Hedge

-end

Average

Total

 

Incremental

Hedge

-end

Average

Total

Incremental

Hedge

-end

Average

Total

income

income

notional

notional

yield

 

income

income

notional

notional

yield

income

income

notional

notional

yield

£m

£m

£bn

£bn

%

 

£m

£m

£bn

£bn

%

£m

£m

£bn

£bn

%

Equity 

(262)

216

22

22

2.01

(364)

218

22

22

1.95

(330)

222

22

22

1.99

Product

(1,831)

1,900

172

171

2.24

 

(3,184)

1,392

175

176

1.58

(2,622)

1,647

172

172

1.90

Total

(2,093)

2,116

194

193

2.21

(3,548)

1,610

197

198

1.62

(2,952)

1,869

194

194

1.91

 

Equity structural hedges refer to income allocated primarily to equity and reserves. At 30 June 2025, the equity structural hedge notional was allocated between NWH Group and NWM Group in a ratio of approximately 79%/21% respectively.

Product structural hedges refer to income allocated to customer products, mainly current accounts and customer deposits in Commercial & Institutional, Retail Banking and Private Banking & Wealth Management.

At 30 June 2025, approximately 95% by notional of total structural hedges were sterling-denominated.

 

Risk and capital management continued

Non-traded market risk continued

Sensitivity of net interest earnings

Net interest earnings are sensitive to changes in the level of interest rates, mainly because maturing structural hedges are replaced at higher or lower rates and changes to coupons on managed-margin products do not always match changes in market rates of interest or central bank policy rates.

Earnings sensitivity is derived from a market-implied forward rate curve, which will incorporate expected changes in central bank policy rates such as the Bank of England base rate. A simple scenario is shown that projects forward earnings based on the 30 June 2025 balance sheet, which is assumed to remain constant. An earnings projection is derived from the market-implied curve, which is then subject to interest rate shocks. The difference between the market-implied projection and the shock gives an indication of underlying sensitivity to interest rate movements.

Reported sensitivities should not be considered a forecast of future performance in these rate scenarios. Actions that could reduce interest earnings sensitivity include changes in pricing strategies on customer loans and deposits as well as hedging. Management action may also be taken to stabilise total income also taking into account non-interest income.

The table below shows the sensitivity of net interest earnings - for both structural hedges and managed-margin products - on a one, two and three-year forward-looking basis to an upward or downward interest rate shift of 25 basis points.

+25 basis points upward shift

 

-25 basis points downward shift

Year 1 

Year 2 

Year 3

 

Year 1 

Year 2 

Year 3

30 June 2025

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

Structural hedges

 40

 125

 213

 

(40)

(125)

(213)

Managed margin

 118

 101

 116

 

(136)

(97)

(98)

Total

 158

 226

 329

 

(176)

(222)

(311)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2024

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Structural hedges

41

125

212

(41)

(125)

(212)

Managed margin

121

116

124

(142)

(120)

(125)

Total

162

241

336

(183)

(245)

(337)

 

(1)

Earnings sensitivity considers only the main drivers, namely structural hedging and managed margin products.

 

The following table presents the one-year sensitivity to upward and downward 25-basis-point and 100-basis-point shifts in the yield curve, analysed by currency.

Shifts in yield curve

30 June 2025

 

31 December 2024

+25 basis 

-25 basis 

+100 basis

-100 basis

 

+25 basis 

-25 basis 

+100 basis

-100 basis

points

points

points

points

 

points

points

points

points

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

Euro

14

(12)

56

(53)

11

(7)

38

(43)

Sterling

130

(149)

501

(615)

131

(155)

531

(646)

US dollar

12

(12)

46

(51)

15

(16)

63

(71)

Other

2

(3)

11

(9)

5

(5)

19

(17)

Total

158

(176)

614

(728)

162

(183)

651

(777)

 

Risk and capital management continued

Non-traded market risk continued

Foreign exchange risk (reviewed)

The table below shows structural foreign currency exposures.

 

 

Structural foreign

 

Residual

Net investments in

Net investment

currency exposures

Economic

structural foreign

foreign operations

hedges

pre-economic hedges

hedges (1)

currency exposures

30 June 2025

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

US dollar

1,716

(401)

1,315

(1,315)

-

Euro

4,321

(2,515)

1,806

-

1,806

Other non-sterling

867

(375)

492

-

492

Total

6,904

(3,291)

3,613

(1,315)

2,298

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2024

 

 

 

 

 

US dollar

1,826

(598)

1,228

(1,228)

-

Euro

4,162

(2,351)

1,811

-

1,811

Other non-sterling

874

(372)

502

-

502

Total

6,862

(3,321)

3,541

(1,228)

2,313

(1) Economic hedges of US dollar net investments in foreign operations represent US dollar equity securities that do not qualify as net investment hedges for accounting purposes. They provide an offset to structural foreign exchange exposures to the extent that there are net assets in overseas operations available.

- Changes in foreign currency exchange rates affect equity in proportion to structural foreign currency exposure. For example, a 5% strengthening or weakening in foreign currencies against sterling would result in a gain or loss of £0.2 billion in equity, respectively.

 

 

 

Risk and capital management continued

Traded market risk

Traded market risk is the risk arising from changes in fair value on positions, assets, liabilities or commitments in trading portfolios as a result of fluctuations in market prices.

Traded VaR (1-day 99%) (reviewed)

The table below shows one-day internal value-at-risk (VaR) for NatWest Group's trading portfolios, split by exposure type.

Half year ended

30 June 2025

 

30 June 2024

 

31 December 2024

 

 

 

Period

 

Period

 

Period

Average

Maximum

Minimum

end

 

Average

Maximum

Minimum

end

 

Average

Maximum

Minimum

end

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

Interest rate

 3.6

 5.4

 2.2

 4.1

6.7

12.0

3.6

6.6

 6.5

 12.1

 3.0

 3.8

Credit spread

 5.3

 7.2

 4.0

 4.6

 

8.1

10.1

6.7

7.6

 

 7.3

 9.6

 5.6

 5.6

Currency

 1.5

 4.0

-

 0.8

 

2.1

6.7

0.8

1.9

 

 1.9

 5.8

 0.5

 1.3

Equity

-

 0.1

-

 0.1

 

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

 

 0.1

 0.3

-

-

Diversification (1)

(3.9)

 

 

(4.0)

 

(6.8)

(5.5)

 

(5.8)

(5.4)

Total

 6.5

 9.7

 4.3

 5.6

10.2

16.2

7.0

10.7

 10.0

 16.1

 5.3

 5.3

 

(1) NatWest Group benefits from diversification across various financial instrument types, currencies and markets. The extent of the diversification benefit depends on the correlation between the assets and risk factors in the portfolio at a particular time. The diversification factor is the sum of the VaR on individual risk types less the total portfolio VaR.

 

- Both interest rate VaR and credit spread VaR decreased on an average basis.

- This reflects the period of higher market volatility in H2 2022 rolling out of the VaR calculation window.

 

 

Pension risk

On 12 June 2025, the Trustee of the Main section of the NatWest Group Pension Fund entered into a buy-in transaction with a third-party insurer for some of its liabilities. This is an insurance policy that gives the Fund protection against demographic and investment risks, so improves the security of member benefits. The transaction did not affect the 2025 statement of comprehensive income because the net pension asset was limited to zero due to the impact of the asset ceiling.

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