3rd Aug 2012 07:00
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Market risk
Market risk arises from changes in interest rates, foreign currency, credit spreads, equity prices and risk related factors such as market volatilities. The Group manages market risk centrally within its trading and non-trading portfolios through a comprehensive market risk management framework. This control framework includes qualitative and quantitative guidance in the form of comprehensive policy statements, dealing authorities, limits based on, but not limited to, value-at-risk (VaR), stress testing, positions and sensitivity analyses.
For a description of the Group's basis of measurement and methodology enhancements, refer to pages 229 to 231 of the Group's 2011 Annual Report and Accounts.
CRD III capital charges*
Following the implementation of CRD III in 2011, the Group is required to calculate: (i) Stressed VaR (SVaR) - an additional capital charge based on a stressed calibration of the VaR model; (ii) an Incremental Risk Charge (IRC) to capture the default and migration risk for credit risk positions in the trading book; and (iii) an All Price Risk (APR) measure for correlation trading positions, subject to a capital floor that is based on standardised securitisation charges. The capital charges at 30 June 2012 associated with these models are shown in the table below:
| 30 June | 31 March | 31 December |
| 2012 | 2012 | 2011 |
| £m | £m | £m |
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Stressed VaR | 1,670 | 1,793 | 1,682 |
Incremental Risk Charge | 528 | 659 | 469 |
All Price Risk | 199 | 262 | 297 |
Key points*
·; | The FSA approved the inclusion of the Group's US trading subsidiary in the regulatory models in March 2012, resulting in an increase in the IRC and SVaR at 31 March 2012. |
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·; | During Q2 2012, the IRC and SVaR decreased due to general de-risking in sovereign, corporate and agency positions. At the end of Q2 2012, an enhanced IRC model was implemented, partially offsetting the decrease. The APR decreased during Q1 and Q2 due to the unwinding of trades in Non-Core. |
* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Market risk (continued)
Daily distribution of Markets trading revenues*
http://www.rns-pdf.londonstockexchange.com/rns/2225J_-2012-8-2.pdf
Note:
(1) | The effect of any month end adjustments, not attributable to a specific daily market move, is spread evenly over the trading days in the month in question. |
Key points*
·; | The average daily revenue earned by Markets' trading activities in H1 2012 was £20 million, compared with £26 million for H1 2011. The standard deviation of the daily revenues for H1 2012 was £14 million, compared with £17 million in H1 2011. The standard deviation measures the variation of daily revenues about the mean value of those revenues. |
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·; | The number of days with negative revenue increased from six in H1 2011 to thirteen in H1 2012. Trading conditions were challenging, characterised by low, flat interest rate curves and by risk aversion weighing on credit and emerging market sentiment. In light of the economic slowdown and political uncertainty in Europe, client volumes remained very subdued. |
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·; | The two most frequent results were daily revenue of: (i) between £15 million and £20 million, and (ii) between £20 million and £25 million, each of which occurred 19 times in H1 2012. In H1 2011, the most frequent result was daily revenue of between £25 million and £30 million, which occurred 18 times. |
* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Market risk (continued)
The tables below detail VaR for the Group's trading portfolios.
| Half year ended | 31 December 2011 | ||||||||
30 June 2012 |
| 30 June 2011 | ||||||||
| Average | Period end | Maximum | Minimum |
| Average | Period end | Maximum | Minimum | Period end |
Trading VaR | £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m | £m | £m | £m |
|
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|
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|
|
Interest rate | 66.3 | 58.7 | 95.7 | 43.6 |
| 49.8 | 36.8 | 79.2 | 27.5 | 68.1 |
Credit spread | 75.7 | 50.2 | 94.9 | 44.9 |
| 103.4 | 64.6 | 151.1 | 60.0 | 74.3 |
Currency | 12.6 | 10.9 | 21.3 | 8.2 |
| 10.8 | 9.3 | 18.0 | 5.2 | 16.2 |
Equity | 6.3 | 6.2 | 12.5 | 3.3 |
| 10.8 | 12.0 | 17.3 | 5.2 | 8.0 |
Commodity | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6.0 | 0.9 |
| 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.6 | - | 2.3 |
Diversification (1) |
| (45.3) |
|
|
|
| (61.0) |
|
| (52.3) |
|
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Total | 103.4 | 82.0 | 137.0 | 66.5 |
| 117.3 | 62.0 | 181.3 | 60.8 | 116.6 |
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Core | 75.3 | 67.2 | 118.0 | 47.4 |
| 84.0 | 42.5 | 133.9 | 42.5 | 89.1 |
Non-Core | 35.8 | 24.3 | 41.9 | 22.1 |
| 91.4 | 51.4 | 128.6 | 47.5 | 34.6 |
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CEM | 78.2 | 75.8 | 84.2 | 73.3 |
| 43.6 | 33.5 | 57.4 | 30.3 | 75.8 |
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Total (excluding CEM) | 50.4 | 43.0 | 76.4 | 37.5 |
| 97.4 | 47.6 | 150.0 | 45.8 | 49.7 |
Note:
(1) | The Group benefits from diversification, which reflects the risk reduction achieved by allocating investments across various financial instrument types, currencies and markets. The extent of diversification benefit depends on the correlation between the assets and risk factors in the portfolio at a particular time. Diversification has an inverse relationship with correlation. The diversification factor is the sum of the VaR on individual risk types less the total portfolio VaR. |
Key points
·; | The Group's average credit spread VaR for H1 2012 was considerably lower than that for the same period last year, due to the credit spread volatility experienced during the 2008 financial crisis dropping out of the time series window, combined with a reduction in the asset-backed securities trading inventory in Core and the restructuring of some monoline hedges relating to the Non-Core banking book. |
| |
·; | Counterparty Exposure Management (CEM) manages the over-the-counter derivative counterparty credit risk on behalf of other Markets businesses. More recently, CEM also centrally manages the funding risk on these contracts. The CEM trading VaR was considerably higher in H1 2012 than in H1 2011, primarily due to the transfer of funding risk management from individual desks to CEM. |
| |
·; | The period end interest rate VaR was higher for H1 2012 than H1 2011. The VaR increased during H2 2011, driven by: (i) pre-hedging activity associated with a large successful UK gilt syndication in which RBS participated; and (ii) positioning reflecting market expectations. The VaR remained at this higher level during H1 2012 given further pre-hedging and positioning activity ahead of subsequent government bond auctions. |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Market risk (continued)
| Quarter ended | ||||||||
| 30 June 2012 |
| 31 March 2012 | ||||||
| Average | Period end | Maximum | Minimum |
| Average | Period end | Maximum | Minimum |
Trading VaR | £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m | £m | £m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest rate | 58.8 | 58.7 | 84.5 | 43.6 |
| 73.8 | 68.3 | 95.7 | 51.2 |
Credit spread | 67.3 | 50.2 | 90.1 | 44.9 |
| 84.2 | 88.5 | 94.9 | 72.6 |
Currency | 12.6 | 10.9 | 18.0 | 8.8 |
| 12.5 | 11.1 | 21.3 | 8.2 |
Equity | 5.1 | 6.2 | 7.8 | 3.3 |
| 7.5 | 6.3 | 12.5 | 4.7 |
Commodity | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| 2.5 | 1.3 | 6.0 | 1.0 |
Diversification (1) |
| (45.3) |
|
|
|
| (69.0) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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Total | 90.3 | 82.0 | 111.0 | 66.5 |
| 116.6 | 106.5 | 137.0 | 97.2 |
|
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|
|
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Core | 67.9 | 67.2 | 84.1 | 47.4 |
| 82.8 | 74.5 | 118.0 | 63.6 |
Non-Core | 32.9 | 24.3 | 40.4 | 22.1 |
| 38.7 | 39.3 | 41.9 | 34.2 |
|
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CEM | 77.3 | 75.8 | 83.7 | 73.8 |
| 79.1 | 78.5 | 84.2 | 73.3 |
|
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Total (excluding CEM) | 47.4 | 43.0 | 63.2 | 37.5 |
| 53.5 | 56.6 | 76.4 | 41.0 |
Note:
(1) | The Group benefits from diversification, which reflects the risk reduction achieved by allocating investments across various financial instrument types, currencies and markets. The extent of diversification benefit depends on the correlation between the assets and risk factors in the portfolio at a particular time. Diversification has an inverse relationship with correlation. The diversification factor is the sum of the VaR on individual risk types less the total portfolio VaR. |
Key points
·; | The average and period end Non-Core and credit spread VaR were lower in Q2 2012 than in Q1 2012, as Non-Core continued its de-risking strategy through the disposal of assets and unwinding of trades. |
| |
·; | The average and period end interest rate trading VaR were lower in Q2 2012 than in Q1 2012, driven by position reductions in the early part of Q2 2012. |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Market risk (continued)
The tables below detail VaR for the Group's non-trading portfolio, excluding the structured credit portfolio and loans and receivables.
| Half year ended | 31 December 2011 | ||||||||
30 June 2012 |
| 30 June 2011 | ||||||||
| Average | Period end | Maximum | Minimum |
| Average | Period end | Maximum | Minimum | Period end |
Non-trading VaR | £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m | £m | £m | £m |
|
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|
|
|
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|
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|
|
Interest rate | 8.4 | 6.0 | 10.7 | 6.0 |
| 8.0 | 8.3 | 10.8 | 5.7 | 9.9 |
Credit spread | 12.6 | 9.1 | 15.4 | 9.1 |
| 21.4 | 18.0 | 39.3 | 14.2 | 13.6 |
Currency | 3.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 3.2 |
| 1.1 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 0.1 | 4.0 |
Equity | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| 2.3 | 2.0 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
Diversification (1) |
| (11.2) |
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|
| (13.1) |
|
| (13.6) |
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Total | 14.3 | 9.0 | 18.3 | 9.0 |
| 22.6 | 18.5 | 41.6 | 13.4 | 15.8 |
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Core | 14.0 | 9.0 | 19.0 | 8.9 |
| 22.0 | 19.4 | 38.9 | 13.5 | 15.1 |
Non-Core | 2.2 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| 3.2 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 2.5 |
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CEM | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.9 |
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Total (excluding CEM) | 14.1 | 9.0 | 17.8 | 9.0 |
| 22.5 | 18.4 | 41.4 | 13.7 | 15.5 |
Note:
(1) | The Group benefits from diversification, which reflects the risk reduction achieved by allocating investments across various financial instrument types, currencies and markets. The extent of diversification benefit depends on the correlation between the assets and risk factors in the portfolio at a particular time. Diversification has an inverse relationship with correlation. The diversification factor is the sum of the VaR on individual risk types less the total portfolio VaR. |
Key point
·; | The average Core and credit spread VaR were considerably lower in H1 2012 than in H1 2011, due to reduced volatility in the market data time series, position reductions and a decrease in the size of the collateral portfolio. The reduction in collateral was driven by the restructuring of certain Dutch RMBS. This restructuring facilitated their eligibility as ECB collateral and allowed the disposal in H1 2012 of additional collateral purchased during H2 2011. |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Market risk (continued)
| Quarter ended | ||||||||
| 30 June 2012 |
| 31 March 2012 | ||||||
| Average | Period end | Maximum | Minimum |
| Average | Period end | Maximum | Minimum |
Non-trading VaR | £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m | £m | £m |
|
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|
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|
|
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|
|
Interest rate | 7.2 | 6.0 | 8.3 | 6.0 |
| 9.6 | 8.7 | 10.7 | 8.7 |
Credit spread | 11.4 | 9.1 | 13.4 | 9.1 |
| 13.9 | 15.2 | 15.4 | 12.9 |
Currency | 3.3 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 3.2 |
| 3.7 | 3.3 | 4.5 | 3.2 |
Equity | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
Diversification (1) |
| (11.2) |
|
|
|
| (10.8) |
|
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|
|
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Total | 12.8 | 9.0 | 15.5 | 9.0 |
| 15.7 | 18.2 | 18.3 | 13.6 |
|
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Core | 12.3 | 9.0 | 14.8 | 8.9 |
| 15.7 | 18.8 | 19.0 | 13.5 |
Non-Core | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.4 |
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CEM | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
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Total (excluding CEM) | 12.4 | 9.0 | 15.4 | 9.0 |
| 15.7 | 17.4 | 17.8 | 13.5 |
Note:
(1) | The Group benefits from diversification, which reflects the risk reduction achieved by allocating investments across various financial instrument types, currencies and markets. The extent of diversification benefit depends on the correlation between the assets and risk factors in the portfolio at a particular time. Diversification has an inverse relationship with correlation. The diversification factor is the sum of the VaR on individual risk types less the total portfolio VaR. |
Key point
·; | The Group's total non-trading VaR was lower in Q2 2012 than in the previous quarter, largely due to decreases in the credit spread and interest rate VaR, which were driven by reduced volatility in the time series and the decrease in the collateral portfolio referred to on the previous page. |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Market risk (continued)
Structured Credit Portfolio
The Structured Credit Portfolio is within Non-Core. The risk in this portfolio is not measured or disclosed using VaR, as the Group believes this is not an appropriate tool for the banking book portfolio, which comprises illiquid debt securities. These assets are reported on a drawn notional and fair value basis, and managed on a third party asset and RWA basis. The table below shows the open market risk in the structured credit portfolio.
| Drawn notional |
| Fair value | ||||||||
| CDOs | CLOs | MBS (1) | Other ABS | Total |
| CDOs | CLOs | MBS (1) | Other ABS | Total |
30 June 2012 | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m | £m | £m | £m |
|
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1-2 years | - | - | - | 122 | 122 |
| - | - | - | 114 | 114 |
2-3 years | - | - | 7 | 69 | 76 |
| - | - | 6 | 65 | 71 |
3-4 years | - | 9 | - | 49 | 58 |
| - | 9 | - | 46 | 55 |
4-5 years | - | - | 103 | 40 | 143 |
| - | - | 83 | 37 | 120 |
5-10 years | - | 379 | 174 | 277 | 830 |
| - | 352 | 109 | 242 | 703 |
>10 years | 346 | 359 | 485 | 573 | 1,763 |
| 139 | 315 | 308 | 329 | 1,091 |
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| 346 | 747 | 769 | 1,130 | 2,992 |
| 139 | 676 | 506 | 833 | 2,154 |
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31 March 2012 |
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1-2 years | - | - | - | 54 | 54 |
| - | - | - | 48 | 48 |
2-3 years | - | - | 9 | 153 | 162 |
| - | - | 9 | 143 | 152 |
4-5 years | - | 18 | 30 | 93 | 141 |
| - | 17 | 23 | 86 | 126 |
5-10 years | - | 368 | 254 | 248 | 870 |
| - | 334 | 167 | 210 | 711 |
>10 years | 1,115 | 432 | 833 | 557 | 2,937 |
| 202 | 368 | 569 | 319 | 1,458 |
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| 1,115 | 818 | 1,126 | 1,105 | 4,164 |
| 202 | 719 | 768 | 806 | 2,495 |
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31 December 2011 |
|
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1-2 years | - | - | - | 27 | 27 |
| - | - | - | 22 | 22 |
2-3 years | - | - | 10 | 196 | 206 |
| - | - | 9 | 182 | 191 |
4-5 years | - | 37 | 37 | 95 | 169 |
| - | 34 | 30 | 88 | 152 |
5-10 years | 32 | 503 | 270 | 268 | 1,073 |
| 30 | 455 | 184 | 229 | 898 |
>10 years | 2,180 | 442 | 464 | 593 | 3,679 |
| 766 | 371 | 291 | 347 | 1,775 |
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| 2,212 | 982 | 781 | 1,179 | 5,154 |
| 796 | 860 | 514 | 868 | 3,038 |
Note:
(1) | MBS include sub-prime RMBS with a notional amount of £369 million (31 March 2012 - £396 million; 31 December 2011 - £401 million) and a fair value of £235 million (31 March 2012 - £258 million; 31 December 2011 - £252 million), all with residual maturities of >10 years. |
Key point
·; | The CDO drawn notional was significantly lower at 30 June 2012 than at 31 December 2011, due to the liquidation of legacy trust preferred securities and commercial real estate CDOs and the subsequent sale of the underlying assets. Some retained assets were added to the MBS portfolio during Q1 2012, increasing the MBS drawn notional at 31 March 2012, but were sold outright during Q2 2012, reducing the drawn notional back to the level seen at 31 December 2011. |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk
Introduction*
Country risk is the risk of material losses arising from significant country-specific events such as sovereign events (default or restructuring); economic events (contagion of sovereign default to other parts of the economy, cyclical economic shock); political events (transfer or convertibility restrictions and expropriation or nationalisation); and natural disaster or conflict. Such events have the potential to affect elements of the Group's credit portfolio that are directly or indirectly linked to the country in question and can also give rise to market, liquidity, operational and franchise risk related losses.
The risk that one or more of the weaker eurozone member states will default on its external debts and/or exit the eurozone is a particular concern. It carries with it the potential for broader economic contagion and even a complete break-up or restructuring of the eurozone. The potential for such events gives rise to redenomination risk - the risk that losses may occur when a country converts its currency and then suffers a sharp devaluation - in addition to other risks.
The Group's overall exposure to redenomination risk is difficult to predict with certainty, but the key driving factors are the currency of exposures; the form and nature of the documentation, collateral and guarantees related to the exposures; and whether there are offsetting liabilities that would be redenominated at the same time. For the purposes of estimating funding mismatches at risk of redenomination (see below), the Group assumes that non-euro exposures, and certain facilities documented under international law, are unlikely to be affected by a redenomination event.
The Group believes that the balances reported in this section represent a realistic, if conservative, view of its asset exposure to redenomination risk and related risks. Assets that are not denominated in euros, and facilities that are guaranteed or documented under international law, are expected to have protection from redenomination, and analysis shows the Group's actual exposure purely to redenomination risk is lower. However, a redenomination event would be accompanied by increased credit risk, for two reasons. First, capital controls would likely be introduced in the affected country - resulting in any non-redenominated assets, including non-euro assets, potentially becoming harder to service (transfer and convertibility event). Second, a sharp devaluation could imply payment difficulties for counterparties with large debts denominated in foreign currency (counterparty defaults).
The Group's focus has been on reducing its asset exposures and funding mismatches in the eurozone periphery countries. Total asset exposures to these countries fell by 10% in H1 2012. Estimated funding mismatches at 30 June 2012 are approximately £12 billion in Ireland and £7 billion in Spain. The mismatch positions in Portugal and Greece are modest. In Italy there are surplus liabilities of approximately £1 billion. The Group is taking steps to significantly reduce its Spanish funding mismatch and expects to make further progress in the second half of this year.
* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Introduction* (continued)
For further details of the Group's approach to country risk management, refer to pages 208 to 210 of the Group's 2011 Annual Report and Accounts.
The following tables show the Group's exposures by country of incorporation of the counterparty at 30 June 2012. Countries shown are those where the Group's balance sheet exposure to counterparties incorporated in the country exceeded £1 billion and the country had an external rating of A+ or below from S&P, Moody's or Fitch at 30 June 2012, as well as certain eurozone countries. The numbers are stated before taking into account mitigants, such as collateral (with the exception of reverse repos), insurance or guarantees, which may have been taken to reduce or eliminate exposure to country risk events. Exposures relating to ocean-going vessels are not included due to their multinational nature.
Definitions of headings in the following tables:
Lending - comprises gross loans and advances to: central and local government; central banks, including cash balances; other banks and financial institutions, incorporating overdraft and other short-term facilities; corporates, in large part loans and leases; and individuals, comprising mortgages, personal loans and credit card balances. Lending includes impaired loans and loans where an impairment event has taken place but no impairment provision is recognised - risk elements in lending (REIL).
Debt securities - comprise securities classified as available-for-sale (AFS), loans and receivables (LAR), held-for-trading (HFT) and designated as at fair value through profit or loss (DFV). All debt securities other than LAR securities are carried at fair value. LAR debt securities are carried at amortised cost less impairment. HFT debt securities are presented as gross long positions (including DFV securities) and short positions per country. Impairment losses and exchange differences relating to AFS debt securities, together with interest are recognised in the income statement; other changes in the fair value of AFS securities are reported within AFS reserves, which are presented gross of tax.
* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Introduction* (continued)
Derivatives (net) - comprises the mark-to-market (mtm) value of such contracts after the effect of legally enforceable netting agreements but before the effect of collateral. In the event of counterparty default, this is the net amount due to the Group from the counterparty. Counterparty netting is applied within the regulatory capital model used.
Reverse repos (net) - comprises the mtm value of such contracts after the effect of legally enforceable netting agreements and collateral. Counterparty netting is applied within the regulatory capital model used.
Balance sheet - comprises lending exposures, debt securities and derivatives and reverse repo exposures, as defined above.
In addition, for eurozone periphery countries, derivative and reverse repo netting referred to above is disclosed.
Off-balance sheet - comprises contingent liabilities, including guarantees, and committed undrawn facilities.
Credit default swaps (CDSs) - under a CDS contract, the credit risk on the reference entity is transferred from the buyer to the seller. The fair value, or mtm, represents the balance sheet carrying value. The mtm value of CDSs is included within derivatives against the counterparty of the trade, as opposed to the reference entity. The notional is the par amount of the credit protection bought or sold and is included against the reference entity of the CDS contract.
The column CDS notional less fair value represents the notional less fair value amounts arising from sold positions netted against those arising from bought positions, which equals the net change in exposure for a given reference entity should the CDS contract be triggered by a credit event, assuming there is zero recovery rate. However, in most cases, the Group expects the recovery rate to be greater than zero and the change in exposure to be less than this amount.
Government - comprises central and local government.
Asset quality (AQ) - for the probability of default range relating to each internal asset quality band, refer to page 172 of the Group's 2011 Annual Report and Accounts.
Eurozone periphery - comprises Ireland, Spain, Italy, Portugal, Greece and Cyprus.
Other eurozone - comprises Austria, Estonia, Finland, Malta, Slovakia and Slovenia.
* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Summary
30 June 2012 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Lending | Debt securities | Derivatives | Reverse repos |
Balance sheet | Off- balance sheet | Total | CDS notional less fair value | ||||||||||||||||
Government | Central banks | Other banks | Other financial institutions | Corporate | Personal | Total lending | Of which Non- Core | ||||||||||||||||
£m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | |||||||||
Eurozone | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Ireland | 45 | 1,800 | 40 | 374 | 18,340 | 17,978 | 38,577 | 9,723 | 747 | 1,822 | 551 | 41,697 | 2,979 | 44,676 | (67) | ||||||||
Spain | 9 | - | 117 | 107 | 4,937 | 337 | 5,507 | 3,207 | 4,619 | 2,261 | - | 12,387 | 1,962 | 14,349 | (542) | ||||||||
Italy | - | 32 | 176 | 257 | 1,587 | 25 | 2,077 | 1,007 | 660 | 2,317 | - | 5,054 | 2,677 | 7,731 | (75) | ||||||||
Portugal | - | - | - | - | 411 | 6 | 417 | 252 | 143 | 562 | - | 1,122 | 174 | 1,296 | 24 | ||||||||
Greece | 4 | - | - | 30 | 149 | 12 | 195 | 69 | 16 | 351 | - | 562 | 46 | 608 | (9) | ||||||||
Cyprus | - | - | - | 39 | 241 | 14 | 294 | 127 | - | 52 | - | 346 | 17 | 363 | - | ||||||||
Eurozone periphery | 58 | 1,832 | 333 | 807 | 25,665 | 18,372 | 47,067 | 14,385 | 6,185 | 7,365 | 551 | 61,168 | 7,855 | 69,023 | (669) | ||||||||
Germany | - | 17,351 | 610 | 299 | 5,525 | 156 | 23,941 | 4,527 | 13,417 | 10,283 | 390 | 48,031 | 8,329 | 56,360 | (1,769) | ||||||||
Netherlands | 1 | 9,185 | 617 | 1,556 | 4,755 | 29 | 16,143 | 2,563 | 8,548 | 10,261 | 634 | 35,586 | 11,954 | 47,540 | (1,102) | ||||||||
France | 498 | 2 | 829 | 176 | 2,913 | 73 | 4,491 | 2,028 | 4,344 | 7,877 | 401 | 17,113 | 9,455 | 26,568 | (1,688) | ||||||||
Belgium | - | - | 300 | 246 | 493 | 21 | 1,060 | 343 | 1,282 | 3,052 | 21 | 5,415 | 1,402 | 6,817 | (127) | ||||||||
Luxembourg | - | - | 1 | 471 | 2,100 | 3 | 2,575 | 1,072 | 311 | 1,578 | 393 | 4,857 | 1,934 | 6,791 | (304) | ||||||||
Other eurozone | 60 | - | 16 | 73 | 974 | 13 | 1,136 | 172 | 922 | 1,743 | 31 | 3,832 | 1,312 | 5,144 | (150) | ||||||||
Total eurozone | 617 | 28,370 | 2,706 | 3,628 | 42,425 | 18,667 | 96,413 | 25,090 | 35,009 | 42,159 | 2,421 | 176,002 | 42,241 | 218,243 | (5,809) | ||||||||
Other countries | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Japan | - | 629 | 477 | 240 | 326 | 19 | 1,691 | 195 | 10,331 | 1,815 | 178 | 14,015 | 721 | 14,736 | (295) | ||||||||
India | - | 85 | 1,077 | 37 | 2,912 | 96 | 4,207 | 213 | 1,259 | 137 | - | 5,603 | 1,492 | 7,095 | (59) | ||||||||
China | 6 | 195 | 1,281 | 60 | 667 | 28 | 2,237 | 56 | 622 | 365 | 240 | 3,464 | 1,827 | 5,291 | 57 | ||||||||
South Korea | - | 7 | 570 | - | 620 | 2 | 1,199 | 2 | 769 | 203 | 150 | 2,321 | 806 | 3,127 | (150) | ||||||||
Brazil | - | - | 859 | - | 203 | 3 | 1,065 | 62 | 742 | 44 | - | 1,851 | 273 | 2,124 | 496 | ||||||||
Turkey | 135 | 54 | 120 | 69 | 998 | 20 | 1,396 | 312 | 313 | 90 | - | 1,799 | 659 | 2,458 | 2 | ||||||||
Russia | - | 32 | 810 | 2 | 514 | 50 | 1,408 | 66 | 211 | 45 | - | 1,664 | 538 | 2,202 | (264) | ||||||||
Romania | 23 | 114 | 4 | 4 | 378 | 356 | 879 | 878 | 313 | 5 | - | 1,197 | 126 | 1,323 | (24) |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Summary (continued)
31 December 2011 (1) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Lending | Debt securities | Derivatives | Reverse repos |
Balance sheet | Off-balance sheet | Total | CDS notional less fair value | ||||||||||||||||
Government | Central banks | Other banks | Other financial institutions | Corporate | Personal | Total lending | Of which Non- Core | ||||||||||||||||
£m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | |||||||||
Eurozone | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Ireland | 45 | 1,467 | 136 | 333 | 18,994 | 18,858 | 39,833 |
| 10,156 |
| 886 | 2,273 | 551 | 43,543 |
| 2,928 |
| 46,471 |
| 53 | |||
Spain | 9 | 3 | 130 | 154 | 5,775 | 362 | 6,433 |
| 3,735 |
| 6,155 | 2,391 | 2 | 14,981 |
| 2,630 |
| 17,611 |
| (1,013) | |||
Italy | - | 73 | 233 | 299 | 2,444 | 23 | 3,072 |
| 1,155 |
| 1,258 | 2,314 | - | 6,644 |
| 3,150 |
| 9,794 |
| (452) | |||
Portugal | - | - | 10 | - | 495 | 5 | 510 |
| 341 |
| 113 | 519 | - | 1,142 |
| 268 |
| 1,410 |
| 55 | |||
Greece | 7 | 6 | - | 31 | 427 | 14 | 485 |
| 94 |
| 409 | 355 | - | 1,249 |
| 52 |
| 1,301 |
| 1 | |||
Cyprus | - | - | - | 38 | 250 | 14 | 302 |
| 133 |
| 2 | 56 | - | 360 |
| 68 |
| 428 |
| - | |||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
Eurozone periphery | 61 | 1,549 | 509 | 855 | 28,385 | 19,276 | 50,635 |
| 15,614 |
| 8,823 | 7,908 | 553 | 67,919 |
| 9,096 |
| 77,015 |
| (1,356) | |||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
Germany | - | 18,068 | 653 | 305 | 6,608 | 155 | 25,789 |
| 5,402 |
| 15,767 | 10,169 | 166 | 51,891 |
| 7,527 |
| 59,418 |
| (2,401) | |||
Netherlands | 8 | 7,654 | 623 | 1,557 | 4,827 | 20 | 14,689 |
| 2,498 |
| 9,893 | 10,010 | 275 | 34,867 |
| 13,561 |
| 48,428 |
| (1,295) | |||
France | 481 | 3 | 1,273 | 282 | 3,761 | 79 | 5,879 |
| 2,317 |
| 7,794 | 8,701 | 345 | 22,719 |
| 10,217 |
| 32,936 |
| (2,846) | |||
Belgium | - | 8 | 287 | 354 | 588 | 20 | 1,257 |
| 480 |
| 652 | 2,959 | 51 | 4,919 |
| 1,359 |
| 6,278 |
| (99) | |||
Luxembourg | - | - | 101 | 925 | 2,228 | 2 | 3,256 |
| 1,497 |
| 130 | 2,884 | 805 | 7,075 |
| 2,007 |
| 9,082 |
| (404) | |||
Other eurozone | 121 | - | 28 | 77 | 1,125 | 12 | 1,363 |
| 191 |
| 708 | 1,894 | - | 3,965 |
| 1,297 |
| 5,262 |
| (25) | |||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
Total eurozone | 671 | 27,282 | 3,474 | 4,355 | 47,522 | 19,564 | 102,868 |
| 27,999 |
| 43,767 | 44,525 | 2,195 | 193,355 |
| 45,064 |
| 238,419 |
| (8,426) | |||
Other countries | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Japan | - | 2,085 | 688 | 96 | 433 | 26 | 3,328 |
| 338 |
| 12,456 | 2,443 | 191 | 18,418 |
| 452 |
| 18,870 |
| (365) | |||
India | - | 275 | 610 | 35 | 2,949 | 127 | 3,996 |
| 350 |
| 1,530 | 218 | - | 5,744 |
| 1,280 |
| 7,024 |
| (105) | |||
China | 9 | 178 | 1,237 | 16 | 654 | 30 | 2,124 |
| 50 |
| 597 | 410 | 3 | 3,134 |
| 1,559 |
| 4,693 |
| (62) | |||
South Korea | - | 5 | 812 | 2 | 576 | 1 | 1,396 |
| 3 |
| 845 | 251 | 153 | 2,645 |
| 627 |
| 3,272 |
| (22) | |||
Brazil | - | - | 936 | - | 227 | 4 | 1,167 |
| 70 |
| 790 | 24 | - | 1,981 |
| 319 |
| 2,300 |
| 164 | |||
Turkey | 215 | 193 | 252 | 66 | 1,072 | 16 | 1,814 |
| 423 |
| 361 | 94 | - | 2,269 |
| 437 |
| 2,706 |
| 10 | |||
Russia | - | 36 | 970 | 8 | 659 | 62 | 1,735 |
| 76 |
| 186 | 47 | - | 1,968 |
| 356 |
| 2,324 |
| (343) | |||
Romania | 66 | 145 | 30 | 8 | 413 | 392 | 1,054 |
| 1,054 |
| 220 | 6 | - | 1,280 |
| 160 |
| 1,440 |
| 8 |
Note:
(1) | Lending and reverse repos have been revised to exclude cash-equivalent of collateral pledged against derivative liabilities and central bank facilities respectively. |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Summary (continued)
Reported exposures are affected by currency movements. Over the first half of 2012, sterling appreciated 1.4% against the US dollar and 3.5% against the euro.
Key points*
·; | Balance sheet and off-balance sheet exposures to most countries shown in the table declined in the first half of 2012, as the Group maintained a cautious stance and many clients reduced debt levels. The reductions were seen in all product categories except reverse repos, and in all client groups, with a few exceptions as noted below. Non-Core exposure declined as the strategy for disposal progressed, particularly in Germany and Spain. | |
| ||
·; | Total eurozone - balance sheet exposure declined by £17.4 billion or 9% in the first half of 2012 to £176.0 billion, with reductions seen primarily in periphery countries but also in France, Germany and Luxembourg. This reflected exchange rate movements, sales of Greek, Spanish and Portuguese government bonds, write-offs, active exposure management and debt reduction efforts by bank clients. | |
| ||
·; | Eurozone periphery - balance sheet exposure decreased in all peripheral countries to a combined £61.2 billion, a reduction by £6.8 billion or 10%, caused in part by reductions in AFS bonds. Most of the Group's exposure arises from the activities of Markets, International Banking, Group Treasury and Ulster Bank (with respect to Ireland). Group Treasury has a portfolio of Spanish bank and financial institution market-based securities bonds. International Banking provides trade finance facilities to clients across Europe, including the eurozone periphery. Exposure to Cyprus amounted to £0.4 billion at 30 June 2012, comprising largely lending exposure to special purpose vehicles incorporated in Cyprus. | |
| ||
·; | Japan - Exposure decreased during the first half of 2012, in part reflecting a reduction in International Banking's cash management business and a change in Japanese yen clearing status from direct (self-clearing) membership to agency, resulting in a £2.2 billion reduction in AFS Japanese government bonds. Derivative exposure decreased because of reduced forward foreign exchange positions being taken by clients from the start of the new Japanese fiscal year (1 April). | |
| ||
·; | CDS protection bought and sold: | |
| ○ | The Group uses CDS contracts to service customer activity as well as to manage counterparty and country exposure. During the first half of 2012, eurozone gross notional CDS contracts, bought and sold, decreased significantly. This was caused by maturing of contracts and by efforts to reduce counterparty credit exposures and risk-weighted assets through derivative compression trades and other means. The fair value of bought and sold CDS contracts also decreased, due to the reduction in gross notional CDS positions and to a narrowing of CDS spreads over the first half of 2012 for a number of eurozone countries, including Portugal and Ireland. |
| ○ | Greek sovereign CDS positions were fully closed out in April, as the use of the collective action clause in the Greek debt swap resulted in a credit event occurring, which triggered Greek sovereign CDS contracts. |
* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Summary (continued)
Key points* (continued)
| ○ | The Group transacts CDS contracts primarily with investment-grade global financial institutions that are active participants in the CDS market. These transactions are subject to regular margining. For European peripheral sovereigns, credit protection has been purchased from a number of major European banks, predominantly outside the country of the reference entity. In a few cases where protection was bought from banks in the country of the reference entity, giving rise to wrong-way risk, the risk is mitigated through specific collateralisation. |
| ○ | Due to their bespoke nature, exposures relating to CDPCs and associated hedges have not been included as they cannot be meaningfully attributed to a particular country or reference entity. Nth-to-default basket swaps have also been excluded as they cannot be meaningfully attributed to a particular reference entity. |
For more specific commentary on the Group's exposure to Ireland, Spain, Italy, Portugal and Greece, refer to pages 212 to 222. For commentary on the Group's exposure to other eurozone non-periphery countries, see page 236.
* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Total eurozone
| Lending | REIL | Provisions |
| AFS and LAR debt securities | AFS reserves |
| HFT debt securities |
| Total debt securities |
| Derivatives |
| Reverse repos |
| Balance sheet |
| Off-balance sheet |
| Total | |
Long | Short | ||||||||||||||||||||
30 June 2012 | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m |
| £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m | ||
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||||||||||||||
Government | 617 | - | - | 12,621 | 194 | 19,238 | 13,580 | 18,279 | 1,667 | - | 20,563 | 1,683 | 22,246 | ||||||||
Central banks | 28,370 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 28 | - | 28,398 | - | 28,398 | ||||||||
Other banks | 2,706 | - | - | 5,488 | (684) | 1,063 | 1,358 | 5,193 | 28,824 | 1,609 | 38,332 | 4,518 | 42,850 | ||||||||
Other FI | 3,628 | - | - | 9,590 | (1,072) | 1,274 | 331 | 10,533 | 7,666 | 811 | 22,638 | 6,522 | 29,160 | ||||||||
Corporate | 42,425 | 13,993 | 6,975 | 825 | 31 | 400 | 221 | 1,004 | 3,973 | 1 | 47,403 | 28,753 | 76,156 | ||||||||
Personal | 18,667 | 2,664 | 1,371 | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | 18,668 | 765 | 19,433 | ||||||||
96,413 | 16,657 | 8,346 | 28,524 | (1,531) | 21,975 | 15,490 | 35,009 | 42,159 | 2,421 | 176,002 | 42,241 | 218,243 | |||||||||
|
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|
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|
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|
| ||
31 December 2011 |
|
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|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Government | 671 | - | - |
| 18,406 | 81 |
| 19,597 | 15,049 |
| 22,954 |
| 1,924 |
| - |
| 25,549 |
| 1,056 |
| 26,605 |
Central banks | 27,282 | - | - |
| 20 | - |
| 6 | - |
| 26 |
| 35 |
| - |
| 27,343 |
| - |
| 27,343 |
Other banks | 3,474 | - | - |
| 8,423 | (752) |
| 1,272 | 1,502 |
| 8,193 |
| 28,595 |
| 1,090 |
| 41,352 |
| 4,493 |
| 45,845 |
Other FI | 4,355 | - | - |
| 10,494 | (1,129) |
| 1,138 | 471 |
| 11,161 |
| 9,854 |
| 1,102 |
| 26,472 |
| 8,199 |
| 34,671 |
Corporate | 47,522 | 14,152 | 7,267 |
| 964 | 24 |
| 528 | 59 |
| 1,433 |
| 4,116 |
| 3 |
| 53,074 |
| 30,551 |
| 83,625 |
Personal | 19,564 | 2,280 | 1,069 |
| - | - |
| - | - |
| - |
| 1 |
| - |
| 19,565 |
| 765 |
| 20,330 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
102,868 | 16,432 | 8,336 |
| 38,307 | (1,776) |
| 22,541 | 17,081 |
| 43,767 |
| 44,525 |
| 2,195 |
| 193,355 |
| 45,064 |
| 238,419 |
30 June 2012 |
| 31 December 2011 | |||||||||
Notional |
| Fair value |
| Notional | Fair value | ||||||
Bought | Sold | Bought | Sold |
| Bought | Sold |
| Bought | Sold | ||
CDS by reference entity | £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m |
| £m | £m | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Government | 33,378 | 32,363 | 3,674 | (3,531) | 37,080 | 36,759 | 6,488 | (6,376) | |||
Other banks | 14,590 | 14,564 | 1,131 | (1,073) | 19,736 | 19,232 | 2,303 | (2,225) | |||
Other FI | 11,517 | 10,554 | 499 | (448) | 17,949 | 16,608 | 693 | (620) | |||
Corporate | 50,151 | 45,800 | 1,149 | (855) | 76,966 | 70,119 | 2,241 | (1,917) | |||
109,636 | 103,281 | 6,453 | (5,907) | 151,731 | 142,718 | 11,725 | (11,138) |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Total eurozone (continued)
CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band
AQ1 | AQ2-AQ3 | AQ4-AQ9 | AQ10 | Total | ||||||||||
Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | |||||
30 June 2012 | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | ||||
Banks | 53,212 | 3,234 | 1,295 | 150 | 186 | 22 | - | - | 54,693 | 3,406 | ||||
Other FI | 51,975 | 2,787 | 546 | 37 | 2,280 | 214 | 142 | 9 | 54,943 | 3,047 | ||||
105,187 | 6,021 | 1,841 | 187 | 2,466 | 236 | 142 | 9 | 109,636 | 6,453 | |||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
| |
31 December 2011 |
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
| |
Banks | 67,624 | 5,585 |
| 1,085 | 131 |
| 198 | 23 |
| - | - |
| 68,907 | 5,739 |
Other FI | 79,824 | 5,605 |
| 759 | 89 |
| 2,094 | 278 |
| 147 | 14 |
| 82,824 | 5,986 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
147,448 | 11,190 |
| 1,844 | 220 |
| 2,292 | 301 |
| 147 | 14 |
| 151,731 | 11,725 |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Eurozone periphery
| Lending | REIL | Provisions |
| AFS and LAR debt securities | AFS reserves |
| HFT debt securities |
| Total debt securities |
| Derivatives |
| Reverse repos |
| Balance sheet |
| Off-balance sheet |
| Total | |
Long | Short | ||||||||||||||||||||
30 June 2012 | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m |
| £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m | ||
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||||||||||||||
Government | 58 | - | - | 519 | (198) | 4,524 | 5,053 | (10) | 103 | - | 151 | 72 | 223 | ||||||||
Central banks | 1,832 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1,832 | - | 1,832 | ||||||||
Other banks | 333 | - | - | 3,440 | (813) | 287 | 247 | 3,480 | 4,747 | 473 | 9,033 | 105 | 9,138 | ||||||||
Other FI | 807 | - | - | 2,041 | (674) | 405 | 48 | 2,398 | 896 | 78 | 4,179 | 1,667 | 5,846 | ||||||||
Corporate | 25,665 | 11,892 | 6,246 | 189 | 1 | 148 | 20 | 317 | 1,618 | - | 27,600 | 5,391 | 32,991 | ||||||||
Personal | 18,372 | 2,634 | 1,346 | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | 18,373 | 620 | 18,993 | ||||||||
47,067 | 14,526 | 7,592 | 6,189 | (1,684) | 5,364 | 5,368 | 6,185 | 7,365 | 551 | 61,168 | 7,855 | 69,023 | |||||||||
|
|
|
|
| |||||||||||||||||
31 December 2011 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Government | 61 | - | - | 1,207 | (339) | 4,854 | 5,652 |
| 409 |
| 236 |
| - |
| 706 |
| 118 |
| 824 | ||
Central banks | 1,549 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| - |
| - |
| - |
| 1,549 |
| - |
| 1,549 | ||
Other banks | 509 | - | - | 5,279 | (956) | 436 | 318 |
| 5,397 |
| 4,350 |
| 480 |
| 10,736 |
| 67 |
| 10,803 | ||
Other FI | 855 | - | - | 2,331 | (654) | 228 | 56 |
| 2,503 |
| 1,783 |
| 73 |
| 5,214 |
| 1,862 |
| 7,076 | ||
Corporate | 28,385 | 12,272 | 6,567 | 274 | 4 | 240 | - |
| 514 |
| 1,538 |
| - |
| 30,437 |
| 6,412 |
| 36,849 | ||
Personal | 19,276 | 2,258 | 1,048 | - | - | - | - |
| - |
| 1 |
| - |
| 19,277 |
| 637 |
| 19,914 | ||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||||||||||
50,635 | 14,530 | 7,615 | 9,091 | (1,945) | 5,758 | 6,026 |
| 8,823 |
| 7,908 |
| 553 |
| 67,919 |
| 9,096 |
| 77,015 |
Derivative and reverse repo netting were £29,590 million (31 December 2011 - £32,506 million) and £3,195 million (31 December 2011 - £3,320 million) respectively.
30 June 2012 |
| 31 December 2011 | |||||||||
Notional |
| Fair value |
| Notional | Fair value | ||||||
Bought | Sold | Bought | Sold |
| Bought | Sold |
| Bought | Sold | ||
CDS by reference entity | £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m |
| £m | £m | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Government | 22,092 | 22,292 | 3,349 | (3,232) | 25,883 | 26,174 | 5,979 | (5,926) | |||
Other banks | 6,639 | 6,618 | 778 | (751) | 9,372 | 9,159 | 1,657 | (1,623) | |||
Other FI | 2,767 | 2,498 | 222 | (199) | 3,854 | 3,635 | 290 | (262) | |||
Corporate | 7,567 | 6,701 | 691 | (571) | 10,798 | 9,329 | 999 | (860) | |||
39,065 | 38,109 | 5,040 | (4,753) | 49,907 | 48,297 | 8,925 | (8,671) |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Eurozone periphery (continued)
CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band
AQ1 | AQ2-AQ3 | AQ4-AQ9 | Total | ||||||||
Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | ||||
30 June 2012 | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | |||
Banks | 21,383 | 2,718 | 874 | 136 | 90 | 14 | 22,347 | 2,868 | |||
Other FI | 15,731 | 2,053 | 189 | 5 | 798 | 114 | 16,718 | 2,172 | |||
37,114 | 4,771 | 1,063 | 141 | 888 | 128 | 39,065 | 5,040 | ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
31 December 2011 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Banks | 26,008 | 4,606 |
| 604 | 112 |
| 93 | 14 |
| 26,705 | 4,732 |
Other FI | 22,082 | 3,980 |
| 394 | 51 |
| 726 | 162 |
| 23,202 | 4,193 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
48,090 | 8,586 |
| 998 | 163 |
| 819 | 176 |
| 49,907 | 8,925 |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Ireland
| Lending | REIL | Provisions |
| AFS and LAR debt securities | AFS reserves |
| HFT debt securities |
| Total debt securities |
| Derivatives |
| Reverse repos |
| Balance sheet |
| Off-balance sheet |
| Total | |
Long | Short | ||||||||||||||||||||
30 June 2012 | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m |
| £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m | ||
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||||||||||||||
Government | 45 | - | - | 109 | (36) | 9 | 9 | 109 | 2 | - | 156 | 2 | 158 | ||||||||
Central bank | 1,800 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1,800 | - | 1,800 | ||||||||
Other banks | 40 | - | - | 174 | (25) | 66 | 25 | 215 | 742 | 473 | 1,470 | 40 | 1,510 | ||||||||
Other FI | 374 | - | - | 51 | - | 301 | 4 | 348 | 671 | 78 | 1,471 | 632 | 2,103 | ||||||||
Corporate | 18,340 | 10,311 | 5,683 | 75 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 75 | 406 | - | 18,821 | 1,785 | 20,606 | ||||||||
Personal | 17,978 | 2,634 | 1,346 | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | 17,979 | 520 | 18,499 | ||||||||
38,577 | 12,945 | 7,029 | 409 | (60) | 377 | 39 | 747 | 1,822 | 551 | 41,697 | 2,979 | 44,676 | |||||||||
|
|
|
|
| |||||||||||||||||
31 December 2011 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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| |||
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Government | 45 | - | - |
| 102 | (46) |
| 20 | 19 |
| 103 |
| 92 |
| - |
| 240 |
| 2 |
| 242 |
Central bank | 1,467 | - | - |
| - | - |
| - | - |
| - |
| - |
| - |
| 1,467 |
| - |
| 1,467 |
Other banks | 136 | - | - |
| 177 | (39) |
| 195 | 14 |
| 358 |
| 981 |
| 478 |
| 1,953 |
| - |
| 1,953 |
Other FI | 333 | - | - |
| 61 | - |
| 116 | 35 |
| 142 |
| 782 |
| 73 |
| 1,330 |
| 546 |
| 1,876 |
Corporate | 18,994 | 10,269 | 5,689 |
| 148 | 3 |
| 135 | - |
| 283 |
| 417 |
| - |
| 19,694 |
| 1,841 |
| 21,535 |
Personal | 18,858 | 2,258 | 1,048 |
| - | - |
| - | - |
| - |
| 1 |
| - |
| 18,859 |
| 539 |
| 19,398 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
39,833 | 12,527 | 6,737 |
| 488 | (82) |
| 466 | 68 |
| 886 |
| 2,273 |
| 551 |
| 43,543 |
| 2,928 |
| 46,471 |
Derivative and reverse repo netting were £16,122 million (31 December 2011 - £19,189 million) and £2,645 million (31 December 2011 - £2,324 million) respectively.
30 June 2012 |
| 31 December 2011 | |||||||||
Notional |
| Fair value |
| Notional | Fair value | ||||||
Bought | Sold | Bought | Sold |
| Bought | Sold |
| Bought | Sold | ||
CDS by reference entity | £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m |
| £m | £m | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Government | 2,294 | 2,385 | 360 | (376) |
| 2,145 | 2,223 |
| 466 | (481) | |
Other banks | 114 | 111 | 8 | (8) |
| 110 | 107 |
| 21 | (21) | |
Other FI | 704 | 644 | 68 | (69) |
| 523 | 630 |
| 64 | (74) | |
Corporate | 316 | 238 | (16) | 16 |
| 425 | 322 |
| (11) | 10 | |
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
3,428 | 3,378 | 420 | (437) |
| 3,203 | 3,282 |
| 540 | (566) |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Ireland (continued)
CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band
AQ1 | AQ2-AQ3 | AQ4-AQ9 | Total | ||||||||
Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | ||||
30 June 2012 | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | |||
Banks | 1,621 | 230 | 5 | 1 | - | - | 1,626 | 231 | |||
Other FI | 1,343 | 179 | 161 | - | 298 | 10 | 1,802 | 189 | |||
2,964 | 409 | 166 | 1 | 298 | 10 | 3,428 | 420 | ||||
|
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| |
31 December 2011 |
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|
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|
|
| |
Banks | 1,586 | 300 |
| 2 | - |
| - | - |
| 1,588 | 300 |
Other FI | 1,325 | 232 |
| 161 | 1 |
| 129 | 7 |
| 1,615 | 240 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
2,911 | 532 |
| 163 | 1 |
| 129 | 7 |
| 3,203 | 540 |
Key points*
·; | At 30 June 2012, Ulster Bank Group (UBG) contributed 88% of the Group's exposure to Ireland (31 December 2011 - 87%). The largest components of the Group's exposure are corporate lending of £18.3 billion (more than half of which is to the property sector - mainly commercial real estate, plus construction and building materials) and personal lending of £18.0 billion (mainly mortgages). In addition, Ulster Bank Group has money market placings with the Central Bank of Ireland (CBI), and Markets has derivative exposure to financial institutions and large international clients with funding subsidiaries based in Ireland. |
| |
·; | Group exposure decreased further in the first half of 2012, with a reduction in lending of £1.3 billion as a result of currency movements and de-risking in the portfolio. Derivative and repo exposure, largely in Markets, decreased by £0.5 billion mainly as a result of lower interest rates. |
·; | Government and Central bank |
| Exposure to the CBI fluctuates, driven by regulatory requirements and by deposits of excess liquidity as part of UBG's asset and liability management. |
·; | Financial institutions |
| Markets, International Banking and UBG account for the majority of the Group's exposure to financial institutions. The largest category is derivatives and reverse repos, where exposure is affected predominantly by market movements and much of the exposure is collateralised. |
·; | Corporate |
| Lending exposure fell by approximately £0.7 billion over the first half of 2012, driven by exchange rate movements and write-offs. Commercial real estate lending, nearly all in UBG, amounted to £10.5 billion at 30 June 2012, down £0.4 billion from 31 December 2011 amid continuing adverse market conditions. The commercial real estate lending exposure is largely in UBG Non-Core and includes REIL of £7.6 billion and loan provisions of £4.1 billion. |
* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Ireland (continued)
Key points* (continued)
·; | Personal |
| Overall lending exposure fell a further £0.9 billion as a result of exchange rate movements, amortisation, maturities, a small amount of write-offs, low new business volumes and active risk management. Residential mortgage loans amounted to £17.0 billion, including REIL of £2.5 billion and loan provisions of £1.1 billion. The housing market continues to suffer from weak domestic demand, with house prices now approximately 50% below their 2007 peak. |
·; | Non-Core (included above) |
| Ireland Non-Core lending exposure was £9.7 billion at 30 June 2012, down by £0.4 billion since 31 December 2011. The remaining lending portfolio largely consisted of exposures to real estate (80%), retail (6%) and leisure (4%). |
* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Spain
| Lending | REIL | Provisions |
| AFS and LAR debt securities | AFS reserves |
| HFT debt securities |
| Total debt securities |
| Derivatives |
| Reverse repos |
| Balance sheet |
| Off-balance sheet |
| Total | |
Long | Short | ||||||||||||||||||||
30 June 2012 | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m |
| £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m | ||
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||||||||||||||
Government | 9 | - | - | 29 | (19) | 383 | 493 | (81) | 3 | - | (69) | 70 | 1 | ||||||||
Central bank | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||||||||
Other banks | 117 | - | - | 3,092 | (758) | 163 | 113 | 3,142 | 1,776 | - | 5,035 | 40 | 5,075 | ||||||||
Other FI | 107 | - | - | 1,472 | (662) | 67 | 32 | 1,507 | 38 | - | 1,652 | 251 | 1,903 | ||||||||
Corporate | 4,937 | 1,008 | 226 | - | - | 61 | 10 | 51 | 444 | - | 5,432 | 1,544 | 6,976 | ||||||||
Personal | 337 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 337 | 57 | 394 | ||||||||
5,507 | 1,008 | 226 | 4,593 | (1,439) | 674 | 648 | 4,619 | 2,261 | - | 12,387 | 1,962 | 14,349 | |||||||||
|
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|
|
| |||||||||||||||||
31 December 2011 |
|
|
|
|
|
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| |||
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Government | 9 | - | - |
| 33 | (15) |
| 360 | 751 |
| (358) |
| 35 |
| - |
| (314) |
| 116 |
| (198) |
Central bank | 3 | - | - |
| - | - |
| - | - |
| - |
| - |
| - |
| 3 |
| - |
| 3 |
Other banks | 130 | - | - |
| 4,892 | (867) |
| 162 | 214 |
| 4,840 |
| 1,620 |
| 2 |
| 6,592 |
| 41 |
| 6,633 |
Other FI | 154 | - | - |
| 1,580 | (639) |
| 65 | 8 |
| 1,637 |
| 282 |
| - |
| 2,073 |
| 169 |
| 2,242 |
Corporate | 5,775 | 1,190 | 442 |
| 9 | - |
| 27 | - |
| 36 |
| 454 |
| - |
| 6,265 |
| 2,247 |
| 8,512 |
Personal | 362 | - | - |
| - | - |
| - | - |
| - |
| - |
| - |
| 362 |
| 57 |
| 419 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
6,433 | 1,190 | 442 |
| 6,514 | (1,521) |
| 614 | 973 |
| 6,155 |
| 2,391 |
| 2 |
| 14,981 |
| 2,630 |
| 17,611 |
Derivative and reverse repo netting were £4,440 million (31 December 2011 - £4,384 million) and £487 million (31 December 2011 - £567 million) respectively.
30 June 2012 |
| 31 December 2011 | |||||||||
Notional |
| Fair value |
| Notional | Fair value | ||||||
Bought | Sold | Bought | Sold |
| Bought | Sold |
| Bought | Sold | ||
CDS by reference entity | £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m |
| £m | £m | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Government | 4,960 | 4,968 | 693 | (665) |
| 5,151 | 5,155 |
| 538 | (522) | |
Other banks | 1,779 | 1,739 | 145 | (136) |
| 1,965 | 1,937 |
| 154 | (152) | |
Other FI | 1,269 | 1,087 | 98 | (78) |
| 2,417 | 2,204 |
| 157 | (128) | |
Corporate | 3,168 | 2,733 | 282 | (232) |
| 4,831 | 3,959 |
| 448 | (399) | |
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
11,176 | 10,527 | 1,218 | (1,111) |
| 14,364 | 13,255 |
| 1,297 | (1,201) |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Spain (continued)
CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band
AQ1 | AQ2-AQ3 | AQ4-AQ9 | Total | ||||||||
Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | ||||
30 June 2012 | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | |||
Banks | 5,602 | 559 | 51 | 7 | 31 | 4 | 5,684 | 570 | |||
Other FI | 5,198 | 595 | 21 | 4 | 273 | 49 | 5,492 | 648 | |||
10,800 | 1,154 | 72 | 11 | 304 | 53 | 11,176 | 1,218 | ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
31 December 2011 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Banks | 6,595 | 499 |
| 68 | 5 |
| 32 | 4 |
| 6,695 | 508 |
Other FI | 7,238 | 736 |
| 162 | 3 |
| 269 | 50 |
| 7,669 | 789 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
13,833 | 1,235 |
| 230 | 8 |
| 301 | 54 |
| 14,364 | 1,297 |
Key points*
·; | The Group maintains strong relationships with banks, other financial institutions and large corporate clients. |
·; | The exposure to Spain is driven by corporate lending and a sizeable mortgage-backed securities covered bond portfolio. Exposure fell further in most categories in the first half of 2012, driven by the sale of part of the covered bond portfolio and a decline in corporate lending, as a result of steps to de-risk the portfolio. |
·; | Government and Central bank |
| The Group's exposure was very small at 30 June 2012. |
·; | Financial institutions |
| The Group's largest exposure was a covered bond portfolio of £4.6 billion at 30 June 2012, a decrease by £1.9 billion in H1 2012, largely as a result of sales. The portfolio continued to perform satisfactorily. However, the Group is monitoring the situation closely, including undertaking stress analyses. |
| A further £1.8 billion of the Group's exposure consisted of derivatives to Spanish international banks and a few of the large regional banks, the majority of which was collateralised. |
| Lending to banks consists mainly of short-term uncommitted credit lines with the top two international Spanish banks. |
·; | Corporate |
| Lending decreased by £0.8 billion and off-balance exposure by another £0.7 billion, due to reductions mostly in the natural resources and property sectors. Commercial real estate lending amounted to £2.1 billion at 30 June 2012, nearly all in Non-Core. The majority of REIL and loan provisions relates to commercial real estate lending and further decreased over the first half of 2012, reflecting disposals and restructurings. |
·; | Non-Core (included above) |
| At 30 June 2012, Non-Core had lending exposure of £3.2 billion to Spain, a reduction of £0.5 billion or 14% since 31 December 2011. The real estate (67%), construction (12%) and electricity (8%) sectors account for the majority of the remaining lending exposure. |
* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Italy
| Lending | REIL | Provisions |
| AFS and LAR debt securities | AFS reserves |
| HFT debt securities |
| Total debt securities |
| Derivatives |
| Reverse repos |
| Balance sheet |
| Off-balance sheet |
| Total | |
Long | Short | ||||||||||||||||||||
30 June 2012 | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m |
| £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m | ||
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||||||||||||||
Government | - | - | - | 326 | (108) | 4,096 | 4,520 | (98) | 81 | - | (17) | - | (17) | ||||||||
Central bank | 32 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 32 | - | 32 | ||||||||
Other banks | 176 | - | - | 118 | (11) | 41 | 84 | 75 | 1,515 | - | 1,766 | 25 | 1,791 | ||||||||
Other FI | 257 | - | - | 516 | (12) | 34 | 11 | 539 | 141 | - | 937 | 781 | 1,718 | ||||||||
Corporate | 1,587 | 119 | 38 | 73 | - | 80 | 9 | 144 | 580 | - | 2,311 | 1,859 | 4,170 | ||||||||
Personal | 25 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25 | 12 | 37 | ||||||||
2,077 | 119 | 38 | 1,033 | (131) | 4,251 | 4,624 | 660 | 2,317 | - | 5,054 | 2,677 | 7,731 | |||||||||
|
|
|
|
| |||||||||||||||||
31 December 2011 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Government | - | - | - | 704 | (220) | 4,336 | 4,725 | 315 | 90 |
| - |
| 405 | - | 405 | ||||||
Central bank | 73 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| - |
| 73 | - | 73 | ||||||
Other banks | 233 | - | - | 119 | (14) | 67 | 88 | 98 | 1,064 |
| - |
| 1,395 | 23 | 1,418 | ||||||
Other FI | 299 | - | - | 685 | (15) | 40 | 13 | 712 | 686 |
| - |
| 1,697 | 1,146 | 2,843 | ||||||
Corporate | 2,444 | 361 | 113 | 75 | - | 58 | - | 133 | 474 |
| - |
| 3,051 | 1,968 | 5,019 | ||||||
Personal | 23 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| - |
| 23 | 13 | 36 | ||||||
|
|
| |||||||||||||||||||
3,072 | 361 | 113 | 1,583 | (249) | 4,501 | 4,826 | 1,258 | 2,314 |
| - |
| 6,644 | 3,150 | 9,794 |
Derivative and reverse repo netting were £8,709 million (31 December 2011 - £8,633 million) and £20 million (31 December 2011 - £187 million) respectively.
30 June 2012 |
| 31 December 2011 | |||||||||
Notional |
| Fair value |
| Notional | Fair value | ||||||
Bought | Sold | Bought | Sold |
| Bought | Sold |
| Bought | Sold | ||
CDS by reference entity | £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m |
| £m | £m | |
|
|
|
|
| |||||||
Government | 11,654 | 11,753 | 1,607 | (1,528) | 12,125 | 12,218 | 1,750 | (1,708) | |||
Other banks | 3,758 | 3,771 | 481 | (465) | 6,078 | 5,938 | 1,215 | (1,187) | |||
Other FI | 753 | 729 | 50 | (45) | 872 | 762 | 60 | (51) | |||
Corporate | 3,367 | 3,051 | 246 | (193) | 4,742 | 4,299 | 350 | (281) | |||
19,532 | 19,304 | 2,384 | (2,231) | 23,817 | 23,217 | 3,375 | (3,227) |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Italy (continued)
CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band
AQ1 | AQ2-AQ3 | AQ4-AQ9 | Total | ||||||||
Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | ||||
30 June 2012 | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | |||
Banks | 11,382 | 1,375 | 781 | 121 | 59 | 10 | 12,222 | 1,506 | |||
Other FI | 7,141 | 840 | 7 | 1 | 162 | 37 | 7,310 | 878 | |||
18,523 | 2,215 | 788 | 122 | 221 | 47 | 19,532 | 2,384 | ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
31 December 2011 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Banks | 12,904 | 1,676 |
| 487 | 94 |
| 61 | 10 |
| 13,452 | 1,780 |
Other FI | 10,138 | 1,550 |
| 8 | 2 |
| 219 | 43 |
| 10,365 | 1,595 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
23,042 | 3,226 |
| 495 | 96 |
| 280 | 53 |
| 23,817 | 3,375 |
Key points*
·; | The Group maintains strong relationships with Italian government entities, banks, other financial institutions and large corporate clients. Since the start of 2011, the Group has taken steps to reduce its risk through strategic exits where appropriate, or to mitigate its risk through increased collateral requirements, in line with its evolving appetite for Italian risk. Lending exposure to Italian counterparties was reduced by a further £1.0 billion in the first half of 2012, to £2.1 billion. |
·; | Government and Central bank |
| The Group is an active market-maker in Italian government bonds, resulting in large gross long and short positions in held-for-trading securities. |
·; | Financial institutions |
| The majority of the Group's exposure relates to the top five banks. The Group's product offering consists largely of collateralised trading products and, to a lesser extent, short-term uncommitted lending lines for liquidity purposes. During the first half of 2012, derivative exposure decreased by £0.5 billion due to market movements; risk is mitigated since most facilities are fully collateralised. |
| |
| The AFS bond exposure was reduced by £0.2 billion. |
·; | Corporate |
| Lending declined by £0.9 billion, largely in lending to manufacturing companies. |
·; | Non-Core (included above) |
| Non-Core lending exposure was £1.0 billion at 30 June 2012, a £0.1 billion (13%) reduction since 31 December 2011, largely within unleveraged funds. The remaining lending exposure mainly comprised commercial real estate (28%), leisure (22%), electricity (15%) and industrials (11%). |
* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Portugal
| Lending | REIL | Provisions |
| AFS and LAR debt securities | AFS reserves |
| HFT debt securities |
| Total debt securities |
| Derivatives |
| Reverse repos |
| Balance sheet |
| Off-balance sheet |
| Total | |
Long | Short | ||||||||||||||||||||
30 June 2012 | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m |
| £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m | ||
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||||||||||||||
Government | - | - | - | 55 | (35) | 12 | 23 | 44 | 17 | - | 61 | - | 61 | ||||||||
Other banks | - | - | - | 56 | (19) | 17 | 25 | 48 | 413 | - | 461 | - | 461 | ||||||||
Other FI | - | - | - | 2 | - | 3 | 1 | 4 | 44 | - | 48 | 3 | 51 | ||||||||
Corporate | 411 | 201 | 161 | 41 | - | 6 | - | 47 | 88 | - | 546 | 163 | 709 | ||||||||
Personal | 6 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 | 8 | 14 | ||||||||
417 | 201 | 161 | 154 | (54) | 38 | 49 | 143 | 562 | - | 1,122 | 174 | 1,296 | |||||||||
|
|
|
|
| |||||||||||||||||
31 December 2011 |
|
|
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|
|
|
|
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|
|
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| |||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Government | - | - | - |
| 56 | (58) |
| 36 | 152 |
| (60) |
| 19 |
| - |
| (41) |
| - |
| (41) |
Other banks | 10 | - | - |
| 91 | (36) |
| 12 | 2 |
| 101 |
| 389 |
| - |
| 500 |
| 2 |
| 502 |
Other FI | - | - | - |
| 5 | - |
| 7 | - |
| 12 |
| 30 |
| - |
| 42 |
| - |
| 42 |
Corporate | 495 | 27 | 27 |
| 42 | 1 |
| 18 | - |
| 60 |
| 81 |
| - |
| 636 |
| 258 |
| 894 |
Personal | 5 | - | - |
| - | - |
| - | - |
| - |
| - |
| - |
| 5 |
| 8 |
| 13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
510 | 27 | 27 |
| 194 | (93) |
| 73 | 154 |
| 113 |
| 519 |
| - |
| 1,142 |
| 268 |
| 1,410 |
Derivative and reverse repo netting were £93 million (31 December 2011 - £114 million) and £41 million (31 December 2011 - £220 million) respectively.
| 30 June 2012 |
| 31 December 2011 | ||||||||
| Notional |
| Fair value |
| Notional |
| Fair value | ||||
| Bought | Sold |
| Bought | Sold |
| Bought | Sold |
| Bought | Sold |
CDS by reference entity | £m | £m |
| £m | £m |
| £m | £m |
| £m | £m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Government | 3,184 | 3,186 |
| 689 | (663) |
| 3,304 | 3,413 |
| 997 | (985) |
Other banks | 984 | 993 |
| 143 | (140) |
| 1,197 | 1,155 |
| 264 | (260) |
Other FI | 8 | 5 |
| 1 | (1) |
| 8 | 5 |
| 1 | (1) |
Corporate | 340 | 309 |
| 60 | (42) |
| 366 | 321 |
| 68 | (48) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||||
| 4,516 | 4,493 |
| 893 | (846) |
| 4,875 | 4,894 |
| 1,330 | (1,294) |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Portugal (continued)
CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band
AQ1 | AQ2-AQ3 | AQ4-AQ9 | Total | ||||||||
Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | ||||
30 June 2012 | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | |||
Banks | 2,677 | 520 | 37 | 7 | - | - | 2,714 | 527 | |||
Other FI | 1,770 | 353 | - | - | 32 | 13 | 1,802 | 366 | |||
4,447 | 873 | 37 | 7 | 32 | 13 | 4,516 | 893 | ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
31 December 2011 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Banks | 2,922 | 786 |
| 46 | 12 |
| - | - |
| 2,968 | 798 |
Other FI | 1,874 | 517 |
| - | - |
| 33 | 15 |
| 1,907 | 532 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
4,796 | 1,303 |
| 46 | 12 |
| 33 | 15 |
| 4,875 | 1,330 |
Key points*
·; | The portfolio, managed out of Spain, is focused on corporate lending and derivatives trading with the largest local banks. Medium-term activity has ceased with the exception of that carried out under a Credit Support Annex. |
| |
·; | Exposure declined further during the first half of 2012, with continued reductions in lending and in off-balance sheet exposure, and a sale of Group Treasury's AFS bonds, partially offset by an increase in derivative and repo exposure explained by a recovery in market prices. |
·; | Government and Central bank |
| The Group's exposure to the Portuguese government at 30 June 2012 was £61 million, comprising very small derivative exposure and a small debt securities position - up from a net negative position at 31 December 2011 caused by a net short HFT debt securities position. |
·; | Financial institutions |
| A major proportion of the remaining exposure is focused on the top four systemically important financial groups. Exposures generally consist of collateralised trading products. |
·; | Corporate |
| The largest exposure is to the natural resources and transport sectors, concentrated on a few large, highly creditworthy clients. |
·; | Non-Core (included above) |
| The Non-Core division's lending exposure to Portugal was reduced by £0.1 billion in the first half of 2012, to less than £0.3 billion. The portfolio largely comprised lending exposure to the land transport and logistics (39%), electricity (38%) and commercial real estate (18%) sectors. |
* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Greece
| Lending | REIL | Provisions |
| AFS and LAR debt securities | AFS reserves |
| HFT debt securities |
| Total debt securities |
| Derivatives |
| Reverse repos |
| Balance sheet |
| Off-balance sheet |
| Total | |
Long | Short | ||||||||||||||||||||
30 June 2012 | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m |
| £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m | ||
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||||||||||||||
Government | 4 | - | - | - | - | 24 | 8 | 16 | - | - | 20 | - | 20 | ||||||||
Other banks | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 287 | - | 287 | - | 287 | ||||||||
Other FI | 30 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | 32 | - | 32 | ||||||||
Corporate | 149 | 87 | 98 | - | - | - | - | - | 62 | - | 211 | 36 | 247 | ||||||||
Personal | 12 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 | 10 | 22 | ||||||||
195 | 87 | 98 | - | - | 24 | 8 | 16 | 351 | - | 562 | 46 | 608 | |||||||||
|
|
|
|
| |||||||||||||||||
31 December 2011 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Government | 7 | - | - |
| 312 | - |
| 102 | 5 |
| 409 |
| - |
| - |
| 416 |
| - |
| 416 |
Central bank | 6 | - | - |
| - | - |
| - | - |
| - |
| - |
| - |
| 6 |
| - |
| 6 |
Other banks | - | - | - |
| - | - |
| - | - |
| - |
| 290 |
| - |
| 290 |
| - |
| 290 |
Other FI | 31 | - | - |
| - | - |
| - | - |
| - |
| 2 |
| - |
| 33 |
| - |
| 33 |
Corporate | 427 | 256 | 256 |
| - | - |
| - | - |
| - |
| 63 |
| - |
| 490 |
| 42 |
| 532 |
Personal | 14 | - | - |
| - | - |
| - | - |
| - |
| - |
| - |
| 14 |
| 10 |
| 24 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
485 | 256 | 256 |
| 312 | - |
| 102 | 5 |
| 409 |
| 355 |
| - |
| 1,249 |
| 52 |
| 1,301 |
Derivative netting was £223 million (31 December 2011 - £186 million).
30 June 2012 |
| 31 December 2011 | |||||||||
Notional |
| Fair value |
| Notional | Fair value | ||||||
Bought | Sold | Bought | Sold |
| Bought | Sold |
| Bought | Sold | ||
CDS by reference entity | £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m |
| £m | £m | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Government | - | - | - | - |
| 3,158 | 3,165 |
| 2,228 | (2,230) | |
Other banks | 4 | 4 | 1 | (2) |
| 22 | 22 |
| 3 | (3) | |
Other FI | 33 | 33 | 5 | (6) |
| 34 | 34 |
| 8 | (8) | |
Corporate | 376 | 370 | 119 | (120) |
| 434 | 428 |
| 144 | (142) | |
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
413 | 407 | 125 | (128) |
| 3,648 | 3,649 |
| 2,383 | (2,383) |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Greece (continued)
CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band
AQ1 | AQ2-AQ3 | AQ4-AQ9 | Total | ||||||||
Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | ||||
30 June 2012 | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | |||
Banks | 101 | 34 | - | - | - | - | 101 | 34 | |||
Other FI | 279 | 86 | - | - | 33 | 5 | 312 | 91 | |||
380 | 120 | - | - | 33 | 5 | 413 | 125 | ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
31 December 2011 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Banks | 2,001 | 1,345 |
| 1 | 1 |
| - | - |
| 2,002 | 1,346 |
Other FI | 1,507 | 945 |
| 63 | 45 |
| 76 | 47 |
| 1,646 | 1,037 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
3,508 | 2,290 |
| 64 | 46 |
| 76 | 47 |
| 3,648 | 2,383 |
Key points*
·; | The Group has substantially reduced its exposure to Greece which it continues to actively manage, in line with the de-risking strategy that has been in place since early 2010. Much of the remaining exposure is collateralised or guaranteed. The remaining Greek exposure at 30 June 2012 was £0.6 billion, more than half of this being derivative exposure to banks (itself in part collateralised), the remainder is mostly corporate lending (part of this being exposure to local subsidiaries of international companies). |
·; | Government and Central bank |
| The Group participated in the restructuring of the Greek government debt in March 2012, which resulted in new bonds that were sold in March and April, and in £0.3 billion of AFS bonds issued by the European Financial Stability Facility incorporated in Luxembourg. The Group no longer holds any AFS bonds issued by the Greek government. A small HFT position, resulting from the sovereign debt restructuring in March has been retained to enable the Group to quote prices and stay relevant to key clients. |
·; | Financial institutions |
| Activity with Greek financial institutions is largely collateralised derivative and repo exposure and remains under close scrutiny. |
·; | Corporate |
| Lending exposure fell by £0.3 billion, largely due to a single name write-off. |
| |
| The Group's focus is on short-term trade facilities to the domestic subsidiaries of international clients, increasingly supported by parental guarantees. |
·; | Non-Core (included above) |
| The Non-Core division's lending exposure to Greece was less than £0.1 billion at 30 June 2012, a slight reduction from 31 December 2011. The remaining lending portfolio primarily consisted of the following sectors: financial intermediaries (43%), construction (27%) and other services (13%). |
* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Cyprus
| Lending | REIL | Provisions |
| AFS and LAR debt securities | AFS reserves |
| HFT debt securities |
| Total debt securities |
| Derivatives |
| Reverse repos |
| Balance sheet |
| Off-balance sheet |
| Total | |
Long | Short | ||||||||||||||||||||
30 June 2012 | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m |
| £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m | ||
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||||||||||||||
Other bank | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 14 | - | 14 | - | 14 | ||||||||
Other FI | 39 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 39 | - | 39 | ||||||||
Corporate | 241 | 166 | 40 | - | - | - | - | - | 38 | - | 279 | 4 | 283 | ||||||||
Personal | 14 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 14 | 13 | 27 | ||||||||
294 | 166 | 40 | - | - | - | - | - | 52 | - | 346 | 17 | 363 | |||||||||
|
|
|
|
| |||||||||||||||||
31 December 2011 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Other bank | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| - |
| 6 |
| - |
| 6 |
| 1 |
| 7 | ||
Other FI | 38 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| - |
| 1 |
| - |
| 39 |
| 1 |
| 40 | ||
Corporate | 250 | 169 | 40 | - | - | 2 | - |
| 2 |
| 49 |
| - |
| 301 |
| 56 |
| 357 | ||
Personal | 14 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| - |
| - |
| - |
| 14 |
| 10 |
| 24 | ||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
302 | 169 | 40 | - | - | 2 | - |
| 2 |
| 56 |
| - |
| 360 |
| 68 |
| 428 |
Derivative and reverse repo netting were £3 million (31 December 2011 - nil) and £2 million (31 December 2011 - £22 million) respectively.
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Germany
| Lending | REIL | Provisions |
| AFS and LAR debt securities | AFS reserves |
| HFT debt securities |
| Total debt securities |
| Derivatives |
| Reverse repos |
| Balance sheet |
| Off-balance sheet |
| Total | |
Long | Short | ||||||||||||||||||||
30 June 2012 | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m |
| £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m | ||
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||||||||||||||
Government | - | - | - | 8,612 | 500 | 5,483 | 1,695 | 12,400 | 491 |
| - |
| 12,891 |
| 763 |
| 13,654 | ||||
Central bank | 17,351 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| - |
| 17,351 |
| - |
| 17,351 | ||||
Other banks | 610 | - | - | 630 | 9 | 343 | 578 | 395 | 6,120 |
| 191 |
| 7,316 |
| 266 |
| 7,582 | ||||
Other FI | 299 | - | - | 353 | (33) | 141 | 45 | 449 | 3,152 |
| 199 |
| 4,099 |
| 1,270 |
| 5,369 | ||||
Corporate | 5,525 | 254 | 90 | 163 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 173 | 520 |
| - |
| 6,218 |
| 6,007 |
| 12,225 | ||||
Personal | 156 | 4 | 4 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| - |
| 156 |
| 23 |
| 179 | ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||||||||||
23,941 | 258 | 94 | 9,758 | 488 | 5,984 | 2,325 | 13,417 | 10,283 |
| 390 |
| 48,031 |
| 8,329 |
| 56,360 | |||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||||||||||
31 December 2011 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Government | - | - | - |
| 12,035 | 523 |
| 4,136 | 2,084 |
| 14,087 |
| 423 |
| - |
| 14,510 |
| 2 |
| 14,512 |
Central bank | 18,068 | - | - |
| - | - |
| - | - |
| - |
| 2 |
| - |
| 18,070 |
| - |
| 18,070 |
Other banks | 653 | - | - |
| 1,376 | 5 |
| 294 | 761 |
| 909 |
| 5,886 |
| 117 |
| 7,565 |
| 284 |
| 7,849 |
Other FI | 305 | - | - |
| 563 | (33) |
| 187 | 95 |
| 655 |
| 3,272 |
| 49 |
| 4,281 |
| 1,116 |
| 5,397 |
Corporate | 6,608 | 191 | 80 |
| 109 | 9 |
| 14 | 7 |
| 116 |
| 586 |
| - |
| 7,310 |
| 6,103 |
| 13,413 |
Personal | 155 | 19 | 19 |
| - | - |
| - | - |
| - |
| - |
| - |
| 155 |
| 22 |
| 177 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
25,789 | 210 | 99 |
| 14,083 | 504 |
| 4,631 | 2,947 |
| 15,767 |
| 10,169 |
| 166 |
| 51,891 |
| 7,527 |
| 59,418 |
30 June 2012 |
| 31 December 2011 | |||||||||
Notional |
| Fair value |
| Notional | Fair value | ||||||
Bought | Sold | Bought | Sold |
| Bought | Sold |
| Bought | Sold | ||
CDS by reference entity | £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m |
| £m | £m | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Government | 2,895 | 2,610 |
| 64 | (64) |
| 2,631 | 2,640 |
| 76 | (67) |
Other banks | 3,336 | 3,331 |
| 126 | (125) |
| 4,765 | 4,694 |
| 307 | (310) |
Other FI | 2,595 | 2,377 |
| 13 | (10) |
| 3,653 | 3,403 |
| 7 | (2) |
Corporate | 14,387 | 13,087 |
| (64) | 99 |
| 20,433 | 18,311 |
| 148 | (126) |
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
23,213 | 21,405 |
| 139 | (100) |
| 31,482 | 29,048 |
| 538 | (505) |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Germany (continued)
CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band
AQ1 | AQ2-AQ3 | AQ4-AQ9 | Total | ||||||||
Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | ||||
30 June 2012 | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | |||
Banks | 11,166 | 43 | 142 | 3 | 4 | - | 11,312 | 46 | |||
Other FI | 11,527 | 91 | 17 | (1) | 357 | 3 | 11,901 | 93 | |||
22,693 | 134 | 159 | 2 | 361 | 3 | 23,213 | 139 | ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
31 December 2011 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Banks | 14,644 | 171 |
| 163 | 4 |
| 8 | - |
| 14,815 | 175 |
Other FI | 16,315 | 357 |
| 18 | - |
| 334 | 6 |
| 16,667 | 363 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
30,959 | 528 |
| 181 | 4 |
| 342 | 6 |
| 31,482 | 538 |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Netherlands
| Lending | REIL | Provisions |
| AFS and LAR debt securities | AFS reserves |
| HFT debt securities |
| Total debt securities |
| Derivatives |
| Reverse repos |
| Balance sheet |
| Off-balance sheet |
| Total | |
Long | Short | ||||||||||||||||||||
30 June 2012 | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m |
| £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m | ||
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||||||||||||||
Government | 1 | - | - | 1,306 | 59 | 1,270 | 1,202 | 1,374 | 35 |
| - |
| 1,410 |
| 27 |
| 1,437 | ||||
Central bank | 9,185 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| - |
| 9,185 |
| - |
| 9,185 | ||||
Other banks | 617 | - | - | 629 | 119 | 195 | 377 | 447 | 7,676 |
| 552 |
| 9,292 |
| 3,464 |
| 12,756 | ||||
Other FI | 1,556 | - | - | 6,353 | (329) | 310 | 50 | 6,613 | 1,905 |
| 81 |
| 10,155 |
| 2,207 |
| 12,362 | ||||
Corporate | 4,755 | 588 | 230 | 83 | 5 | 49 | 18 | 114 | 645 |
| 1 |
| 5,515 |
| 6,244 |
| 11,759 | ||||
Personal | 29 | 26 | 21 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| - |
| 29 |
| 12 |
| 41 | ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||||||||||
16,143 | 614 | 251 | 8,371 | (146) | 1,824 | 1,647 | 8,548 | 10,261 |
| 634 |
| 35,586 |
| 11,954 |
| 47,540 | |||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||||||||||
31 December 2011 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Government | 8 | - | - |
| 1,447 | 74 |
| 849 | 591 |
| 1,705 |
| 40 |
| - |
| 1,753 |
| - |
| 1,753 |
Central bank | 7,654 | - | - |
| - | - |
| 6 | - |
| 6 |
| 7 |
| - |
| 7,667 |
| - |
| 7,667 |
Other banks | 623 | - | - |
| 802 | 217 |
| 365 | 278 |
| 889 |
| 7,410 |
| 164 |
| 9,086 |
| 3,566 |
| 12,652 |
Other FI | 1,557 | - | - |
| 6,804 | (386) |
| 290 | 108 |
| 6,986 |
| 1,806 |
| 108 |
| 10,457 |
| 3,388 |
| 13,845 |
Corporate | 4,827 | 621 | 209 |
| 199 | 6 |
| 113 | 5 |
| 307 |
| 747 |
| 3 |
| 5,884 |
| 6,596 |
| 12,480 |
Personal | 20 | 3 | 2 |
| - | - |
| - | - |
| - |
| - |
| - |
| 20 |
| 11 |
| 31 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
14,689 | 624 | 211 |
| 9,252 | (89) |
| 1,623 | 982 |
| 9,893 |
| 10,010 |
| 275 |
| 34,867 |
| 13,561 |
| 48,428 |
30 June 2012 |
| 31 December 2011 | |||||||||
Notional |
| Fair value |
| Notional | Fair value | ||||||
Bought | Sold | Bought | Sold |
| Bought | Sold |
| Bought | Sold | ||
CDS by reference entity | £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m |
| £m | £m | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Government | 1,156 | 1,108 |
| 20 | (20) |
| 1,206 | 1,189 |
| 31 | (31) |
Other banks | 708 | 747 |
| 19 | (18) |
| 965 | 995 |
| 41 | (42) |
Other FI | 3,275 | 3,157 |
| 100 | (94) |
| 5,772 | 5,541 |
| 142 | (131) |
Corporate | 9,432 | 8,364 |
| 159 | (73) |
| 15,416 | 14,238 |
| 257 | (166) |
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
14,571 | 13,376 |
| 298 | (205) |
| 23,359 | 21,963 |
| 471 | (370) |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Netherlands (continued)
CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band
AQ1 | AQ2-AQ3 | AQ4-AQ9 | AQ10 | Total | ||||||||||
Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | |||||
30 June 2012 | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | ||||
Banks | 5,411 | 42 | 66 | 1 | 4 | - | - | - | 5,481 | 43 | ||||
Other FI | 7,940 | 145 | 307 | 32 | 701 | 69 | 142 | 9 | 9,090 | 255 | ||||
13,351 | 187 | 373 | 33 | 705 | 69 | 142 | 9 | 14,571 | 298 | |||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
31 December 2011 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Banks | 7,605 | 107 |
| 88 | 1 |
| 6 | - |
| - | - |
| 7,699 | 108 |
Other FI | 14,529 | 231 |
| 308 | 37 |
| 676 | 81 |
| 147 | 14 |
| 15,660 | 363 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
22,134 | 338 |
| 396 | 38 |
| 682 | 81 |
| 147 | 14 |
| 23,359 | 471 |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: France
| Lending | REIL | Provisions |
| AFS and LAR debt securities | AFS reserves |
| HFT debt securities |
| Total debt securities |
| Derivatives |
| Reverse repos |
| Balance sheet |
| Off-balance sheet |
| Total | |
Long | Short | ||||||||||||||||||||
30 June 2012 | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m |
| £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m | ||
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||||||||||||||
Government | 498 | - | - | 1,110 | (27) | 6,056 | 4,596 | 2,570 | 197 |
| - |
| 3,265 |
| 821 |
| 4,086 | ||||
Central bank | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| - |
| 2 |
| - |
| 2 | ||||
Other banks | 829 | - | - | 726 | 1 | 143 | 102 | 767 | 6,309 |
| 347 |
| 8,252 |
| 503 |
| 8,755 | ||||
Other FI | 176 | - | - | 705 | (22) | 180 | 138 | 747 | 655 |
| 54 |
| 1,632 |
| 882 |
| 2,514 | ||||
Corporate | 2,913 | 33 | 13 | 242 | 14 | 148 | 130 | 260 | 716 |
| - |
| 3,889 |
| 7,174 |
| 11,063 | ||||
Personal | 73 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| - |
| 73 |
| 75 |
| 148 | ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||||||||||
4,491 | 33 | 13 | 2,783 | (34) | 6,527 | 4,966 | 4,344 | 7,877 |
| 401 |
| 17,113 |
| 9,455 |
| 26,568 | |||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||||||||||
31 December 2011 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Government | 481 | - | - |
| 2,648 | (14) |
| 8,705 | 5,669 |
| 5,684 |
| 357 |
| - |
| 6,522 |
| 911 |
| 7,433 |
Central bank | 3 | - | - |
| 20 | - |
| - | - |
| 20 |
| - |
| - |
| 23 |
| - |
| 23 |
Other banks | 1,273 | - | - |
| 889 | (17) |
| 157 | 75 |
| 971 |
| 7,009 |
| 262 |
| 9,515 |
| 474 |
| 9,989 |
Other FI | 282 | - | - |
| 642 | (40) |
| 325 | 126 |
| 841 |
| 592 |
| 83 |
| 1,798 |
| 928 |
| 2,726 |
Corporate | 3,761 | 128 | 74 |
| 240 | 9 |
| 72 | 34 |
| 278 |
| 743 |
| - |
| 4,782 |
| 7,829 |
| 12,611 |
Personal | 79 | - | - |
| - | - |
| - | - |
| - |
| - |
| - |
| 79 |
| 75 |
| 154 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
5,879 | 128 | 74 |
| 4,439 | (62) |
| 9,259 | 5,904 |
| 7,794 |
| 8,701 |
| 345 |
| 22,719 |
| 10,217 |
| 32,936 |
30 June 2012 |
| 31 December 2011 | |||||||||
Notional |
| Fair value |
| Notional | Fair value | ||||||
Bought | Sold | Bought | Sold |
| Bought | Sold |
| Bought | Sold | ||
CDS by reference entity | £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m |
| £m | £m | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Government | 3,397 | 2,714 |
| 154 | (139) |
| 3,467 | 2,901 |
| 228 | (195) |
Other banks | 3,518 | 3,486 |
| 201 | (172) |
| 4,232 | 3,995 |
| 282 | (236) |
Other FI | 1,817 | 1,509 |
| 81 | (69) |
| 2,590 | 2,053 |
| 136 | (117) |
Corporate | 14,134 | 13,383 |
| 226 | (196) |
| 23,224 | 21,589 |
| 609 | (578) |
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
22,866 | 21,092 |
| 662 | (576) |
| 33,513 | 30,538 |
| 1,255 | (1,126) |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: France (continued)
CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band
AQ1 | AQ2-AQ3 | AQ4-AQ9 | Total | ||||||||
Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | ||||
30 June 2012 | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | |||
Banks | 10,391 | 279 | 148 | 10 | 76 | 8 | 10,615 | 297 | |||
Other FI | 11,933 | 343 | 21 | 1 | 297 | 21 | 12,251 | 365 | |||
22,324 | 622 | 169 | 11 | 373 | 29 | 22,866 | 662 | ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
31 December 2011 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Banks | 13,353 | 453 |
| 162 | 13 |
| 79 | 8 |
| 13,594 | 474 |
Other FI | 19,641 | 758 |
| 24 | 1 |
| 254 | 22 |
| 19,919 | 781 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
32,994 | 1,211 |
| 186 | 14 |
| 333 | 30 |
| 33,513 | 1,255 |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Belgium
| Lending | REIL | Provisions |
| AFS and LAR debt securities | AFS reserves |
| HFT debt securities |
| Total debt securities |
| Derivatives |
| Reverse repos |
| Balance sheet |
| Off-balance sheet |
| Total | |
Long | Short | ||||||||||||||||||||
30 June 2012 | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m |
| £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m | ||
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||||||||||||||
Government | - | - | - | 745 | (94) | 1,253 | 718 | 1,280 | 95 |
| - |
| 1,375 |
| - |
| 1,375 | ||||
Central bank | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 |
| - |
| 3 |
| - |
| 3 | ||||
Other banks | 300 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2,514 |
| 21 |
| 2,835 |
| 7 |
| 2,842 | ||||
Other FI | 246 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 220 |
| - |
| 466 |
| 81 |
| 547 | ||||
Corporate | 493 | 49 | 18 | 8 | - | 4 | 10 | 2 | 220 |
| - |
| 715 |
| 1,306 |
| 2,021 | ||||
Personal | 21 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| - |
| 21 |
| 8 |
| 29 | ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||||||||||
1,060 | 49 | 18 | 753 | (94) | 1,257 | 728 | 1,282 | 3,052 |
| 21 |
| 5,415 |
| 1,402 |
| 6,817 | |||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||||||||||
31 December 2011 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Government | - | - | - |
| 742 | (116) |
| 608 | 722 |
| 628 |
| 89 |
| - |
| 717 |
| - |
| 717 |
Central bank | 8 | - | - |
| - | - |
| - | - |
| - |
| 3 |
| - |
| 11 |
| - |
| 11 |
Other banks | 287 | - | - |
| 4 | - |
| - | - |
| 4 |
| 2,399 |
| 51 |
| 2,741 |
| 8 |
| 2,749 |
Other FI | 354 | - | - |
| - | - |
| 1 | 4 |
| (3) |
| 191 |
| - |
| 542 |
| 64 |
| 606 |
Corporate | 588 | 31 | 21 |
| 3 | - |
| 20 | - |
| 23 |
| 277 |
| - |
| 888 |
| 1,279 |
| 2,167 |
Personal | 20 | - | - |
| - | - |
| - | - |
| - |
| - |
| - |
| 20 |
| 8 |
| 28 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
1,257 | 31 | 21 |
| 749 | (116) |
| 629 | 726 |
| 652 |
| 2,959 |
| 51 |
| 4,919 |
| 1,359 |
| 6,278 |
30 June 2012 |
| 31 December 2011 | |||||||||
Notional |
| Fair value |
| Notional | Fair value | ||||||
Bought | Sold | Bought | Sold |
| Bought | Sold |
| Bought | Sold | ||
CDS by reference entity | £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m |
| £m | £m | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Government | 1,569 | 1,451 |
| 60 | (55) |
| 1,612 | 1,505 |
| 120 | (110) |
Other banks | 313 | 311 |
| 6 | (6) |
| 312 | 302 |
| 14 | (13) |
Corporate | 367 | 355 |
| 3 | (3) |
| 563 | 570 |
| 12 | (12) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
2,249 | 2,117 |
| 69 | (64) |
| 2,487 | 2,377 |
| 146 | (135) |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Belgium (continued)
CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band
AQ1 | AQ2-AQ3 | AQ4-AQ9 | Total | ||||||||
Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | ||||
30 June 2012 | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | |||
Banks | 1,519 | 46 | 2 | - | 12 | - | 1,533 | 46 | |||
Other FI | 710 | 23 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 716 | 23 | |||
2,229 | 69 | 3 | - | 17 | - | 2,249 | 69 | ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
31 December 2011 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Banks | 1,602 | 97 |
| 2 | - |
| 12 | 1 |
| 1,616 | 98 |
Other FI | 866 | 48 |
| 1 | - |
| 4 | - |
| 871 | 48 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
2,468 | 145 |
| 3 | - |
| 16 | 1 |
| 2,487 | 146 |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Luxembourg
| Lending | REIL | Provisions |
| AFS and LAR debt securities | AFS reserves |
| HFT debt securities |
| Total debt securities |
| Derivatives |
| Reverse repos |
| Balance sheet |
| Off-balance sheet |
| Total | |
Long | Short | ||||||||||||||||||||
30 June 2012 | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m |
| £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m | ||
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||||||||||||||
Other banks | 1 | - | - | 10 | - | 44 | 2 | 52 | 547 |
| 12 |
| 612 |
| - |
| 612 | ||||
Other FI | 471 | - | - | 41 | (6) | 221 | 4 | 258 | 824 |
| 381 |
| 1,934 |
| 350 |
| 2,284 | ||||
Corporate | 2,100 | 978 | 310 | 5 | 1 | 25 | 29 | 1 | 207 |
| - |
| 2,308 |
| 1,582 |
| 3,890 | ||||
Personal | 3 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| - |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| 5 | ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||||||||||
2,575 | 978 | 310 | 56 | (5) | 290 | 35 | 311 | 1,578 |
| 393 |
| 4,857 |
| 1,934 |
| 6,791 | |||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||||||||||
31 December 2011 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Other banks | 101 | - | - |
| 10 | - |
| 7 | - |
| 17 |
| 530 |
| 16 |
| 664 |
| - |
| 664 |
Other FI | 925 | - | - |
| 54 | (7) |
| 82 | 80 |
| 56 |
| 2,174 |
| 789 |
| 3,944 |
| 711 |
| 4,655 |
Corporate | 2,228 | 897 | 301 |
| 5 | - |
| 58 | 6 |
| 57 |
| 180 |
| - |
| 2,465 |
| 1,294 |
| 3,759 |
Personal | 2 | - | - |
| - | - |
| - | - |
| - |
| - |
| - |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
3,256 | 897 | 301 |
| 69 | (7) |
| 147 | 86 |
| 130 |
| 2,884 |
| 805 |
| 7,075 |
| 2,007 |
| 9,082 |
30 June 2012 |
| 31 December 2011 | |||||||||
Notional |
| Fair value |
| Notional | Fair value | ||||||
Bought | Sold | Bought | Sold |
| Bought | Sold |
| Bought | Sold | ||
CDS by reference entity | £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m |
| £m | £m | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Other FI | 1,063 | 1,013 |
| 83 | (76) |
| 2,080 | 1,976 |
| 118 | (108) |
Corporate | 1,577 | 1,302 |
| 97 | (83) |
| 2,478 | 2,138 |
| 146 | (116) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
2,640 | 2,315 |
| 180 | (159) |
| 4,558 | 4,114 |
| 264 | (224) |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Luxembourg (continued)
CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band
AQ1 | AQ2-AQ3 | AQ4-AQ9 | Total | ||||||||
Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | ||||
30 June 2012 | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | |||
Banks | 969 | 71 | 14 | - | - | - | 983 | 71 | |||
Other FI | 1,571 | 103 | 8 | - | 78 | 6 | 1,657 | 109 | |||
2,540 | 174 | 22 | - | 78 | 6 | 2,640 | 180 | ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
31 December 2011 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Banks | 1,535 | 93 |
| 16 | - |
| - | - |
| 1,551 | 93 |
Other FI | 2,927 | 164 |
| 10 | - |
| 70 | 7 |
| 3,007 | 171 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
4,462 | 257 |
| 26 | - |
| 70 | 7 |
| 4,558 | 264 |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Other eurozone (1)
| Lending | REIL | Provisions |
| AFS and LAR debt securities | AFS reserves |
| HFT debt securities |
| Total debt securities |
| Derivatives |
| Reverse repos |
| Balance sheet |
| Off-balance sheet |
| Total | |
Long | Short | ||||||||||||||||||||
30 June 2012 | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m |
| £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m | ||
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||||||||||||||
Government | 60 | - | - | 329 | (46) | 652 | 316 | 665 | 746 |
| - |
| 1,471 |
| - |
| 1,471 | ||||
Central bank | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25 |
| - |
| 25 |
| - |
| 25 | ||||
Other banks | 16 | - | - | 53 | - | 51 | 52 | 52 | 911 |
| 13 |
| 992 |
| 173 |
| 1,165 | ||||
Other FI | 73 | - | - | 97 | (8) | 17 | 46 | 68 | 14 |
| 18 |
| 173 |
| 65 |
| 238 | ||||
Corporate | 974 | 199 | 68 | 135 | (2) | 9 | 7 | 137 | 47 |
| - |
| 1,158 |
| 1,049 |
| 2,207 | ||||
Personal | 13 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| - |
| 13 |
| 25 |
| 38 | ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||||||||||
1,136 | 199 | 68 | 614 | (56) | 729 | 421 | 922 | 1,743 |
| 31 |
| 3,832 |
| 1,312 |
| 5,144 | |||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||||||||||
31 December 2011 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Government | 121 | - | - |
| 327 | (47) |
| 445 | 331 |
| 441 |
| 779 |
| - |
| 1,341 |
| 25 |
| 1,366 |
Central bank | - | - | - |
| - | - |
| - | - |
| - |
| 23 |
| - |
| 23 |
| - |
| 23 |
Other banks | 28 | - | - |
| 63 | (1) |
| 13 | 70 |
| 6 |
| 1,011 |
| - |
| 1,045 |
| 94 |
| 1,139 |
Other FI | 77 | - | - |
| 100 | (9) |
| 25 | 2 |
| 123 |
| 36 |
| - |
| 236 |
| 130 |
| 366 |
Corporate | 1,125 | 12 | 15 |
| 134 | (4) |
| 11 | 7 |
| 138 |
| 45 |
| - |
| 1,308 |
| 1,038 |
| 2,346 |
Personal | 12 | - | - |
| - | - |
| - | - |
| - |
| - |
| - |
| 12 |
| 10 |
| 22 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
1,363 | 12 | 15 |
| 624 | (61) |
| 494 | 410 |
| 708 |
| 1,894 |
| - |
| 3,965 |
| 1,297 |
| 5,262 |
30 June 2012 |
| 31 December 2011 | |||||||||
Notional |
| Fair value |
| Notional | Fair value | ||||||
Bought | Sold | Bought | Sold |
| Bought | Sold |
| Bought | Sold | ||
CDS by reference entity | £m | £m | £m | £m |
| £m | £m |
| £m | £m | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Government | 2,269 | 2,188 |
| 27 | (21) |
| 2,281 | 2,350 |
| 54 | (47) |
Other banks | 76 | 71 |
| 1 | (1) |
| 90 | 87 |
| 2 | (1) |
Corporate | 2,687 | 2,608 |
| 37 | (28) |
| 4,054 | 3,944 |
| 70 | (59) |
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
5,032 | 4,867 |
| 65 | (50) |
| 6,425 | 6,381 |
| 126 | (107) |
For the note to this table refer to the following page.
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Other eurozone (1) (continued)
CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band
AQ1 | AQ2-AQ3 | AQ4-AQ9 | Total | ||||||||
Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | Notional | Fair value | ||||
30 June 2012 | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | £m | |||
Banks | 2,373 | 35 | 49 | - | - | - | 2,422 | 35 | |||
Other FI | 2,563 | 29 | 3 | - | 44 | 1 | 2,610 | 30 | |||
4,936 | 64 | 52 | - | 44 | 1 | 5,032 | 65 | ||||
|
|
|
|
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31 December 2011 |
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Banks | 2,877 | 58 |
| 50 | 1 |
| - | - |
| 2,927 | 59 |
Other FI | 3,464 | 67 |
| 4 | - |
| 30 | - |
| 3,498 | 67 |
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6,341 | 125 |
| 54 | 1 |
| 30 | - |
| 6,425 | 126 |
Note:
(1) | Comprises Austria, Estonia, Finland, Malta, Slovakia and Slovenia. |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Risk management: Country risk: Eurozone non-periphery
Key points*
·; | Germany and Netherlands - The Group holds significant short-term surplus liquidity with central banks given credit risk and capital considerations and limited alternative investment opportunities; this exposure also fluctuates as part of the Group's asset and liability management. In addition, net long HFT positions in German bonds in Markets increased, driven by market opportunities. Concurrently, German AFS bond positions in Group Treasury were reduced in line with internal liquidity management strategies. |
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·; | France - During the first half of 2012, in anticipation of widening credit spreads and as part of general risk management, the Group reduced its holdings in French bonds, both AFS in Group Treasury and HFT in Markets. |
·; | Government and central banks |
| Belgium - Net HFT government bonds exposure increased by £0.6 billion reflecting fluctuations in market making positions. |
·; | Financial institutions |
| Germany and Netherlands - Derivative and repo exposure to financial institutions increased during the first half of 2012 by £0.7 billion in Netherlands, driven by a few large banks, and by £0.3 billion in Germany, spread over a larger number of names. |
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| France - Approximately two thirds of the lending to banks is to the top three banks under uncommitted facilities. |
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| Luxembourg - Lending to banks and non-bank financial institutions decreased by £0.6 billion during the first half of 2012, spread over a number of financial intermediaries, funds and banks. |
·; | Corporate |
| Germany - Lending to corporate clients fell by £1.1 billion, driven by reductions in the transport, media, commercial real estate, electricity and media sectors. |
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| France - Corporate lending decreased by £0.8 billion, due to reductions in the telecommunications, commercial real estate and construction sectors. |
·; | Non-Core (included above) |
| Non-Core lending exposure has been generally reduced in line with the Group's strategic plan. |
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| Non-Core lending exposure in France was £2.0 billion at 30 June 2012, a decline of £0.3 billion since 31 December 2011. The lending portfolio mainly comprised property (41%) and sovereign and quasi-sovereign (24%) exposures. |
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| Non-Core lending exposure in Germany was £4.5 billion at 30 June 2012, down £0.9 billion since 31 December 2011. Most of the lending was in the property (50%) and transport (27%) sectors. |
* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report
Independent review report to The Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc
We have been engaged by The Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc ("the Company") to review the condensed financial statements in the half-yearly financial report for the six months ended 30 June 2012 which comprise the condensed consolidated income statement, the condensed consolidated statement of comprehensive income, the condensed consolidated balance sheet, the condensed consolidated statement of changes in equity, the condensed consolidated cash flow statement, related notes 1 to 20, the divisional results on pages 21 to 67 and the Risk and balance sheet management section set out on pages 129 to 236 except for those indicated as not reviewed (together "the condensed financial statements"). We have read the other information contained in the half-yearly financial report and considered whether it contains any apparent misstatements or material inconsistencies with the information in the condensed financial statements.
This report is made solely to the Company in accordance with International Standard on Review Engagements (UK and Ireland) 2410 'Review of Interim Financial Information Performed by the Independent Auditor of the Entity' issued by the Auditing Practices Board. Our work has been undertaken so that we might state to the Company those matters we are required to state to them in an independent review report and for no other purpose. To the fullest extent permitted by law, we do not accept or assume responsibility to anyone other than the Company, for our review work, for this report, or for the conclusions we have formed.
Directors' responsibilities
The half-yearly financial report is the responsibility of, and has been approved by, the directors. The directors are responsible for preparing the half-yearly financial report in accordance with the Disclosure and Transparency Rules of the United Kingdom's Financial Services Authority.
As disclosed in note 1, the annual financial statements of the Group are prepared in accordance with IFRSs as adopted by the European Union. The condensed financial statements included in this half-yearly financial report have been prepared in accordance with International Accounting Standard 34, 'Interim Financial Reporting', as adopted by the European Union.
Our responsibility
Our responsibility is to express to the Company a conclusion on the condensed financial statements in the half-yearly financial report based on our review.
Scope of review
We conducted our review in accordance with International Standard on Review Engagements (UK and Ireland) 2410 'Review of Interim Financial Information Performed by the Independent Auditor of the Entity' issued by the Auditing Practices Board for use in the United Kingdom. A review of interim financial information consists of making inquiries, primarily of persons responsible for financial and accounting matters, and applying analytical and other review procedures. A review is substantially less in scope than an audit conducted in accordance with International Standards on Auditing (UK and Ireland) and consequently does not enable us to obtain assurance that we would become aware of all significant matters that might be identified in an audit. Accordingly, we do not express an audit opinion.
Independent review report to The Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc (continued)
Conclusion
Based on our review, nothing has come to our attention that causes us to believe that the condensed financial statements in the half-yearly financial report for the six months ended 30 June 2012 are not prepared, in all material respects, in accordance with International Accounting Standard 34 as adopted by the European Union and the Disclosure and Transparency Rules of the United Kingdom's Financial Services Authority.
Deloitte LLP
Chartered Accountants and Statutory Auditor
London, United Kingdom
2 August 2012
Risk factors
The principal risks and uncertainties facing the Group are unchanged from those disclosed on pages 451 to 464 of the Group's 2011 Annual Report and Accounts ("2011 R&A").
Summary of our Principal Risks and Uncertainties
Set out below is a summary of certain risks which could adversely affect the Group. These should not be regarded as a complete and comprehensive statement of all potential risks and uncertainties. The summary should be read in conjunction with the Risk and balance sheet management section on pages 100 to 249 of the 2011 R&A, which also includes a fuller description of these and other risk factors (pages 451 to 464).
·; | The Group's businesses, earnings and financial condition and liquidity have been and will continue to be affected by geopolitical conditions, the global economy, instability in the global financial markets and increased competition. Together with a perceived increased risk of default on the sovereign debt of certain European countries and unprecedented stresses on the financial system within the eurozone, the above factors have resulted in significant fluctuations in market conditions including interest rates, foreign exchange rates, credit spreads, and other market factors and consequent changes in asset valuations. |
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·; | The Group's ability to meet its obligations, including its funding commitments, depends on the Group's ability to access sources of liquidity and funding. The inability to access liquidity and funding due to market conditions or otherwise could adversely affect the Group's financial condition. Furthermore, the Group's borrowing costs and its access to the debt capital markets and other sources of liquidity depend significantly on its and the UK Government's credit ratings. |
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·; | The Independent Commission on Banking has published its final report on competition and possible structural reforms in the UK banking industry. The Government has indicated that it supports and intends to implement the recommendations substantially as proposed which could have a material adverse effect on the Group's structure, financial condition and results. |
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·; | The Group's ability to implement its Strategic Plan depends on the success of its efforts to refocus on its core strengths and its balance sheet reduction programme. As part of the Group's Strategic Plan and implementation of the State Aid restructuring plan agreed with the European Commission and HM Treasury, the Group is undertaking an extensive restructuring which may adversely affect the Group's business, results of operations and financial condition and give rise to increased operational risk and may impair the Group's ability to raise new Tier 1 capital due to restrictions on its ability to make discretionary dividend or coupon payments on certain securities. |
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·; | The occurrence of a delay in the implementation of (or any failure to implement) the approved proposed transfers of a substantial part of the business activities of RBS N.V. to the Royal Bank may have a material adverse effect on the Group. |
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·; | The Group or any of its UK bank subsidiaries may face the risk of full nationalisation or other resolution procedures and various actions could be taken by or on behalf of the UK Government in the event that any such entities are failing, or likely to fail, including actions in relation to any securities issued, new or existing contractual arrangements and transfers of part or all of the Group's businesses. |
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·; | The actual or perceived failure or worsening credit of the Group's counterparties or borrowers and depressed asset valuations resulting from poor market conditions have adversely affected and could continue to adversely affect the Group. |
Risk factors (continued)
·; | The value of certain financial instruments recorded at fair value is determined using financial models incorporating assumptions, judgements and estimates that may change over time or may ultimately not turn out to be accurate. |
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·; | Changes in interest rates, foreign exchange rates, credit spreads, bond, equity and commodity prices, basis, volatility and correlation risks and other market factors have significantly affected and will continue to affect the Group's business and results of operation. |
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·; | The Group's insurance businesses are subject to inherent risks involving claims on insured events. |
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·; | The Group's business performance, financial condition and capital and liquidity ratios could be adversely affected if its capital is not managed effectively or as a result of changes to capital adequacy and liquidity requirements, including those arising out of Basel III implementation (globally or by European or UK authorities), or if the Group is unable to issue Contingent B Shares to HM Treasury under certain circumstances. |
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·; | Any significant developments in regulatory or tax legislation could have an effect on how the Group conducts its business and on its results of operations and financial condition, and the recoverability of certain deferred tax assets recognised by the Group is subject to uncertainty. |
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·; | The Group is subject to substantial regulation and oversight, and any significant regulatory or legal developments could have an adverse effect on how the Group conducts its business and on its results of operations and financial condition. In addition, the Group is, and may be, subject to litigation and regulatory investigations that may adversely impact its business, results of operations and financial condition. |
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·; | Operational and reputational risks are inherent in the Group's operations. |
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·; | The Group could fail to attract or retain senior management, which may include members of the Group Board, or other key employees, and it may suffer if it does not maintain good employee relations. |
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·; | The Group may be required to make contributions to its pension schemes and government compensation schemes, either of which may have an adverse impact on the Group's results of operations, cash flow and financial condition. |
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·; | As a result of the UK Government's majority shareholding in the Group it can, and in the future may decide to, exercise a significant degree of influence over the Group including on dividend policy, modifying or cancelling contracts or limiting the Group's operations. The offer or sale by the UK Government of all or a portion of its shareholding in the company could affect the market price of the equity shares and other securities and acquisitions of ordinary shares by the UK Government (including through conversions of other securities or further purchases of shares) may result in the delisting of the Group from the Official List. |
Statement of directors' responsibilities
We, the directors listed below, confirm that to the best of our knowledge:
·; | the condensed financial statements have been prepared in accordance with IAS 34 'Interim Financial Reporting'; |
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·; | the interim management report includes a fair review of the information required by DTR 4.2.7R (indication of important events during the first six months and description of principal risks and uncertainties for the remaining six months of the year); and |
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·; | the interim management report includes a fair review of the information required by DTR 4.2.8R (disclosure of related parties' transactions and changes therein). |
By order of the Board
Philip Hampton | Stephen Hester | Bruce Van Saun |
Chairman | Group Chief Executive | Group Finance Director |
2 August 2012
Board of directors
Chairman | Executive directors | Non-executive directors |
Philip Hampton | Stephen Hester Bruce Van Saun | Sandy Crombie Alison Davis Tony Di Iorio Penny Hughes Joe MacHale Brendan Nelson Baroness Noakes Arthur 'Art' Ryan Philip Scott |
Additional information
| 30 June 2012 | 31 March 2012 | 31 December 2011 |
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Ordinary share price* | 215.3p | 276.4p | 201.8p |
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Number of ordinary shares in issue* | 6,017m | 5,955m | 5,923m |
*prior period data have been adjusted for the sub-division and one-for-ten share consolidation of ordinary shares, which took effect in June 2012.
Statutory results
Financial information contained in this document does not constitute statutory accounts within the meaning of section 434 of the Companies Act 2006 ('the Act'). The statutory accounts for the year ended 31 December 2011 have been filed with the Registrar of Companies. The report of the auditor on those statutory accounts was unqualified, did not draw attention to any matters by way of emphasis and did not contain a statement under section 498(2) or (3) of the Act.
Financial calendar
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2012 Q3 interim management statement | Friday 2 November 2012 |
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2012 annual results | Thursday 28 February 2013 |
Related Shares:
RBS.L