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Interim Results - Part 7 of 8

3rd Aug 2012 07:00

RNS Number : 2225J
Royal Bank of Scotland Group PLC
03 August 2012
 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Market risk

Market risk arises from changes in interest rates, foreign currency, credit spreads, equity prices and risk related factors such as market volatilities. The Group manages market risk centrally within its trading and non-trading portfolios through a comprehensive market risk management framework. This control framework includes qualitative and quantitative guidance in the form of comprehensive policy statements, dealing authorities, limits based on, but not limited to, value-at-risk (VaR), stress testing, positions and sensitivity analyses.

 

For a description of the Group's basis of measurement and methodology enhancements, refer to pages 229 to 231 of the Group's 2011 Annual Report and Accounts.

 

CRD III capital charges*

Following the implementation of CRD III in 2011, the Group is required to calculate: (i) Stressed VaR (SVaR) - an additional capital charge based on a stressed calibration of the VaR model; (ii) an Incremental Risk Charge (IRC) to capture the default and migration risk for credit risk positions in the trading book; and (iii) an All Price Risk (APR) measure for correlation trading positions, subject to a capital floor that is based on standardised securitisation charges. The capital charges at 30 June 2012 associated with these models are shown in the table below:

 

 

30 June 

31 March 

31 December 

 

2012 

2012 

2011 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

Stressed VaR

1,670 

1,793 

1,682 

Incremental Risk Charge

528 

659 

469 

All Price Risk

199 

262 

297 

 

Key points*

·;

The FSA approved the inclusion of the Group's US trading subsidiary in the regulatory models in March 2012, resulting in an increase in the IRC and SVaR at 31 March 2012.

 

 

·;

During Q2 2012, the IRC and SVaR decreased due to general de-risking in sovereign, corporate and agency positions. At the end of Q2 2012, an enhanced IRC model was implemented, partially offsetting the decrease. The APR decreased during Q1 and Q2 due to the unwinding of trades in Non-Core.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Market risk (continued)

 

Daily distribution of Markets trading revenues*

 

http://www.rns-pdf.londonstockexchange.com/rns/2225J_-2012-8-2.pdf

 

Note:

(1)

The effect of any month end adjustments, not attributable to a specific daily market move, is spread evenly over the trading days in the month in question.

 

Key points*

·;

The average daily revenue earned by Markets' trading activities in H1 2012 was £20 million, compared with £26 million for H1 2011. The standard deviation of the daily revenues for H1 2012 was £14 million, compared with £17 million in H1 2011. The standard deviation measures the variation of daily revenues about the mean value of those revenues.

 

 

·;

The number of days with negative revenue increased from six in H1 2011 to thirteen in H1 2012. Trading conditions were challenging, characterised by low, flat interest rate curves and by risk aversion weighing on credit and emerging market sentiment. In light of the economic slowdown and political uncertainty in Europe, client volumes remained very subdued.

 

 

·;

The two most frequent results were daily revenue of: (i) between £15 million and £20 million, and (ii) between £20 million and £25 million, each of which occurred 19 times in H1 2012. In H1 2011, the most frequent result was daily revenue of between £25 million and £30 million, which occurred 18 times.

 

 

 

 

 

* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Market risk (continued)

The tables below detail VaR for the Group's trading portfolios.

 

 

Half year ended

31 December 

2011 

30 June 2012

 

30 June 2011

 

Average 

Period 

end 

Maximum 

Minimum 

 

Average 

Period 

 end 

Maximum 

Minimum 

Period 

 end 

Trading VaR

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Interest rate

66.3 

58.7 

95.7 

43.6 

 

49.8 

36.8 

79.2 

27.5 

68.1 

Credit spread

75.7 

50.2 

94.9 

44.9 

 

103.4 

64.6 

151.1 

60.0 

74.3 

Currency

12.6 

10.9 

21.3 

8.2 

 

10.8 

9.3 

18.0 

5.2 

16.2 

Equity

6.3 

6.2 

12.5 

3.3 

 

10.8 

12.0 

17.3 

5.2 

8.0 

Commodity

1.9 

1.3 

6.0 

0.9 

 

0.2 

0.3 

1.6 

2.3 

Diversification (1)

 

(45.3)

 

 

 

 

(61.0)

 

 

(52.3)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

103.4 

82.0 

137.0 

66.5 

 

117.3 

62.0 

181.3 

60.8 

116.6 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Core

75.3 

67.2 

118.0 

47.4 

 

84.0 

42.5 

133.9 

42.5 

89.1 

Non-Core

35.8 

24.3 

41.9 

22.1 

 

91.4 

51.4 

128.6 

47.5 

34.6 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CEM

78.2 

75.8 

84.2 

73.3 

 

43.6 

33.5 

57.4 

30.3 

75.8 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total (excluding CEM)

50.4 

43.0 

76.4 

37.5 

 

97.4 

47.6 

150.0 

45.8 

49.7 

 

Note:

(1)

The Group benefits from diversification, which reflects the risk reduction achieved by allocating investments across various financial instrument types, currencies and markets. The extent of diversification benefit depends on the correlation between the assets and risk factors in the portfolio at a particular time. Diversification has an inverse relationship with correlation. The diversification factor is the sum of the VaR on individual risk types less the total portfolio VaR.

 

Key points

·;

The Group's average credit spread VaR for H1 2012 was considerably lower than that for the same period last year, due to the credit spread volatility experienced during the 2008 financial crisis dropping out of the time series window, combined with a reduction in the asset-backed securities trading inventory in Core and the restructuring of some monoline hedges relating to the Non-Core banking book.

 

·;

Counterparty Exposure Management (CEM) manages the over-the-counter derivative counterparty credit risk on behalf of other Markets businesses. More recently, CEM also centrally manages the funding risk on these contracts. The CEM trading VaR was considerably higher in H1 2012 than in H1 2011, primarily due to the transfer of funding risk management from individual desks to CEM.

 

·;

The period end interest rate VaR was higher for H1 2012 than H1 2011. The VaR increased during H2 2011, driven by: (i) pre-hedging activity associated with a large successful UK gilt syndication in which RBS participated; and (ii) positioning reflecting market expectations. The VaR remained at this higher level during H1 2012 given further pre-hedging and positioning activity ahead of subsequent government bond auctions.

 

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Market risk (continued)

 

 

Quarter ended

 

30 June 2012

 

31 March 2012

 

Average 

Period end 

Maximum 

Minimum 

 

Average 

Period end 

Maximum 

Minimum 

Trading VaR

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Interest rate

58.8 

58.7 

84.5 

43.6 

 

73.8 

68.3 

95.7 

51.2 

Credit spread

67.3 

50.2 

90.1 

44.9 

 

84.2 

88.5 

94.9 

72.6 

Currency

12.6 

10.9 

18.0 

8.8 

 

12.5 

11.1 

21.3 

8.2 

Equity

5.1 

6.2 

7.8 

3.3 

 

7.5 

6.3 

12.5 

4.7 

Commodity

1.2 

1.3 

2.4 

0.9 

 

2.5 

1.3 

6.0 

1.0 

Diversification (1)

 

(45.3)

 

 

 

 

(69.0)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

90.3 

82.0 

111.0 

66.5 

 

116.6 

106.5 

137.0 

97.2 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Core

67.9 

67.2 

84.1 

47.4 

 

82.8 

74.5 

118.0 

63.6 

Non-Core

32.9 

24.3 

40.4 

22.1 

 

38.7 

39.3 

41.9 

34.2 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CEM

77.3 

75.8 

83.7 

73.8 

 

79.1 

78.5 

84.2 

73.3 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total (excluding CEM)

47.4 

43.0 

63.2 

37.5 

 

53.5 

56.6 

76.4 

41.0 

 

Note:

(1)

The Group benefits from diversification, which reflects the risk reduction achieved by allocating investments across various financial instrument types, currencies and markets. The extent of diversification benefit depends on the correlation between the assets and risk factors in the portfolio at a particular time. Diversification has an inverse relationship with correlation. The diversification factor is the sum of the VaR on individual risk types less the total portfolio VaR.

 

Key points

·;

The average and period end Non-Core and credit spread VaR were lower in Q2 2012 than in Q1 2012, as Non-Core continued its de-risking strategy through the disposal of assets and unwinding of trades.

 

·;

The average and period end interest rate trading VaR were lower in Q2 2012 than in Q1 2012, driven by position reductions in the early part of Q2 2012.

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Market risk (continued)

The tables below detail VaR for the Group's non-trading portfolio, excluding the structured credit portfolio and loans and receivables.

 

 

Half year ended

31 December 

2011 

30 June 2012

 

30 June 2011

 

Average 

Period 

end 

Maximum 

Minimum 

 

Average 

Period 

 end 

Maximum 

Minimum 

Period 

 end 

Non-trading VaR

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Interest rate

8.4 

6.0 

10.7 

6.0 

 

8.0 

8.3 

10.8 

5.7 

9.9 

Credit spread

12.6 

9.1 

15.4 

9.1 

 

21.4 

18.0 

39.3 

14.2 

13.6 

Currency

3.5 

3.5 

4.5 

3.2 

 

1.1 

3.3 

3.3 

0.1 

4.0 

Equity

1.8 

1.6 

1.9 

1.6 

 

2.3 

2.0 

3.1 

2.0 

1.9 

Diversification (1)

 

(11.2)

 

 

 

 

(13.1)

 

 

(13.6)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

14.3 

9.0 

18.3 

9.0 

 

22.6 

18.5 

41.6 

13.4 

15.8 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Core

14.0 

9.0 

19.0 

8.9 

 

22.0 

19.4 

38.9 

13.5 

15.1 

Non-Core

2.2 

1.7 

2.6 

1.6 

 

3.2 

4.3 

4.3 

2.2 

2.5 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CEM

1.0 

1.0 

1.0 

0.9 

 

0.3 

0.3 

0.4 

0.3 

0.9 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total (excluding CEM)

14.1 

9.0 

17.8 

9.0 

 

22.5 

18.4 

41.4 

13.7 

15.5 

 

Note:

(1)

The Group benefits from diversification, which reflects the risk reduction achieved by allocating investments across various financial instrument types, currencies and markets. The extent of diversification benefit depends on the correlation between the assets and risk factors in the portfolio at a particular time. Diversification has an inverse relationship with correlation. The diversification factor is the sum of the VaR on individual risk types less the total portfolio VaR.

 

Key point

·;

The average Core and credit spread VaR were considerably lower in H1 2012 than in H1 2011, due to reduced volatility in the market data time series, position reductions and a decrease in the size of the collateral portfolio. The reduction in collateral was driven by the restructuring of certain Dutch RMBS. This restructuring facilitated their eligibility as ECB collateral and allowed the disposal in H1 2012 of additional collateral purchased during H2 2011.

 

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Market risk (continued)

 

 

Quarter ended

 

30 June 2012

 

31 March 2012

 

Average 

Period end 

Maximum 

Minimum 

 

Average 

Period end 

Maximum 

Minimum 

Non-trading VaR

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Interest rate

7.2 

6.0 

8.3 

6.0 

 

9.6 

8.7 

10.7 

8.7 

Credit spread

11.4 

9.1 

13.4 

9.1 

 

13.9 

15.2 

15.4 

12.9 

Currency

3.3 

3.5 

3.6 

3.2 

 

3.7 

3.3 

4.5 

3.2 

Equity

1.6 

1.6 

1.8 

1.6 

 

1.9 

1.8 

1.9 

1.8 

Diversification (1)

 

(11.2)

 

 

 

 

(10.8)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

12.8 

9.0 

15.5 

9.0 

 

15.7 

18.2 

18.3 

13.6 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Core

12.3 

9.0 

14.8 

8.9 

 

15.7 

18.8 

19.0 

13.5 

Non-Core

1.8 

1.7 

2.5 

1.6 

 

2.5 

2.4 

2.6 

2.4 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CEM

1.0 

1.0 

1.0 

0.9 

 

1.0 

0.9 

1.0 

0.9 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total (excluding CEM)

12.4 

9.0 

15.4 

9.0 

 

15.7 

17.4 

17.8 

13.5 

 

Note:

(1)

The Group benefits from diversification, which reflects the risk reduction achieved by allocating investments across various financial instrument types, currencies and markets. The extent of diversification benefit depends on the correlation between the assets and risk factors in the portfolio at a particular time. Diversification has an inverse relationship with correlation. The diversification factor is the sum of the VaR on individual risk types less the total portfolio VaR.

 

Key point

·;

The Group's total non-trading VaR was lower in Q2 2012 than in the previous quarter, largely due to decreases in the credit spread and interest rate VaR, which were driven by reduced volatility in the time series and the decrease in the collateral portfolio referred to on the previous page.

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Market risk (continued)

 

Structured Credit Portfolio

The Structured Credit Portfolio is within Non-Core. The risk in this portfolio is not measured or disclosed using VaR, as the Group believes this is not an appropriate tool for the banking book portfolio, which comprises illiquid debt securities. These assets are reported on a drawn notional and fair value basis, and managed on a third party asset and RWA basis. The table below shows the open market risk in the structured credit portfolio.

 

 

Drawn notional

 

Fair value

 

CDOs 

CLOs 

MBS (1)

Other 

 ABS 

Total 

 

CDOs 

CLOs 

MBS (1)

Other 

 ABS 

Total 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1-2 years

122 

122 

 

114 

114 

2-3 years

69 

76 

 

65 

71 

3-4 years

49 

58 

 

46 

55 

4-5 years

103 

40 

143 

 

83 

37 

120 

5-10 years

379 

174 

277 

830 

 

352 

109 

242 

703 

>10 years

346 

359 

485 

573 

1,763 

 

139 

315 

308 

329 

1,091 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

346 

747 

769 

1,130 

2,992 

 

139 

676 

506 

833 

2,154 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 March 2012

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1-2 years

54 

54 

 

48 

48 

2-3 years

153 

162 

 

143 

152 

4-5 years

18 

30 

93 

141 

 

17 

23 

86 

126 

5-10 years

368 

254 

248 

870 

 

334 

167 

210 

711 

>10 years

1,115 

432 

833 

557 

2,937 

 

202 

368 

569 

319 

1,458 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1,115 

818 

1,126 

1,105 

4,164 

 

202 

719 

768 

806 

2,495 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1-2 years

27 

27 

 

22 

22 

2-3 years

10 

196 

206 

 

182 

191 

4-5 years

37 

37 

95 

169 

 

34 

30 

88 

152 

5-10 years

32 

503 

270 

268 

1,073 

 

30 

455 

184 

229 

898 

>10 years

2,180 

442 

464 

593 

3,679 

 

766 

371 

291 

347 

1,775 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2,212 

982 

781 

1,179 

5,154 

 

796 

860 

514 

868 

3,038 

 

Note:

(1)

MBS include sub-prime RMBS with a notional amount of £369 million (31 March 2012 - £396 million; 31 December 2011 - £401 million) and a fair value of £235 million (31 March 2012 - £258 million; 31 December 2011 - £252 million), all with residual maturities of >10 years.

 

Key point

·;

The CDO drawn notional was significantly lower at 30 June 2012 than at 31 December 2011, due to the liquidation of legacy trust preferred securities and commercial real estate CDOs and the subsequent sale of the underlying assets. Some retained assets were added to the MBS portfolio during Q1 2012, increasing the MBS drawn notional at 31 March 2012, but were sold outright during Q2 2012, reducing the drawn notional back to the level seen at 31 December 2011.

 

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk

 

Introduction*

Country risk is the risk of material losses arising from significant country-specific events such as sovereign events (default or restructuring); economic events (contagion of sovereign default to other parts of the economy, cyclical economic shock); political events (transfer or convertibility restrictions and expropriation or nationalisation); and natural disaster or conflict. Such events have the potential to affect elements of the Group's credit portfolio that are directly or indirectly linked to the country in question and can also give rise to market, liquidity, operational and franchise risk related losses.

 

The risk that one or more of the weaker eurozone member states will default on its external debts and/or exit the eurozone is a particular concern. It carries with it the potential for broader economic contagion and even a complete break-up or restructuring of the eurozone. The potential for such events gives rise to redenomination risk - the risk that losses may occur when a country converts its currency and then suffers a sharp devaluation - in addition to other risks.

 

The Group's overall exposure to redenomination risk is difficult to predict with certainty, but the key driving factors are the currency of exposures; the form and nature of the documentation, collateral and guarantees related to the exposures; and whether there are offsetting liabilities that would be redenominated at the same time. For the purposes of estimating funding mismatches at risk of redenomination (see below), the Group assumes that non-euro exposures, and certain facilities documented under international law, are unlikely to be affected by a redenomination event.

 

The Group believes that the balances reported in this section represent a realistic, if conservative, view of its asset exposure to redenomination risk and related risks. Assets that are not denominated in euros, and facilities that are guaranteed or documented under international law, are expected to have protection from redenomination, and analysis shows the Group's actual exposure purely to redenomination risk is lower. However, a redenomination event would be accompanied by increased credit risk, for two reasons. First, capital controls would likely be introduced in the affected country - resulting in any non-redenominated assets, including non-euro assets, potentially becoming harder to service (transfer and convertibility event). Second, a sharp devaluation could imply payment difficulties for counterparties with large debts denominated in foreign currency (counterparty defaults).

 

The Group's focus has been on reducing its asset exposures and funding mismatches in the eurozone periphery countries. Total asset exposures to these countries fell by 10% in H1 2012. Estimated funding mismatches at 30 June 2012 are approximately £12 billion in Ireland and £7 billion in Spain. The mismatch positions in Portugal and Greece are modest. In Italy there are surplus liabilities of approximately £1 billion. The Group is taking steps to significantly reduce its Spanish funding mismatch and expects to make further progress in the second half of this year.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Introduction* (continued)

For further details of the Group's approach to country risk management, refer to pages 208 to 210 of the Group's 2011 Annual Report and Accounts.

 

The following tables show the Group's exposures by country of incorporation of the counterparty at 30 June 2012. Countries shown are those where the Group's balance sheet exposure to counterparties incorporated in the country exceeded £1 billion and the country had an external rating of A+ or below from S&P, Moody's or Fitch at 30 June 2012, as well as certain eurozone countries. The numbers are stated before taking into account mitigants, such as collateral (with the exception of reverse repos), insurance or guarantees, which may have been taken to reduce or eliminate exposure to country risk events. Exposures relating to ocean-going vessels are not included due to their multinational nature.

 

Definitions of headings in the following tables:

 

Lending - comprises gross loans and advances to: central and local government; central banks, including cash balances; other banks and financial institutions, incorporating overdraft and other short-term facilities; corporates, in large part loans and leases; and individuals, comprising mortgages, personal loans and credit card balances. Lending includes impaired loans and loans where an impairment event has taken place but no impairment provision is recognised - risk elements in lending (REIL).

 

Debt securities - comprise securities classified as available-for-sale (AFS), loans and receivables (LAR), held-for-trading (HFT) and designated as at fair value through profit or loss (DFV). All debt securities other than LAR securities are carried at fair value. LAR debt securities are carried at amortised cost less impairment. HFT debt securities are presented as gross long positions (including DFV securities) and short positions per country. Impairment losses and exchange differences relating to AFS debt securities, together with interest are recognised in the income statement; other changes in the fair value of AFS securities are reported within AFS reserves, which are presented gross of tax.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Introduction* (continued)

 

Derivatives (net) - comprises the mark-to-market (mtm) value of such contracts after the effect of legally enforceable netting agreements but before the effect of collateral. In the event of counterparty default, this is the net amount due to the Group from the counterparty. Counterparty netting is applied within the regulatory capital model used.

 

Reverse repos (net) - comprises the mtm value of such contracts after the effect of legally enforceable netting agreements and collateral. Counterparty netting is applied within the regulatory capital model used.

 

Balance sheet - comprises lending exposures, debt securities and derivatives and reverse repo exposures, as defined above.

 

In addition, for eurozone periphery countries, derivative and reverse repo netting referred to above is disclosed.

 

Off-balance sheet - comprises contingent liabilities, including guarantees, and committed undrawn facilities.

 

Credit default swaps (CDSs) - under a CDS contract, the credit risk on the reference entity is transferred from the buyer to the seller. The fair value, or mtm, represents the balance sheet carrying value. The mtm value of CDSs is included within derivatives against the counterparty of the trade, as opposed to the reference entity. The notional is the par amount of the credit protection bought or sold and is included against the reference entity of the CDS contract.

 

The column CDS notional less fair value represents the notional less fair value amounts arising from sold positions netted against those arising from bought positions, which equals the net change in exposure for a given reference entity should the CDS contract be triggered by a credit event, assuming there is zero recovery rate. However, in most cases, the Group expects the recovery rate to be greater than zero and the change in exposure to be less than this amount.

 

Government - comprises central and local government.

 

Asset quality (AQ) - for the probability of default range relating to each internal asset quality band, refer to page 172 of the Group's 2011 Annual Report and Accounts.

 

Eurozone periphery - comprises Ireland, Spain, Italy, Portugal, Greece and Cyprus.

 

Other eurozone - comprises Austria, Estonia, Finland, Malta, Slovakia and Slovenia.

 

 

 

 

 

 

* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report

 

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Summary

 

30 June 2012

Lending

Debt 

securities 

Derivatives 

Reverse 

repos 

 

Balance 

sheet 

Off- 

balance 

sheet 

Total 

CDS 

notional 

less fair 

value 

Government 

Central 

banks 

Other 

banks 

Other 

financial 

institutions 

Corporate 

Personal 

Total 

lending 

Of which 

Non- 

Core 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

Eurozone

Ireland

45 

1,800 

40 

374 

18,340 

17,978 

38,577 

9,723 

747 

1,822 

551 

41,697 

2,979 

44,676 

(67)

Spain

117 

107 

4,937 

337 

5,507 

3,207 

4,619 

2,261 

12,387 

1,962 

14,349 

(542)

Italy

32 

176 

257 

1,587 

25 

2,077 

1,007 

660 

2,317 

5,054 

2,677 

7,731 

(75)

Portugal

411 

417 

252 

143 

562 

1,122 

174 

1,296 

24 

Greece

30 

149 

12 

195 

69 

16 

351 

562 

46 

608 

(9)

Cyprus

39 

241 

14 

294 

127 

52 

346 

17 

363 

Eurozone

periphery

58 

1,832 

333 

807 

25,665 

18,372 

47,067 

14,385 

6,185 

7,365 

551 

61,168 

7,855 

69,023 

(669)

Germany

17,351 

610 

299 

5,525 

156 

23,941 

4,527 

13,417 

10,283 

390 

48,031 

8,329 

56,360 

(1,769)

Netherlands

9,185 

617 

1,556 

4,755 

29 

16,143 

2,563 

8,548 

10,261 

634 

35,586 

11,954 

47,540 

(1,102)

France

498 

829 

176 

2,913 

73 

4,491 

2,028 

4,344 

7,877 

401 

17,113 

9,455 

26,568 

(1,688)

Belgium

300 

246 

493 

21 

1,060 

343 

1,282 

3,052 

21 

5,415 

1,402 

6,817 

(127)

Luxembourg

471 

2,100 

2,575 

1,072 

311 

1,578 

393 

4,857 

1,934 

6,791 

(304)

Other eurozone

60 

16 

73 

974 

13 

1,136 

172 

922 

1,743 

31 

3,832 

1,312 

5,144 

(150)

Total eurozone

617 

28,370 

2,706 

3,628 

42,425 

18,667 

96,413 

25,090 

35,009 

42,159 

2,421 

176,002 

42,241 

218,243 

(5,809)

Other countries

Japan

629 

477 

240 

326 

19 

1,691 

195 

10,331 

1,815 

178 

14,015 

721 

14,736 

(295)

India

85 

1,077 

37 

2,912 

96 

4,207 

213 

1,259 

137 

5,603 

1,492 

7,095 

(59)

China

195 

1,281 

60 

667 

28 

2,237 

56 

622 

365 

240 

3,464 

1,827 

5,291 

57 

South Korea

570 

620 

1,199 

769 

203 

150 

2,321 

806 

3,127 

(150)

Brazil

859 

203 

1,065 

62 

742 

44 

1,851 

273 

2,124 

496 

Turkey

135 

54 

120 

69 

998 

20 

1,396 

312 

313 

90 

1,799 

659 

2,458 

Russia

32 

810 

514 

50 

1,408 

66 

211 

45 

1,664 

538 

2,202 

(264)

Romania

23 

114 

378 

356 

879 

878 

313 

1,197 

126 

1,323 

(24)

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Summary (continued)

31 December 2011 (1)

Lending

Debt 

securities 

Derivatives 

Reverse 

repos 

 

Balance 

sheet 

Off-balance 

sheet 

Total 

CDS 

notional 

less fair 

value 

Government 

Central 

banks 

Other 

banks 

Other 

financial 

institutions 

Corporate 

Personal 

Total 

lending 

Of which 

Non- 

Core 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

Eurozone

Ireland

45 

1,467 

136 

333 

18,994 

18,858 

39,833 

 

10,156 

 

886 

2,273 

551 

43,543 

 

2,928 

 

46,471 

 

53 

Spain

130 

154 

5,775 

362 

6,433 

 

3,735 

 

6,155 

2,391 

14,981 

 

2,630 

 

17,611 

 

(1,013)

Italy

73 

233 

299 

2,444 

23 

3,072 

 

1,155 

 

1,258 

2,314 

6,644 

 

3,150 

 

9,794 

 

(452)

Portugal

10 

495 

510 

 

341 

 

113 

519 

1,142 

 

268 

 

1,410 

 

55 

Greece

31 

427 

14 

485 

 

94 

 

409 

355 

1,249 

 

52 

 

1,301 

 

Cyprus

38 

250 

14 

302 

 

133 

 

56 

360 

 

68 

 

428 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Eurozone

periphery

61 

1,549 

509 

855 

28,385 

19,276 

50,635 

 

15,614 

 

8,823 

7,908 

553 

67,919 

 

9,096 

 

77,015 

 

(1,356)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Germany

18,068 

653 

305 

6,608 

155 

25,789 

 

5,402 

 

15,767 

10,169 

166 

51,891 

 

7,527 

 

59,418 

 

(2,401)

Netherlands

7,654 

623 

1,557 

4,827 

20 

14,689 

 

2,498 

 

9,893 

10,010 

275 

34,867 

 

13,561 

 

48,428 

 

(1,295)

France

481 

1,273 

282 

3,761 

79 

5,879 

 

2,317 

 

7,794 

8,701 

345 

22,719 

 

10,217 

 

32,936 

 

(2,846)

Belgium

287 

354 

588 

20 

1,257 

 

480 

 

652 

2,959 

51 

4,919 

 

1,359 

 

6,278 

 

(99)

Luxembourg

101 

925 

2,228 

3,256 

 

1,497 

 

130 

2,884 

805 

7,075 

 

2,007 

 

9,082 

 

(404)

Other eurozone

121 

28 

77 

1,125 

12 

1,363 

 

191 

 

708 

1,894 

3,965 

 

1,297 

 

5,262 

 

(25)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total eurozone

671 

27,282 

3,474 

4,355 

47,522 

19,564 

102,868 

 

27,999 

 

43,767 

44,525 

2,195 

193,355 

 

45,064 

 

238,419 

 

(8,426)

Other countries

Japan

2,085 

688 

96 

433 

26 

3,328 

 

338 

 

12,456 

2,443 

191 

18,418 

 

452 

 

18,870 

 

(365)

India

275 

610 

35 

2,949 

127 

3,996 

 

350 

 

1,530 

218 

5,744 

 

1,280 

 

7,024 

 

(105)

China

178 

1,237 

16 

654 

30 

2,124 

 

50 

 

597 

410 

3,134 

 

1,559 

 

4,693 

 

(62)

South Korea

812 

576 

1,396 

 

 

845 

251 

153 

2,645 

 

627 

 

3,272 

 

(22)

Brazil

936 

227 

1,167 

 

70 

 

790 

24 

1,981 

 

319 

 

2,300 

 

164 

Turkey

215 

193 

252 

66 

1,072 

16 

1,814 

 

423 

 

361 

94 

2,269 

 

437 

 

2,706 

 

10 

Russia

36 

970 

659 

62 

1,735 

 

76 

 

186 

47 

1,968 

 

356 

 

2,324 

 

(343)

Romania

66 

145 

30 

413 

392 

1,054 

 

1,054 

 

220 

1,280 

 

160 

 

1,440 

 

 

 

Note:

(1)

Lending and reverse repos have been revised to exclude cash-equivalent of collateral pledged against derivative liabilities and central bank facilities respectively.

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Summary (continued)

Reported exposures are affected by currency movements. Over the first half of 2012, sterling appreciated 1.4% against the US dollar and 3.5% against the euro.

 

Key points*

·;

Balance sheet and off-balance sheet exposures to most countries shown in the table declined in the first half of 2012, as the Group maintained a cautious stance and many clients reduced debt levels. The reductions were seen in all product categories except reverse repos, and in all client groups, with a few exceptions as noted below. Non-Core exposure declined as the strategy for disposal progressed, particularly in Germany and Spain.

 

·;

Total eurozone - balance sheet exposure declined by £17.4 billion or 9% in the first half of 2012 to £176.0 billion, with reductions seen primarily in periphery countries but also in France, Germany and Luxembourg. This reflected exchange rate movements, sales of Greek, Spanish and Portuguese government bonds, write-offs, active exposure management and debt reduction efforts by bank clients.

 

·;

Eurozone periphery - balance sheet exposure decreased in all peripheral countries to a combined £61.2 billion, a reduction by £6.8 billion or 10%, caused in part by reductions in AFS bonds. Most of the Group's exposure arises from the activities of Markets, International Banking, Group Treasury and Ulster Bank (with respect to Ireland). Group Treasury has a portfolio of Spanish bank and financial institution market-based securities bonds. International Banking provides trade finance facilities to clients across Europe, including the eurozone periphery. Exposure to Cyprus amounted to £0.4 billion at 30 June 2012, comprising largely lending exposure to special purpose vehicles incorporated in Cyprus.

 

·;

Japan - Exposure decreased during the first half of 2012, in part reflecting a reduction in International Banking's cash management business and a change in Japanese yen clearing status from direct (self-clearing) membership to agency, resulting in a £2.2 billion reduction in AFS Japanese government bonds. Derivative exposure decreased because of reduced forward foreign exchange positions being taken by clients from the start of the new Japanese fiscal year (1 April).

 

·;

CDS protection bought and sold:

 

The Group uses CDS contracts to service customer activity as well as to manage counterparty and country exposure. During the first half of 2012, eurozone gross notional CDS contracts, bought and sold, decreased significantly. This was caused by maturing of contracts and by efforts to reduce counterparty credit exposures and risk-weighted assets through derivative compression trades and other means. The fair value of bought and sold CDS contracts also decreased, due to the reduction in gross notional CDS positions and to a narrowing of CDS spreads over the first half of 2012 for a number of eurozone countries, including Portugal and Ireland.

 

Greek sovereign CDS positions were fully closed out in April, as the use of the collective action clause in the Greek debt swap resulted in a credit event occurring, which triggered Greek sovereign CDS contracts.

 

 

 

 

 

* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Summary (continued)

 

Key points* (continued)

 

The Group transacts CDS contracts primarily with investment-grade global financial institutions that are active participants in the CDS market. These transactions are subject to regular margining. For European peripheral sovereigns, credit protection has been purchased from a number of major European banks, predominantly outside the country of the reference entity. In a few cases where protection was bought from banks in the country of the reference entity, giving rise to wrong-way risk, the risk is mitigated through specific collateralisation.

 

Due to their bespoke nature, exposures relating to CDPCs and associated hedges have not been included as they cannot be meaningfully attributed to a particular country or reference entity. Nth-to-default basket swaps have also been excluded as they cannot be meaningfully attributed to a particular reference entity.

 

For more specific commentary on the Group's exposure to Ireland, Spain, Italy, Portugal and Greece, refer to pages 212 to 222. For commentary on the Group's exposure to other eurozone non-periphery countries, see page 236.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report

 

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Total eurozone

 

 

Lending 

REIL 

Provisions 

 

AFS and 

LAR debt 

securities 

AFS 

reserves 

 

HFT

debt securities

 

Total 

debt 

securities 

 

Derivatives 

 

Reverse 

repos 

 

Balance 

sheet 

 

Off-balance 

 sheet 

 

Total 

Long 

Short 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

617 

12,621 

194 

19,238 

13,580 

18,279 

1,667 

20,563 

1,683 

22,246 

Central banks

28,370 

28 

28,398 

28,398 

Other banks

2,706 

5,488 

(684)

1,063 

1,358 

5,193 

28,824 

1,609 

38,332 

4,518 

42,850 

Other FI

3,628 

9,590 

(1,072)

1,274 

331 

10,533 

7,666 

811 

22,638 

6,522 

29,160 

Corporate

42,425 

13,993 

6,975 

825 

31 

400 

221 

1,004 

3,973 

47,403 

28,753 

76,156 

Personal

18,667 

2,664 

1,371 

18,668 

765 

19,433 

96,413 

16,657 

8,346 

28,524 

(1,531)

21,975 

15,490 

35,009 

42,159 

2,421 

176,002 

42,241 

218,243 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

671 

 

18,406 

81 

 

19,597 

15,049 

 

22,954 

 

1,924 

 

 

25,549 

 

1,056 

 

26,605 

Central banks

27,282 

 

20 

 

 

26 

 

35 

 

 

27,343 

 

 

27,343 

Other banks

3,474 

 

8,423 

(752)

 

1,272 

1,502 

 

8,193 

 

28,595 

 

1,090 

 

41,352 

 

4,493 

 

45,845 

Other FI

4,355 

 

10,494 

(1,129)

 

1,138 

471 

 

11,161 

 

9,854 

 

1,102 

 

26,472 

 

8,199 

 

34,671 

Corporate

47,522 

14,152 

7,267 

 

964 

24 

 

528 

59 

 

1,433 

 

4,116 

 

 

53,074 

 

30,551 

 

83,625 

Personal

19,564 

2,280 

1,069 

 

 

 

 

 

 

19,565 

 

765 

 

20,330 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

102,868 

16,432 

8,336 

 

38,307 

(1,776)

 

22,541 

17,081 

 

43,767 

 

44,525 

 

2,195 

 

193,355 

 

45,064 

 

238,419 

 

30 June 2012

 

31 December 2011

Notional 

 

Fair value

 

Notional 

Fair value

Bought 

Sold 

Bought 

Sold 

 

Bought 

Sold 

 

Bought 

Sold 

CDS by reference entity

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

33,378 

32,363 

3,674 

(3,531)

37,080 

36,759 

6,488 

(6,376)

Other banks

14,590 

14,564 

1,131 

(1,073)

19,736 

19,232 

2,303 

(2,225)

Other FI

11,517 

10,554 

499 

(448)

17,949 

16,608 

693 

(620)

Corporate

50,151 

45,800 

1,149 

(855)

76,966 

70,119 

2,241 

(1,917)

109,636 

103,281 

6,453 

(5,907)

151,731 

142,718 

11,725 

(11,138)

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Total eurozone (continued)

 

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 

AQ1

AQ2-AQ3

AQ4-AQ9

AQ10

Total

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

value 

Notional 

Fair 

value 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

Banks

53,212 

3,234 

1,295 

150 

186 

22 

54,693 

3,406 

Other FI

51,975 

2,787 

546 

37 

2,280 

214 

142 

54,943 

3,047 

105,187 

6,021 

1,841 

187 

2,466 

236 

142 

109,636 

6,453 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Banks

67,624 

5,585 

 

1,085 

131 

 

198 

23 

 

 

68,907 

5,739 

Other FI

79,824 

5,605 

 

759 

89 

 

2,094 

278 

 

147 

14 

 

82,824 

5,986 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

147,448 

11,190 

 

1,844 

220 

 

2,292 

301 

 

147 

14 

 

151,731 

11,725 

 

 

 

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Eurozone periphery

 

 

Lending 

REIL 

Provisions 

 

AFS and 

LAR debt 

securities 

AFS 

reserves 

 

HFT

debt securities

 

Total 

debt 

securities 

 

Derivatives 

 

Reverse 

repos 

 

Balance 

sheet 

 

Off-balance 

 sheet 

 

Total 

Long 

Short 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

58 

519 

(198)

4,524 

5,053 

(10)

103 

151 

72 

223 

Central banks

1,832 

1,832 

1,832 

Other banks

333 

3,440 

(813)

287 

247 

3,480 

4,747 

473 

9,033 

105 

9,138 

Other FI

807 

2,041 

(674)

405 

48 

2,398 

896 

78 

4,179 

1,667 

5,846 

Corporate

25,665 

11,892 

6,246 

189 

148 

20 

317 

1,618 

27,600 

5,391 

32,991 

Personal

18,372 

2,634 

1,346 

18,373 

620 

18,993 

47,067 

14,526 

7,592 

6,189 

(1,684)

5,364 

5,368 

6,185 

7,365 

551 

61,168 

7,855 

69,023 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

61 

1,207 

(339)

4,854 

5,652 

 

409 

 

236 

 

 

706 

 

118 

 

824 

Central banks

1,549 

 

 

 

 

1,549 

 

 

1,549 

Other banks

509 

5,279 

(956)

436 

318 

 

5,397 

 

4,350 

 

480 

 

10,736 

 

67 

 

10,803 

Other FI

855 

2,331 

(654)

228 

56 

 

2,503 

 

1,783 

 

73 

 

5,214 

 

1,862 

 

7,076 

Corporate

28,385 

12,272 

6,567 

274 

240 

 

514 

 

1,538 

 

 

30,437 

 

6,412 

 

36,849 

Personal

19,276 

2,258 

1,048 

 

 

 

 

19,277 

 

637 

 

19,914 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

50,635 

14,530 

7,615 

9,091 

(1,945)

5,758 

6,026 

 

8,823 

 

7,908 

 

553 

 

67,919 

 

9,096 

 

77,015 

 

Derivative and reverse repo netting were £29,590 million (31 December 2011 - £32,506 million) and £3,195 million (31 December 2011 - £3,320 million) respectively.

 

30 June 2012

 

31 December 2011

Notional 

 

Fair value

 

Notional 

Fair value

Bought 

Sold 

Bought 

Sold 

 

Bought 

Sold 

 

Bought 

Sold 

CDS by reference entity

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

22,092 

22,292 

3,349 

(3,232)

25,883 

26,174 

5,979 

(5,926)

Other banks

6,639 

6,618 

778 

(751)

9,372 

9,159 

1,657 

(1,623)

Other FI

2,767 

2,498 

222 

(199)

3,854 

3,635 

290 

(262)

Corporate

7,567 

6,701 

691 

(571)

10,798 

9,329 

999 

(860)

39,065 

38,109 

5,040 

(4,753)

49,907 

48,297 

8,925 

(8,671)

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Eurozone periphery (continued)

 

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 

AQ1

AQ2-AQ3

AQ4-AQ9

Total

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

value 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

Banks

21,383 

2,718 

874 

136 

90 

14 

22,347 

2,868 

Other FI

15,731 

2,053 

189 

798 

114 

16,718 

2,172 

37,114 

4,771 

1,063 

141 

888 

128 

39,065 

5,040 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Banks

26,008 

4,606 

 

604 

112 

 

93 

14 

 

26,705 

4,732 

Other FI

22,082 

3,980 

 

394 

51 

 

726 

162 

 

23,202 

4,193 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

48,090 

8,586 

 

998 

163 

 

819 

176 

 

49,907 

8,925 

 

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Ireland

 

 

Lending 

REIL 

Provisions 

 

AFS and 

LAR debt 

securities 

AFS 

reserves 

 

HFT

debt securities

 

Total 

debt 

securities 

 

Derivatives 

 

Reverse 

repos 

 

Balance 

sheet 

 

Off-balance 

 sheet 

 

Total 

Long 

Short 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

45 

109 

(36)

109 

156 

158 

Central bank

1,800 

1,800 

1,800 

Other banks

40 

174 

(25)

66 

25 

215 

742 

473 

1,470 

40 

1,510 

Other FI

374 

51 

301 

348 

671 

78 

1,471 

632 

2,103 

Corporate

18,340 

10,311 

5,683 

75 

75 

406 

18,821 

1,785 

20,606 

Personal

17,978 

2,634 

1,346 

17,979 

520 

18,499 

38,577 

12,945 

7,029 

409 

(60)

377 

39 

747 

1,822 

551 

41,697 

2,979 

44,676 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

45 

 

102 

(46)

 

20 

19 

 

103 

 

92 

 

 

240 

 

 

242 

Central bank

1,467 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1,467 

 

 

1,467 

Other banks

136 

 

177 

(39)

 

195 

14 

 

358 

 

981 

 

478 

 

1,953 

 

 

1,953 

Other FI

333 

 

61 

 

116 

35 

 

142 

 

782 

 

73 

 

1,330 

 

546 

 

1,876 

Corporate

18,994 

10,269 

5,689 

 

148 

 

135 

 

283 

 

417 

 

 

19,694 

 

1,841 

 

21,535 

Personal

18,858 

2,258 

1,048 

 

 

 

 

 

 

18,859 

 

539 

 

19,398 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

39,833 

12,527 

6,737 

 

488 

(82)

 

466 

68 

 

886 

 

2,273 

 

551 

 

43,543 

 

2,928 

 

46,471 

 

Derivative and reverse repo netting were £16,122 million (31 December 2011 - £19,189 million) and £2,645 million (31 December 2011 - £2,324 million) respectively.

 

30 June 2012

 

31 December 2011

Notional 

 

Fair value

 

Notional 

Fair value

Bought 

Sold 

Bought 

Sold 

 

Bought 

Sold 

 

Bought 

Sold 

CDS by reference entity

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

2,294 

2,385 

360 

(376)

 

2,145 

2,223 

 

466 

(481)

Other banks

114 

111 

(8)

 

110 

107 

 

21 

(21)

Other FI

704 

644 

68 

(69)

 

523 

630 

 

64 

(74)

Corporate

316 

238 

(16)

16 

 

425 

322 

 

(11)

10 

 

 

 

 

 

 

3,428 

3,378 

420 

(437)

 

3,203 

3,282 

 

540 

(566)

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Ireland (continued)

 

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 

AQ1

AQ2-AQ3

AQ4-AQ9

Total

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

value 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

Banks

1,621 

230 

1,626 

231 

Other FI

1,343 

179 

161 

298 

10 

1,802 

189 

2,964 

409 

166 

298 

10 

3,428 

420 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Banks

1,586 

300 

 

 

 

1,588 

300 

Other FI

1,325 

232 

 

161 

 

129 

 

1,615 

240 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2,911 

532 

 

163 

 

129 

 

3,203 

540 

 

Key points*

·;

At 30 June 2012, Ulster Bank Group (UBG) contributed 88% of the Group's exposure to Ireland (31 December 2011 - 87%). The largest components of the Group's exposure are corporate lending of £18.3 billion (more than half of which is to the property sector - mainly commercial real estate, plus construction and building materials) and personal lending of £18.0 billion (mainly mortgages). In addition, Ulster Bank Group has money market placings with the Central Bank of Ireland (CBI), and Markets has derivative exposure to financial institutions and large international clients with funding subsidiaries based in Ireland.

 

·;

Group exposure decreased further in the first half of 2012, with a reduction in lending of £1.3 billion as a result of currency movements and de-risking in the portfolio. Derivative and repo exposure, largely in Markets, decreased by £0.5 billion mainly as a result of lower interest rates.

 

·;

Government and Central bank

 

Exposure to the CBI fluctuates, driven by regulatory requirements and by deposits of excess liquidity as part of UBG's asset and liability management.

 

·;

Financial institutions

 

Markets, International Banking and UBG account for the majority of the Group's exposure to financial institutions. The largest category is derivatives and reverse repos, where exposure is affected predominantly by market movements and much of the exposure is collateralised.

 

·;

Corporate

 

Lending exposure fell by approximately £0.7 billion over the first half of 2012, driven by exchange rate movements and write-offs. Commercial real estate lending, nearly all in UBG, amounted to £10.5 billion at 30 June 2012, down £0.4 billion from 31 December 2011 amid continuing adverse market conditions. The commercial real estate lending exposure is largely in UBG Non-Core and includes REIL of £7.6 billion and loan provisions of £4.1 billion.

 

 

* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Ireland (continued)

 

Key points* (continued)

·;

Personal

 

Overall lending exposure fell a further £0.9 billion as a result of exchange rate movements, amortisation, maturities, a small amount of write-offs, low new business volumes and active risk management. Residential mortgage loans amounted to £17.0 billion, including REIL of £2.5 billion and loan provisions of £1.1 billion. The housing market continues to suffer from weak domestic demand, with house prices now approximately 50% below their 2007 peak.

 

·;

Non-Core (included above)

 

Ireland Non-Core lending exposure was £9.7 billion at 30 June 2012, down by £0.4 billion since 31 December 2011. The remaining lending portfolio largely consisted of exposures to real estate (80%), retail (6%) and leisure (4%).

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report

 

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Spain

 

 

Lending 

REIL 

Provisions 

 

AFS and 

LAR debt 

securities 

AFS 

reserves 

 

HFT

debt securities

 

Total 

debt 

securities 

 

Derivatives 

 

Reverse 

repos 

 

Balance 

sheet 

 

Off-balance 

 sheet 

 

Total 

Long 

Short 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

29 

(19)

383 

493 

(81)

(69)

70 

Central bank

Other banks

117 

3,092 

(758)

163 

113 

3,142 

1,776 

5,035 

40 

5,075 

Other FI

107 

1,472 

(662)

67 

32 

1,507 

38 

1,652 

251 

1,903 

Corporate

4,937 

1,008 

226 

61 

10 

51 

444 

5,432 

1,544 

6,976 

Personal

337 

337 

57 

394 

5,507 

1,008 

226 

4,593 

(1,439)

674 

648 

4,619 

2,261 

12,387 

1,962 

14,349 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

 

33 

(15)

 

360 

751 

 

(358)

 

35 

 

 

(314)

 

116 

 

(198)

Central bank

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other banks

130 

 

4,892 

(867)

 

162 

214 

 

4,840 

 

1,620 

 

 

6,592 

 

41 

 

6,633 

Other FI

154 

 

1,580 

(639)

 

65 

 

1,637 

 

282 

 

 

2,073 

 

169 

 

2,242 

Corporate

5,775 

1,190 

442 

 

 

27 

 

36 

 

454 

 

 

6,265 

 

2,247 

 

8,512 

Personal

362 

 

 

 

 

 

 

362 

 

57 

 

419 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

6,433 

1,190 

442 

 

6,514 

(1,521)

 

614 

973 

 

6,155 

 

2,391 

 

 

14,981 

 

2,630 

 

17,611 

 

Derivative and reverse repo netting were £4,440 million (31 December 2011 - £4,384 million) and £487 million (31 December 2011 - £567 million) respectively.

 

30 June 2012

 

31 December 2011

Notional 

 

Fair value

 

Notional 

Fair value

Bought 

Sold 

Bought 

Sold 

 

Bought 

Sold 

 

Bought 

Sold 

CDS by reference entity

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

4,960 

4,968 

693 

(665)

 

5,151 

5,155 

 

538 

(522)

Other banks

1,779 

1,739 

145 

(136)

 

1,965 

1,937 

 

154 

(152)

Other FI

1,269 

1,087 

98 

(78)

 

2,417 

2,204 

 

157 

(128)

Corporate

3,168 

2,733 

282 

(232)

 

4,831 

3,959 

 

448 

(399)

 

 

 

 

 

 

11,176 

10,527 

1,218 

(1,111)

 

14,364 

13,255 

 

1,297 

(1,201)

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Spain (continued)

 

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 

AQ1

AQ2-AQ3

AQ4-AQ9

Total

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

value 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

Banks

5,602 

559 

51 

31 

5,684 

570 

Other FI

5,198 

595 

21 

273 

49 

5,492 

648 

10,800 

1,154 

72 

11 

304 

53 

11,176 

1,218 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Banks

6,595 

499 

 

68 

 

32 

 

6,695 

508 

Other FI

7,238 

736 

 

162 

 

269 

50 

 

7,669 

789 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

13,833 

1,235 

 

230 

 

301 

54 

 

14,364 

1,297 

 

 

Key points*

·;

The Group maintains strong relationships with banks, other financial institutions and large corporate clients.

·;

The exposure to Spain is driven by corporate lending and a sizeable mortgage-backed securities covered bond portfolio. Exposure fell further in most categories in the first half of 2012, driven by the sale of part of the covered bond portfolio and a decline in corporate lending, as a result of steps to de-risk the portfolio.

 

·;

Government and Central bank

 

The Group's exposure was very small at 30 June 2012.

 

·;

Financial institutions

 

The Group's largest exposure was a covered bond portfolio of £4.6 billion at 30 June 2012, a decrease by £1.9 billion in H1 2012, largely as a result of sales. The portfolio continued to perform satisfactorily. However, the Group is monitoring the situation closely, including undertaking stress analyses.

 

A further £1.8 billion of the Group's exposure consisted of derivatives to Spanish international banks and a few of the large regional banks, the majority of which was collateralised.

 

Lending to banks consists mainly of short-term uncommitted credit lines with the top two international Spanish banks.

 

·;

Corporate

 

Lending decreased by £0.8 billion and off-balance exposure by another £0.7 billion, due to reductions mostly in the natural resources and property sectors. Commercial real estate lending amounted to £2.1 billion at 30 June 2012, nearly all in Non-Core. The majority of REIL and loan provisions relates to commercial real estate lending and further decreased over the first half of 2012, reflecting disposals and restructurings.

 

·;

Non-Core (included above)

 

At 30 June 2012, Non-Core had lending exposure of £3.2 billion to Spain, a reduction of £0.5 billion or 14% since 31 December 2011. The real estate (67%), construction (12%) and electricity (8%) sectors account for the majority of the remaining lending exposure.

 

 

 

* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report

 

 

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Italy

 

 

Lending 

REIL 

Provisions 

 

AFS and 

LAR debt 

securities 

AFS 

reserves 

 

HFT

debt securities

 

Total 

debt 

securities 

 

Derivatives 

 

Reverse 

repos 

 

Balance 

sheet 

 

Off-balance 

 sheet 

 

Total 

Long 

Short 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

326 

(108)

4,096 

4,520 

(98)

81 

(17)

(17)

Central bank

32 

32 

32 

Other banks

176 

118 

(11)

41 

84 

75 

1,515 

1,766 

25 

1,791 

Other FI

257 

516 

(12)

34 

11 

 539 

141 

937 

781 

1,718 

Corporate

1,587 

119 

38 

73 

80 

144 

580 

2,311 

1,859 

4,170 

Personal

25 

25 

12 

37 

2,077 

119 

38 

1,033 

(131)

4,251 

4,624 

660 

2,317 

5,054 

2,677 

7,731 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

704 

(220)

4,336 

4,725 

315 

90 

 

 

405 

405 

Central bank

73 

 

 

73 

73 

Other banks

233 

119 

(14)

67 

88 

98 

1,064 

 

 

1,395 

23 

1,418 

Other FI

299 

685 

(15)

40 

13 

712 

686 

 

 

1,697 

1,146 

2,843 

Corporate

2,444 

361 

113 

75 

58 

133 

474 

 

 

3,051 

1,968 

5,019 

Personal

23 

 

 

23 

13 

36 

 

 

 

3,072 

361 

113 

1,583 

(249)

4,501 

4,826 

1,258 

2,314 

 

 

6,644 

3,150 

9,794 

 

Derivative and reverse repo netting were £8,709 million (31 December 2011 - £8,633 million) and £20 million (31 December 2011 - £187 million) respectively.

 

30 June 2012

 

31 December 2011

Notional 

 

Fair value

 

Notional 

Fair value

Bought 

Sold 

Bought 

Sold 

 

Bought 

Sold 

 

Bought 

Sold 

CDS by reference entity

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

11,654 

11,753 

1,607 

(1,528)

12,125 

12,218 

1,750 

(1,708)

Other banks

3,758 

3,771 

481 

(465)

6,078 

5,938 

1,215 

(1,187)

Other FI

753 

729 

50 

(45)

872 

762 

60 

(51)

Corporate

3,367 

3,051 

246 

(193)

4,742 

4,299 

350 

(281)

19,532 

19,304 

2,384 

(2,231)

23,817 

23,217 

3,375 

(3,227)

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Italy (continued)

 

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 

AQ1

AQ2-AQ3

AQ4-AQ9

Total

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

value 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

Banks

11,382 

1,375 

781 

121 

59 

10 

12,222 

1,506 

Other FI

7,141 

840 

162 

37 

7,310 

878 

18,523 

2,215 

788 

122 

221 

47 

19,532 

2,384 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Banks

12,904 

1,676 

 

487 

94 

 

61 

10 

 

13,452 

1,780 

Other FI

10,138 

1,550 

 

 

219 

43 

 

10,365 

1,595 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

23,042 

3,226 

 

495 

96 

 

280 

53 

 

23,817 

3,375 

 

Key points*

·;

The Group maintains strong relationships with Italian government entities, banks, other financial institutions and large corporate clients. Since the start of 2011, the Group has taken steps to reduce its risk through strategic exits where appropriate, or to mitigate its risk through increased collateral requirements, in line with its evolving appetite for Italian risk. Lending exposure to Italian counterparties was reduced by a further £1.0 billion in the first half of 2012, to £2.1 billion.

 

·;

Government and Central bank

 

The Group is an active market-maker in Italian government bonds, resulting in large gross long and short positions in held-for-trading securities.

 

·;

Financial institutions

 

The majority of the Group's exposure relates to the top five banks. The Group's product offering consists largely of collateralised trading products and, to a lesser extent, short-term uncommitted lending lines for liquidity purposes. During the first half of 2012, derivative exposure decreased by £0.5 billion due to market movements; risk is mitigated since most facilities are fully collateralised.

 

 

The AFS bond exposure was reduced by £0.2 billion.

 

·;

Corporate

 

Lending declined by £0.9 billion, largely in lending to manufacturing companies.

 

·;

Non-Core (included above)

 

Non-Core lending exposure was £1.0 billion at 30 June 2012, a £0.1 billion (13%) reduction since 31 December 2011, largely within unleveraged funds. The remaining lending exposure mainly comprised commercial real estate (28%), leisure (22%), electricity (15%) and industrials (11%).

 

 

* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report

 

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Portugal

 

 

Lending 

REIL 

Provisions 

 

AFS and 

LAR debt 

securities 

AFS 

reserves 

 

HFT

debt securities

 

Total 

debt 

securities 

 

Derivatives 

 

Reverse 

repos 

 

Balance 

sheet 

 

Off-balance 

 sheet 

 

Total 

Long 

Short 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

55 

(35)

12 

23 

44 

17 

61 

61 

Other banks

56 

(19)

17 

25 

48 

413 

461 

461 

Other FI

44 

48 

51 

Corporate

411 

201 

161 

41 

47 

88 

546 

163 

709 

Personal

14 

417 

201 

161 

154 

(54)

38 

49 

143 

562 

1,122 

174 

1,296 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

 

56 

(58)

 

36 

152 

 

(60)

 

19 

 

 

(41)

 

 

(41)

Other banks

10 

 

91 

(36)

 

12 

 

101 

 

389 

 

 

500 

 

 

502 

Other FI

 

 

 

12 

 

30 

 

 

42 

 

 

42 

Corporate

495 

27 

27 

 

42 

 

18 

 

60 

 

81 

 

 

636 

 

258 

 

894 

Personal

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

13 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

510 

27 

27 

 

194 

(93)

 

73 

154 

 

113 

 

519 

 

 

1,142 

 

268 

 

1,410 

 

Derivative and reverse repo netting were £93 million (31 December 2011 - £114 million) and £41 million (31 December 2011 - £220 million) respectively.

 

 

30 June 2012

 

31 December 2011

 

Notional 

 

Fair value

 

Notional 

 

Fair value

 

Bought 

Sold 

 

Bought 

Sold 

 

Bought 

Sold 

 

Bought 

Sold 

CDS by reference entity

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

3,184 

3,186 

 

689 

(663)

 

3,304 

3,413 

 

997 

(985)

Other banks

984 

993 

 

 143 

(140)

 

1,197 

1,155 

 

264 

(260)

Other FI

 

(1)

 

 

(1)

Corporate

340 

309 

 

60 

(42)

 

366 

321 

 

68 

(48)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4,516 

4,493 

 

893 

(846)

 

4,875 

4,894 

 

1,330 

(1,294)

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Portugal (continued)

 

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 

AQ1

AQ2-AQ3

AQ4-AQ9

Total

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

value 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

Banks

2,677 

520 

37 

2,714 

527 

Other FI

1,770 

353 

32 

13 

1,802 

366 

4,447 

873 

37 

32 

13 

4,516 

893 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Banks

2,922 

786 

 

46 

12 

 

 

2,968 

798 

Other FI

1,874 

517 

 

 

33 

15 

 

1,907 

532 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4,796 

1,303 

 

46 

12 

 

33 

15 

 

4,875 

1,330 

 

Key points*

·;

The portfolio, managed out of Spain, is focused on corporate lending and derivatives trading with the largest local banks. Medium-term activity has ceased with the exception of that carried out under a Credit Support Annex.

 

·;

Exposure declined further during the first half of 2012, with continued reductions in lending and in off-balance sheet exposure, and a sale of Group Treasury's AFS bonds, partially offset by an increase in derivative and repo exposure explained by a recovery in market prices.

 

·;

Government and Central bank

 

The Group's exposure to the Portuguese government at 30 June 2012 was £61 million, comprising very small derivative exposure and a small debt securities position - up from a net negative position at 31 December 2011 caused by a net short HFT debt securities position.

 

·;

Financial institutions

 

A major proportion of the remaining exposure is focused on the top four systemically important financial groups. Exposures generally consist of collateralised trading products.

 

·;

Corporate

 

The largest exposure is to the natural resources and transport sectors, concentrated on a few large, highly creditworthy clients.

 

·;

Non-Core (included above)

 

The Non-Core division's lending exposure to Portugal was reduced by £0.1 billion in the first half of 2012, to less than £0.3 billion. The portfolio largely comprised lending exposure to the land transport and logistics (39%), electricity (38%) and commercial real estate (18%) sectors.

 

 

 

 

 

* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report

 

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Greece

 

 

Lending 

REIL 

Provisions 

 

AFS and 

LAR debt 

securities 

AFS 

reserves 

 

HFT

debt securities

 

Total 

debt 

securities 

 

Derivatives 

 

Reverse 

repos 

 

Balance 

sheet 

 

Off-balance 

 sheet 

 

Total 

Long 

Short 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

24 

16 

20 

20 

Other banks

287 

287 

287 

Other FI

30 

32 

32 

Corporate

149 

87 

98 

62 

211 

36 

247 

Personal

12 

12 

10 

22 

195 

87 

98 

24 

16 

351 

562 

46 

608 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

 

312 

 

102 

 

409 

 

 

 

416 

 

 

416 

Central bank

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other banks

 

 

 

 

290 

 

 

290 

 

 

290 

Other FI

31 

 

 

 

 

 

 

33 

 

 

33 

Corporate

427 

256 

256 

 

 

 

 

63 

 

 

490 

 

42 

 

532 

Personal

14 

 

 

 

 

 

 

14 

 

10 

 

24 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

485 

256 

256 

 

312 

 

102 

 

409 

 

355 

 

 

1,249 

 

52 

 

1,301 

 

Derivative netting was £223 million (31 December 2011 - £186 million).

 

30 June 2012

 

31 December 2011

Notional 

 

Fair value

 

Notional 

Fair value

Bought 

Sold 

Bought 

Sold 

 

Bought 

Sold 

 

Bought 

Sold 

CDS by reference entity

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

 

3,158 

3,165 

 

2,228 

(2,230)

Other banks

(2)

 

22 

22 

 

(3)

Other FI

33 

33 

(6)

 

34 

34 

 

(8)

Corporate

376 

370 

119 

(120)

 

434 

428 

 

144 

(142)

 

 

 

 

 

 

413 

407 

125 

(128)

 

3,648 

3,649 

 

2,383 

(2,383)

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Greece (continued)

 

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

AQ1

AQ2-AQ3

AQ4-AQ9

Total

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

value 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

Banks

101 

34 

101 

34 

Other FI

279 

86 

33 

312 

91 

380 

120 

33 

413 

125 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Banks

2,001 

1,345 

 

 

 

2,002 

1,346 

Other FI

1,507 

945 

 

63 

45 

 

76 

47 

 

1,646 

1,037 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

3,508 

2,290 

 

64 

46 

 

76 

47 

 

3,648 

2,383 

 

 

Key points*

·;

The Group has substantially reduced its exposure to Greece which it continues to actively manage, in line with the de-risking strategy that has been in place since early 2010. Much of the remaining exposure is collateralised or guaranteed. The remaining Greek exposure at 30 June 2012 was £0.6 billion, more than half of this being derivative exposure to banks (itself in part collateralised), the remainder is mostly corporate lending (part of this being exposure to local subsidiaries of international companies).

 

·;

Government and Central bank

 

The Group participated in the restructuring of the Greek government debt in March 2012, which resulted in new bonds that were sold in March and April, and in £0.3 billion of AFS bonds issued by the European Financial Stability Facility incorporated in Luxembourg. The Group no longer holds any AFS bonds issued by the Greek government. A small HFT position, resulting from the sovereign debt restructuring in March has been retained to enable the Group to quote prices and stay relevant to key clients.

 

·;

Financial institutions

 

Activity with Greek financial institutions is largely collateralised derivative and repo exposure and remains under close scrutiny.

 

·;

Corporate

 

Lending exposure fell by £0.3 billion, largely due to a single name write-off.

 

 

The Group's focus is on short-term trade facilities to the domestic subsidiaries of international clients, increasingly supported by parental guarantees.

 

·;

Non-Core (included above)

 

The Non-Core division's lending exposure to Greece was less than £0.1 billion at 30 June 2012, a slight reduction from 31 December 2011. The remaining lending portfolio primarily consisted of the following sectors: financial intermediaries (43%), construction (27%) and other services (13%).

 

* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Cyprus

 

 

Lending 

REIL 

Provisions 

 

AFS and 

LAR debt 

securities 

AFS 

reserves 

 

HFT

debt securities

 

Total 

debt 

securities 

 

Derivatives 

 

Reverse 

repos 

 

Balance 

sheet 

 

Off-balance 

 sheet 

 

Total 

Long 

Short 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other bank

14 

14 

14 

Other FI

39 

39 

39 

Corporate

241 

166 

40 

38 

279 

283 

Personal

14 

14 

13 

27 

294 

166 

40 

52 

346 

17 

363 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other bank

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other FI

38 

 

 

 

 

39 

 

 

40 

Corporate

250 

169 

40 

 

 

49 

 

 

301 

 

56 

 

357 

Personal

14 

 

 

 

 

14 

 

10 

 

24 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

302 

169 

40 

 

 

56 

 

 

360 

 

68 

 

428 

 

Derivative and reverse repo netting were £3 million (31 December 2011 - nil) and £2 million (31 December 2011 - £22 million) respectively.

 

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Germany

 

 

Lending 

REIL 

Provisions 

 

AFS and 

LAR debt 

securities 

AFS 

reserves 

 

HFT

debt securities

 

Total 

debt 

securities 

 

Derivatives 

 

Reverse 

repos 

 

Balance 

sheet 

 

Off-balance 

 sheet 

 

Total 

Long 

Short 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

8,612 

500 

5,483 

1,695 

12,400

491 

 

 

12,891 

 

763 

 

13,654 

Central bank

17,351 

 

 

17,351 

 

 

17,351 

Other banks

610 

630 

343 

578 

395

6,120 

 

191 

 

7,316 

 

266 

 

7,582 

Other FI

299 

353 

(33)

141 

45 

449

3,152 

 

199 

 

4,099 

 

1,270 

 

5,369 

Corporate

5,525 

254 

90 

163 

12 

17 

173

520 

 

 

6,218 

 

6,007 

 

12,225 

Personal

156 

 

 

156 

 

23 

 

179 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

23,941 

258 

94 

9,758 

488 

5,984 

2,325 

13,417

10,283 

 

390 

 

48,031 

 

8,329 

 

56,360 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

 

12,035 

523 

 

4,136 

2,084 

 

14,087 

 

423 

 

 

14,510 

 

 

14,512 

Central bank

18,068 

 

 

 

 

 

 

18,070 

 

 

18,070 

Other banks

653 

 

1,376 

 

294 

761 

 

909 

 

5,886 

 

117 

 

7,565 

 

284 

 

7,849 

Other FI

305 

 

563 

(33)

 

187 

95 

 

655 

 

3,272 

 

49 

 

4,281 

 

1,116 

 

5,397 

Corporate

6,608 

191 

80 

 

109 

 

14 

 

116 

 

586 

 

 

7,310 

 

6,103 

 

13,413 

Personal

155 

19 

19 

 

 

 

 

 

 

155 

 

22 

 

177 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

25,789 

210 

99 

 

14,083 

504 

 

4,631 

2,947 

 

15,767 

 

10,169 

 

166 

 

51,891 

 

7,527 

 

59,418 

 

30 June 2012

 

31 December 2011

Notional 

 

Fair value

 

Notional 

Fair value

Bought 

Sold 

Bought 

Sold 

 

Bought 

Sold 

 

Bought 

Sold 

CDS by reference entity

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

2,895 

2,610 

 

64 

(64)

 

2,631 

2,640 

 

76 

(67)

Other banks

3,336 

3,331 

 

126 

(125)

 

4,765 

4,694 

 

307 

(310)

Other FI

2,595 

2,377 

 

13 

(10)

 

3,653 

3,403 

 

(2)

Corporate

14,387 

13,087 

 

(64)

99 

 

20,433 

18,311 

 

148 

(126)

 

 

 

 

 

 

23,213 

21,405 

 

139 

(100)

 

31,482 

29,048 

 

538 

(505)

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Germany (continued)

 

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 

AQ1

AQ2-AQ3

AQ4-AQ9

Total

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

value 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

Banks

11,166 

43 

142 

11,312 

46 

Other FI

11,527 

91 

17 

(1)

357 

11,901 

93 

22,693 

134 

159 

361 

23,213 

139 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Banks

14,644 

171 

 

163 

 

 

14,815 

175 

Other FI

16,315 

357 

 

18 

 

334 

 

16,667 

363 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

30,959 

528 

 

181 

 

342 

 

31,482 

538 

 

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Netherlands

 

 

Lending 

REIL 

Provisions 

 

AFS and 

LAR debt 

securities 

AFS 

reserves 

 

HFT

debt securities

 

Total 

debt 

securities 

 

Derivatives 

 

Reverse 

repos 

 

Balance 

sheet 

 

Off-balance 

 sheet 

 

Total 

Long 

Short 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

1,306 

59 

1,270 

1,202 

1,374 

35 

 

 

1,410 

 

27 

 

1,437 

Central bank

9,185 

 

 

9,185 

 

 

9,185 

Other banks

617 

629 

119 

195 

377 

447 

7,676 

 

552 

 

9,292 

 

3,464 

 

12,756 

Other FI

1,556 

6,353 

(329)

310 

50 

6,613 

1,905 

 

81 

 

10,155 

 

2,207 

 

12,362 

Corporate

4,755 

588 

230 

83 

49 

18 

114 

645 

 

 

5,515 

 

6,244 

 

11,759 

Personal

29 

26 

21 

 

 

29 

 

12 

 

41 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

16,143 

614 

251 

8,371 

(146)

1,824 

1,647 

8,548 

10,261 

 

634 

 

35,586 

 

11,954 

 

47,540 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

 

1,447 

74 

 

849 

591 

 

1,705 

 

40 

 

 

1,753 

 

 

1,753 

Central bank

7,654 

 

 

 

 

 

 

7,667 

 

 

7,667 

Other banks

623 

 

802 

217 

 

365 

278 

 

889 

 

7,410 

 

164 

 

9,086 

 

3,566 

 

12,652 

Other FI

1,557 

 

6,804 

(386)

 

290 

108 

 

6,986 

 

1,806 

 

108 

 

10,457 

 

3,388 

 

13,845 

Corporate

4,827 

621 

209 

 

199 

 

113 

 

307 

 

747 

 

 

5,884 

 

6,596 

 

12,480 

Personal

20 

 

 

 

 

 

 

20 

 

11 

 

31 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

14,689 

624 

211 

 

9,252 

(89)

 

1,623 

982 

 

9,893 

 

10,010 

 

275 

 

34,867 

 

13,561 

 

48,428 

 

30 June 2012

 

31 December 2011

Notional 

 

Fair value

 

Notional 

Fair value

Bought 

Sold 

Bought 

Sold 

 

Bought 

Sold 

 

Bought 

Sold 

CDS by reference entity

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

1,156 

1,108 

 

 20 

(20)

 

1,206 

1,189 

 

31 

(31)

Other banks

708 

747 

 

19 

(18)

 

965 

995 

 

41 

(42)

Other FI

3,275 

3,157 

 

100 

(94)

 

5,772 

5,541 

 

142 

(131)

Corporate

9,432 

8,364 

 

159 

(73)

 

15,416 

14,238 

 

257 

(166)

 

 

 

 

 

 

14,571 

13,376 

 

298 

(205)

 

23,359 

21,963 

 

471 

(370)

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Netherlands (continued)

 

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 

AQ1

AQ2-AQ3

AQ4-AQ9

AQ10

Total

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

value 

Notional 

Fair 

value 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

Banks

5,411 

42 

66 

5,481 

43 

Other FI

7,940 

145 

307 

32 

701 

69 

142 

9,090 

255 

13,351 

187 

373 

33 

705 

69 

142 

14,571 

298 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Banks

7,605 

107 

 

88 

 

 

 

7,699 

108 

Other FI

14,529 

231 

 

308 

37 

 

676 

81 

 

147 

14 

 

15,660 

363 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

22,134 

338 

 

396 

38 

 

682 

81 

 

147 

14 

 

23,359 

471 

 

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: France

 

 

Lending 

REIL 

Provisions 

 

AFS and 

LAR debt 

securities 

AFS 

reserves 

 

HFT

debt securities

 

Total 

debt 

securities 

 

Derivatives 

 

Reverse 

repos 

 

Balance 

sheet 

 

Off-balance 

 sheet 

 

Total 

Long 

Short 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

498 

1,110 

(27)

6,056 

4,596 

2,570

197 

 

 

3,265 

 

821 

 

4,086 

Central bank

 

 

 

 

Other banks

829 

726 

143 

102 

767

6,309 

 

347 

 

8,252 

 

503 

 

8,755 

Other FI

176 

705 

(22)

180 

138 

747

655 

 

54 

 

1,632 

 

882 

 

2,514 

Corporate

2,913 

33 

13 

242 

14 

148 

130 

260

716 

 

 

3,889 

 

7,174 

 

11,063 

Personal

73 

 

 

73 

 

75 

 

148 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4,491 

33 

13 

2,783 

(34)

6,527 

4,966 

4,344 

7,877 

 

401 

 

17,113 

 

9,455 

 

26,568 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

481 

 

2,648 

(14)

 

8,705 

5,669 

 

5,684 

 

357 

 

 

6,522 

 

911 

 

7,433 

Central bank

 

20 

 

 

20 

 

 

 

23 

 

 

23 

Other banks

1,273 

 

889 

(17)

 

157 

75 

 

971 

 

7,009 

 

262 

 

9,515 

 

474 

 

9,989 

Other FI

282 

 

642 

(40)

 

325 

126 

 

841 

 

592 

 

83 

 

1,798 

 

928 

 

2,726 

Corporate

3,761 

128 

74 

 

240 

 

72 

34 

 

278 

 

743 

 

 

4,782 

 

7,829 

 

12,611 

Personal

79 

 

 

 

 

 

 

79 

 

75 

 

154 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

5,879 

128 

74 

 

4,439 

(62)

 

9,259 

5,904 

 

7,794 

 

8,701 

 

345 

 

22,719 

 

10,217 

 

32,936 

 

30 June 2012

 

31 December 2011

Notional 

 

Fair value

 

Notional 

Fair value

Bought 

Sold 

Bought 

Sold 

 

Bought 

Sold 

 

Bought 

Sold 

CDS by reference entity

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

3,397 

2,714 

 

154 

(139)

 

3,467 

2,901 

 

228 

(195)

Other banks

3,518 

3,486 

 

201 

(172)

 

4,232 

3,995 

 

282 

(236)

Other FI

1,817 

1,509 

 

81 

(69)

 

2,590 

2,053 

 

136 

(117)

Corporate

14,134 

13,383 

 

226 

(196)

 

23,224 

21,589 

 

609 

(578)

 

 

 

 

 

 

22,866 

21,092 

 

662 

(576)

 

33,513 

30,538 

 

1,255 

(1,126)

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: France (continued)

 

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 

AQ1

AQ2-AQ3

AQ4-AQ9

Total

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

value 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

Banks

10,391 

279 

148 

10 

76 

10,615 

297 

Other FI

11,933 

343 

21 

297 

21 

12,251 

365 

22,324 

622 

169 

11 

373 

29 

22,866 

662 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Banks

13,353 

453 

 

162 

13 

 

79 

 

13,594 

474 

Other FI

19,641 

758 

 

24 

 

254 

22 

 

19,919 

781 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

32,994 

1,211 

 

186 

14 

 

333 

30 

 

33,513 

1,255 

 

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Belgium

 

 

Lending 

REIL 

Provisions 

 

AFS and 

LAR debt 

securities 

AFS 

reserves 

 

HFT

debt securities

 

Total 

debt 

securities 

 

Derivatives 

 

Reverse 

repos 

 

Balance 

sheet 

 

Off-balance 

 sheet 

 

Total 

Long 

Short 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

745 

(94)

1,253 

718 

1,280 

95 

 

 

1,375 

 

 

1,375 

Central bank

 

 

 

 

Other banks

300 

2,514 

 

21 

 

2,835 

 

 

2,842 

Other FI

246 

220 

 

 

466 

 

81 

 

547 

Corporate

493 

49 

18 

10 

220 

 

 

715 

 

1,306 

 

2,021 

Personal

21 

 

 

21 

 

 

29 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1,060 

49 

18 

753 

(94)

1,257 

728 

1,282 

3,052 

 

21 

 

5,415 

 

1,402 

 

6,817 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

 

742 

(116)

 

608 

722 

 

628 

 

89 

 

 

717 

 

 

717 

Central bank

 

 

 

 

 

 

11 

 

 

11 

Other banks

287 

 

 

 

 

2,399 

 

51 

 

2,741 

 

 

2,749 

Other FI

354 

 

 

 

(3)

 

191 

 

 

542 

 

64 

 

606 

Corporate

588 

31 

21 

 

 

20 

 

23 

 

277 

 

 

888 

 

1,279 

 

2,167 

Personal

20 

 

 

 

 

 

 

20 

 

 

28 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1,257 

31 

21 

 

749 

(116)

 

629 

726 

 

652 

 

2,959 

 

51 

 

4,919 

 

1,359 

 

6,278 

 

30 June 2012

 

31 December 2011

Notional 

 

Fair value

 

Notional 

Fair value

Bought 

Sold 

Bought 

Sold 

 

Bought 

Sold 

 

Bought 

Sold 

CDS by reference entity

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

1,569 

1,451 

 

60 

(55)

 

1,612 

1,505 

 

120 

(110)

Other banks

313 

311 

 

(6)

 

312 

302 

 

14 

(13)

Corporate

367 

355 

 

(3)

 

563 

570 

 

12 

(12)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2,249 

2,117 

 

69 

(64)

 

2,487 

2,377 

 

146 

(135)

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Belgium (continued)

 

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 

AQ1

AQ2-AQ3

AQ4-AQ9

Total

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

value 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

Banks

1,519 

46 

12 

1,533 

46 

Other FI

710 

23 

716 

23 

2,229 

69 

17 

2,249 

69 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Banks

1,602 

97 

 

 

12 

 

1,616 

98 

Other FI

866 

48 

 

 

 

871 

48 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2,468 

145 

 

 

16 

 

2,487 

146 

 

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Luxembourg

 

 

Lending 

REIL 

Provisions 

 

AFS and 

LAR debt 

securities 

AFS 

reserves 

 

HFT

debt securities

 

Total 

debt 

securities 

 

Derivatives 

 

Reverse 

repos 

 

Balance 

sheet 

 

Off-balance 

 sheet 

 

Total 

Long 

Short 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other banks

10 

44 

52 

547 

 

12 

 

612 

 

 

612 

Other FI

471 

41 

(6)

221 

258 

824 

 

381 

 

1,934 

 

350 

 

2,284 

Corporate

2,100 

978 

310 

25 

29 

207 

 

 

2,308 

 

1,582 

 

3,890 

Personal

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2,575 

978 

310 

56 

(5)

290 

35 

311 

1,578 

 

393 

 

4,857 

 

1,934 

 

6,791 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other banks

101 

 

10 

 

 

17 

 

530 

 

16 

 

664 

 

 

664 

Other FI

925 

 

54 

(7)

 

82 

80 

 

56 

 

2,174 

 

789 

 

3,944 

 

711 

 

4,655 

Corporate

2,228 

897 

301 

 

 

58 

 

57 

 

180 

 

 

2,465 

 

1,294 

 

3,759 

Personal

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

3,256 

897 

301 

 

69 

(7)

 

147 

86 

 

130 

 

2,884 

 

805 

 

7,075 

 

2,007 

 

9,082 

 

30 June 2012

 

31 December 2011

Notional 

 

Fair value

 

Notional 

Fair value

Bought 

Sold 

Bought 

Sold 

 

Bought 

Sold 

 

Bought 

Sold 

CDS by reference entity

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other FI

1,063 

1,013 

 

83 

(76)

 

2,080 

1,976 

 

118 

(108)

Corporate

1,577 

1,302 

 

97 

(83)

 

2,478 

2,138 

 

146 

(116)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2,640 

2,315 

 

180 

(159)

 

4,558 

4,114 

 

264 

(224)

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Luxembourg (continued)

 

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 

AQ1

AQ2-AQ3

AQ4-AQ9

Total

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

value 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

Banks

969 

71 

14 

983 

71 

Other FI

1,571 

103 

78 

1,657 

109 

2,540 

174 

22 

78 

2,640 

180 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Banks

1,535 

93 

 

16 

 

 

1,551 

93 

Other FI

2,927 

164 

 

10 

 

70 

 

3,007 

171 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4,462 

257 

 

26 

 

70 

 

4,558 

264 

 

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Other eurozone (1)

 

 

Lending 

REIL 

Provisions 

 

AFS and 

LAR debt 

securities 

AFS 

reserves 

 

HFT

debt securities

 

Total 

debt 

securities 

 

Derivatives 

 

Reverse 

repos 

 

Balance 

sheet 

 

Off-balance 

 sheet 

 

Total 

Long 

Short 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

60 

329 

(46)

652 

316 

 665 

746 

 

 

1,471 

 

 

1,471 

Central bank

25 

 

 

25 

 

 

25 

Other banks

16 

53 

51 

52 

52 

911 

 

13 

 

992 

 

173 

 

1,165 

Other FI

73 

97 

(8)

17 

46 

68 

14 

 

18 

 

173 

 

65 

 

238 

Corporate

974 

199 

68 

135 

(2)

137 

47 

 

 

1,158 

 

1,049 

 

2,207 

Personal

13 

 

 

13 

 

25 

 

38 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1,136 

199 

68 

614 

(56)

729 

421 

922 

1,743 

 

31 

 

3,832 

 

1,312 

 

5,144 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

121 

 

327 

(47)

 

445 

331 

 

441 

 

779 

 

 

1,341 

 

25 

 

1,366 

Central bank

 

 

 

 

23 

 

 

23 

 

 

23 

Other banks

28 

 

63 

(1)

 

13 

70 

 

 

1,011 

 

 

1,045 

 

94 

 

1,139 

Other FI

77 

 

100 

(9)

 

25 

 

123 

 

36 

 

 

236 

 

130 

 

366 

Corporate

1,125 

12 

15 

 

134 

(4)

 

11 

 

138 

 

45 

 

 

1,308 

 

1,038 

 

2,346 

Personal

12 

 

 

 

 

 

 

12 

 

10 

 

22 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1,363 

12 

15 

 

624 

(61)

 

494 

410 

 

708 

 

1,894 

 

 

3,965 

 

1,297 

 

5,262 

 

30 June 2012

 

31 December 2011

Notional 

 

Fair value

 

Notional 

Fair value

Bought 

Sold 

Bought 

Sold 

 

Bought 

Sold 

 

Bought 

Sold 

CDS by reference entity

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government

2,269 

2,188 

 

27 

(21)

 

2,281 

2,350 

 

54 

(47)

Other banks

76 

71 

 

(1)

 

90 

87 

 

(1)

Corporate

2,687 

2,608 

 

37 

(28)

 

4,054 

3,944 

 

70 

(59)

 

 

 

 

 

 

5,032 

4,867 

 

65 

(50)

 

6,425 

6,381 

 

126 

(107)

 

 

For the note to this table refer to the following page.

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Other eurozone (1) (continued)

 

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 

AQ1

AQ2-AQ3

AQ4-AQ9

Total

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

 value 

Notional 

Fair 

value 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

Banks

2,373 

35 

49 

2,422 

35 

Other FI

2,563 

29 

44 

2,610 

30 

4,936 

64 

52 

44 

5,032 

65 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Banks

2,877 

58 

 

50 

 

 

2,927 

59 

Other FI

3,464 

67 

 

 

30 

 

3,498 

67 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

6,341 

125 

 

54 

 

30 

 

6,425 

126 

 

 

Note:

(1)

Comprises Austria, Estonia, Finland, Malta, Slovakia and Slovenia.

 

 

 

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Eurozone non-periphery

 

Key points*

·;

Germany and Netherlands - The Group holds significant short-term surplus liquidity with central banks given credit risk and capital considerations and limited alternative investment opportunities; this exposure also fluctuates as part of the Group's asset and liability management. In addition, net long HFT positions in German bonds in Markets increased, driven by market opportunities. Concurrently, German AFS bond positions in Group Treasury were reduced in line with internal liquidity management strategies.

 

·;

France - During the first half of 2012, in anticipation of widening credit spreads and as part of general risk management, the Group reduced its holdings in French bonds, both AFS in Group Treasury and HFT in Markets.

 

·;

Government and central banks

 

Belgium - Net HFT government bonds exposure increased by £0.6 billion reflecting fluctuations in market making positions.

 

·;

Financial institutions

 

Germany and Netherlands - Derivative and repo exposure to financial institutions increased during the first half of 2012 by £0.7 billion in Netherlands, driven by a few large banks, and by £0.3 billion in Germany, spread over a larger number of names.

 

 

France - Approximately two thirds of the lending to banks is to the top three banks under uncommitted facilities.

 

 

Luxembourg - Lending to banks and non-bank financial institutions decreased by £0.6 billion during the first half of 2012, spread over a number of financial intermediaries, funds and banks.

 

·;

Corporate

 

Germany - Lending to corporate clients fell by £1.1 billion, driven by reductions in the transport, media, commercial real estate, electricity and media sectors.

 

 

France - Corporate lending decreased by £0.8 billion, due to reductions in the telecommunications, commercial real estate and construction sectors.

 

·;

Non-Core (included above)

 

Non-Core lending exposure has been generally reduced in line with the Group's strategic plan.

 

 

Non-Core lending exposure in France was £2.0 billion at 30 June 2012, a decline of £0.3 billion since 31 December 2011. The lending portfolio mainly comprised property (41%) and sovereign and quasi-sovereign (24%) exposures.

 

 

Non-Core lending exposure in Germany was £4.5 billion at 30 June 2012, down £0.9 billion since 31 December 2011. Most of the lending was in the property (50%) and transport (27%) sectors.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report

 

Independent review report to The Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc

 

We have been engaged by The Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc ("the Company") to review the condensed financial statements in the half-yearly financial report for the six months ended 30 June 2012 which comprise the condensed consolidated income statement, the condensed consolidated statement of comprehensive income, the condensed consolidated balance sheet, the condensed consolidated statement of changes in equity, the condensed consolidated cash flow statement, related notes 1 to 20, the divisional results on pages 21 to 67 and the Risk and balance sheet management section set out on pages 129 to 236 except for those indicated as not reviewed (together "the condensed financial statements"). We have read the other information contained in the half-yearly financial report and considered whether it contains any apparent misstatements or material inconsistencies with the information in the condensed financial statements.

 

This report is made solely to the Company in accordance with International Standard on Review Engagements (UK and Ireland) 2410 'Review of Interim Financial Information Performed by the Independent Auditor of the Entity' issued by the Auditing Practices Board. Our work has been undertaken so that we might state to the Company those matters we are required to state to them in an independent review report and for no other purpose. To the fullest extent permitted by law, we do not accept or assume responsibility to anyone other than the Company, for our review work, for this report, or for the conclusions we have formed.

 

Directors' responsibilities

The half-yearly financial report is the responsibility of, and has been approved by, the directors. The directors are responsible for preparing the half-yearly financial report in accordance with the Disclosure and Transparency Rules of the United Kingdom's Financial Services Authority.

 

As disclosed in note 1, the annual financial statements of the Group are prepared in accordance with IFRSs as adopted by the European Union. The condensed financial statements included in this half-yearly financial report have been prepared in accordance with International Accounting Standard 34, 'Interim Financial Reporting', as adopted by the European Union.

 

Our responsibility

Our responsibility is to express to the Company a conclusion on the condensed financial statements in the half-yearly financial report based on our review.

 

Scope of review

We conducted our review in accordance with International Standard on Review Engagements (UK and Ireland) 2410 'Review of Interim Financial Information Performed by the Independent Auditor of the Entity' issued by the Auditing Practices Board for use in the United Kingdom. A review of interim financial information consists of making inquiries, primarily of persons responsible for financial and accounting matters, and applying analytical and other review procedures. A review is substantially less in scope than an audit conducted in accordance with International Standards on Auditing (UK and Ireland) and consequently does not enable us to obtain assurance that we would become aware of all significant matters that might be identified in an audit. Accordingly, we do not express an audit opinion.

 

 

Independent review report to The Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc (continued)

 

Conclusion

Based on our review, nothing has come to our attention that causes us to believe that the condensed financial statements in the half-yearly financial report for the six months ended 30 June 2012 are not prepared, in all material respects, in accordance with International Accounting Standard 34 as adopted by the European Union and the Disclosure and Transparency Rules of the United Kingdom's Financial Services Authority.

 

 

 

Deloitte LLP

Chartered Accountants and Statutory Auditor

London, United Kingdom

2 August 2012

 

Risk factors

 

The principal risks and uncertainties facing the Group are unchanged from those disclosed on pages 451 to 464 of the Group's 2011 Annual Report and Accounts ("2011 R&A").

 

Summary of our Principal Risks and Uncertainties

Set out below is a summary of certain risks which could adversely affect the Group. These should not be regarded as a complete and comprehensive statement of all potential risks and uncertainties. The summary should be read in conjunction with the Risk and balance sheet management section on pages 100 to 249 of the 2011 R&A, which also includes a fuller description of these and other risk factors (pages 451 to 464).

 

·;

The Group's businesses, earnings and financial condition and liquidity have been and will continue to be affected by geopolitical conditions, the global economy, instability in the global financial markets and increased competition. Together with a perceived increased risk of default on the sovereign debt of certain European countries and unprecedented stresses on the financial system within the eurozone, the above factors have resulted in significant fluctuations in market conditions including interest rates, foreign exchange rates, credit spreads, and other market factors and consequent changes in asset valuations.

 

 

·;

The Group's ability to meet its obligations, including its funding commitments, depends on the Group's ability to access sources of liquidity and funding. The inability to access liquidity and funding due to market conditions or otherwise could adversely affect the Group's financial condition. Furthermore, the Group's borrowing costs and its access to the debt capital markets and other sources of liquidity depend significantly on its and the UK Government's credit ratings.

 

 

·;

The Independent Commission on Banking has published its final report on competition and possible structural reforms in the UK banking industry. The Government has indicated that it supports and intends to implement the recommendations substantially as proposed which could have a material adverse effect on the Group's structure, financial condition and results.

 

 

·;

The Group's ability to implement its Strategic Plan depends on the success of its efforts to refocus on its core strengths and its balance sheet reduction programme. As part of the Group's Strategic Plan and implementation of the State Aid restructuring plan agreed with the European Commission and HM Treasury, the Group is undertaking an extensive restructuring which may adversely affect the Group's business, results of operations and financial condition and give rise to increased operational risk and may impair the Group's ability to raise new Tier 1 capital due to restrictions on its ability to make discretionary dividend or coupon payments on certain securities.

 

 

·;

The occurrence of a delay in the implementation of (or any failure to implement) the approved proposed transfers of a substantial part of the business activities of RBS N.V. to the Royal Bank may have a material adverse effect on the Group.

 

 

·;

The Group or any of its UK bank subsidiaries may face the risk of full nationalisation or other resolution procedures and various actions could be taken by or on behalf of the UK Government in the event that any such entities are failing, or likely to fail, including actions in relation to any securities issued, new or existing contractual arrangements and transfers of part or all of the Group's businesses.

 

 

·;

The actual or perceived failure or worsening credit of the Group's counterparties or borrowers and depressed asset valuations resulting from poor market conditions have adversely affected and could continue to adversely affect the Group.

 

Risk factors (continued)

 

·;

The value of certain financial instruments recorded at fair value is determined using financial models incorporating assumptions, judgements and estimates that may change over time or may ultimately not turn out to be accurate.

 

 

·;

Changes in interest rates, foreign exchange rates, credit spreads, bond, equity and commodity prices, basis, volatility and correlation risks and other market factors have significantly affected and will continue to affect the Group's business and results of operation.

 

 

·;

The Group's insurance businesses are subject to inherent risks involving claims on insured events.

 

 

·;

The Group's business performance, financial condition and capital and liquidity ratios could be adversely affected if its capital is not managed effectively or as a result of changes to capital adequacy and liquidity requirements, including those arising out of Basel III implementation (globally or by European or UK authorities), or if the Group is unable to issue Contingent B Shares to HM Treasury under certain circumstances.

 

 

·;

Any significant developments in regulatory or tax legislation could have an effect on how the Group conducts its business and on its results of operations and financial condition, and the recoverability of certain deferred tax assets recognised by the Group is subject to uncertainty.

 

 

·;

The Group is subject to substantial regulation and oversight, and any significant regulatory or legal developments could have an adverse effect on how the Group conducts its business and on its results of operations and financial condition. In addition, the Group is, and may be, subject to litigation and regulatory investigations that may adversely impact its business, results of operations and financial condition.

 

 

·;

Operational and reputational risks are inherent in the Group's operations.

 

 

·;

The Group could fail to attract or retain senior management, which may include members of the Group Board, or other key employees, and it may suffer if it does not maintain good employee relations.

 

 

·;

The Group may be required to make contributions to its pension schemes and government compensation schemes, either of which may have an adverse impact on the Group's results of operations, cash flow and financial condition.

 

 

·;

As a result of the UK Government's majority shareholding in the Group it can, and in the future may decide to, exercise a significant degree of influence over the Group including on dividend policy, modifying or cancelling contracts or limiting the Group's operations. The offer or sale by the UK Government of all or a portion of its shareholding in the company could affect the market price of the equity shares and other securities and acquisitions of ordinary shares by the UK Government (including through conversions of other securities or further purchases of shares) may result in the delisting of the Group from the Official List.

 

Statement of directors' responsibilities

 

We, the directors listed below, confirm that to the best of our knowledge:

 

·;

the condensed financial statements have been prepared in accordance with IAS 34 'Interim Financial Reporting';

 

 

·;

the interim management report includes a fair review of the information required by DTR 4.2.7R (indication of important events during the first six months and description of principal risks and uncertainties for the remaining six months of the year); and

 

 

·;

the interim management report includes a fair review of the information required by DTR 4.2.8R (disclosure of related parties' transactions and changes therein).

 

 

 

By order of the Board

 

 

 

 

Philip Hampton

Stephen Hester

Bruce Van Saun

Chairman

Group Chief Executive

Group Finance Director

 

2 August 2012

 

 

Board of directors

 

Chairman

Executive directors

Non-executive directors

Philip Hampton

Stephen Hester

Bruce Van Saun

Sandy Crombie

Alison Davis

Tony Di Iorio

Penny Hughes

Joe MacHale

Brendan Nelson

Baroness Noakes

Arthur 'Art' Ryan

Philip Scott

 

Additional information

 

 

30 June 

2012 

31 March 

2012 

31 December 

2011 

 

 

 

 

Ordinary share price*

215.3p 

276.4p 

201.8p 

 

 

 

 

Number of ordinary shares in issue*

6,017m 

5,955m 

5,923m 

 

*prior period data have been adjusted for the sub-division and one-for-ten share consolidation of ordinary shares, which took effect in June 2012.

 

Statutory results

Financial information contained in this document does not constitute statutory accounts within the meaning of section 434 of the Companies Act 2006 ('the Act'). The statutory accounts for the year ended 31 December 2011 have been filed with the Registrar of Companies. The report of the auditor on those statutory accounts was unqualified, did not draw attention to any matters by way of emphasis and did not contain a statement under section 498(2) or (3) of the Act.

 

 

Financial calendar

 

 

2012 Q3 interim management statement

Friday 2 November 2012

 

 

2012 annual results

Thursday 28 February 2013

 

 

 

This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
 
END
 
 
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