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Interim Management Statement

10th May 2012 07:00

RNS Number : 0298D
Old Mutual PLC
10 May 2012
 



 

 

 

 

 

 

10 May 2012

Old Mutual plc Interim Management StatementFor the three months ended 31 March 2012

Business improvement continues

 

·; Funds under management in core operations up 6% to £284.2 billion

·; NCCF of £3.7 billion, USAM NCCF £2.5 billion

·; Sale of Nordic completed for £2.1 billion

 

Julian Roberts, Group Chief Executive, commented:

"With growth in funds under management and further strategic progress, overall this has been another good quarter for Old Mutual. We have seen positive net client cash flows throughout the Group including at USAM where investment performance is improving.

"Sales continued to be strong in Emerging Markets, with another excellent performance in the South African mass foundation cluster. The prolonged turmoil in the eurozone has continued to undermine investor confidence creating a subdued retail investment market in Europe as a whole.

"Nedbank maintained the momentum it established last year by delivering positive margins, strong growth in non-interest revenue and continued reductions in credit losses.

"Our strong franchises and significant exposure to higher growth emerging markets underpin prospects for the year as a whole."

 

Enquiries

 

External communications

Patrick Bowes

UK

+44 (0)20 7002 7440

Investor relations

Kelly de Kock

SA

+27 (0)21 509 8709 

Media

William Baldwin-Charles

+44 (0)20 7002 7133

+44 (0)7834 524 833

GROUP RESULTS

 

 

Group highlights for the three months to

31 March 2012 (£bn)

Q1 2012

Q1 2011 (constant currency basis)

% of opening FUM1

Q1 2011 (as reported)

Net client cash flow

Long-Term Savings

0.8

0.7

3%

0.7

Nedbank

0.4

0.2

16%

0.2

US Asset Management

- Continuing operations2

2.6

(0.6)

8%

(0.6)

- Held for sale or disposed2

(0.1)

(3.2)

(2)%

(3.1)

NCCF from core operations

3.7

(2.9)

6%

(2.8)

Group highlights at 31 March 2012 (£bn)

31 March 2012

31 December 2011 (constant currency basis)

% change

31 December 2011 (as reported)

% change

Funds under management

Long-Term Savings

116.1

109.8

6%

108.5

7%

Nedbank

10.6

9.9

7%

9.7

9%

Mutual & Federal

0.2

0.2

-

0.2

-

US Asset Management

- Continuing operations2

138.3

125.3

10%

128.8

7%

- Held for sale or disposed2

19.0

19.5

(3)%

20.0

(5)%

FUM from core operations

284.2

264.7

7%

267.2

6%

Group highlights for the three months to

31 March 2012 (£m)

Q1 2012

Q1 2011 (constant currency basis)

% change

Q1 2011 (as reported)

% change

Life assurance sales (APE)

Emerging Markets

116

106

10%

115

1%

Wealth Management

153

193

(21)%

193

(21)%

Total life assurance sales (APE)

269

299

(10)%

308

(13)%

Non-covered sales 3

Emerging Markets

1,941

1,403

38%

1,527

27%

Wealth Management

1,117

1,168

(4)%

1,168

(4)%

Long-Term Savings

3,058

2,571

19%

2,695

13%

US Asset Management

- Continuing operations2

271

383

(29)%

375

(28)%

- Held for sale or disposed2

73

173

(58)%

170

(57)%

Total non-covered sales

3,402

3,127

9%

3,240

5%

Note percentage movements on reported figures in the above table are based on rounded sterling numbers.

 

 

1 Annualised NCCF

2 Continuing operations exclude the results of OMCAP, Lincluden and Dwight, which were held for sale or disposed at 31 March 2012

3 Non-covered sales includes mutual funds, unit trust and other sales

Overview

Unless otherwise stated, the figures given throughout this document are for the three months to 31 March 2012 (the period) and comparative figures are for the same period in 2011 (the comparative period). Comparative figures presented in GBP are on a constant currency basis.

Group funds under management

Funds under management (FUM) increased by £19.5 billion (7%) from 31 December 2011 to £284.2 billion at 31 March 2012. Equity markets contributed £16.9 billion of the £19.5 billion increase, with the S&P 500 up 12%, the FTSE 100 up 4% and the JSE ALSI up 5%.

In our Long-Term Savings division (LTS) FUM increased 6% to £116.1 billion. Emerging Markets increased by 3% to £52.7 billion, due to increased net client cash flows (NCCF) supported by strong non-covered sales and a general improvement in markets. Wealth Management FUM increased 8% from £58.6 billion at 31 December 2011 to £63.4 billion at 31 March 2012, also driven by positive market movements and net client cash inflows. UK FUM increased 6% over the period to £35.6 billion, with UK Platform FUM of £20.4 billion up 15% from 31 March 2011 and up 8% from 31 December 2011.

FUM from continuing operations1 at USAM increased 10% to £138.3 billion, of which 8% was due to positive market movements and 2% was due to improvements in NCCF.

Long-Term Savings

Net client cash flow

LTS achieved positive NCCF of £0.8 billion (Q1 2011: £0.7 billion), driven by strong inflows in Latin America and large deals secured into Emerging Markets' OMIGSA boutiques.

Wealth Management NCCF was £0.5 billion (Q1 2011: £1.0 billion), with gross inflows of £2.6 billion (Q1 2011: £2.9 billion). NCCF for the UK Platform fell to £0.5 billion from £1.0 billion, as continued market volatility weakened investor confidence.

Sales

LTS sales on an annual premium equivalent (APE) basis decreased by 10% to £269 million, with weak UK and European sales partially offset by strong regular premium sales in Emerging Markets. LTS non-covered sales, including unit trust and mutual fund sales, increased by 19% to £3,058 million.

APE sales in Emerging Markets increased by 10% to £116 million, driven by growth of 17% in the Mass Foundation Cluster (MFC). Non-covered sales increased by 38% to £1,941 million, with strong unit trust and mutual fund sales in South Africa and Latin America. Other non-life sales were boosted by the inclusion of the other African countries (Kenya, Malawi, Zimbabwe and Swaziland) in Q1 2012 but not in the comparative period and significant inflows into OMIGSA's Dibanisa boutique.

Wealth Management APE sales decreased by 21% to £153 million, reflecting continued market volatility and weakening investor confidence. This has particularly impacted the single premium dominated propositions that we offer in most of our markets. Wealth Management sales were up 13% on Q4 2011. The UK Platform gross sales were £1.1 billion (Q1 2011: £1.4 billion). Wealth Management mutual fund and unit trust sales were down 4% to £1,117 million. We continue to make good progress on our preparations for the Retail Distribution Review (RDR), while waiting for the definitive rules to be finalised. In April we announced that we will be combining Old Mutual Asset Managers UK (OMAM UK) and Skandia Investment Group (SIG).

US Asset Management

Net client cash inflow from continuing business1 was £2.6 billion, with strong investment performance and reduced volatility in global markets. There was £0.1 billion of net outflows from USAM's affiliates held for sale at 31 March 2012.

Gross inflows1 were £6.4 billion (Q1 2011: £4.2 billion), driven predominantly by sales from long-term fixed income products, while international value equities, global value equities, and emerging market equities also experienced strong sales. The fees on fixed income AUM tend to be lower than USAM's overall average, though flows in this key asset class help further diversify our sources of earnings. Gross outflows1 were £3.8 billion (Q1 2011: £4.8 billion), largely in US equities.

 

1 Excludes results of OMCAP, Lincluden, and Dwight Asset Management, which were held for sale or disposed at 31 March 2012.

 

US and international equity strategies outperformed benchmarks contributing to enhanced investment performance. For the one-year period ended 31 March 2012, 80% of assets in continuing business outperformed benchmarks (Q1 2011: 47%). Over the three- and five-year periods, 70% (Q1 2011: 48%) and 65% (Q1 2011: 57%) of assets outperformed benchmarks.

The sale of USAM's domestic retail business, OMCAP, to Touchstone Investments closed on 13 April 2012. USAM will retain assets through its role as sub-advisor to 13 of the 17 mutual funds reorganised into Touchstone Funds as part of the strategic transaction to exit the US mutual fund business. The previously announced sale of USAM's fixed income affiliate, Dwight Asset Management Company LLC, to Goldman Sachs Asset Management is progressing as planned and is expected to close in Q2 2012.

Nedbank

Nedbank maintained the momentum established in 2011. Net interest income grew by 11% to R4.8 billion and non-interest revenue increased 15% to R4.1 billion. The credit loss ratio from impairments improved from 1.15% in the comparative period to 1.09%. Nedbank's capital ratios remained well above current regulatory minima and expected Basel III regulatory minima, with a Core Tier 1 ratio of 10.7% (31 December 2011: 11.0%).

The full text of Nedbank's Q1 2012 trading update, released on 4 May 2012 and also announced by Old Mutual plc on the same day, can be accessed on Nedbank's website at: http://www.nedbankgroup.co.za/financialQuaterlyResults.asp

Mutual & Federal

At Mutual & Federal gross written premiums for the period increased by 7% to R2.4 billion. The trading environment continued to be highly competitive.

Capital and liquidity

The pro-forma Financial Groups Directive (FGD) surplus was £2.7 billion at 31 March 2012 (31 December 2011: £2.0 billion). The profit on the sale of Nordic increased the FGD surplus by £1.6 billion, but this was partially offset by £1.2 billion committed by the Group to pay special and ordinary dividends on 7 June 2012. The remaining £0.3 billion increase in the FGD surplus was primarily due to improved surpluses in Bermuda, Emerging Markets and Wealth Management during the period, and the strengthening of the Rand from the year-end closing-rate. This was partially offset by increased capital requirements at Nedbank. All our businesses remained well capitalised throughout the period.

At 31 March 2012, the holding company had total liquidity headroom of £3.4 billion (31 December 2011: £1.5 billion). From these resources the Group will pay £1.0 billion of special dividend and £0.1 billion in ordinary dividends on 7 June 2012. As part of the dividend payment process, the Group settled its intercompany loan with its South African holding company.

The Group repaid the remaining €200 million of the €750 million euro bond during the period. We do not intend to repay further debt until after the payment of the special dividend.

The Group has no exposure to the sovereign debt of Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece and Spain. The Group's exposure to French sovereign debt is £2 million.

Material events and transactions

During the quarter, the Group completed the sale of its Nordic businesses for £2.1 billion. The Group also announced the combination of its Retail Europe businesses into Wealth Management.

Share consolidation and share count

A share consolidation was completed, in the period between close of business on Friday 20 April 2012 and opening of business on Monday 23 April 2012, reducing the number of shares in issue from 5,567 million to 4,871 million, with 7 new shares being issued in exchange for 8 existing shares. As a consequence the share consolidation reduces the weighted average number of shares (WANS) used to determine the Group's per share calculations.

The WANS for the market consistent embedded value (MCEV) and basic earnings per share (EPS) calculations reflects the share consolidation from the date it occurred. The WANS used for the adjusted operating EPS calculation will treat the share consolidation as having taken place at 1 January 2012 and is 4,756 million. The comparative period will be restated for adjusted operating EPS only.

Dividends per share will be declared and calculated on the actual share count. As previously announced, we expect to set the 2012 interim dividend as 30% of the 2011 full-year dividend.

The long-term rate for the long-term investment return (LTIR) for Emerging Markets will remain at 9% for 2012. The long-term rate for 2012 for Mutual & Federal and Wealth Management was reduced to 8.6% (2011: 9.0%) and 1.5% (2011: 2.0%) respectively. The reduction in nominal yields on fixed income and cash, and lower equity appreciation in recent years is likely to reduce the long-term rate in the future.

Bermuda

At 31 March 2012, the estimated gross cash cost of meeting fifth anniversary guarantees to Guaranteed Minimum Accumulation Benefit (GMAB) policyholders over the next two years reduced to approximately $463 million (31 December 2011: $689 million; 30 September 2011: $738 million) due to higher equity markets. In March 2012 Bermuda enhanced its hedging strategy by implementing an option-based hedging arrangement to protect the cost of meeting fifth anniversary payments.

Notes to Editors:

A conference call for analysts and investors will take place at 09.00 (UK time), 10.00 (Central European time) and 10.00 (South African time) today. Analysts and investors who wish to participate in the call should dial the following numbers quoting conference ID 311209#:

UK and International (outside South Africa and US) +44 (0)20 3140 0668

South Africa +27 (0)11 019 7051

US +1 631 510 7490

 

Please dial in 10 minutes before the scheduled start time of the call to avoid excess holding.

A replay facility will be available until midnight on 24 May 2012 on the following numbers, quoting access code 384194#:

 

UK / standard international +44 (0)20 3140 0698

Copies of this update, together with high-resolution images and biographical details of the Executive Directors of Old Mutual plc, are available in electronic format to download from the Company's website at http://www.oldmutual.com.

This Interim Management Statement has been prepared in accordance with section 4.3 of the Disclosure and Transparency Rules (DTR) and covers the period 1 January 2012 to 9 May 2012. The business update is included in this Interim Management Statement. A Disclosure Supplement relating to the Company's business update can be found on our website. This contains key financial data for the three months ended 31 March 2012.

Life assurance APE sales are calculated as the sum of (annualised) new regular premiums and 10% of the new single premiums written in an annual reporting period. Our joint ventures in India and China are not consolidated for APE purposes.

 

Foreign exchange rates used for constant currency calculations

 

Q1 2012

Q1 2011

Appreciation / (depreciation) of local currency

FY 2011

Appreciation / (depreciation) of local currency

Rand

Average Rate

12.19

11.20

(9)%

11.64

(5)%

Closing Rate

12.23

10.87

(13)%

12.56

3%

USD

Average Rate

1.57

1.60

2%

1.60

2%

Closing Rate

1.60

1.61

1%

1.56

(3)%

 

Cautionary statement

This announcement has been prepared solely to provide additional information to shareholders to assess the Group's strategies and the potential for those strategies to succeed. It should not be relied on by any other party or for any other purpose.

This announcement contains forward-looking statements with respect to certain of Old Mutual plc's and its subsidiaries' plans and its current goals and expectations relating to its future financial condition, performance and results. By their nature, all forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to future events and circumstances that are beyond Old Mutual plc's control, - including, among other things, UK domestic and global economic and business conditions, market-related risks such as fluctuations in interest rates and exchange rates, policies and actions of regulatory authorities, the impact of competition, inflation, deflation, the timing and impact of other uncertainties or of future acquisitions or combinations within relevant industries, as well as the impact of tax and other legislation and other regulations in territories where Old Mutual plc or its subsidiaries operate.

As a result, Old Mutual plc's actual future financial condition, performance and results may differ materially from the plans, goals and expectations set out in Old Mutual plc's forward-looking statements. Old Mutual plc undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements contained in this announcement or any other forward-looking statements that it may make.

 

Interim Management Statement - Appendix

 

Financial History

 

 

Year

Adjusted WANS (m)

Reported adjusted operating EPS (p)1

Year-end shares in issue less treasury shares (m)

Adjusted Group MCEV per share (p)2

Dividend per share (p)2

2011 - after share consolidation3

4,756

18.0

4,866

207.84

5.71

2011

5,435

15.7

5,562

194.1

5.00

2010

5,359

14.3

5,456

202.2

4.00

2009

5,229

11.6

5,279

171.0

1.50

2008

5,230

14.9

5,277

117.6

2.45

2007

5,411

16.9

5,405

166.3

6.85

 

1 Latest reported figure

2 Dividends were paid on ordinary shares in issue (excluding treasury shares) at the Record Date. Adjusted Group MCEV per share is calculated on shares in issue (excluding treasury shares) at 31 December 2011

3 Figures were not reported for 2011 and have been included here for illustrative purposes only

4 Including proceeds from disposal of Nordic and payments of £1.0 billion special dividend

 

Long-term Savings - Emerging Markets

APE Sales

Rm

By Cluster:

Gross single premiums

Gross regular premiums

Total APE

Q1 '12

Q1 '11

%

Q1 '12

Q1 '11

%

Q1 '12

Q1 '11

%

South Africa

Mass Foundation Cluster

8

7

14%

494

423

17%

495

424

17%

Retail Affluent

2,054

2,412

(15)%

340

312

9%

545

553

(1)%

Corporate

656

1,081

(39)%

88

35

151%

154

143

8%

OMIGSA

333

700

(52)%

-

-

n/a

33

70

(53)%

Total South Africa

 3,051

4,200

(27)%

922

770

20%

1,227

1,190

3%

Rest of Africa

397

194

105%

109

48

127%

149

67

122%

Asia & Latin America*

64

58

10%

33

24

38%

39

30

30%

Total Emerging Markets

3,512

4,452

(21)%

1,064

842

26%

1,415

1,287

10%

Rm

By Product:

Gross single premiums

Gross regular premiums

Total APE

Q1 '12

Q1 '11

%

Q1 '12

Q1 '11

%

Q1 '12

Q1 '11

%

South Africa

Savings

2,484

3,666

(32)%

427

382

12%

675

749

(10)%

Protection

-

-

n/a

495

388

28%

495

388

28%

Annuity

567

534

6%

-

-

n/a

57

53

8%

Total South Africa

3,051

4,200

(27)%

922

770

20%

1,227

1,190

3%

* Includes Mexico only

Non-covered sales* including unit trust / mutual fund sales

Rm

Unit trust/ mutual fund sales

Other non-covered sales

Total non-covered sales

Q1 '12

Q1 '11

%

Q1 '12

Q1 '11

%

Q1 '12

Q1 '11

%

South Africa

6,189

4,609

34%

10,846

7,513

44%

17,035

12,122

41%

Rest of Africa

932

1,143

(18)%

575

66

>100%

1,507

1,209

25%

Asia & Latin America

4,727

3,242

46%

386

531

(27)%

5,113

3,773

36%

Emerging markets

11,848

8,994

32%

11,807

8,110

46%

23,655

17,104

38%

* Non-covered sales exclude Zimbabwe CABS deposits

Long-term Savings - Wealth Management

APE Sales

£m

Gross single premiums

Annualised regular premiums

Total APE

Life new business

Q1 '12

Q1 '11

%

Q1 '12

Q1 '11

%

Q1 '12

Q1 '11

%

UK market

Pensions

475

569

(17)%

14

18

(22)%

62

75

(18)%

Bonds

90

126

(29)%

-

-

n/a

9

13

(31)%

Protection

-

-

n/a

2

2

-

2

2

-

Savings

-

-

n/a

1

2

(50)%

1

2

(50)%

Total UK

565

695

(19)%

17

22

(23)%

74

92

(19)%

Of which UK Platform

506

611

(17%)

8

9

(11)%

59

70

(16)%

Of which UK Legacy

59

84

(30)%

9

13

(31)%

15

22

(29)%

International

Unit-linked

29

70

(59)%

3

9

(67)%

6

16

(63)%

Bonds

282

314

(10)%

7

6

17%

35

37

(5)%

Total International

311

384

(19)%

10

15

(33)%

41

53

(23)%

Wealth Management Europe

Unit-linked

245

306

(20)%

14

18

(22)%

38

48

(21)%

Total Wealth Management

1,121

1,385

(19)%

41

55

(25)%

153

193

(21)%

Unit trust / mutual fund sales

£m

Mutual fund new business

Q1 '12

Q1 '11

%

Institutional

230

56

>100%

Mutual funds

316

470

(33)%

ISA

245

324

(24)%

Total UK market

791

850

(7)%

Of which UK Platform

561

766

(27)%

Of which UK Legacy

230

84

>100%

International

317

309

3%

Wealth Management Europe

9

9

-

Total Wealth Management

1,117

1,168

(4)%

 

Bermuda reserve development

The sensitivity to capital markets on GMABs with UGO is highlighted in the table below, showing quarterly GMAB reserves and estimated fifth-anniversary guarantees over the past 21 months:

$m

Period

UGO GMAB reserve

Estimated UGO

fifth-anniversary top-up

30 June 2010

996

775

30 September 2010

824

458

31 December 2010

660

334

31 March 2011

573

303

30 June 2011

620

346

30 September 2011

1,144

738

31 December 2011

1,035

689

31 March 2012

794

463

 

This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
 
END
 
 
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