17th Apr 2013 07:00
MAGNOLIA PETROLEUM PLC - Four Fold Increase in Value of Total Net ReservesMAGNOLIA PETROLEUM PLC - Four Fold Increase in Value of Total Net Reserves
PR Newswire
London, April 16
Magnolia Petroleum Plc / Index: AIM / Epic: MAGP / Sector: Oil & Gas
17 April 2013
Magnolia Petroleum Plc (`Magnolia' or `the Company')USD94m Valuation Assigned to Net 3P Reserves by Competent Person
Magnolia Petroleum Plc, the AIM quoted onshore US focused oil andgas exploration and production company, is pleased to report an updatedCompetent Person's Report (`CPR') by Moyes & Co. (`Moyes') which confirms asubstantial increase in the value of Magnolia's net attributable proved,probable and possible reserves (`3P') and net production attributable to theCompany.
Highlights
- US$94 million value assigned to Company's proved, probable, possible (`3P')
reserves as at 1 January 2013 compared to US$18 million on Admission to AIM in
November 2011
- Based on upgraded net attributable oil and condensate 3P reserves of 2,818
Mbbl and net attributable gas 3P reserves of 9,231 MMcf
- Reserves estimate covers approximately 5,500 net acres out of total of over
12,700 in proven formations, such as the Bakken/Three Forks Sanish, North Dakota,
and the Mississippi Lime, Hunton/Woodford, Oklahoma
- Contingent and Prospective resources estimate of US$15 million
includes:
- 7,866 net mineral acres in the Bakken formation section ofMontana - classified
as prospective resources due to its status as an emerging play
- Net production as at 31 December 2013 stood at 122.5boepd following significant
increase in new wells since Admission to AIM
- Initial production rates reported for wells in 2013 not included
- CPR estimates the existing portfolio has the potential toincrease net
daily production to approximately 625 boepd and 1,067 boepd by
2017 assuming the 2P and 3P drilling locations respectively were drilled
(excluding Montana) - this would involve Magnolia's participation in over 240
new wells
Magnolia COO, Rita Whittington said, "The CPR provides anindependent assessment of Magnolia's first full year on AIM, which sawexcellent progress made towards delivering on our strategy to build asignificant US onshore oil and gas company. In this time, the value of theCompany's net reserves and production as at 1 January 2013 increased bymultiples of the figures reported at the time of the Admission to AIM inNovember 2011. At US$94m the value of our 3P reserves provides considerableasset backing to our current market valuation, while at 122.5 boepd, netproduction generates revenues that will be reinvested into new wells, as welook to build net production and proved reserves further.
"Our 3P reserves do not include the 7,866 net acres we haveacquired in Montana located in areas we believe are an extension of theprolific Bakken formation. Moyes estimates this acreage could hold up to 696drilling locations, providing the potential for significant upside in thefuture as drilling activity in this emerging play picks up.
"The 625 boepd and 1,067 boepd production estimates provided byMoyes highlight the potential of our existing leases and as a result, they area useful reference point for the future. These forecasts do not take intoaccount our Montana acreage, on-going lease acquisition activity as well asthe opportunities we are regularly seeing in our areas of interest and withthis in mind, I look forward to providing updates on our progress in duecourse, as we look to continue to generate substantial value for all ourshareholders."
Summary of Magnolia Reserves
As of 1 January 2013, Magnolia's net reserves, future net cash flowand net present worth discounted at 10% per annum (NPV) have been estimated tobe as follows:
Grand Total as of January 1, 2013 Gross Reserves Net Reserves Net Cash Flow ReserveClass/Category
Oil & Natural Oil & Natural Future Future Future Future NPV Condensate Gas Condensate Gas Net Net Net Net Disc @ (Mbbl) (MMcf) (Mbbl) (MMcf) Revenue OPEX & Capital Cash 10% ($000) Taxes ($000) Flow ($000) ($000) ($000) Proved 56,451 206,516 106 391 11,314 2,326 - 8,988 5,842DevelopedProducing Proved 1,443 9,780 64 195 6,592 1,604 1,131 3,857 2,642DevelopedBehind Pipe Proved Shut In - - - - - - - - - Proved 37,412 115,441 1,002 3,072 103,265 16,269 18,919 68,077 28,590Undeveloped Total Proved 95,306 331,737 1,173 3,658 121,171 20,200 20,050 80,921 37,074 Probable - - - - - - - - -Behind Pipe Probable 5,916 29,882 194 855 21,515 3,076 3,464 14,976 6,855Undeveloped Total Probable 5,916 29,882 194 855 21,515 3,076 3,464 14,976 6,855 Total 2P 101,222 361,619 1,367 4,513 142,686 23,275 23,513 95,897 43,929 Possible - - - - - - - - -Behind Pipe Possible 19,569 53,848 1,451 4,718 151,572 22,799 26,642 102,131 50,114Undeveloped Total Possible 19,569 53,848 1,451 4,718 151,572 22,799 26,642 102,131 50,114 Total 3P 120,792 415,468 2,818 9,231 294,258 46,074 50,156 198,029 94,043The properties evaluated are all those owned by Magnolia in NorthDakota, Montana, Oklahoma, Texas, Alabama, and Florida. The producingproperties have been evaluated using decline curve analysis with theassumption that the wells will continue to operate with no material futureinvestments. The undeveloped leasehold has been evaluated based on analogywith offset production. The offset production was evaluated using declinecurve analysis.
Summary of Magnolia Contingent Resources
Resources as of January 1, 2013 Gross Resources Net Resources Net Cash Flow Oil & Natural Oil & Natural Future Future Future Future NPV Condensate Gas Condensate Gas Net Net Net Net Disc @ (Mbbl) (MMcf) (Mbbl) (MMcf) Revenue OPEX & Capital Cash 10% ($000) Taxes ($000) Flow ($000) ($000) ($000)Prospective Resources Montana - Bakken 206,682 103,341 5,770 2,885 514,551 145,089 208,932 160,531 12,267 - Sanish/ThreeForks - - - - - - - - - Montana Total 206,682 103,341 5,770 2,885 514,551 145,089 208,932 160,531 12,267 Contingent Resources Oklahoma - Mississippian 5,123 16,906 75 249 7,939 1,132 1,261 5,546 2,368 - Woodford 2,089 144,102 41 1,483 10,878 1,724 5,863 3,291 369 Oklahoma Total 7,212 161,008 116 1,732 18,817 2,856 7,124 8,837 2,737 Total Contingent 213,894 264,349 5,886 4,617 533,368 147,945 216,056 169,368 15,004ResourcesThe Montana leases in Daniels, Roosevelt and Valley Countycurrently lie in an undeveloped portion of what is anticipated to be the mostnorthwestern extent of the Bakken production zone in the Williston Basin.There is currently no production from the Bakken or Sanish Three ForksFormations in Daniels or Valley County, however production from bothformations can be found in southeastern Roosevelt County and in thenortheastern portion of neighbouring Sheridan County near the North Dakotaborder. Permitting activity has accelerated in Daniels County with sevenBakken/Three Forks wells permitted in the last 24 months. Apache, the mostactive operator in the area, currently has six exploratory wells being drilledin central Daniels County. Results from these wells are pending and theMontana properties will remain contingent resources until exploratory drillingyields successful results. Of the 7,866 net acres in Montana, 5,780 lie inDaniels County, 1,171 in Roosevelt County and 915 in Valley County. On 1,280acre spacing, the acreage would allow 174 well locations. Future infilldrilling could allow as many as 696 locations.
In just over five years of active drilling, the Woodford now boastsover 2,350 producing wells in Oklahoma. Most of the wells are where theWoodford Shale is in the dry gas window, greater than 50 ft thick and at arelatively shallow depth (Hughes andCoal Counties Oklahoma is experiencing increasing activity with the mostactive companies being Continental Resources and Newfield.
Production Forecast Current Production (1 2P Forecast (2017) 3P Forecast (2017)Jan 2013) State boepd State boepd State boepd AL,FL,TX 4.5 AL,FL,TX 3.1 AL,FL,TX 3.1North Dakota 10 North Dakota 34 North Dakota 88Oklahoma 108 Oklahoma 588 Oklahoma 976TOTAL 122.5 TOTAL 625 TOTAL 1,067The production forecast resulting from the forecast of the existingproduction and adding the forecast drilling activity is shown in the tableabove. The forecast shows the result of drilling the Proved, Probable, andPossible well locations all un-risked. Production increases from the currentnet of approximately 122.5 boepd to a peak of 625 (2P) and 1,067 boepd (3P) in2017.
The future net revenue is based on the 1 January 2013 NYMEX futuresstrip prices for WTI Oil and Henry Hub Gas. The future net cash flow is thefuture net revenue, less estimated future net OPEX (well operating cost andproduction taxes) and future net capital. The total reserves are those definedas natural gas and liquid hydrocarbon reserves to Magnolia's interest afterdeducting all royalties, overriding royalties, and reversionary interestsowned by outside parties that become effective upon payout of specifiedmonetary balances. All reserves estimates have been prepared using standardengineering practices generally accepted by the petroleum industry and conformto the guidelines adopted by the2007 SPE/SPEE/AAPG/WPC PRMS Guidelines.
The information contained in this announcement has been reviewedand approved by P. Dee Patterson on behalf of Moyes & Co.. Mr. Patterson has32 years of relevant experience in the oil industry and is currently ManagingDirector, with Moyes & Co. in Dallas, Texas.
Glossary
`1P' means Proved Reserves
`2P' means Proved plus Probable Reserves
`3P' means Proved plus Probable plus Possible Reserves
`BOE' means barrels of oil equivalent, gas is converted at itsenergy equivalent of 6000 cubic feet per barrel of oil
`BOEPD' means barrels of oil equivalent per day,
`BOPD' means barrels of oil per day, Abbreviation for barrels ofoil per day, a common unit of measurement for volume of crude oil. The volumeof a barrel is equivalent to 42 US gallons
`Contingent resources' means quantities of petroleum estimated asof a given date, to be potentially recoverable from known accumulations byapplication of development projects, but which are not currently consideredcommercially recoverable due to one or more contingencies
`M' means Thousand
`MBO' means Thousand Barrels of Oil
`Mcfd' means Thousand Cubic Feet per Day
`MM' means million (thousand thousand not million million), as usedin oilfield and heat content units such as MMSTB and MMBtu
`MMBbl' means Million barrels
`MMcfd' means Million Cubic Feet per Day
`Proved Reserves' means those quantities of petroleum which, byanalysis of geological and engineering data, can be estimated with reasonablecertainty to be commercially recoverable, from a given date forward, fromknown reservoirs and under current economic conditions, operating methods, andgovernment regulation - Proved reserves can be categorized as developed orundeveloped
`Probable reserves' are those unproved reserves which analysis ofgeological and engineering data suggests are more likely than not to berecoverable. In this context, when probabilistic methods are used, thereshould be at least a 50% probability that the quantities actually recoveredwill equal or exceed the sum of estimated proved plus probable reserves
`Possible Reserves' are those unproved reserves which analysis ofgeological and engineering data suggests are less likely to be recoverablethan probable reserves. In this context, when probabilistic methods are used,there should be at least a 10% probability that the quantities actuallyrecovered will equal or exceed the sum of estimated proved plus probable pluspossible reserves
Reserve Status Categories
`Unproved Reserves' are based on geologic and/or engineering datasimilar to that used in estimates of proved reserves; but technical,contractual, economic, or regulatory uncertainties preclude such reservesbeing classified as proved. Unproved reserves may be further classified asprobable reserves and possible reserves
Reserve status categories define the development and producingstatus of wells and reservoirs
`Developed reserves' are expected to be recovered from existingwells including reserves behind pipe. Improved recovery reserves areconsidered developed only after the necessary equipment has been installed, orwhen the costs to do so are relatively minor. Developed reserves may besubcategorized as producing or non-producing.
`Producing reserves' are expected to be recovered from completionintervals which are open and producing at the time of the estimate. Improvedrecovery reserves are considered producing only after the improved recoveryproject is in operation.
`Non-producing reserves' include shut-in and behind-pipe reserves.Shut-in reserves are expected to be recovered from (1) completion intervalswhich are open at the time of the estimate but which have not startedproducing, (2) wells which were shut-in for market conditions or pipelineconnections, or (3) wells not capable of production for mechanical reasons.Behind-pipe reserves are expected to be recovered from zones in existingwells, which will require additional completion work or future recompletionprior to the start of production.
`Undeveloped reserves' are expected to be recovered: (1) from newwells on undrilled acreage, (2) from deepening existing wells to a differentreservoir, or (3) where a relatively large expenditure is required to (a)recomplete an existing well or (b) install production or transportationfacilities for primary or improved recovery projects.
An abridged version of the CPR will be available for download fromthe Magnolia website www.magnoliapetroleum.com in due course.
* * ENDS * *For further information on Magnolia Petroleum Plc visitwww.magnoliapetroleum.com or contact the following:
Steven Snead Magnolia Petroleum Plc +01 918 449 8750Rita Whittington Magnolia Petroleum Plc +01 918 449 8750Jo Turner / James Cairn Financial Advisers +44 20 7148 7900Caithie
LLPJohn Howes / Alice Northland Capital Partners +44 20 7796 8800Lane / Luke Cairns LimitedLottie Brocklehurst St Brides Media and Finance +44 20 7236 1177
LtdFrank Buhagiar St Brides Media and Finance +44 20 7236 1177 LtdNotesMagnolia Petroleum Plc is an AIM quoted, US focused, oil and gasexploration and production company. Its portfolio includes interests in 104producing and non-producing assets, primarily located in the highly productiveBakken/Three Forks Sanish hydrocarbon formations in North Dakota as well asthe oil rich Mississippi Lime and the substantial and proven Woodford andHunton formations in Oklahoma.
Summary of Wells Category Number of wellsProducing 104Being Drilled / Completed 12Elected to participate / waiting to 18spud
TOTAL 134Related Shares:
Magnolia Petroleum