19th May 2011 07:00
Chesnara plc Interim Management Statement
Chesnara plc
Interim Management Statement for the period from 1 January 2011 to 18 May 2011
19 May 2011
This statement relates primarily to the financial position of Chesnara plc (the`Group') as at 31 March 2011 and to its financial performance during the firstquarter of the year. Where events and transactions have occurred since the endof the first quarter, which are estimated to have a material impact onmanagement's core expectation of the financial position and/or financialperformance of the Group, then these are identified, together with a broadindication of their impact.
EEV
Detail on the increase in Group European Embedded Value (`EEV'), since the position last reported in the financial statements for the year ended 31 December 2010, is set out in the following table:
Quarter ended Quarter ended Year ended 31 March 2011 31 March 2010 31 December 2010 GBP GBP GBP EEV at beginning of period 354.6 262.6 262.6 Modelling improvements in Swedish Business - - 13.2 Profit arising on acquisition of Save & Prosper - - 40.7 Earnings for the period, net of tax UK Businesses Countrywide Assured (`CA') 2.3 4.8 18.8 Save & Prosper (`S&P') 3.0 - (0.9) Swedish Business Movestic 1.3 5.2 3.5 Other Group Activities (0.4) 0.1 (2.3) Foreign exchange reserve movement 4.9 5.2 9.5 Dividends paid - - (16.3) Issue of new shares - - 22.6 Sale of treasury shares - - 3.2 ------ ------ ------ EEV at end of period 365.7 277.9 354.6 ------ ------ ------
EEV of GBP365.7m as at 31 March 2011 is stated before appropriation of a dividend of GBP12.2m which will be paid on 20 May 2011.
Overall, the net of tax EEV result for the first quarter of 2011 was ahead ofexpectations in spite of negligible growth in UK equity markets and modestfalls in the Swedish equity markets over the quarter. By comparison, investmentmarket improvements over the first quarter of 2010 had a significant positiveimpact on earnings for CA and Movestic. The EEV results for all businessesbenefited from a gently rising interest rate environment in both swap and giltmarkets: CA benefited to the extent of GBP2.0m (GBP1.4m net of tax), S&Pto the extent of GBP0.8m (£0.6m net of tax) and Movestic to the extent of GBP2.1m (GBP2.1m also net of tax).
Other significant influences underlying earnings for the first quarter were:
UK BusinessesCA
i. GBP1.1m (GBP0.8m net of tax) expected return from the unwind of the risk
discount rate;
ii. GBP0.4m (GBP0.3m net of tax) favourable mortality and morbidity experience; and
iii. GBP0.9m (GBP0.6m net of tax) favourable persistency experience
offset by net adverse net of tax effects of GBP0.8m, arising from a number of market and fiscal influences.
S & P
i. GBP0.8m (GBP0.6m net of tax) from favourable lapse and investment mix
experience, together; and
ii. GBP0.6m (GBP0.5m net of tax) expected return
enhanced by a release of GBP1.0m in respect of deferred tax, to reflect lowerrates of UK corporation tax, following from the Chancellor's Budget in March2011.Swedish BusinessMovestic
(all amounts stated are pre-tax, tax effects for the period being immaterial)
i. GBP1.5m expected return from the unwind of the risk discount rate; and
ii. GBP1.2m value added by new business
offset by
i. adverse persistency experience and assumption changes, together £2.8m; and
ii. adverse investment market effects of GBP0.5m, arising principally from dull
equity markets.
The foreign exchange gain of GBP4.9m, set out in the EEV table above, arises fromthe effect of translating the SEK-denominated EEV of the Swedish Business intopounds sterling, which depreciated some 4% against the Swedish Krona over thefirst quarter of 2011.IFRSThe IFRS result arising in the quarter ended 31 March 2011 is set out in thefollowing table: Quarter ended Quarter ended Year ended 31 March 2011 31 March 2010 31 December 2010 GBP GBP GBP Pre-tax earnings Profit arising on business combinations Save & Prosper - - 15.5 Aspis - - 0.4 UK Businesses Countrywide Assured (`CA') 4.4 8.9 25.7 Save & Prosper (`S&P') 0.7 - 0.2 Swedish Business Movestic (1.0) (1.1) (3.6) Other Group Activities (0.6) (0.4) (3.9) ------ ------ ------ Total pre-tax earnings 3.5 7.4 34.3 Tax (1.4) (2.3) (4.5) ------- ------ ------- Post-tax earnings 2.1 5.1 29.8 ------ ------ ------
The total IFRS pre-tax result for the quarter ended 31 March 2011 continues tobe significantly influenced by the surplus arising within CA's life andpensions business, which is in run off. The shortfall over the correspondingquarter in 2010 arises from (i) the fact that the business is in run off, sothat the level of earnings arising from this source will decline over time, andfrom (ii) more muted investment market influences.The S&P result, which also had a significant impact on the overall result, wasbelow expectations as a result of a GBP1.8m strain, which is not expected toreplicate, on the with profits business. This arose from the fact that, in arising interest rate environment, the effect of adjustment to the valuationinterest rate has, for this quarter, been outstripped by the corresponding fallin the capital value of fixed-interest securities.The Movestic loss was influenced by a significant IFRS-based adjustment inconnection with an option to settle early on financial reinsurance borrowings:the adverse impact of some GBP0.8m arose from the fact that the gap between theactual rate of interest on financial reinsurance borrowings and prevailingmarket rates of interest narrowed during the quarter. Adjusting for this item,Movestic continues to make progress in moving towards an overall profitableposition on core trading.
The following are the key performance indicators relating to Movestic:
Quarter Ended Quarter Ended Year Ended 31 March 2011 31 March 2010 31 December 2010 GBP GBP GBP Total premium income* Pensions and savings 62.8 65.8 260.5 Risk insurance 9.9 9.0 38.0 ------ ------- ------ Total 72.7 74.8 298.5 ------ ------ ------ Overall premium is marginally down as we have exited some low or non-profitable lines of business to concentrate on higher margin products. New business premium income* Pensions and savings 13.9 15.2 52.4 Risk insurance** 0.6 6.2 8.1 ------ ------ ------ Total 14.5 21.4 60.5 ------ ------ ------
\* Translated into £ at constant rate of SEK10.4 = GBP (Quarter 1 2011 average rate)
** New Business risk insurance premium statistics for 2010 include Aspis renewal premiums: they are excluded from New Business statisticsin 2011. Market share of unit-linked Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 pensions business % % % % Total business 3.9 5.1 3.1 5.8 Company-paid contribution 12.3 12.3 10.1 11.3 business
Market share figures are not yet available for Q1. However we expect that modest positive progress has been made.
31 March 2011 31 March 2010 31 December 2010 Assets under management* GBP1,360.8 GBP1,187.5 GBP1,354.3
------ ------ ------ \* Translated at a constant rate of SEK10.1 = GBP (31 March 2011 closing rate).Policy attrition Quarter Ended Quarter Ended Year Ended 31 March 2011 31 March 10 31 December 2010 % % % Surrenders 13.8 8.7 13.4 Transfers 5.3 3.2 4.6 Lapses 17.5 16.7 19.8 Fund performance Quarter Ended Quarter Ended Year Ended 31 March 2011 31 March 2010 31 December 2010 No of Funds No of Funds No of Funds Outperformed against 22 18 18 relevant index Underperformed against 11 9 12 relevant index No relevant index 3 4 6 Whilst policy attrition has not yet fully recovered, lapses have improvedcompared to the experience over the whole of 2010, and other elements of theresult are generally positive. Risk and Health total premiums have advancedwhilst Pensions and Savings are being focused on more profitable contracts atthe expense of a little volume. That said we are expecting market share to holdup if not increase marginally. Fund performance, a key driver of Movestic'sappeal to distributors and end clients, has shown further improvement and hasbuilt on the positive reaction to Movestic's rebranding in Q4 2010.
Solvency
The underlying emergence of surplus in the UK businesses, and hence thecapacity of the Group to continue to pursue its dividend policy, remainsstrong. This is reflected in the ratio of regulatory capital resources toregulatory capital requirements in CA, which has improved from 213% as at 31December 2010 to 238% as at the end of the first quarter and in S&P, which hascorrespondingly improved from 268% to 272%. The Swedish life business solvencyratio as at 31 March 2011 is estimated to be 174%, compared with 188% as at 31December 2010. As at the quarter end, the corresponding Group (IGD) positionremains strong at an estimated 206% compared with 200% as at 31 December 2010.
Market Opportunity
We continue to see a good flow of potential acquisition opportunities and, asdemonstrated by the Save & Prosper acquisition, we will readily progress thesewhere we see value and a clear strategic fit. As regards other opportunities,while we remain open-minded as to location in the UK and Western Europe, wewill continue to apply strict financial and risk criteria in assessing them.
Enquiries
Graham Kettleborough, Chief Executive, Chesnara plc 07799 407519
Michael Henman, Cubitt Consulting 0207 367 5100
Notes to Editors
Chesnara plc, which listed on the London Stock Exchange in May 2004, is theowner of Countrywide Assured plc ("CA"), Save & Prosper Insurance (Save &Prosper') and Movestic Livf¶rs¤kringar AB (`Movestic'). CA is a UK lifeassurance subsidiary that is substantially closed to new business. In June 2005Chesnara acquired a further closed life insurance company - City of WestminsterAssurance ("CWA") - for GBP47.8m. With effect from 30 June 2006, CWA's policiesand assets were transferred into CA plc.Movestic, a Swedish life assurance company which originally focused on pensionsand savings, was acquired on 23 July 2009 for GBP20m. The company is open to newbusiness and seeks to grow its position in the Swedish unit-linked market. Itsproposition was strengthened in February 2010 with the acquisition of theoperations of Aspis F¶rs¤kringar Liv AB which has a risk and health productbias.Save & Prosper Insurance Limited, and its subsidiary, Save & Prosper PensionsLimited were acquired on 20th December 2010 for GBP63.5m in cash. This was fundedby raising a new lending facility of GBP40m and the sale of new and treasuryshares which raised GBP26.7m. The companies are closed to new business andoperate an outsourced business model which is complementary to Chesnara'sexisting UK operations.
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