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LONDON MARKET OPEN: Ashtead tumbles on guidance cut; Diploma rises

20th Nov 2023 09:00

(Alliance News) - Stock prices in London made little progress on Monday morning, as investors were in a 'wait-and-see' mood ahead of UK fiscal announcements and US central bank minutes.

The FTSE 100 index opened down 25.58 points, 0.3%, at 7,478.67. The FTSE 250 was up 5.81 points at 18,573.68, and the AIM All-Share was up 0.39 of a point, 0.1%, at 719.44

The Cboe UK 100 was down 0.3% at 746.20, the Cboe UK 250 was slightly lower at 16,070.17, and the Cboe Small Companies was marginally higher at 13,466.01.

In European equities on Monday, the CAC 40 in Paris was up 0.2%, while the DAX 40 in Frankfurt was down 0.2%.

In the FTSE 100, Ashtead Group plunged 12% in early trade.

The industrial equipment rental company cut its annual guidance, despite expecting "record" results. It noted revenue late in its second quarter was hit by lower emergency response activity, due to a quieter hurricane season and fewer naturally occurring events. It also noted the hit from the actors' and writers' strikes on its Film & TV arm, which persisted for longer than expected. Both factors have continued into the third quarter, it added.

Consequently, it expects group and US rental growth between 11% and 13% in its full year, compared to prior guidance of 13% to 16%, which will drag Ebitda down to 2% to 3% below market expectations. Additionally, it expects a further bottom-line hit from a depreciation charge of around GBP2.12 billion and a net interest cost of around GBP540 million.

At the other end of the FTSE 100 was Diploma, up 5.5%.

Following its recent promotion to London's large-cap index, the supplier of technical products and services reported a year of double-digit growth.

Revenue in the year ended September rose 19% year-on-year to GBP1.20 billion from GBP1.01 billion, or 8% on an organic basis - ahead of its own forecasts of 7%. Meanwhile, pretax profit rose 20% to GBP155.6 million from GBP129.5 million. Adjusted operating profit rose 24% to GBP237.0 million, which was ahead of company-compiled analyst consensus expectations of GBP230.9 million.

Looking ahead, it expects growth in financial 2024 to be in line with its financial model "albeit with stronger margins".

AIM saw M&A activity continue.

Used-technology reseller musicMagpie jumped 30%, as it confirmed early-stage discussions with telecoms firm BT and The Body Shop-owner Aurelius about a possible takeover offer. However, it stressed the talks were at a "very early stage" with no certainty of any offer being made, nor on the terms of a potential offer.

However, Velocys sank 53% to 0.32 pence.

The cash-strapped sustainable fuels technology company said it has received a non-binding all-cash takeover offer of 0.25p per share, from a consortium led by private equity firm Lightrock and growth investor Carbon Direct Capital Management. The offer forms part of ongoing discussions with potential strategic investors over long-term funding for the business.

The price represents a substantial discount, 63%, to the firm's closing price on Friday of 0.68p. However, the consortium would provide the firm with some much-needed "significant additional funding". Velocys said it is continuing discussions with the consortium with "a view to progressing and recommending the proposal".

On the economic front, Prime Minister Rishi Sunak is expected to use a speech to paint a more positive picture of the economy ahead of the autumn statement.

Sunak will hail having last week hit his pledge of halving inflation as he gives an update on the state of the nation's finances in London on Monday morning.

"The pre-autumn statement weekend offered fewer pre-announcements than we've been used to, but a smorgasbord of rumours and leaks has been left on the table for us to pick over in the coming days, stoking rumours of a bumper autumn statement," said Sarah Cole, head of personal finance at Hargreaves Lansdown.

Chancellor Jeremy Hunt heightened expectations that businesses could find some relief in his financial statement as he said now is the time to boost growth. But he persistently warned against changes that could fuel inflation, dampening speculation that the pressure of income tax could be eased.

Hunt suggested during a round of interviews on Sunday that the personal tax burden will not come down "overnight" as he seeks to avoid prices spiralling again.

"It looks like there could be plenty of positive change in this statement, but at this stage, the Treasury is always unlikely to be emphasising the bad news," HL's Coles added.

Meanwhile, another key catalyst this week will be the latest minutes from the Federal Open Markets Committee on Tuesday, which will provide insight into the US Federal Reserve's thinking behind its most recent meeting.

Earlier this month, the central bank left the federal funds rate range unmoved at 5.25% to 5.50%, a 22-year-high.

The dollar was weaker in early exchanges in Europe.

Sterling was quoted at USD1.2493 early Monday, higher than USD1.2421 at the London equities close on Friday. The euro traded at USD1.0928, up from USD1.0881. Against the yen, the dollar was quoted at JPY148.72, down versus JPY149.77.

Gold was quoted at USD1,979.43 an ounce early Monday, edging down from USD1,981.88 on Friday.

Oil prices were higher, following reports of longer production cuts. Brent crude fetched USD81.26 a barrel early Monday, up from USD79.74 late Friday.

Saudi Arabia is preparing to prolong oil production cuts into next year as Opec+ weighs further reductions in response to falling prices and rising anger over the Israel-Hamas war, the Financial Times reported on Friday. After prices hit a four-month low of USD77 a barrel last week, four people familiar with the Saudi government's thinking told the FT that Riyadh is highly likely to extend its 1 million barrel-a-day cut at least until the spring.

In Asia on Monday, the Nikkei 225 index in Tokyo closed down 0.6%. It had reached a new 33-year high earlier in the session, but succumbed to profit-taking by the afternoon.

In China, the Shanghai Composite closed up 0.5%, while the Hang Seng index in Hong Kong was up 1.6%. The S&P/ASX 200 in Sydney closed up 0.1%.

In the US on Friday, Wall Street ended flat to higher, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average little changed, the S&P 500 up 0.1% and the Nasdaq Composite up 0.1%.

Over in New York, there are hotly-anticipated third-quarter results from AI chipmaker Nvidia late on Tuesday.

Developments at OpenAI, the owner of ChatGPT, were in focus over the weekend. The firm's board pushed out its co-founder & Chief Executive Sam Altman, after a review found he was "not consistently candid in his communications" with the board. On Monday, in a post on X, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella said he would hire Altman and other members of his team to "lead a new advanced AI research team".

The week picks up pace with UK public sector finances data on Tuesday, before the all-important autumn statement from Chancellor Jeremy Hunt on Wednesday.

By Elizabeth Winter, Alliance News deputy news editor

Comments and questions to [email protected]

Copyright 2023 Alliance News Ltd. All Rights Reserved.

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