Prudential plc - FY21 Results - Additional Info

Additional unaudited financial information

I Additional financial information

I(i) Group capital position

Overview

Prudential applies the Insurance (Group Capital) Rules set out in the Group-wide Supervision (GWS) Framework issued by the Hong Kong Insurance Authority (IA) to determine group regulatory capital requirements (both minimum and prescribed levels). The GWS Framework became effective for Prudential upon designation by the Hong Kong IA on 14 May 2021 and replaced the local capital summation method (LCSM) which was used for determination of the 31 December 2020 Group capital position as agreed with the Hong Kong IA.

The GWS methodology is largely consistent with that previously applied under LCSM with the exception of the treatment of debt instruments which are subject to transitional arrangements under the GWS Framework. Under the GWS Framework, all debt instruments (senior and subordinated) issued by Prudential plc at the 31 December 2021 are included as GWS eligible group capital resources. This includes debt issued at the date of designation which met the transitional conditions set by the Hong Kong IA and have not since been redeemed and debt issued since the date of designation which met the qualifying conditions as set out in the Insurance (Group Capital) Rules. Under the LCSM, only specific bonds (being those subordinated debt instruments issued by Prudential plc at the date of demerger of M&G plc) were included as eligible group capital resources.

For regulated insurance entities, the capital resources and required capital included in the GWS capital measure for Hong Kong IA Group regulatory purposes are based on the local solvency regime applicable in each jurisdiction. The Group holds material participating business in Hong Kong, Singapore and Malaysia. Alongside the total company GWS capital basis, a shareholder GWS capital basis is also presented, being eligible group capital resources over the GMCR and which excludes the capital resources and minimum capital requirements of these participating funds. The table below sets out the Group capital position on these two bases before allowing for the second interim dividend. The GWS group capital adequacy requirements have been met since the GWS Framework became effective for Prudential upon designation, this includes maintaining Tier 1 group capital resources in excess of the group minimum capital requirement of the supervised group.

Estimated GWS capital position based on Group Minimum Capital Requirement (GMCR)notes (1)(2)(3)

Further detail on the Group shareholder GWS capital position is presented below at 31 December 2021 and 31 December 2020 for comparison:

Notes

(1) The total eligible group capital resources and total GMCR presented in the tables above reflect the Insurance (Group Capital) Rules as set out in the GWS Framework. In particular, the 31 December 2020 capital results have been restated from those previously disclosed on a LCSM basis to reflect the treatment of grandfathered debt instruments under the GWS Framework, which increased eligible group capital resources by $1.6 billion compared to the LCSM basis. This had the effect of increasing capital surplus over the GMCR from $7.8 billion (equivalent to a coverage ratio of 323 per cent) to $9.4 billion (equivalent to a coverage ratio of 370 per cent) on a shareholder GWS basis. The 31 December 2020 GWS capital results are presented on a Group excluding Jackson basis and are before including the value of the Group's retained interest in Jackson.

(2) The 31 December 2021 GWS capital results include the value of the Group's 18.4 per cent retained economic interest in Jackson. As agreed with the Hong Kong IA this retained interest is included within the GWS eligible group capital resources valued at 60 per cent of the listed market value. At 31 December 2021 this is included within "unallocated to a segment" and contributes $0.4 billion to the GWS capital surplus (over GMCR) and 11 percentage points to the shareholder GWS coverage ratio (over GMCR).

(3) The 31 December 2021 GWS capital results do not reflect the impact of the redemption of $1.7 billion of sub-ordinated debt in January 2022 unless otherwise specified.

Regulatory developments in 2022

The recent trend to more risk-based capital regimes being adopted in many of the Group's markets is continuing and this impacts on the Group's GWS capital measure, which is underpinned by the local regulatory regimes of the Group's subsidiaries, joint ventures and associates. In mainland China C-ROSS Phase II becomes effective in the first quarter of 2022, the impact of which is not included in the 31 December 2021 GWS results above.

Further, in February 2022 Prudential Hong Kong Limited, the Group's insurance business in Hong Kong, made an application to the Hong Kong IA to early-adopt the new risk-based capital regime. The impact is not reflected in the 31 December 2021 GWS capital position shown above and the Group currently expects to include this change in the GWS capital position as at 30 June 2022, which remains subject to Hong Kong IA approval.

We intend to disclose the impacts of both these regulatory changes within our 2022 half year financial report as they become effective.

Sensitivity analysis

The estimated sensitivity of the shareholder GWS capital position (based on GMCR) to changes in market conditions at 31 December 2021 is shown below.

The sensitivity results above reflect the impact on continuing long-term business operations and therefore the Group's retained economic interest in Jackson, which contributed $0.4 billion to the GWS capital surplus at 31 December 2021, is assumed to be unchanged under stress. The sensitivity results assume instantaneous market movements and reflect all consequential impacts as at the valuation date. These results also allow for limited management actions such as changes to future policyholder bonuses and rebalancing investment portfolios where relevant. If such economic conditions persisted, the financial impacts may differ to the instantaneous impacts shown above. In this case management could also take additional actions to help mitigate the impact of these stresses. These actions include, but are not limited to, market risk hedging, further rebalancing of investment portfolios, increased use of reinsurance, repricing of in-force benefits, changes to new business pricing and the mix of new business being sold.

Analysis of movement in shareholder GWS capital surplus over GMCR

A summary of the estimated movement in the shareholder LCSM capital surplus (over GMCR) excluding Jackson of $7.8 billion at 31 December 2020 to the shareholder GWS capital surplus (over GMCR) of $13.2 billion at 31 December 2021 on a GWS basis is set out in the table below.

The estimated movement in the shareholder GWS capital surplus (over GMCR) over 2021 is driven by:

- Operating capital generation of $1.0 billion: generated by the return on in-force business, after deducting $0.3 billion from the strain on new business written in the period and $0.8 billion of central and restructuring costs;

- Non-operating experience of $0.3 billion: this includes the beneficial impact on shareholder GWS capital surplus (over GMCR) from higher equity markets and increasing interest rates over the year;

- Equity raise of $2.4 billion: generated from the public offer in Hong Kong in October 2021;

- Subordinated debt issuance / redemption of $0.1 billion: the net impact of debt redeemed offset by debt raised during 2021, this includes the issuance of subordinated debt in China in June 2021 which contributed $0.3 billion to the shareholder GWS capital surplus (over GMCR) offset by the $(0.2) billion net effect of debt raises and redemptions undertaken by Prudential plc;

- Contribution from Prudential's retained economic interest in Jackson of $0.5 billion: comprising of $0.3 billion from the impact of including the retained 19.7 per cent non-controlling economic interest in Jackson at the date of the demerger of Jackson from Prudential plc and $0.2 billion from the movement in the value of the retained interest since the date of demerger along with gains realised from the share repurchase by Jackson in November 2021. As agreed with the Hong Kong IA the retained interest is included within the GWS eligible group capital resources valued at 60 per cent of market value;

- Other Corporate activities of $(0.1) billion: this is the effect on shareholder GWS capital surplus (over GMCR) of corporate transactions in the year, which in 2021 comprised of the extension of the strategic bancassurance partnership with MSB in Vietnam; and

- External dividends of $(0.4) billion: this is the payment of external cash dividends during 2021.

Reconciliation of GWS capital surplus (over GMCR) to EEV free surplus (excluding intangibles)

* Before allowing for the redemption of debt in January 2022

† As per the "Free surplus excluding distribution rights and other intangibles" shown in the statement of Movement in Group free surplus of the Group's EEV basis results.

Notes

(a) Required capital under EEV is set at least equal to local statutory notification requirements and so can differ from the minimum capital requirement.

(b) EEV free surplus applies the embedded value reporting approach issued by the China Association of Actuaries (CAA) as compared to the C-ROSS surplus reported for local regulatory purposes (predominantly arising from the requirement under the CAA embedded value methodology to establish a deferred profit liability within EEV net worth). This includes differences in the treatment of China subordinated debt which contributes to C-ROSS surplus for local regulatory reporting but is not included within EEV free surplus.

(c) EEV free surplus for Singapore is based on the Tier 1 requirements under the RBC2 framework, which removes certain negative reserves permitted to be recognised in the full RBC 2 regulatory position used when calculating the shareholder GWS capital surplus (over GMCR).

(d) The shareholder GWS capital surplus (over GMCR) restricts the valuation of certain sundry non-intangible assets. In most cases these assets are considered fully recognisable in free surplus, in addition the EEV Principles require surplus assets to be included at fair value. Within the shareholder GWS capital surplus (over GMCR), some local regulatory regimes value certain assets at cost, this also includes the difference in the valuation of the Group's retained interest in Jackson which is valued at the listed market value under EEV free surplus as compared to being valued at 60 per cent of the listed market value under GWS capital. 

Reconciliation of Group IFRS shareholders' equity to shareholder GWS eligible group capital resources position

Notes

(a) As per the GWS Framework, debt in issuance at the date of designation that satisfy the criteria for transitional arrangements and qualifying debt issued since the date of designation are included as Group capital resources but are treated as liabilities under IFRS.

(b) Asset valuation differences reflect differences in the basis of valuing assets between IFRS and local statutory valuation rules, including deductions for inadmissible assets. Differences include for some markets where government and corporate bonds are valued at book value under local regulations but are valued at market value under IFRS. This also includes the difference in the valuation of the Group's retained interest in Jackson which is valued at the listed market value (equal to its fair value) under IFRS as compared to being valued at 60 per cent of the listed market value for GWS capital.

(c) Liability valuation differences reflect differences in the basis of valuing liabilities between IFRS and local statutory valuation rules. Material differences include in Singapore where the local capital resources under RBC2 permits the recognition of certain negative reserves in the local statutory position that are not fully recognised under IFRS.

(d) Differences in associated net deferred tax liabilities mainly results from the tax impact of changes in the valuation of assets and liabilities

(e) Other differences include the consequential impact on non-controlling interests arising from the other reconciling items and in China a difference from the inclusion of subordinated debt as local capital resources on a C-ROSS basis as compared to being held as a liability under IFRS.

Basis of preparation for the Group GWS capital position

Prudential applies the Insurance (Group Capital) Rules set out in the GWS Framework to determine group regulatory capital requirements (both minimum and prescribed levels). The summation of local statutory capital requirements across the Group is used to determine group regulatory capital requirements, with no allowance for diversification between business operations. The GWS eligible group capital resources is determined by the summation of capital resources across local solvency regimes for regulated entities and IFRS shareholders' equity (with adjustments described below) for non-regulated entities.

In determining the GWS eligible group capital resources and required capital the following principles have been applied:

- For regulated insurance entities, capital resources and required capital are based on the local solvency regime applicable in each jurisdiction, with minimum required capital set at the solo legal entity statutory minimum capital requirements;

- For asset management operations and other regulated entities, the capital position is derived based on the sectoral basis applicable in each jurisdiction, with minimum required capital based on the solo legal entity statutory minimum capital requirement;

- For non-regulated entities, the capital resources are based on IFRS shareholder equity after deducting intangible assets. No required capital is held in respect of unregulated entities;

- For entities where the Group's shareholding is less than 100 per cent, the contribution of the entity to the GWS eligible group capital resources and required capital represents the Group's share of these amounts and excludes any amounts attributable to non-controlling interests. This does not apply to investment holdings which are not part of the Group;

- Following the demerger of Jackson from Prudential plc, the Group retains a 18.4 per cent non-controlling economic interest in Jackson. As agreed with the Hong Kong IA this retained interest is included within the GWS eligible group capital resources valued at 60 per cent of the listed market value;

- Investments in subsidiaries, joint ventures and associates (including, if any, loans that are recognised as capital on the receiving entity's balance sheet) are eliminated from the relevant holding company to prevent the double counting of capital resources; and

- Under the GWS Framework, all debt instruments (senior and subordinated) issued by Prudential plc at the 31 December 2021 are included as GWS eligible group capital resources. This includes debt issued at the date of designation which met the transitional conditions set by the Hong Kong IA and have not since been redeemed and debt issued since the date of designation which met the qualifying conditions as set out in the Insurance (Group Capital) Rules. The eligible amount permitted to be included as Group capital resources for transitional debt is based on the net proceeds amount translated using 31 December 2020 exchange rates for debt not denominated in US dollars.

- The total company GWS capital basis is the capital measure for Hong Kong IA Group regulatory purposes. In addition Prudential also presents a shareholder GWS capital basis which excludes the capital resources and minimum capital requirements of participating business in Hong Kong, Singapore and Malaysia.

I(ii) Analysis of adjusted operating profit by driver

This schedule classifies the Group's adjusted operating profit from continuing operations into the underlying drivers using the following categories:

- Spread income represents the difference between net investment income and amounts credited to certain policyholder accounts. It excludes the operating investment return on shareholder net assets, which has been separately disclosed as expected return on shareholder assets.

- Fee income represents profit driven by net investment performance, being fees that vary with the size of the underlying policyholder funds, net of investment management expenses.

- With-profits represents the pre-tax shareholders' transfer from the with-profits business for the period.

- Insurance margin primarily represents profit derived from the insurance risks of mortality and morbidity.

- Margin on revenues primarily represents amounts deducted from premiums to cover acquisition costs and administration expenses (see below).

- Acquisition costs and administration expenses represent expenses incurred in the period attributable to shareholders. These exclude items such as restructuring and IFRS 17 implementation costs, which are not included in the segment profit, as well as items that are more appropriately included in other categories (eg investment expenses are netted against investment income as part of spread income or fee income as appropriate).

- DAC adjustments comprise DAC amortisation for the period, excluding amounts related to short-term fluctuations in investment returns, net of costs deferred in respect of new business written in the period.

The following analysis expresses certain of the Group's sources of adjusted operating profit from continuing operations as a margin of policyholder liabilities or other relevant drivers. The 2020 comparative information has been presented at both AER and CER to eliminate the impact of exchange translation.

* Including amounts related to Africa operations.

Notes

(a) The calculation of average liabilities is generally derived from opening and closing balances, with average liabilities used to derive the margin for fee income calculated using quarter-end balances to provide a more meaningful analysis. Other than the average liabilities used to calculate the administration expense margin, the average liabilities in the analysis above exclude the liabilities for the Africa operations.

(b) Margin represents the operating return earned in the year as a proportion of the relevant class of policyholder liabilities excluding unallocated surplus.

(c) The ratio of acquisition costs is calculated as a percentage of APE sales in the year, including with-profits sales. Acquisition costs include only those relating to shareholder-backed business. The ratio of shareholder acquisition costs to shareholder APE sales (excluding with-profits) in 2021 is 61 per cent (2020: 66 per cent on both AER and CER basis).

(d) Under IFRS, the Group's share of results from its investments in joint ventures and associates accounted for using the equity method is included as a single line in the Group's profit before tax on a net of related tax basis. In the table above, the results of the joint ventures and associates are analysed by adjusted operating profit drivers and on a pre-tax basis, with related tax charges shown separately in order for the contribution from the joint ventures and associates to be included in the profit driver and margin analysis on a consistent basis with the rest of the business operations.

I(iii) Analysis of adjusted operating profit by business unit

The table below presents the 2020 results on both AER and CER bases to eliminate the impact of exchange translation.

* Includes other growth markets and a number of small items that are not expected to reoccur.

(a) Eastspring adjusted operating profit

Notes

(1) Operating income before performance-related fees for Eastspring can be further analysed as follows:

* Institutional includes internal funds.

(2) Operating income and expense include the Group's share of contribution from joint ventures. In the condensed consolidated income statement of the Group IFRS basis results, the net income after tax of the joint ventures and associates is shown as a single line item.

(3) Margin represents operating income before performance-related fees as a proportion of the related funds under management (FUM). Monthly closing internal and external funds managed by Eastspring have been used to derive the average. Any funds held by the Group's insurance operations that are managed by third parties outside the Prudential Group are excluded from these amounts.

(b) Eastspring total funds under management

Eastspring manages funds from external parties and also funds for the Group's insurance operations. The table below analyses the total funds managed by Eastspring.

Notes

(1) Movements in external funds under management, excluding those managed on behalf of M&G plc, are analysed below:

* The analysis of movements above includes $12,248 million relating to Asia Money Market Funds at 31 December 2021 (31 December 2020: $13,198 million). Investment flows for 2021 include Eastspring Money Market Funds gross inflows of $61,949 million (2020: $76,317 million) and net outflows of $1,512 million (2020: net inflows of $48 million).

(2) Movements in funds managed on behalf of M&G plc are analysed below:

(3) Total funds under management are analysed by asset class below:

I(iv) Group funds under management

For Prudential's asset management businesses, funds managed on behalf of third parties are not recorded on the balance sheet. They are, however, a driver of profitability. Prudential therefore analyses the movement in the funds under management each year, focusing on those which are external to the Group and those primarily held by the Group's continuing insurance businesses. The table below analyses the funds of the Group held in the balance sheet and the external funds that are managed by Prudential's asset management businesses from continuing operations.

Note

Total Group funds under management from continuing operations comprise:

I(v) Holding company cash flow

The holding company cash flow describes the movement in the cash and short-term investments of the centrally managed group holding companies and differs from the IFRS cash flow statement, which includes all cash flows in the year including those relating to both policyholder and shareholder funds. The holding company cash flow is therefore a more meaningful indication of the Group's central liquidity.

Notes

(a) Net cash remitted by business units comprise dividends and other transfers, net of capital injections, that are reflective of earnings and capital generation. 

(b) Including IFRS 17 implementation and restructuring costs paid in the year. In 2021, the Group changed its basis of presenting business unit remittances to reflect net cash remittances before costs attributable to the head office functions based in Hong Kong, and to present all head office costs together within 'corporate activities'. Accordingly, the 2020 amounts have been re-presented from those previously published to reflect the change.

(c) Other corporate activities relating to continuing operations of $(199) million (2020: $(954) million) include central contributions to the funding of Asia and Africa strategic growth initiatives, principally non-recurring payments for bancassurance distribution agreements including UOB and MSB banks. In 2020, this also included one-off payments relating to the establishment of the Group's strategic bancassurance partnership with TMB Bank. Central payments for existing bancassurance distribution agreements are within the central outflows section of the holding company cash flow, reflecting the recurring nature of these amounts. Other corporate activities also include sale proceeds of $83 million received in December 2021, following Jackson's announcement, as part of its previously disclosed $300 million share repurchase programme, of the repurchase of 2,242,516 shares of its Class A common stock from Prudential as discussed in the Jackson section above.

(d) Proceeds from the Group's commercial paper programme are not included in the holding company cash and short-term investment balance.

I(vi) Reconciliation of EEV expected transfer of value of in-force business and required capital to free surplus

The table below shows how the EEV value of in-force business (VIF) and the associated required capital for continuing long-term business operations are projected as emerging into free surplus over the next 40 years. Although circa 8 per cent of the embedded value emerges after this date, analysis of cash flows emerging in the years shown is considered most meaningful. The modelled cash flows use the same methodology underpinning the Group's embedded value reporting and so are subject to the same assumptions and sensitivities used to prepare our 2021 results.

In addition to showing the amounts, on both a discounted and undiscounted basis, expected to be generated from all in-force business at 31 December 2021, the table also presents the future free surplus expected to be generated from the investment made in new business during 2021 over the same 40-year period.

* The analysis excludes amounts incorporated into VIF and required capital at 31 December 2021 where there is no definitive time frame for when the payments will be made or receipts received. It also excludes any free surplus projected to emerge after 2061.

The expected free surplus generation from new business written in 2021 can be reconciled to the new business profit as follows:

* Other items represent the impact of the time value of options and guarantees on new business, foreign exchange effects and other non-modelled items. Foreign exchange effects arise as EEV new business profit amounts are translated at average exchange rates and the expected free surplus generation is translated at closing rates.

The discounted expected free surplus generation from in-force business can be reconciled to the embedded value for long-term business operations as follows:

* Other items represent the impact of the time value of options and guarantees and other non-modelled items.

The undiscounted expected free surplus generation from all in-force business at 31 December 2021 can be reconciled to the amount that was expected to be generated at 31 December 2020 as follows:

* Future expected free surplus generation includes Africa operations following the change in the Group's operating segments in 2021.

At 31 December 2021, the total free surplus expected to be generated over the next five years (2022 to 2026 inclusive) for long-term business operations, using the same assumptions and methodology as those underpinning 2021 embedded value reporting, was $10.8 billion (31 December 2020: $10.2 billion).

At 31 December 2021, the total free surplus expected to be generated on an undiscounted basis over the next 40 years for long-term business operations is $66.4 billion, $7.3 billion higher than the $59.1 billion expected at the end of 2020. The increase is driven by new business and the effect of generally higher interest rates across the region increasing projected returns, partially offset by unfavourable foreign exchange movements.

Actual underlying free surplus generated in 2021 from long-term business in force at the end of 2020, before restructuring and IFRS 17 implementation costs, was $2.3 billion, including $(0.2) billion of changes in operating assumptions and experience variances. This compares with the expected 2021 realisation at the end of 2020 of $2.2 billion and can be analysed further as follows:

I(vii) EEV new business schedules from continuing operations

The format of the schedules is consistent with the distinction between insurance and investment products as applied for previous reporting periods. Insurance products refer to those classified as contracts of long-term insurance business for local regulatory reporting purposes.

The details shown for insurance products include contributions from contracts that are classified under IFRS 4, 'Insurance Contracts', as not containing significant insurance risk. These products are described as investment contracts or other financial instruments under IFRS 4, primarily certain unit-linked and similar contracts written in insurance operations.

New business premiums reflect those premiums attaching to covered business, including premiums from contracts designed as investment contracts under IFRS reporting. Regular premium products are shown on an annualised basis.

Investment products referred to in the tables for funds under management are unit trusts, mutual funds and similar types of retail fund management arrangements. These are unrelated to insurance products that are classified as investment contracts under IFRS 4, as described in the preceding paragraph, although similar IFRS recognition and measurement principles apply to the acquisition costs and fees attaching to this type of business.

New business profit has been determined using the EEV methodology set out in our EEV basis results supplement.

In determining the EEV basis value of new business written in the period when policies incept, premiums are included at projected cash flows on the same basis of distinguishing regular and single premium business as set out for local statutory basis reporting.

Notes to schedules A to D

(1) Annual premium equivalent (APE) is calculated as the aggregate of regular premiums on business written in the period and one-tenth of single premiums. Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) are calculated as the aggregate of single premiums and the present value of expected future premiums from regular premium new business, allowing for lapses and the other assumptions applied in determining the EEV new business profit. APE sales are subject to rounding.

(2) New business in CPL is included at Prudential's 50 per cent interest in the joint venture.

(3) New business in India is included at Prudential's 22 per cent interest in the associate.

(4) Mandatory Provident Fund (MPF) product flows in Hong Kong are included at Prudential's 36 per cent interest in the Hong Kong MPF business.

Schedule A Insurance new business (AER and CER)

Schedule B Insurance new business APE and PVNBP (AER and CER)

Note

Comparative results for the first half (H1) and second half (H2) of 2020 are presented on both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER). The H2 amounts are presented on year-to-date average exchange rates (including the effect of retranslating H1 results for movements in average exchange rates between H1 and the year-to-date).

Schedule C Insurance new business profit and margin (AER and CER)

Schedule D Investment flows and FUM (AER)